On the Danger of Nuclear War

Russian propaganda would want us to believe that Moscow will resort to nuclear weapons if Russia is defeated and expelled from Ukraine. Of course, as usual Russia disseminates disinformation. The opposite is true. If Russia is defeated in Ukraine and the Russian war machine crushed will Moscow effectively have no choice but to join theContinue reading “On the Danger of Nuclear War”

Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact

What conclusions should Arab governments draw from the new apparent Molotov-Ribbentrop pact between Russia and Iran whereby Moscow conquers Europe and Tehran simultaneously conquers the Arab world in a WWIII possibly half a decade from now? Tehran counts on Arab disunity and on an Arab domino effect whereby Iran can pick off one major ArabContinue reading “Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact”

Does Derin Devlet Have a Relationship with Tevel?

The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus is highly secretive and most likely does not maintain many diplomatic relationships with the outside world, if any indeed. The question still lingers however, does the Derin Devlet maintain a diplomatic relationship with Israel through Tevel, the Political Action and Liaison Department of the Mossad? ThisContinue reading “Does Derin Devlet Have a Relationship with Tevel?”

Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria

Israel’s counter-terrorism operations in Samaria have been described by UN officials as a perceived need for stopping an ostensible “cycle of violence”. US officials on their side make the case for what is described as “de-escalation”. The problem rather is the existence of Palestinian terrorism which must be preempted by Israel. If there are noContinue reading “Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria”

Israel’s Ukrainian Conundrum

What are the reasons for Israel refraining from selling lethal weapons to Ukraine despite it clearly being in the interest of Israel that Russia is defeated and thus WWIII is avoided and China is contained? Because that much is at stake in the Ukraine war.  In contrast to this fear-based policy in which Israeli weaponsContinue reading “Israel’s Ukrainian Conundrum”

The Neutrality Illusion

Kuwait, Oman and Qatar maintain policies of neutrality while benefiting from covert defense cooperation with Israel. However, they should have no illusions regarding Iran’s intention to conquer them as well. In fact, it will be pivotal for those three nations to join a MENA defense alliance. Staying neutral would be delusional.

Algeria Must Prioritize its own National Interests

Algeria is currently bent on not joining the normalization bandwagon. However, the apparent existence of a Russo-Iranian new Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Moscow gets the entire Europe and Tehran gets the entire Arab world should make Algiers rethink its entire approach. Iran is absolutely intent on conquering all Arab countries, including Algeria; and Israel as theContinue reading “Algeria Must Prioritize its own National Interests”

Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect

Arab governments are for the most part profoundly suspicious of each other yet nowadays quite trusting of Israel in many respects. This is the crux of forming a Middle Eastern defense alliance. Arab governments don’t mind secretly aligning with Israel but balk at aligning with each other. The problem in military terms is that IranContinue reading “Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect”

The Swedish Government’s Sycophancy isn’t Appreciated in Ankara

The Swedish government’s fawning for President Erdogan obviously isn’t appreciated in Ankara and the Swedes appear clueless as to why. The reality is that Turkey is part of the Middle East and in the Middle East showing weakness and obsequiousness simply is not appreciated, only strength is. If Sweden had wanted to impress Ankara theyContinue reading “The Swedish Government’s Sycophancy isn’t Appreciated in Ankara”

Aliyah Above All

Liberal democracy is not possible in a country where at best a very narrow majority wants it and where the rest vote with Islamist parties. That is the current reality in Turkey which has had free and fair elections since the 1950s, yet has never elected a pro-democratic majority. Considering that Aliyah from Turkey willContinue reading “Aliyah Above All”

Who is Best for Aliyah?

Last year in a post on this blog did I endorse Kemal Kilicdaroglu as the opposition candidate for president of Turkey in the 2023 presidential elections. Let me now provide a more nuanced position. I support the candidate that is best for Aliyah, that is my position. Before writing that blog post I was unawareContinue reading “Who is Best for Aliyah?”

Iran is Determined to Destroy America

According to Iran’s regime ideology is America, Tehran’s main enemy. The reason this is so as for all Islamist ideologists is that the American superpower is considered identical with the purported global Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. The Obama and Biden administrations have pursued a strategy of appeasing Iran and hoping to eventually align withContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Destroy America”

Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?

Iran regards the sole threat to its territory as coming from the Persian Gulf; i.e. from a US-led naval invasion of Iran and is actively training to counter this perceived threat. However, on the face of it, this seems utterly implausible in the extreme. Why would the United States want to get entangled in yetContinue reading “Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?”

More Than Meets the Eye

Russia plans to deliver a new air force to Iran and Iran is delivering kamikaze drones to Russia. That is what is known about the extent of the military relationship between Iran and Russia which has obviously reached a strategic level. Both nations are militarily adventurous and plan big conquests which they however at thisContinue reading “More Than Meets the Eye”

Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations

Successive Israeli governments have since 1967 presumed that it is not in Israel’s interest to restore Jewish rights on the Temple Mount. The issue has consistently been regarded as one of religion, nostalgia, sentimentalism and even messianism. The view consistently taken has been that the Israeli national interest requires maintaining the status quo. However, theContinue reading “Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations”

The Battle Lines Have Been Drawn

It has become clear that behind the mutual arming between Iran and Russia is a new Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. Russia gets the entire Europe and Iran gets the entire Arab world, including Israel. Putin’s decision of course is not motivated by hostility against Israel, it is simply realpolitik. It makes sense to tie up American forcesContinue reading “The Battle Lines Have Been Drawn”

Israel Could Groom Middle Eastern Tigers

Japan played a vital role in spreading economic development to Asia. Economic development spread from Japan to the so-called Asian Tigers (South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore) and later to the rest of Asia. The Israeli economy is so dynamic that we could see a comparable although not identical pattern of dynamically spreading economicContinue reading “Israel Could Groom Middle Eastern Tigers”

Israel Should Incorporate Parts of Judea and Samaria

The new Israeli government is committed – under the right conditions – to incorporate parts of Judea and Samaria into Israel proper. This most likely means that the Netanyahu government will wait and see if a Republican president is elected in the United States in November 2024 before deciding on applying Israeli sovereignty to partsContinue reading “Israel Should Incorporate Parts of Judea and Samaria”

Understanding the Palestinians

What is the story of the Palestinians? At the end of the 19th century the Holy Land was thinly populated with a population of no more than 600 000. The Palestinian nationalist movement together with their Arab allies in the region effectively forced the British to all but shut the gates to Jewish immigration toContinue reading “Understanding the Palestinians”

Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective

Why the diplomatic uproar about Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s visit to the Temple Mount? From the Arab perspective, Ben-Gvir’s visit is just the first step towards building the Third Temple and so the Arab nations are desperately trying to stop his visits. However, they do believe that the building of the Third TempleContinue reading “Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective”

There is no Danger of Religious War

The notion that events on the Temple Mount, specifically, unexpected body movements by Jews there and more broadly hypothetical Israeli reassertion of Jewish rights on the Mount would trigger a religious war is completely baseless. This old scarecrow is complete and utter nonsense. Could anyone please describe a real and detailed  realistic scenario? No oneContinue reading “There is no Danger of Religious War”

No More Racism Please

Are Muslims really wild animals who go on killing sprees murdering “infidels” for no reason at all? That seems to be the view of the so-called “international community” which believes that the apocalypse will commence if an Israeli cabinet minister visits the Temple Mount, the holiest place in Judaism. They should be reminded that theContinue reading “No More Racism Please”

It’s About the Jews Stupid!

Turkey occupies parts of northern Syria including what was the predominantly Kurdish Afrin (Kurdish: Efrin) region. The Kurdish population was largely expelled and much of their olive trees have been cut down. Turkey as the aggressor and occupying power operates a settlement program funded by Gulf states to Arabize the region and settle it withContinue reading “It’s About the Jews Stupid!”

What is a Genocidal Nation?

Germany during the Nazi period was once a genocidal nation and what is known as the Palestinian people (which is a historically recent colonial construction) have developed into something far worse. I am not arguing that the Palestinians are committing a Second Holocaust but rather that they intensely desire and intend to perpetrate one. NeverContinue reading “What is a Genocidal Nation?”

How to Respond to the International Hysteria

What is the proper way to respond to the international hysteria following upon National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s peaceful visit to the Temple Mount? Minister Ben-Gvir would be particularly well-advised to visit the Mount with increased frequency until the international community internalizes that nothing and nobody will prevent Jews from ascending to the holiest siteContinue reading “How to Respond to the International Hysteria”

Not for Sentimental or Religious Reasons

Israeli state strategists have treated the issue of the Temple Mount as a mere sentimental and religious one. This has also been the line promoted by national-religious advocates of reappropriation of Jewish heritage and Jewish rights on the Mount. For Palestinian strategists in contrast is this a matter of immense strategic importance. For Palestinian strategistsContinue reading “Not for Sentimental or Religious Reasons”

What is the Most Shocking?

Israeli state strategists are no doubt mostly male, Ashkenazi and secular. For them the Temple Mount is mere real estate like any other real estate in Jerusalem. They have overlooked the strategic-symbolic value of a permanent Jewish presence on the Temple Mount in terms of persuading the Islamic world that Israel is here to stay.Continue reading “What is the Most Shocking?”

It’s Deterrence Stupid!

No Israeli government ever had any intention to change the status quo on the Temple Mount. But since no one but Israel cares about the status quo and everyone else is promoting exclusivist Muslim rights is there no reason why Israel should care about the status quo either. What is the incitement about “al-Aqsa isContinue reading “It’s Deterrence Stupid!”

Honor is About Self-Respect

Honor is extremely important in the cultures of the broader Middle East. What is honor? It is about self-respect and so genuine peacemaking in the region therefore takes place between mutually honorable parties. The honorable is strong and self-respecting. This is the basis of the Abraham Accords. This was never the case with the coldContinue reading “Honor is About Self-Respect”

Listen to the Hypocrites

Israel is frequently admonished by Arab governments to maintain the historical status quo at the Temple Mount which for centuries has included visits by non-Muslims, including Jews. Yet now visits by Jews are completely falsely described as “desecration”, “provocation”, “Jewish filthy feet” and “storming of the al-Aqsa mosque”. Which way do they want it? DoContinue reading “Listen to the Hypocrites”

Defending the Status Quo

There is no reason whatsoever why new Israeli police minister Itamar Ben-Gvir should not visit the Temple Mount. Will such a visit cause bloodshed? Palestinian terrorists do not need an excuse to cause bloodshed and so no peaceful act of visiting the most sacred site in Judaism can be the cause of bloodshed. It isContinue reading “Defending the Status Quo”

A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has made three demands from the US for making peace with Israel. Those are 1) a KSA-USA defense treaty, 2) NATO-level deliveries of weaponry and 3) what appears to be a demand to purchase the new small highly cost-effective nuclear power plants that are currently being developed inContinue reading “A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance”

The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace

The Biden administration often repeats its commitment to resolving the Palestinian issue through an infamously failed formula which was always dead on arrival due to being founded on outright false premises constituting on the American side simply wishful thinking and refusal to learn from recent Israeli history. What is peculiar is that the Biden administrationContinue reading “The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace”

The International Community Need not Worry About Legalization

This of course is a time when many in the international community are worried about the long overdue legalization of unauthorized outposts constructed on public lands in Area C of Judea and Samaria. These outposts lie between authorized indigenous Israeli communities. These are areas which were always intended to become part of sovereign Israel. OfContinue reading “The International Community Need not Worry About Legalization”

Free Kurdistan Should Prepare for Independence

The recent visit by PUK leader Bafel Talabani to AANES is certainly a most welcome and encouraging development. There should have been intra-Kurdish reconciliation between the different political parties of Kurdistan a long time ago but better late than never. The ongoing historical revolutionary processes in Iran means that there is quite realistically potentially anContinue reading “Free Kurdistan Should Prepare for Independence”

US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests

President Barack Obama’s Middle Eastern strategy of handing over the Muslim world to the Islamists as a means to defuse US-Muslim tensions and ostensibly facilitate so-called “Islamic democracy” which of course the peoples of Iran do enjoy so much (!) has fortunately not been maintained by the Biden administration despite largely being staffed by TeamContinue reading “US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests”

It is Imperative to Prevent an Invasion

President Erdogan has never given up hopes for a Muslim Brotherhood takeover of Syria. However, this is distinctly not in the interest of Turkey. It is furthermore in the interest of the Sabbatean community and thus also the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to ensure Israeli regional interests considering that the SabbateansContinue reading “It is Imperative to Prevent an Invasion”

The Myth of Israeli Cultural Food Appropriation

Anti-Israeli propagandists claim that Israelis have appropriated Palestinian cuisine in claiming it as its own. Is there any truth to those claims? The reality is that there is no uniquely Palestinian cuisine as Palestinians eat the same food as other Middle Easterners including e.g. Iraqi Jews. Israeli culture is mostly a blend of Ashkenazi JewishContinue reading “The Myth of Israeli Cultural Food Appropriation”

On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism

There is a profound strategic problem with respect to how Washington and Jerusalem deal with Tehran. Iran is no less motivated by Mahdism in its neo-imperialist strategy than the Soviet Union was motivated by Marxism-Leninism in its own imperialist strategy. Yet Washington and Jerusalem in their respective public rhetoric do not give any hint ofContinue reading “On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism”

Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?

Intelligence agencies may legally engage in political action in foreign countries as long as they do not break the law. The Israel lobby in the United States is meticulous in not technically acting as foreign agents and thus does not break the law despite acting as the long arm of Tevel, the Political Action andContinue reading “Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?”

Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has had enough, he does not trust the United States in general and President Biden in particular and for good reasons. Three US presidents (Obama, Trump and Biden) have pursued American disengagement from the Middle East. Trump refrained from defending Saudi Arabia when it was attacked by Iran and MBSContinue reading “Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia”

The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy

Islamdom is America’s weak spot. George W. Bush tried to democratize Islamdom only to find out that the majority of the electorate in many Muslim nations votes Islamist, meaning that there are no prospects for democratization in many Muslim nations because the majority of the people wants totalitarianism. Yet, Bush’s democratization campaign resulted in theContinue reading “The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy”

Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby

As the Middle East finds itself on the brink of war the usual suspects in the so-called international community undoubtedly once more line up to pressure the Jewish state. However, Hezbollah has been instructed by Tehran to start a war with Israel for reasons unrelated to Lebanon and so it does not really matter whetherContinue reading “Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby”

Israel Borders Iran

What we are witnessing is truly surreal. It is becoming ever more clear that Lebanon has ceased to exist as an independent nation and is now merely an Iranian protectorate. Iran is currently carrying out two faux negotiation processes with its two archenemies, Israel and the United States, through proxies. The negotiation process with IsraelContinue reading “Israel Borders Iran”

How Iran is Instigating War

Why would Iran want a war in the Levant now? This is an excellent question that requires some elaboration. Iran is moderately convinced that Israel and America are deterred by Iranian weapons of mass destruction and will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. However, Tehran is less certain when it comes toContinue reading “How Iran is Instigating War”

Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy

President Biden is continuing his policy of indefinite nuclear talks with Tehran, refusing to activate Plan B until the very last moment, refusing to impose a no-fly zone in support of the emerging Iranian rebellion while failing or refusing to conclude a defense pact with Saudi Arabia. While visiting Jeddah did Biden claim that itContinue reading “Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy”

The Mediterranean Mirage

Hassan Nasrallah made a televised speech expressing cautious praise for the US proposal for a new border line between the exclusive economic zones of Israel and Lebanon in the Mediterranean sea. However, he notably did not explicitly accept the proposal. It is important to be cognizant that Lebanon or rather “Hezbollahstan” is an Iranian protectorateContinue reading “The Mediterranean Mirage”

The State Department Does not Get It

The State Department has recently made pronouncements on the violence in Samaria, calling on “both sides” to refrain from “provocations” and “return to the peace process”. This is peculiar since the Palestinian Authority is certainly not behind the violence and the parties which are, namely the designated Jihadist terrorist organizations of Hamas and Palestinian IslamicContinue reading “The State Department Does not Get It”

The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy

Washington still clings to the illusion that Tehran is interested in returning to the JCPOA and would ultimately do so. Jerusalem clings to a similar illusion in believing that it is possible to deter Iran in claiming that if Tehran was presented with a credible military deterrence that would threaten its survival (i.e. a no-flyContinue reading “The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy”

Iran Plans Major Conventional War

What is the purpose of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? There is more than one purpose: 1) Iran gains immunity from any future US invasion under any circumstances no matter how maliciously and atrociously Iran acts. 2) Iran can perpetrate acts of biological and chemical terrorism with complete impunity. 3) Iran would have the option ofContinue reading “Iran Plans Major Conventional War”