Russia has already assured access through Iraqi air space for its own air force. However, the real question is whether Moscow will stay neutral in the upcoming Northern War between Israel and the Iranian Axis? One would think that Putin would be smart enough not to go to war against Israel, considering his present experienceContinue reading “Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?”
Category Archives: Israel
Looking Weak and Confused
The US government has once more ventured onto the hopeless, dangerous and counterproductive route of indirect negotiations with Iran. Time is something that the Iranian regime cannot afford to waste and has therefore no interest whatsoever in concluding even a tactical agreement with ’the Great Satan’. This is so because the continual progression in theContinue reading “Looking Weak and Confused”
US Deterrence Depends on Credibility
One problem with US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran is the ambiguity surrounding the question as to who will take out Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program. If Israel isn’t convinced that America will take part, then who can blame Iran for not believing America? Why is not Israel convinced that America will act militarily to neutralize the IranianContinue reading “US Deterrence Depends on Credibility”
Peculiar?
European governments are unhappy with Russia funding Communists and Nazis in their own countries but they do not seem to understand why Israel is unhappy with Europe funding Anti-Semites in Israel. Whoah? Are European governments and the European Union funding Anti-Semites in Israel? Yes, according to the EU-approved IHRA definition of Anti-Semitism and its 11Continue reading “Peculiar?”
Israeli Civil Society Should not Rely on Foreign Governments
It is very unhealthy that foreign governments on a massive scale fund Israeli NGO’s which lack popular basis in Israeli society. It is legitimate to raise funds from private organizations and individuals at home and abroad but to mostly rely on foreign governments means corrupting the very notion of ”non-governmental organization”. Are those organizations actuallyContinue reading “Israeli Civil Society Should not Rely on Foreign Governments”
A US Mideast Defense Strategy
Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”
Strategic Dialogue is Required
There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”
Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness
Why is Jordan inciting against Israel and staying out of the Negev Forum? It is not that King Abdullah has personally turned particularly anti-Israel or somehow become a pro-Palestinian activist. Rather, this is a real sign of weakness of the Hashemite regime. In the past were the Hashemites not afraid to be open about theirContinue reading “Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness”
A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest
The US is able to deter Iran, i.e. temporarily so, but it has to be sustained over time in order to ensure homeland security from the threat of Iranian biological terrorism against major American cities. The US is right to pursue military integration with Israel as this bolsters US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. However, this requiresContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest”
The Red Line
The coalition is at liberty to pass any legislation it wants and the Supreme Court may nullify it. However, if the government chooses to disobey the Supreme Court, then it crosses a definitive red line. This makes the government vulnerable to a military coup d’état as ordered by Israel’s Deep State. Make no mistake, whatContinue reading “The Red Line”
Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War
There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”
Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling
Iran believed that Israel and America were weak and ready to be destroyed. Then Iran realized that its perception was wrong and that the Iranian Axis was the one that is weak and ready for destruction. The IDF targeted assassinations of three top PIJ commanders in Gaza literally achieved shock and awe as the IranianContinue reading “Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling”
The Israeli Deep State Needs to Promote a New Rabbinical Consensus on Conversion Reform
The proposal for conversion reform as suggested by the Bennett-Lapid government was insensitive to the very real social concerns of many Diaspora Orthodox rabbis who feared for the very survival of their communities. The apparent concern was that young Orthodox Jews would date and marry non-Jews and then make fictitious Aliyah for the purpose ofContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Needs to Promote a New Rabbinical Consensus on Conversion Reform”
MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security
MENA regional integration is an important US national interest that will ensure stability in this part of the world and prevent the US from being drawn into a land war with Iran so as to prevent Iran from conquering the Arab world. MENA regional integration is both economic and defense-related. Economic integration is vital toContinue reading “MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security”
The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers
While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is keenly aware that a constitutional crisis would trigger a military coup d’état and that the Israeli Deep State would subsequently impose a new constitution defining Israel as a Jewish and Liberal state, most of his cabinet ministers are obviously not aware of this at all. It is absolutely imperativeContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers”
The US Must Make a Strategic Decision
The US cannot be everywhere and must prioritize. However, Russia, China and Iran must all be contained separately. The goal must be to prevent war and if this fails – to win war. Regarding Russia must the goal be to defeat Russia, kick it out of Ukraine and then woo it to integrate into theContinue reading “The US Must Make a Strategic Decision”
Being First to Provide Information is Essential
I have suggested this before and I wasn’t listened to and so I hope that I will be read in the Israeli Ministry of Defense this time around. The fundamental problem with IDF informational efforts in wartime is that the IDF is too slow to provide timely and accurate info to the media. It isContinue reading “Being First to Provide Information is Essential”
A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence
The first lesson from Ramadan this year is that Israel does not control the pulse in the Levant, Iran does. What is the strategic reality in terms of deterrence? Israel does not believe that Iran will dare use chemical weapons against the Jewish state or Israel would be distributing gas masks, thus Israeli non-conventional deterrenceContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence”
Learn From the Past
When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”
It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum
AANES recently offered to share its energy revenues with the rest of Syria on condition that its feminist form of government is extended to all of Syria. This is in fact what will happen after the Northern War. The reality is that the regime of Bashar al-Assad is intertwined with Iranian Axis and is inContinue reading “It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum”
The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too
A constitutional crisis and even civil war are unacceptable outcomes and hence the failure of the present constitutional negotiations in Israel will inexorably lead to a military coup d’état, something which neither the government nor the opposition desires. While the Israeli government is keenly aware of this fact, the leaders of the opposition are notContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too”
Religious Zionist Poskim Need to be Initiated Into the Secrets of Esoteric Judaism
The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to ask the top Sabbatean religious authorities to initiate Religious Zionist and Modern Orthodox poskim into the full range of secrets of Esoteric Judaism.
The Face of American Jewry is Changing
Within 15-20 years is Israel expected to become economically attractive as a magnet for Western immigration. At the same time is the face of American Jewry rapidly changing. Most American Jews intermarry and most of those who do raise their children as Jews irrespective of whether it is the father or the mother who isContinue reading “The Face of American Jewry is Changing”
The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur
Considering the illiberal leanings of the present Israeli government and its apparent lack of democratic instincts, it is imperative that the Israeli Deep State consistently and timely acts to protect Israel’s liberal character under all circumstances. The impending assault on the Law of Return is specifically not about preventing people with one Jewish grandparent inContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur “
Deterring Iran is Imperative
The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”
Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections
The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”
Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack
The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”
The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure
The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”
The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse
“Syria warns Israel and its sponsors once again of the dangers of these aggressive policies, which push the region towards total escalation and a new phase of insecurity and instability,” ‘Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs At the height of the Syrian Civil War did the last Baathist regime make a devil’s bargain with the mullahsContinue reading “The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse”
This Government is a Threat Against Democracy
It has become increasingly clear in recent years that Benjamin Netanyahu who was originally a bona fide defender of liberal democracy has become part of the international trend of elected politicians and political parties who abuse their elected positions to undermine democracy. I write this with some reluctance because Benjamin Netanyahu is a person whomContinue reading “This Government is a Threat Against Democracy”
Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon
“When necessary – we will push them out of Syria to where they belong – and that is Iran.” Yoav Gallant, Israeli minister of defense Iran as usual is strategically arrogant but tactically cautious. The mullahs believe that Iran and its allies are capable of destroying the Jewish state. Previously was it believed that IsraelContinue reading “Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon”
Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?
The Israeli defense establishment is convinced that Hezbollah is planning to take advantage of Israel’s perceived ”weakness” to attack Israel in Tehran hence believing that Israel will want to limit the conflict rather than widen it. Israel’s defense minister Yoav Gallant has warned that this is not the case, that Iran will face a NorthernContinue reading “Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?”
What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?
The approach of the Israeli Deep State is Zionist pragmatism. This means that Israeli governments of various political colors are used to realize strategic projects conceived by the Israeli Deep State which after all is responsible for Israeli long-term strategic planning. How is it possible, you may ask, that the Israeli Deep State was behindContinue reading “What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?”
Is it Legitimate for Biden to Protect Israeli Democracy?
Democracies should be looking out for each other whether the threats are internal or external. There is nothing exceptional about a government in a liberal democracy appointing judges to the supreme court, the problem is that the Israeli government intended to politicize the high court in its own favor. Of course, judicial review is notContinue reading “Is it Legitimate for Biden to Protect Israeli Democracy?”
Israeli Democracy is Currently Dysfunctional
Running a government coalition in a liberal democracy with a parliamentary basis half of which is anti-democratic is no easy feat. The question that should be asked is how liberal democracy can function under such circumstances? The answer of course is that it does not. The Israeli government is trying to rush through a numberContinue reading “Israeli Democracy is Currently Dysfunctional”
Israel’s Deep State
What is Israel’s reputed Deep State? Like any Deep State, it is an intelligence agency. How does it operate? It is able to pull strings, e.g. is there no question that most members of Knesset are assets of the Deep State. The Deep State is neither right nor left and appears to include both religiousContinue reading “Israel’s Deep State”
Netanyahu Should Have No Illusions
The notion that the judicial overhaul could be resurrected in unchanged form in the Knesset summer session in May and used as a gun towards the head against the opposition is delusional. If the government tries that and negotiates in bad faith they will see the same public scenario all over again with a gunContinue reading “Netanyahu Should Have No Illusions”
This Government is Democratically Suspect
A government half whose parliamentary base is made up of anti-democratic political parties cannot be trusted. This is one reason why I believe Israel’s liberal democracy has come to the end of the line and the country needs a more liberal but less democratic form of government. There are several more reasons for this: Israel’sContinue reading “This Government is Democratically Suspect”
A Constitution is Required
The coming negotiations cannot merely be about achieving a watered-down version of the judicial overhaul. What is required is nothing less than a constitution that defines Israel as a Jewish and Liberal state coupled with selective authoritarianism. Anything short of that is wholly unacceptable. I would strongly recommend dual negotiation tracks, one official faux trackContinue reading “A Constitution is Required”
The Case for a Military Coup in Israel
Israeli liberal democracy won’t survive due to exponential Haredi demographic growth and so the only question is when to change system of government? It is true that the proportion of Haredim in the population will temporarily become smaller due Median Jewish mass Aliyah in the coming decades, but there will nevertheless be a Haredi populationContinue reading “The Case for a Military Coup in Israel”
Look Who is Talking
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warns of the danger of order refusal. This is quite rich coming the day after he violated the orders of the Attorney General and the Supreme Court and involved himself with the judicial overhaul. If even Bibi does not follow orders, why should any one else in Israel feel compelled toContinue reading “Look Who is Talking”
Misinterpreting Smotrich
The State Department out of sheer ignorance misinterprets Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and misses the distinctive nuances of Israeli discourse. What Smotrich meant by saying that there is no Palestinian culture is that there is no specifically Palestinian Arab culture distinctive from other Levantine Arab cultures such as Jordanian and Syrian culture. When sayingContinue reading “Misinterpreting Smotrich”
Et tu, Yariv
Israel’s minister of justice Yariv Levin now claims that the government is no longer obliged to obey the Supreme Court. If so, why should the IDF any longer be obliged to obey the government? Israeli liberal democracy has long been teetering towards the abyss by courting the very enemies of open society who seek toContinue reading “Et tu, Yariv”
A Jewish and Liberal State
Median Jewish mass Aliyah in the tens of millions will only delay with a few decades the point where Haredim become a majority in the State of Israel. This means that Israel requires a new political system for the long term, one based on juristocracy and where religious political parties are banned under a liberalContinue reading “A Jewish and Liberal State”
The Northern War is a War of No Choice
The neutralization of the Iranian nuclear weapons program is most clearly a war of no choice because the completion of the nuclear weapons program would pose an existential threat against the State of Israel. This is clear, but is the ensuing Northern War also a war of no choice? The answer to that question isContinue reading “The Northern War is a War of No Choice”
Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other
The Israeli government is wrong in rejecting the European Union expressing concerns regarding the judicial overhaul considering that it has problematic aspects that need to fixed, preferably through a consensual comprise. The intention of Brussels is pure, they care about Israeli liberal democracy and any patriotic Israeli or friend of Israel certainly ought to welcomeContinue reading “Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other”
Chicken or Egg in Arabia
The US government should consider brokering a semi-secret MENA defense alliance. It would be known to all but it would allow Arab governments plausible deniability for some more time. It has generally been presumed that peace agreements with Israel (particularly between Riyadh and Jerusalem) are a prerequisite for a MENA defense alliance but perhaps itContinue reading “Chicken or Egg in Arabia”
Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States
There is no way around seeing the United States the way the Islamic Republic of Iran sees the United States of America, namely as the global Jewish conspiracy incarnate to destroy Islam. This comes with a mixture of modern conspiratorial Anti-Semitism and classical Muslim Anti-Semitism replete with certain stereotypes which are less frequently attributed toContinue reading “Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States”
Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America”
The Biden administration needs to formulate a strategy of strength vis-a-vis Iran. Why is that so? Because of Iran’s intention to implement ”Death of America”, namely Iran’s plan to attack major American cities with biological weapons during the Russo-Iranian WWIII against Europe and the MENA region. What can the US do? Perception of strength isContinue reading “Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America””
When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?
“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”
Aliyah Organization 