Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel

There are multiple reasons why Hezbollah and its allies in the Iranian axis in the Middle East will engage in a frontal assault on Israel after Israel and the US destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program once so-called “negotiations” have become completely exhausted. 1. The Iranian regime systematically states that this will happen if theContinue reading “Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel”

How Jerusalem Could be Key to NATO’s Enlargement

There are three centers of political power in the Republic of Turkey. These are a) the ruling AK party headed by president Erdogan, b) the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus and c) the Turkish military, the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) itself. While the Derin Devlet is primarily concerned with preserving the secularistContinue reading “How Jerusalem Could be Key to NATO’s Enlargement”

America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check

The reality that most do not want to acknowledge is that the Khomeinist leadership in Iran for their own reasons simply do not want to return to the JCPOA and they are not interested in any alternative agreement either. Any viable agreement would have to have bipartisan support and be acceptable to Israel and itsContinue reading “America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check”

Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence

Under what conditions would Russia be willing to use tactical nuclear weapons? It is important to understand that nuclear weapons are mainly psychological weapons. They are meant for psychological deterrence, mainly not to be used, as using strategic nuclear weapons is out of question in Europe. This surely opens the question under what circumstances andContinue reading “Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence”

Derin Devlet Should Rein in Erdogan on NATO Accession

The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) has never ever attacked Turkish territory and has never ever engaged in terrorist attacks against anyone whomsoever. While it is true that the PYD (Democratic Union Party), the governing party in AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria), is a member of of the feminist KCK (Kurdistan Communities Union)Continue reading “Derin Devlet Should Rein in Erdogan on NATO Accession”

It’s the Consensus Stupid!

There is much international hope pinned to a future successor to Mahmoud Abbas making peace with Israel. However, to personalize this issue, to think that the problem of Palestinian rejectionism is limited to first Yasser Arafat and then Mahmoud Abbas is myopic at best. Palestinian society is thoroughly rejectionist. The Palestinian consensus states that aContinue reading “It’s the Consensus Stupid!”

The Approaching Khomeinist Apocalypse

“I am decisely announcing to the whole world that if the world-devourers [the infidel powers] wish to stand against our religion, we will stand against the whole world and will not cease until the annihilation of all of them. Either we all become free, or we will go to the greater freedom, which is martyrdom.Continue reading “The Approaching Khomeinist Apocalypse”

A Leopard doesn’t Change its Spots

The new decree by the Taliban regime i Kabul that women must once more wear the burqa was expected and illustrates the profoundly reactionary nature of Islamist movements generally and the futility in hoping for so-called “moderates”, “reformists” etc. among Islamists although they can surely be politically pragmatic and engage in political lying. There areContinue reading “A Leopard doesn’t Change its Spots”

Erdogan and the Derin Devlet

What is the power dynamic between President Erdogan and the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus? Erdogan has always ruled at the pleasure of the Derin Devlet, which has consistently refrained from unseating him. Erdogan always had limited political space to maneuver in domestic politics in terms of what reforms he could enactContinue reading “Erdogan and the Derin Devlet”

The Apostasy of Sabbatai Zevi

Rabbi Sabbatai Zevi, the Sabbatean messiah, was forced to convert to Islam by the Ottoman Grand Vizier under threat of gruesome death. What is less known is that Sabbatai Zevi subsequently became Bektashi, in hence voiding his apostasy as the Bektashi order is one of nine denominations of core Median Judaism. This of course wasContinue reading “The Apostasy of Sabbatai Zevi”

Turkey’s Dramatic Foreign Policy Shift of Paradigm

Turkey has shifted foreign policy from a maximum trouble policy towards all non-Islamist entities in the region to the polar opposite. President Erdogan clearly made a severe mistake when he in 2021 effectively threatened civil war after the 2023 elections. This has led the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to rein inContinue reading “Turkey’s Dramatic Foreign Policy Shift of Paradigm”

The United States Needs Saudi Arabia

The early assessment by the Biden administration that a return to the JCPOA could be taken for granted and that the US did not really need Saudi Arabia as an ally has been disproven by subsequent events. Iran is more aggressive than ever and Ali Khamenei is apparently grooming the arch-extremist president Ebrahim Raisi asContinue reading “The United States Needs Saudi Arabia”

The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse

Tehran is currently moderately convinced that America and Israel will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is one of the reasons for its rejectionism in Vienna. Nevertheless, on Quds Day, Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah threatened that Iran might attack Israel directly if Israeli sabotage operations against the Iranian nuclear weapons programContinue reading “The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse”