The State Department Does not Get It

The State Department has recently made pronouncements on the violence in Samaria, calling on “both sides” to refrain from “provocations” and “return to the peace process”. This is peculiar since the Palestinian Authority is certainly not behind the violence and the parties which are, namely the designated Jihadist terrorist organizations of Hamas and Palestinian IslamicContinue reading “The State Department Does not Get It”

The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy

Washington still clings to the illusion that Tehran is interested in returning to the JCPOA and would ultimately do so. Jerusalem clings to a similar illusion in believing that it is possible to deter Iran in claiming that if Tehran was presented with a credible military deterrence that would threaten its survival (i.e. a no-flyContinue reading “The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy”

Iran Plans Major Conventional War

What is the purpose of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? There is more than one purpose: 1) Iran gains immunity from any future US invasion under any circumstances no matter how maliciously and atrociously Iran acts. 2) Iran can perpetrate acts of biological and chemical terrorism with complete impunity. 3) Iran would have the option ofContinue reading “Iran Plans Major Conventional War”

The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail

Much hope has been pinned on the indirect Israeli-Lebanese negotiations about the demarcation of the maritime border line between the two nations as mediated by US diplomat Amos Hochstein. However, what is often conveniently forgotten is that the Lebanese state is now effectively Hezbollahstan, an Iranian protectorate which takes indirect orders from Tehran through theContinue reading “The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail”

The Two-State Solution is Dead on Arrival

Why is the Palestinian Authority trying to promote UN membership for the non-existent “State of Palestine” despite an assured US veto in the UN Security Council? The apparent purpose is to pressure liberal democracies into recognizing Palestinian statehood with the goal of torpedoeing peace.  The PA is quite comfortable with the status quo and itsContinue reading “The Two-State Solution is Dead on Arrival”

What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?

A weekend interview in the Israeli daily Israel Hayom provided an insight into the perspectives of Israeli decision-makers. The interview was with one colonel T; the head of the IDF General Staff Strategy and Third-Circle Directorate. Ostensibly was the interview a sales pitch in order to persuade Israeli elected politicians to engage more in Iran-relatedContinue reading “What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?”

Fool me Once, Twice, Thrice

The international community, including Israel, refuses to learn from being serially deceived by Iran. It was in the interest of Khomeinist Iran to sign a nuclear agreement in 2015 with the P5+1 but what has changed since then are Elon Musk and Tesla with the rapid development of electric vehicles and with that the definitiveContinue reading “Fool me Once, Twice, Thrice”

When the State Department is Picking on Israel

The Arabists at the State Department have a long history of trying to extract concessions from Jerusalem against Israel’s best interests with the intention of extracting ever more concessions in order to harm and undermine the Jewish state. This goes back all the way to when the US tried to force Israel to withdraw fromContinue reading “When the State Department is Picking on Israel”

The US is Pressuring Lapid Because he is Liberal

The State Department has recently embarked on a ruthless campaign of pressure on Israel in seeking Israeli concessions and the only reason obviously is the perception that Prime Minister Yair Lapid as a centrist is “weak” and therefore amenable to diplomatic extortion. Interestingly, the State Department largely refrained from pressuring former prime minister Naftali BennettContinue reading “The US is Pressuring Lapid Because he is Liberal”

Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue

When will Median Jews immigrate to Israel in the tens of millions? This is only a matter of time. What is at stake is whether President Erdogan and the AKP will lose power in Turkey in the June 2023 elections and approximately 20 million Turkish Median Jews will be allowed to leave for Israel. ForContinue reading “Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue”

The US Needs a Regime Change Policy on Iran

The US government lives in an illusion fed by the Iranian regime, namely that Iran somehow has an interest in a nuclear agreement with the P5+1. Contrary to US assessments and due to increasing progress in the development of electric vehicles, something which radically shrinks the window of opportunity for oil-based Mahdist neo-imperialism, Iran hasContinue reading “The US Needs a Regime Change Policy on Iran”

A Colossal Intelligence Failure

The Western intelligence community operates on the assumption that Iran is interested in returning to the JCPOA. Yet, no matter how many times this false belief has been discredited by persistent Iranian rejectionism, the Western intelligence community has clung to this patently false belief. If Iran was motivated primarily by economic imperatives then surely notContinue reading “A Colossal Intelligence Failure”

What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?

Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 but Tehran was not satisfied and so Iran/Hezbollah instructed the Lebanese government to manufacture the Sheba farm (Har Dov) fictitious border claims on lands in the northern Golan heights. Iran/Hezbollah did it again in 2022 when it instructed the Lebanese government to expand Lebanon’s claims for territorialContinue reading “What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?”

What is the Iranian Game?

Usually, the Iranians and their proxies are playing their cards very carefully but more recently have the Iranians been using some unusual cards. The indirect negotiations with the United States have been brought to the brink with the intention likely being to eventually blame Washington for their ultimate failure. Simultaneously, Tehran’s Lebanese proxy Hezbollah threatenedContinue reading “What is the Iranian Game?”

Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?

The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”

Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes

Israel and Iran are both looking forward to establishing a new regional order and neither side fears regional war. Nevertheless, the respective visions of the new regional order look completely different. Both sides envision establishing regional hegemony and removing each other from power. What is the reason for these radically different strategic conceptions? At theContinue reading “Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes”

Hezbollah Suffers From Hubris

Hassan Nasrallah miscalculated in 2006 and he is miscalculating again and threatening war over the Karish gas field. Nasrallah and his Iranian sponsors are projecting their own misconceptions upon Israel and therefore assume that Israel is afraid of war with the Hezbollah-led Iranian axis. It is true that the Axis will be able to inflictContinue reading “Hezbollah Suffers From Hubris”

The US Needs a Deterrence Strategy Against Iran

There is no question that in the long term China poses the greatest strategic challenge to US interests worldwide, but in the short term, Iran is the greatest threat to the American homeland. The threat of Iran attacking America with biological weapons brought to America’s coastlines with Iranian submarines and deployed after America and IsraelContinue reading “The US Needs a Deterrence Strategy Against Iran”

Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel

America’s adversaries, including Iran, fear Republican administrations but certainly not Democratic administrations. Why is this so? Democratic administrations are more concerned about human rights while Republican administrations are more concerned about realpolitik. The real question is therefore whether the Iranian nuclear weapons program will be destroyed under the current Democratic administration or under the nextContinue reading “Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel”

What is Behind the Gaza Blood Libels?

During and after Operation Breaking Dawn in Gaza, the usual blood libels proliferated. Jews are once more accused of murdering (i.e. intentionally killing) children and Israel is accused against all evidence of targeting civilians. Some governments are simply as usual echoing the standard Anti-Semitic propaganda of the Palestinian Authority while others are making independent Anti-SemiticContinue reading “What is Behind the Gaza Blood Libels?”

The PA Will Learn Neither From the Past nor From the Future

There was once upon a time when the fate of ten Assyrian-deported tribes of the northern Kingdom of Israel was unknown, but no longer so, the entire international community is keenly aware of the whereabouts of the tens of millions of their endogamous descendants although this is not yet known to the general public. WhatContinue reading “The PA Will Learn Neither From the Past nor From the Future”

The Khomeinists are Drunk on Mahdism

International Iran experts are consistently behind the curve in missing how Iran’s current rulers are influenced by Mahdism. What is behind the most recent threats by Hassan Nasrallah against Israel concerning the gas rigs in Israel’s exclusive economic zone? Nasrallah, like other leading Khomeinists, genuinely and strongly believe that the Hezbollah-led Iranian axis has theContinue reading “The Khomeinists are Drunk on Mahdism”

Iran has a Timeline

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah has given a television interview in giving us some insight into how the Khomeinist elite currently conceive of messianic time. Khomeinism of course is unique in that it is the only form of Islamism that is apocalyptic. Nasrallah referred to some news reports from the US and Israeli media as indicationsContinue reading “Iran has a Timeline”

Genocide Begins with Words

Genocides are discursive phenomena in the sense that they begin with words and end in bloodshed. The war on Israel has always been about exterminating the Jews although that goal is usually not explicitly spelled out. How is that so? There is a consensus in Palestinian society that the Jews will have to be completelyContinue reading “Genocide Begins with Words”

Israel has Leverage

Russia is now demanding the closure of the Jewish Agency in Russia, apparently as retaliation for Israel’s neutrality on the Ukraine conflict. However, there is something that Ukraine long has obviously been seeking help with from Israel and that is American Jewish organizations lobbying the US government on behalf of Kyiv. While there is noContinue reading “Israel has Leverage”

Israel is the Core of the New Regional Alignment

As expected, there was no official statement by the participating statesmen in Jeddah. Some observers claimed that this proved that Biden’s visit was a failure but Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid pointed out that many things had been achieved with Biden’s visit that it will take years until it will become possible to talk publiclyContinue reading “Israel is the Core of the New Regional Alignment”

Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program

There was a disagreement during the meeting in Israel between President Biden and Prime Minister Lapid on the question of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Prime Minister Lapid insisted that only deterrence would persuade Iran to sign a nuclear agreement while President Biden insisted that diplomacy was still the best way forward. Both are wrong sinceContinue reading “Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program”

A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years

There is not much disagreement between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party on Russia and China and there won’t be on Iran once the negotiation track is definitely declared dead. What is needed is a threepronged bipartisan global strategy for the next 50 years. Russia, China and Iran each require a unique strategy ofContinue reading “A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years”

Can Iran’s Apocalyptic Scheme be Thwarted?

If Iran did not believe that Iranian territorial control over the Twelver eschatological region was essential for the success of the planned Khomeinist man-made apocalypse as intended to prompt the reappearance of the Hidden Imam in Mecca, then surely Iran would not be so geostrategically obsessed with taking control over this region where the threeContinue reading “Can Iran’s Apocalyptic Scheme be Thwarted?”

Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States

Iran is bent on taking control over the Twelver eschatological region which includes the cities of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus where the Islamic messianic figures of the Mahdi (identified by Twelvers with the Hidden Imam), the Dajjal (the Deceitful Messiah) and Jesus are slated to appear at the conclusion of Islamic history. Control over thisContinue reading “Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States”

The Saudis are No Suckers

The US-Saudi relationship was always based on oil in return for security. There were those Americans who lately mistakenly presumed that the United States no longer needed Saudi Arabia. This is wrong. The US will need the KSA as a staging ground for any military action against Iran after Tehran lashes out against the outsideContinue reading “The Saudis are No Suckers”

The Iranians Know What They Want

After the failed talks in Doha about returning to the JCPOA are American diplomats bitterly complaining that the Iranians are seemingly unable to decide whether to resume or bury the JCPOA. This is a complete and utter misunderstanding of the Iranian position which is to have their cake and eat it too. Iran wants continuedContinue reading “The Iranians Know What They Want”

The Case for a Grand Strategic Bargain Between the KSA and the USA

Everyone wants something in diplomacy and the way to get it is usually through rapprochement and emphasis on common interests. MBS is an unconventional leader with a special mind; as an autistic person I can appreciate that he thinks differently than most other players in the international community and is clearly resented and perhaps evenContinue reading “The Case for a Grand Strategic Bargain Between the KSA and the USA”

A US-Saudi Defense Pact is a No-Brainer

Imagine if Iran were to invade Saudi Arabia which is not a farfetched scenario at all, in fact this is precisely what Tehran plans to do, what would the United States do? Iranian control over GCC oil wells would overnight transform Tehran into a superpower with the ability to extort US allies around the worldContinue reading “A US-Saudi Defense Pact is a No-Brainer”

The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East

Why are Finland and Sweden suddenly applying for membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? They understand the simple truth that the Russian invasion of Ukraine would never have occurred had Ukraine already been a member of NATO. NATO is not primarily an organization for waging war but above all an organization for preventing warContinue reading “The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East”

US-Saudi Defense Pact Will Enable US to Disengage from the Middle East

The US must make more demands from its allies around the world. They must invest far more in defense and engage more in collective security. In the case of the European Union they must build their own unified military capability to wean themselves off dependence on America. While the US needs to commit to defendContinue reading “US-Saudi Defense Pact Will Enable US to Disengage from the Middle East”

A US-Saudi Defense Pact Would Checkmate Iran

Iranian geostrategy is focused like a laser beam on taking over the Twelver eschatological region with its immense oil resources, control over which would instantly transform Iran into a superpower able to extort America’s allies around the world. Islam has three messianic figures. These are 1) the Mahdi (identified by Twelvers with the Hidden Imam)Continue reading “A US-Saudi Defense Pact Would Checkmate Iran”

Rethinking the American-Saudi-Israeli Triangular Relationship

In a 2021 visit to Saudi Arabia by US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman al-Saud offered to fully normalize relations with Israel in return for advanced American weapons sales and a US-Saudi defense pact whereby the US would promise to defend the KSA in the event Saudi Arabia was invadedContinue reading “Rethinking the American-Saudi-Israeli Triangular Relationship”

Time for American-Saudi-Israeli Strategic Dialogue

Washington is fully coordinated with Jerusalem in its preparations of military options against Tehran. However, peculiar enough Riyadh has been kept outside the loop. This is very concerning considering that coordinating with the KSA is vital in preparation for air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, imposing a no-fly zone over Iran and preparingContinue reading “Time for American-Saudi-Israeli Strategic Dialogue”

The New Heartland

Islamists all strive for world hegemony through political control over Islamdom. While it is true that Islamists hold significant power in Pakistan and Turkey, they are not in full control over those nations, neither of which is a theocracy. Iran is a different matter though as Tehran is a great power under full Islamist controlContinue reading “The New Heartland”

Israel’s Indigenous Restoration Project is Rational

The Palestinian problem will be resolved when at least 10 million Median Jews have immigrated to Israel and the Jewish state redeems and enfranchises the entire Judea and Samaria with Jordan subsequently annexing Gaza and any plans for partition are thus redundant. It is nevertheless interesting to know the outline of how Israel kept theContinue reading “Israel’s Indigenous Restoration Project is Rational”

Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program

The ostensible negotiations process with Iran might seem like a waste of time considering Iran’s complete lack of interest in an agreement with the United States. However, that is certainly not the case as the time is well used by Iran’s intended victims to prepare for war against Iran. There are three levels of militaryContinue reading “Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program”

We Need to Defend the Oil Wells

The Middle East and the world will be in great danger following Israel and America’s inevitable destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program as Iran will not under any circumstances be allowed to obtain nuclear weapons capability. Twelver Sharia forbids offensive war and for the ruling mullahs in Iran is the American-Israeli destruction of the nuclearContinue reading “We Need to Defend the Oil Wells”

Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset

Twelver Shia theology prohibits offensive war but Khomeinists believe it allows terrorism which it peculiarly construes as defensive, so-called “resistance”. Khomeinist Iran has so far engaged in regional expansionism through proxies, i.e. Shiite militias. Iran also maintains a close relationship with the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood everywhere but in Syria, which is also expressed in Iran’sContinue reading “Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset”

Oman, Qatar and Kuwait Need to Join the Regional Security Architecture

Those who feed crocodiles are also subsequently eaten by those very same crocodiles. This is something for Oman, Qatar and Kuwait to ponder who all have made sure to maintain good relations with Iran. Yet can anyone doubt that the Iranian crocodile intends to swallow Oman, Qatar and Kuwait? Being friends with Tehran is likeContinue reading “Oman, Qatar and Kuwait Need to Join the Regional Security Architecture”

Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost

Iranian officials state over and over again that Israel will be destroyed if Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. They literally mean what they say. What this means is that the entire Iranian axis (primarily Hezbollah) will engage in a frontal assault against Israel with projectiles, including ones with chemical warheads. (Iranian use ofContinue reading “Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost”

The Experiment is Failing

The bold experiment to integrate Israeli Arabs in Israeli politics is tragically failing. The Bennett-Lapid government made a courageous gamble in forming a government that relies for its majority on Arab members of Knesset. This was extremely laudable in ending decades of Arab marginalization in Israeli politics. Investing in the Arab sector is essential forContinue reading “The Experiment is Failing”

Which Erdogan is Speaking?

Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence is an international political action intelligence agency and as such trains its agents in political deception. Two of its top agents in the Middle East are Mansour Abbas in Israel and Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey. Both are skilled high-class actors. Mansour Abbas, the leader of the Ra’am party in the KnessetContinue reading “Which Erdogan is Speaking?”

Will the International Community Bestow Recognition upon the Peace?

There is now widespread understanding in the international community that the two-state solution was always stillborn and no one likes being fooled a thousand times. International leaders and diplomats still pay lip service to the “two-state solution” and hypothetical “Palestinian statehood”, yet few informed people in the international community sincerely believe in those things nowadays.Continue reading “Will the International Community Bestow Recognition upon the Peace?”

Israel’s Demographic Future

The resolution of the Palestinian issue is dependent upon very significant Jewish demographic growth in Israel. There would have to be a ten million growth in Israel’s Jewish population considering that most potential immigrants have lower fertility rates than Muslims in Israel and Judea/Samaria. Israel would subsequently redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and SamariaContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Future”