The international community has already exposed its colors on Israel. When Israel takes risks in the interest of peace and it predictably fails then most of the international community automatically blames Israel and condemns every action it takes to defend itself. So why should Israel ”take risks for peace” when this only leads to aggressiveContinue reading “Learning from Israel’s Experience”
Category Archives: Israel
Beware of Bad Advice from the Infallible Choir
What can be said most succinctly about the demands on Israel throughout the decades by the international community? First, the international community claims to know what is best for Israel and the Palestinians. There is no foundation for this claim which is based on pseudo-science, also known as peace and conflict studies which assume thatContinue reading “Beware of Bad Advice from the Infallible Choir”
Saudi Regional Policy Needs to Return to Clarity
MBS originally had a clear Mideast policy, opposition to Islamists everywhere domestically and internationally based on the correct insight that all Islamist entities and organizations have interests that are diametrically opposed to those of the Kingdom under MBS. There was clarity in policy, oppose Islamism everywhere and align with the adversaries of Islamism everywhere. ThenContinue reading “Saudi Regional Policy Needs to Return to Clarity”
On Kemalism
It is becoming increasingly clear that the AKP regime in Turkey is an emerging existential threat against the Jewish state. It is also clear that the AKP regime plans to take over the full sponsorship of Hamas and Hezbollah when the Khomeinist regime falls. This makes the question of Kemalism once more very relevant. TheContinue reading “On Kemalism”
A Vision of Stability in the Middle East
Israel’s strategic goals for the region will generate peace; great and lasting stability throughout the Middle East and are all intertwined with letting Median Jews immigrate to Israel. Israel’s dilemma is that prematurely officially declaring Median Jews as Jews with full immigration rights to Israel will expose them to potentially severe persecution and even genocideContinue reading “A Vision of Stability in the Middle East”
Why not Consider the Consequences?
Critics in Israel have long questioned the peace industry’s projects such the failed Oslo process, the disastrously failed Disengagement from Gaza and immensely dangerous unconditional Palestinian statehood. They are part of a larger pattern of Palestinian dystopian project. The Palestinians also launched civil wars in both Jordan and Lebanon. Wherever the Palestinian movement creates aContinue reading “Why not Consider the Consequences?”
A Palestinian Peace Movement
The Israeli peace movement is known for its understanding of Palestinian perspectives and selective espousal of Palestinian advocacy in the perceived interest of the Jewish state. A Palestinian peace movement would similarly be known for its understanding of Israeli perspectives and selective espousal of Israeli advocacy in the interest of a future Palestinian state. NoContinue reading “A Palestinian Peace Movement”
The Equation
I have in this diplomatic blog recently suggested a different two-state solution than the conventional one usually implied whereby Israel is reduced to the indefensible Jordanian-Israeli 1949 armistice lines. The latter will never happen for a number of reasons. 1) It is not in the interest of Israel’s survival to be reduced to the AuschwitzContinue reading “The Equation”
MBS’ Failure
Imagine if there had been an established regional defense alliance involving Israel, the countries of the Arabian peninsula and other Arab states threatened by Iran and its proxies in the Middle East before the outbreak of the 2026 Iran war? Any attack on one member state would be construed as an attack on all memberContinue reading “MBS’ Failure”
Deconstructing a Failed European Paradigm
The prevailing European assumption is that Jerusalem decides whether there will be a Palestinian state while Ramallah determines its borders. They have not considered whether the reverse is true, meaning that Palestinians could well have a state if they de-radicalized (the vast majority of Israelis would support it and it is thus an exclusively PalestinianContinue reading “Deconstructing a Failed European Paradigm”
MBS needs to Draw Conclusions
Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman Al Saud needs to draw conclusions from KSA’s current predicament. The Mecca Pact is a joke with no substance whatsoever and MBS should have understood this before signing this nonsense. Before the October 7, 2023 massacre MBS was laser-focused on normalization with Israel and then it became too domestically controversial.Continue reading “MBS needs to Draw Conclusions”
Whither a Palestinian State?
Will a Palestinian state 1) ever come into being and 2) what will be its borders? 1) The first question depends entirely and exclusively on Palestinians. Currently, if hypothetically speaking a Palestinian state came into existence it would be an Iranian terrorist proxy run by Hamas for the simple reason that about half of allContinue reading “Whither a Palestinian State?”
Regime Change through Intelligence Warfare
Israel has considerable intelligence capacities inside Iran, including oppositional structures supporting regime change in Iran. The US also has significant intelligence power inside Iran but probably less focused on a popular revolution since all US presidents since 1979 have officially opposed regime change in Iran. Israeli regime change structures inside Iran are therefore more entrenchedContinue reading “Regime Change through Intelligence Warfare”
The US Must Contain Turkey
Turkey poses a very real military threat against Israel and Israel will obviously defend itself and its red lines in the air, on land and at sea. Washington needs to do its utmost to prevent Turkey from threatening Israel and it must do so out of sheer self-interest. It is not consistent with American interestsContinue reading “The US Must Contain Turkey”
The Israel First Agenda
President Trump is a great friend of Israel, yet he has developed a disturbing habit of making concessions on behalf of Israel without Israel’s consent as if Israel was a banana republic. The first time was when he promised a group of Muslim heads of states that Israel would not apply sovereignty to areas ofContinue reading “The Israel First Agenda”
Complete the Mission
America and Israel, united together, must complete the mission in Iran not only by blowing up bridges and power plants, but by destroying Iran’s entire energy extraction, production, delivery and refinement infrastructure. The oil wells and the gas fields must be blown up and thus decimating Iran economically and preventing them from ever challenging American-IsraeliContinue reading “Complete the Mission”
The Real Equation
Only people who are extremely naive or extremely ignorant could sincerely believe that it is possible to reach an agreement with Iran whereby it agrees to end its nuclear weapons program. It is peculiar that Vice President Vance accuses Israel of wanting perpetual war with Iran. It is Iran that seeks perpetual war in theContinue reading “The Real Equation”
An Israeli Constitution
The Israeli Deep State within the Shin Bet would be particularly well-advised to work for a constitution of the State of Israel.
The Original Sin of the Iran Conflict
The war on Iran was originally intended to facilitate a revolution in Iran. This is well documented in the Trump speech on the eve of the war. Once this goal was abandoned everything turned apart and the war turned into a major error from both America and Israel’s perspective. The war was originally both morallyContinue reading “The Original Sin of the Iran Conflict”
A Red Line has been Crossed
US President Donald J. Trump has made concessions on behalf of Israel in negotiations with Iran without being authorized to do so by Jerusalem. This is dangerous in and of itself. Yes, halting Israel’s campaign against Hezbollah harms Israel’s security but the very notion that the US can make Israeli concessions without Israel’s permission isContinue reading “A Red Line has been Crossed”
What went Wrong
President Trump’s initial motivation for this war was to support a revolution in Iran. Later other motives were added. The initial joint American-Israeli war plan was based upon the war ending in a revolution. At some point, President Trump changed his mind and decided that he wanted a negotiated settlement with the devilish regime. TheContinue reading “What went Wrong”
The Emperor has no Clothes
Let’s state the facts. President Trump is not going to bomb Iran again because he sees no gain in that. President Trump is not going to uphold the sea blockade on Iran indefinitely because the world can not economically withstand the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran can wait longer than President Trump.Continue reading “The Emperor has no Clothes”
America must not Appease Terrorism
The US administration has decided on a framework that allows Hezbollah to freely attack Israel and Israeli forces while significantly restraining the Israeli response. This is untenable as Israeli soldiers are killed daily because Israel is restrained from acting appropriately against the terrorist organization. Since Hezbollah does not respect the ceasefire then why should IsraelContinue reading “America must not Appease Terrorism”
How to Disarm Hezbollah
Neither the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), nor the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is practically speaking able to disarm the major terrorist organization Hezbollah. However they could do it together. In fact it is the only way forward.
Iran’s Game
When Iran asked to negotiate with the US they did so with the understanding that US president Donald J. Trump is fundamentally capricious and rapidly changes his stance over time. The Iranian regime was extremely frightened by the US threat to take out Iran’s bridges and power plants which it rightly saw as an existentialContinue reading “Iran’s Game”
No Turkish-Israeli War
The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus in Turkey would be particularly well-advised to ensure that Turkey under no circumstances militarily attacks Israel or territories controlled by Israel.
Don’t Abandon America’s Strategic Interest
Heroic War President Donald J. Trump wisely embarked on the joint American-Israeli campaign against the evil regime of the wicked Ayatollahs. However, to abort the mission early due rising oil prices would be to unwisely prioritize tactics over strategy, it would also be a win for the Mullah strategy of holding world energy markets hostage.Continue reading “Don’t Abandon America’s Strategic Interest”
A Strategic Move
What are the projected borders of Greater China? Chinese strategists seek to conquer and colonize with Han people all major thinly populated regions around the world. China of course seeks to annex the entire Russia which is thinly populated. But beyond that it seeks to reach the North Sea, the Mediterranean and the Indian Ocean.Continue reading “A Strategic Move”
Stopping War between Turkey and Israel
The Bektashi-Sabbatean Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus in Turkey would be particularly well-advised to literally take ALL NECESSARY MEASURES to prevent war between Turkey and Israel and protect Median Jews (including particularly Bektashi Sabbateans) in Turkey and beyond in the region.
After Iran
The region is already counting out the Iranian regime. The prediction is that the fall of the regime is inevitable and only a matter of time. What we see now is a new regional alignment involving Middle Eastern Arab states plus Turkey and nuclear Pakistan. The target is Israel, the assumption is that the MiddleContinue reading “After Iran”
Understanding MBS
There has been much speculation regarding Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman’s pivot away from Israel. Does he still favor normalization with Israel or does he not? The most important thing to understand about MBS at present is his domestic weakness. This is why the volume of Jew hatred has been turned up rather thanContinue reading “Understanding MBS”
Derin Devlet Should Stop Turkey from Joining Alliance with KSA and Pakistan
Extending the Saudi-Pakistani defense pact to Turkey would constitute an existential threat against Israel and the Bektashi-Sabbatean controlled Derin Devlet deep state intelligence apparatus in Turkey is therefore particularly well-advised to prevent Ankara from joining the alliance with Riyadh and Islamabad.
Turkey must let Median Jews Emigrate to Israel
Israel has no interest in subverting the political system in Turkey. Israel also has no illusions about the Islamist leadership in Turkey and their existential hostility towards Israel. However, if Ankara does not allow Median Jews to emigrate to Israel, then Israel and its ally, the Sabbatean-Bektashi controlled Derin Devlet deep state intelligence apparatus haveContinue reading “Turkey must let Median Jews Emigrate to Israel”
It’s Realpolitik Stupid
Diplomacy is exoteric/esoteric. Exoterically diplomacy is typically moralizing and speaking in terms of ”universal values”, i.e. notions derived from Christianity and through Christian imperialism. On the esoteric level it is all about national interests which are more value-neutral and non-moralizing. While it can be argued that certain values such as liberal democracy, secularism and evenContinue reading “It’s Realpolitik Stupid”
Islamists Cannot be Trusted
Just as there are no good Nazis, there are no good Islamists. It is true that there are Islamists who use the language of superficial moderation but so were there Nazis who did. Is America right to engage with the Shara’a regime in Syria based on Realpolitik? Yes no doubt, but always be aware thatContinue reading “Islamists Cannot be Trusted”
Pivot to Asia
USA President Donald J. Trump is certainly right to put Khamenei on notice that killing protesters will lead to American intervention. In order to create a new deradicalized Middle East the Mullah monster has to be removed once and for all. Successive American presidents have sought a pivot to Asia but persisted in underestimating theContinue reading “Pivot to Asia”
Peace in Lebanon
The current Lebanese government is actively interested in peace with Israel and that is certainly a good thing. However as the Syrian Salafi regime has experienced, peace nowadays will be on Israel’s terms. In order to make peace with Israel – Damascus and Beirut will need to embrace federalism which proved very helpful in promotingContinue reading “Peace in Lebanon”
Trump’s Promise to Muslim Nations is Contingent upon Full Mutual Implementation of the US Peace Plan for Gaza
USA President Donald J. Trump made a promise to leaders of some Muslim nations in the context of what became the 20 point plan for peace in Gaza. President Trump should now emphasize to those leaders that his promise to prevent Israeli application of sovereignty in Judea and Samaria is entirely contingent upon Hamas implementingContinue reading “Trump’s Promise to Muslim Nations is Contingent upon Full Mutual Implementation of the US Peace Plan for Gaza”
Whither Palestinian Interests?
What are Palestinian interests, how are they defined by Palestinian leaders and are Palestinian leaders dangerous demagogues and grifters who are repeating tragic Palestinian history and leading their people down the road of doom, tragedy and exile? How do Palestinian political movements uniformly define Palestinian interests and are there any divergences between them? All PalestinianContinue reading “Whither Palestinian Interests?”
America’s Future is at Stake
All great nations e.g. Spain (post-1492) and Germany (post-1933) that have embraced Jew hatred have faced degeneration and decline. Why are pro-Jewish nations blessed and anti-Jewish nations cursed? The answer is simple. Nations that embrace irrational larger explanations such as scapegoating the Jews will inevitably suffer. The Soviet Union was not only Anti-Jewish, it embracedContinue reading “America’s Future is at Stake”
Zionism Vindicated
Jew hatred has once more become legitimized throughout the Western world. There are three consecutive historical and contemporary phases of Jew hatred; Anti-Judaism (Pagan, Christian and Muslim) hates Jews on the basis of religion, Anti-Semitism (in the narrow sense of the term) hates Jews on the basis of race and Anti-Zionism hates Jews on theContinue reading “Zionism Vindicated”
Why Hamas withholds Ran Gvili’s Body
Hamas does not want to disarm and thus seeks to prevent the next phase in the peace process by not releasing deceased hostage Ran Gvili’s body. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz today announced that Israel will establish indigenous Israeli communities in Gaza. This is what will happen unless Hamas disarms and releases Gvili’s body. ThereContinue reading “Why Hamas withholds Ran Gvili’s Body”
The Problem of War Reporting
Why is war reporting so slanted, populistic and far removed from truth? Other journalists such as those reviewing movies, literature and music are trained specialists in their fields while war reporters in most cases certainly are not. This is terrible where war reporters do not view themselves as such but rather as ”humanitarian activists”, i.e.Continue reading “The Problem of War Reporting”
Ensuring Stability in the Middle East
USA President Donald J. Trump is rightfully committed to diplomatic resolution of hot conflicts around the world, but US diplomacy also needs to become visionary and preemptive in the sense as preventing future wars around the world from breaking out at all. One such risk of war breaking out in the future is between IsraelContinue reading “Ensuring Stability in the Middle East”
The Path to Palestinian Statehood
Under the current circumstances a so-called two-state solution is not possible. Delineating the path towards Palestinian statehood is however possible already at present. It is not true that a Palestinian state is the only solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. An Israeli-Jordanian solution is in principle possible and Jordan wants it although it will not publiclyContinue reading “The Path to Palestinian Statehood”
Stability in Syria
USA President Donald J. Trump is a strong leader who rightly prioritizes stability in Syria. However, without minority rights there will be neither stability nor peaceful coexistence. Israel’s alliance with the regional majorities, ”minority” communities of Syria is as ironclad as the US alliance with Israel. The Druze and the Kurds de facto already ruleContinue reading “Stability in Syria”
The Iranian Conundrum
Iran politically resembles a Swiss cheese full of Mossad agents in its cavities both inside the regime and among the opposition. It is no exaggeration to point out that Israel is capable of unleashing a multi-generational popular revolution in Iran. Air strikes against the regime’s political and security infrastructures would undoubtedly trigger a nationwide revolution.Continue reading “The Iranian Conundrum “
The Pathway to Peace
The Twenty Point Peace Plan put Champion of Peace, USA President Donald J. Trump firmly behind Israel’s position of Strategic Victory in Gaza and it worked. The US-Israel special relationship is stronger than ever and crucially more effective than ever before. Although pundits in the media falsely and consistently claim that President Trump’s plan isContinue reading “The Pathway to Peace”
Anti-Zionism is Incompatible with a Two-State Solution
The term antisemitism has two valid meanings. The history of Jew-hatred exhibits three historical stages: 1) The first is Anti-Judaism which targeted Jews because of their religion and so Jews who fully opted out of Judaism also became exempt from Anti-Judaism. 2) The second is antisemitism in the narrow sense which targeted Jews because ofContinue reading “Anti-Zionism is Incompatible with a Two-State Solution”
After the Twenty Point Plan
How will the Hamas thug leaders react to the international peace plan as drawn up by the Trump administration? Hamas will either reject the plan altogether or demand revisions requiring Israeli capitulation as opposed to Hamas’ complete capitulation as required by the international peace plan as supported by Arab and Muslim nations. Even Fatah (surprise,Continue reading “After the Twenty Point Plan”
