The first step and the present stage for Israeli diplomacy is to seek greater diplomatic understanding that Israel intends to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria once a critical mass of Median Jewish immigrants have arrived in Israel. The second step and later stage will be to seek actual recognition of Israeli sovereignty after Israel officially incorporates the entire Judea and Samaria.
The US administration and the international community currently hope for “a good successor” to Mahmoud Abbas who will be more amenable to make peace with Israel. This of course is a pipe dream since Mahmoud Abbas’ opposition to an end-of-claims final status agreement (since this would involve ceding the Palestinian demand for flooding Israel with millions of Anti-Zionists) is simply the Palestinian public consensus. However, a successor to Mahmoud Abbas adopting the same uncompromising position as his predecessors Arafat and Abbas may be a sobering experience for the US government and the international community which have been poisoned by lies from Palestinian diplomats. Palestinian leaders are honest to their own public but systematically lie to the international community regarding their rejectionist stance on final status “negotiations”.
Once Median Jewish immigration to Israel has reached a critical mass, the Israeli Zionist parliamentary left will no doubt change their positions on Judea and Samaria. The Labor, Meretz, Blue & White and Yesh Atid parties advocate territorial concessions in Judea and Samaria due to exclusively demographic considerations and once Israel can incorporate the entire Judea and Samaria without decreasing the proportion of Jews among its citizens will there be a new pan-Zionist consensus in favor of applying Israeli sovereignty over the entire Judea and Samaria. This will also be sobering experience for the international community since no Zionist parties in the Knesset will be in favor of a two-state solution anymore.
The Jordanian annexation of Gaza subsequent to Israel incorporating the entire Judea and Samaria will be another sobering experience for the international community. The most sobering experience will however be dramatic Jewish demographic growth in indigenous Israeli villages, towns and cities in Judea and Samaria. The cost of living in Judea and Samaria is lower than in present sovereign Israel and the quality of life is higher than in sovereign Israel. The area’s growing indigenous communities are therefore very likely to attract millions of Median Jewish immigrants. This drastic increase in the population of the Israeli communities of Judea and Samaria will no doubt convince the international community that the two-state solution is a lost cause once Palestinians have become a demographic minority in Judea and Samaria.
In other words, a series of sobering experiences will eventually convince the international community to internationally recognize Israeli sovereignty over the entire Judea and Samaria. What is Israel’s historical experience? For a long time were the areas that Israel conquered and incorporated in excess of the 1947 UN Partition Plan not internationally recognized as Israeli but did eventually become almost universally accepted as Israeli territory even by most governments that do not officially recognize Israel as a sovereign state. In Israel’s early years, Israel was under heavy international pressure, including from the American government, to withdraw from those areas, yet Israel wisely resisted all international pressure. The international community will eventually recognize Israeli sovereignty over the entire Judea and Samaria as this is only a matter of time. However, doing so sooner rather than later would certainly help pacify the region and ensure regional stability.
The northern military theater will be pacified after Israel liberates Syria and Lebanon, establishes an Aramean Christian state (Aram) and annexes Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. Israel, Syria (under the leadership of the PYD of the AANES) and Aram (the successor state to Lebanon) will redraw international borders between them through a trilateral peace agreement that will also include recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. The Palestinians of the northern Levant will be enfranchised where they currently live, meaning within the future borders of Aram, Israel and Syria respectively. The Arab-Israeli conflict will be history although there will be lingering rhetoric about Palestinian statehood and flooding Israel with millions of Anti-Zionists which will become as relevant as the demands of the Sudeten Germans in Germany to take over large areas of the Czech Republic. The demand for Palestinian statehood will change from ostensibly being in furtherance of peace to becoming a tool for disrupting the existing peace, something which of course it always truly was albeit as a wolf in sheep’s clothing.
Will the international community continue to insist upon the creation of a Palestinian state after Israel redeems and enfranchises the entire Judea and Samaria and Jordan subsequently annexes Gaza? Yes there will be such demands although increasingly infrequently as the conflict will be consigned to the dustbin of history with Palestinians throughout the Levant enfranchised in their current locations of residence. As the international community sobers up of from false messianism will there be increasing retraction of the partial international recognition of Palestinian statehood and increasing international recognition of both Israeli sovereignty in Judea and Samaria and Jordanian sovereignty in Gaza. International recognition of the new borders in the northern Levant will come earlier with the international recognition of the new governments in Damascus (Syria) and Beirut (Aram).
As peace will reign throughout the Levant and Israel will be at peace with all its neighbors will demands for Palestinian statehood subside over time and there will eventually – albeit gradually so – be international recognition of the new political realities of perpetual peace.