As Ukraine is preparing for its 2023 Spring Offensive should the Western world already now form a policy for dealing with a defeated post-Putin Russia that has been kicked out of Ukraine. Yes, it appears that Vladimir Putin will not ever admit defeat and withdraw from occupied Ukraine but will fight till the last dropContinue reading “Post-Putin Russia Must be Enticed to Democratize and Liberalize”
Monthly Archives: April 2023
Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement
What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and thisContinue reading “Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement”
The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers
While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is keenly aware that a constitutional crisis would trigger a military coup d’état and that the Israeli Deep State would subsequently impose a new constitution defining Israel as a Jewish and Liberal state, most of his cabinet ministers are obviously not aware of this at all. It is absolutely imperativeContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers”
The US Must Make a Strategic Decision
The US cannot be everywhere and must prioritize. However, Russia, China and Iran must all be contained separately. The goal must be to prevent war and if this fails – to win war. Regarding Russia must the goal be to defeat Russia, kick it out of Ukraine and then woo it to integrate into theContinue reading “The US Must Make a Strategic Decision”
Being First to Provide Information is Essential
I have suggested this before and I wasn’t listened to and so I hope that I will be read in the Israeli Ministry of Defense this time around. The fundamental problem with IDF informational efforts in wartime is that the IDF is too slow to provide timely and accurate info to the media. It isContinue reading “Being First to Provide Information is Essential”
A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence
The first lesson from Ramadan this year is that Israel does not control the pulse in the Levant, Iran does. What is the strategic reality in terms of deterrence? Israel does not believe that Iran will dare use chemical weapons against the Jewish state or Israel would be distributing gas masks, thus Israeli non-conventional deterrenceContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence”
Learn From the Past
When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”
It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum
AANES recently offered to share its energy revenues with the rest of Syria on condition that its feminist form of government is extended to all of Syria. This is in fact what will happen after the Northern War. The reality is that the regime of Bashar al-Assad is intertwined with Iranian Axis and is inContinue reading “It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum”
The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too
A constitutional crisis and even civil war are unacceptable outcomes and hence the failure of the present constitutional negotiations in Israel will inexorably lead to a military coup d’état, something which neither the government nor the opposition desires. While the Israeli government is keenly aware of this fact, the leaders of the opposition are notContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too”
The Apoists Must Accept Nothing Short of Autonomy Within Turkey
Mr. Kilicdaroglu is according to all polls expected to win the second round of the Turkish presidential elections. A peace process with the PKK should of course not be immediately expected after the elections, yet negotiations is a must and the Kurds must drive a hard bargain. Therefore, the Kurds cannot accept anything short ofContinue reading “The Apoists Must Accept Nothing Short of Autonomy Within Turkey”
Don’t Be a Sore Loser
Mr. Erdogan would be particularly well-advised to try to respect the upcoming election results and not be a sore loser. His fate and that of his fellow travelers in the AKP elite may in fact depend on that. There is of course a wide range of actions that Mr. Erdogan may undertake from questioning theContinue reading “Don’t Be a Sore Loser”
Religious Zionist Poskim Need to be Initiated Into the Secrets of Esoteric Judaism
The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to ask the top Sabbatean religious authorities to initiate Religious Zionist and Modern Orthodox poskim into the full range of secrets of Esoteric Judaism.
The Face of American Jewry is Changing
Within 15-20 years is Israel expected to become economically attractive as a magnet for Western immigration. At the same time is the face of American Jewry rapidly changing. Most American Jews intermarry and most of those who do raise their children as Jews irrespective of whether it is the father or the mother who isContinue reading “The Face of American Jewry is Changing”
Derin Devlet Should Accelerate Sweden’s NATO Accession
Sweden’s accession to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has been held up for a long time. Once the Turkish elections are over would the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus be particularly well-advised to move aggressively to promote Sweden’s membership in NATO and the Derin Devlet should do so irrespective of which sideContinue reading “Derin Devlet Should Accelerate Sweden’s NATO Accession”
The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur
Considering the illiberal leanings of the present Israeli government and its apparent lack of democratic instincts, it is imperative that the Israeli Deep State consistently and timely acts to protect Israel’s liberal character under all circumstances. The impending assault on the Law of Return is specifically not about preventing people with one Jewish grandparent inContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur “
Deterring Iran is Imperative
The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”
The Derin Devlet Needs to Establish a Diplomatic Relationship With AANES
There is urgent need for normalization of relations between Turkey and AANES irrespective of which side wins the Turkish elections. The appropriate way to start this is for the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to establish a covert diplomatic relationship with AANES.
Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections
The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”
Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack
The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”
The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure
The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”
The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse
“Syria warns Israel and its sponsors once again of the dangers of these aggressive policies, which push the region towards total escalation and a new phase of insecurity and instability,” ‘Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs At the height of the Syrian Civil War did the last Baathist regime make a devil’s bargain with the mullahsContinue reading “The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse”
This Government is a Threat Against Democracy
It has become increasingly clear in recent years that Benjamin Netanyahu who was originally a bona fide defender of liberal democracy has become part of the international trend of elected politicians and political parties who abuse their elected positions to undermine democracy. I write this with some reluctance because Benjamin Netanyahu is a person whomContinue reading “This Government is a Threat Against Democracy”
Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon
“When necessary – we will push them out of Syria to where they belong – and that is Iran.” Yoav Gallant, Israeli minister of defense Iran as usual is strategically arrogant but tactically cautious. The mullahs believe that Iran and its allies are capable of destroying the Jewish state. Previously was it believed that IsraelContinue reading “Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon”
A Better Way to Fight the Climate Crisis
The attempts to manage the climate crisis through planned economy are doomed to failure. The massive resources that are thrown away at subsidies would be better spent at accelerating the development of sustainable technologies. One example: Western politicians wish to accelerate the introduction of electric cars by subsidizing them to consumers. It would be farContinue reading “A Better Way to Fight the Climate Crisis”
Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?
The Israeli defense establishment is convinced that Hezbollah is planning to take advantage of Israel’s perceived ”weakness” to attack Israel in Tehran hence believing that Israel will want to limit the conflict rather than widen it. Israel’s defense minister Yoav Gallant has warned that this is not the case, that Iran will face a NorthernContinue reading “Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?”
What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?
The approach of the Israeli Deep State is Zionist pragmatism. This means that Israeli governments of various political colors are used to realize strategic projects conceived by the Israeli Deep State which after all is responsible for Israeli long-term strategic planning. How is it possible, you may ask, that the Israeli Deep State was behindContinue reading “What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?”