Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel

There are multiple reasons why Hezbollah and its allies in the Iranian axis in the Middle East will engage in a frontal assault on Israel after Israel and the US destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program once so-called “negotiations” have become completely exhausted. 1. The Iranian regime systematically states that this will happen if theContinue reading “Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel”

How Jerusalem Could be Key to NATO’s Enlargement

There are three centers of political power in the Republic of Turkey. These are a) the ruling AK party headed by president Erdogan, b) the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus and c) the Turkish military, the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) itself. While the Derin Devlet is primarily concerned with preserving the secularistContinue reading “How Jerusalem Could be Key to NATO’s Enlargement”

Derin Devlet Should Rein in Erdogan on NATO Accession

The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) has never ever attacked Turkish territory and has never ever engaged in terrorist attacks against anyone whomsoever. While it is true that the PYD (Democratic Union Party), the governing party in AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria), is a member of of the feminist KCK (Kurdistan Communities Union)Continue reading “Derin Devlet Should Rein in Erdogan on NATO Accession”

The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse

Tehran is currently moderately convinced that America and Israel will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is one of the reasons for its rejectionism in Vienna. Nevertheless, on Quds Day, Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah threatened that Iran might attack Israel directly if Israeli sabotage operations against the Iranian nuclear weapons programContinue reading “The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse”

Inside the Khomeinist Mind

The Iranian regime openly states that its overarching geostrategic goal is to prompt the reappearance of the Hidden Imam. Yet academic experts and intelligence analysts do tend to not pay attention to the religious dimension of Iranian decision making. Khomeinism is unique in the sense as being the only form of Islamism that is apocalypticContinue reading “Inside the Khomeinist Mind”

How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran

Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”

The Price of Aggression

Let there be no doubt that if Hezbollah and the rest of the Iranian axis launch a frontal assault on Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program there will surely be a hefty price to pay. There will be consequences, there will be a major war in the northernContinue reading “The Price of Aggression”

Khomeinism and Iranian Foreign Policy

Ayatollah Khomeini introduced a governing principle according to which Iranian national interests take precedence over sharia. This may seem surprising for an Islamist theocratic regime but can be observed in Iranian foreign policy for various parts of the world. Iran is completely silent on China’s Han colonization of Xinjiang and totalitarian policies of coerced assimilationContinue reading “Khomeinism and Iranian Foreign Policy”

Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel

In February 2022 Israel deployed six Israeli drones to successfully destroy hundreds of Iranian drones. It was not until now that Iran retaliated, by striking a Mossad training facility in Erbil, the capital of the KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) with missiles launched from Iranian territory. This obviously represents a drastic escalation but it isContinue reading “Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel”

The Strategy of Mansour Abbas

The Islamist Muslim Brotherhood was founded in 1928 by Egyptian school teacher Hassan al-Banna to establish a worldwide caliphate run under an Islamist version of sharia law. The global Muslim Brotherhood has three pillars. 1) The original underground fraternal organization as organized into national branches. 2) The front organizations including NGOs, mosques and political partiesContinue reading “The Strategy of Mansour Abbas”

Who Will Invade Whom?

Israel and Iran have completely different assessments as to the outcome of the future conflict between Israel and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” in the Levant. Iran assumes that massive barrages of rockets and missiles, many of them with chemical warheads, will inflict such heavy damage on the Israeli home front and cause such disorientationContinue reading “Who Will Invade Whom?”

The Aman Conceptzia

There is a dispute within Aman (Israeli military intelligence) regarding the intentions of Hezbollah. Is Hezbollah an Iranian proxy or is it a Lebanese patriotic organization? Is Hezbollah primarily interested in taking over Israel or taking over Lebanon? Of course, Hezbollah is run by one man, Hassan Nasrallah who makes all important decisions and althoughContinue reading “The Aman Conceptzia”

Master Tacticians, Strategic Lunatics

Iran is tactically brilliant in always seeing opportunities to expand its influence but it must be kept in mind that it is strategically lunatic in seeking world rule for the Hidden Imam as its ultimate strategic goal. Hezbollah’s intentions have been much debated within the Israeli intelligence community. What is Hezbollah? Hezbollah is a franchiseContinue reading “Master Tacticians, Strategic Lunatics”

Biden Would Deploy US Troops to Ukraine if he Were a Wilsonian

The case of Ukraine is a test case for the dying liberal world order. If President Joe Biden were a Wilsonian as he purports to be then surely he would intervene militarily on the side of Ukraine, instead he openly admits that he won’t do so for fear of triggering World War III. Ukraine isContinue reading “Biden Would Deploy US Troops to Ukraine if he Were a Wilsonian”

The Approaching Apocalypse

Khomeinism is different from all other forms of Islamism in that it constitutes an apocalyptic death cult. No other sect of Islamism believes that the end of days is close in time. However, Khomeinism has no fixed date for the apocalypse which is somewhat flexible in time. The general understanding is that eschatological time wasContinue reading “The Approaching Apocalypse”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

An Official Military War Blog

Israel needs an official war blog where the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) will publish a prepared, instant, highly accurate and factual blog post immediately after each military action. As a global propaganda war is waged against an Israel that does not believe in propaganda, Israel is best served by maximum transparency and Israel therefore needsContinue reading “An Official Military War Blog”

The Palestinian Interest

What is the Palestinian interest? There are two perspectives to this. The first perspective assumes that the Palestinian interest lies in fighting the Jewish state until the entire Jewish population in accordance with the Palestinian consensus has been “removed” from the land, i.e. exterminated since there is nowhere to deport the Jews. Palestinians have beenContinue reading “The Palestinian Interest”

The Israeli Annexations of Alawite and Druze Regions

Israel has no choice but to defeat Hezbollah after Hezbollah attempts to “annihilate Israel” with mass use of chemical weapons following upon Israel and America’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Hezbollah is dispersed throughout Lebanon and Syria and therefore defeating Hezbollah requires liberating Lebanon and Syria. This is self-defense, proportional and military necessity.Continue reading “The Israeli Annexations of Alawite and Druze Regions”

Imperialist Plans of Expansionism

Iran, China and Russia are all neo-imperialist powers and they intend to geographically expand in accordance with their respective geostrategic master plans. America in contrast which is no empire and has no imperialist designs has no master plan across presidencies for its foreign policy since every new president in the 21st century has devised hisContinue reading “Imperialist Plans of Expansionism”

The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate

It has often been claimed that peace requires accepting that there are two competing narratives, one Israeli and one Palestinian, but is this really true? What has not been considered is that the Palestinian narrative is Anti-Zionist, meaning opposed to peace with Israel. Therefore legitimizing the Palestinian narrative as an obstacle to peace makes peaceContinue reading “The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate”

The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom

The US suffers from a global credibility deficit. America’s adversaries no longer fear the United States and Middle Eastern allies of the United States are all convinced that the US intends to disengage from Islamdom, yet the US denies this. Iran calculates that in the event of the US and Israel destroying the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom”

Criticism Should be Conveyed Now

Israel has learned its lesson and now understands that international support for future war needs to be built months before the actual war breaks out. International criticism of Israel’s plans to destroy the Jihadist terrorist organization Hezbollah and its patrons in the northern Levant should be conveyed now to Israeli interlocutors. If nations think thatContinue reading “Criticism Should be Conveyed Now”

Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open

There has been tremendous mistrust between the Biden administration and the Israeli government on account of Israel’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis China and America’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis Iran. Israel now understands that there will be no nuclear deal with Iran because Tehran has no interest in such an agreement. The US and Israel are jointly trainingContinue reading “Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open”

Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?

Middle Eastern governments are convinced that the Biden administration is intent on continuing the Trump administration policy of disengagement from Islamdom, yet the US government denies this. Who should we believe? Assuming that the governments of the region are correct in their unanimous assessment of US intentions, a plausible explanation would then be that theContinue reading “Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?”

The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem

The US has a problem with credibility and thus also with deterrence. This is largely a perception problem based on the erroneous view that the current US administration is afraid of war. However, the Biden administration does not seem to understand that the position of the US as regards one region affects US credibility inContinue reading “The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem”

Taking Iran Seriously

Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”

Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?

Iran claims that its assault on Israel with rockets, missiles, chemical warheads and drones from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Yemen will make Israel collapse. Do they actually believe this or is it just propaganda hyperbole? What is clear is that the Israeli home front will suffer immensely as a result of the assaultContinue reading “Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?”

Manifest Unreason

Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”

Does the PA Want a Palestinian State?

The Palestinian Authority (PA) has continued the Palestinian nationalist tradition of rejecting all peace offers for partition since 1937. The question needs therefore be asked whether the PA is at all interested in establishing a Palestinian state other than one in the place of Israel as called for in the 1964 PLO Palestinian National Covenant?Continue reading “Does the PA Want a Palestinian State?”

Is Palestinian Nationalism Irrational?

Palestinian nationalism is thoroughly based on Anti-Zionism, the third stage of Anti-Jewish bigotry with the earlier stages being Anti-Judaism and Anti-Semitism (in the narrow sense). Palestinian nationalism systematically racializes Jews in terms of all three stages of Anti-Semitism in the broader sense. Palestinian nationalism is thus primarily a form of racism and is as suchContinue reading “Is Palestinian Nationalism Irrational?”

Why Bet on a Dead Horse?

There are reports in the news media about Arab governments seeking normalization with the last Ba’athist regime in Damascus. This is entirely counterproductive. Major war between Israel and Iran’s allies in the Levant is entirely inescapable after Israel and America destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as they are jointly training to do considering thatContinue reading “Why Bet on a Dead Horse?”

The Danger of Messianism

The Jewish nation has a long history of failed messianisms, with usually profoundly tragic consequences for the Jews. The two-state illusion is different from the previous messianist movements in that the false messiah is not a person but an enemy government. The Palestinian Authority is not only Anti-Zionism incarnate but it is the most Anti-SemiticContinue reading “The Danger of Messianism”

The Death of Anti-Zionism

What will happen to Anti-Zionism when tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants arrive in the land of Israel? Israel’s population will triple or quadruple and Israel will redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria while Jordan subsequently will annex Gaza. Israel will annex Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and LebanonContinue reading “The Death of Anti-Zionism”

How Long Will it Take before the International Community Recognizes Judea and Samaria as Israeli?

The first step and the present stage for Israeli diplomacy is to seek greater diplomatic understanding that Israel intends to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria once a critical mass of Median Jewish immigrants have arrived in Israel. The second step and later stage will be to seek actual recognition of Israeli sovereignty after IsraelContinue reading “How Long Will it Take before the International Community Recognizes Judea and Samaria as Israeli?”

How Quickly Will Median Jews Emigrate to Israel?

How fast will Median Jews immigrate to Israel? Once the gates are opened up will African Median Jews from Kenya, Nigeria and Tanzania as well as Middle Eastern Median Jews of Iran and Iraq immigrate to Israel as fast as they can irrespective of conditions on arrival in Israel. There are 4 million Median JewsContinue reading “How Quickly Will Median Jews Emigrate to Israel?”

The Relationship between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence

What is the relationship between Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood? The two espouse very similar forms of Islamism although one is Shia and one is Sunni. Both synethesize traditional political Islam with modernity, with influences particularly from Nazism and Communism. With the exception of Syria where interests diverge due to Iran taking the side ofContinue reading “The Relationship between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence”

The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence

There are no prospects whatsoever for a nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States and so the US government resorting to Plan B, i.e. the military options, is inevitable. This means that the US and Israel will jointly destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the emerging US-led international Iran coalition will impose aContinue reading “The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence”

Israel’s Challenge of Mass Immigration

There are tens of millions of Median Jews in the Middle East and beyond. Israel will face an unprecedented challenge in public planning in tripling or quadrupling its population through Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration). Israel will not only vastly expand its existing cities but will no doubt build entirely new cities, towns and villagesContinue reading “Israel’s Challenge of Mass Immigration”

The Only Way to End Palestinian Suffering

Palestinian suffering is entirely due to their own genocidal designs, rejectionism and never ending terrorism. Yet, Palestinian suffering is a real humanitarian issue and there is under the current status quo a constant conflict of interest between Palestinian humanitarian concerns and Israeli security concerns. Israel does not always prioritize its own security in e.g. allowingContinue reading “The Only Way to End Palestinian Suffering”

Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?

While it is clear that Iran intends to use chemical weapons for mass terrorist attacks worldwide, on a vast scale following America’s and Israel’s joint destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons progam, the Khomeinist regime’s intentions to use biological weapons are more localized and may seem less obvious. Where and against whom will Tehran useContinue reading “Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?”

A Multifront War

Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”

Apocalyptic Iran

Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”

Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?

Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”

The Islamist Nexus

Is there an emerging transdenominational Islamist nexus in the Middle East? There are significant tactical differences between different Islamist movements and Sunni Islamists and Shia Islamists disagree as to whether Sunnis of Shias should rule the worldwide Islamist theocracy that they believe is inevitable due to ostensibly being divinely decreed. Iran and Turkey have closeContinue reading “The Islamist Nexus”

The Case for Jewish Critical Theory

The Jews have always since antiquity been a structurally oppressed group and remain so. There are three historical phases of Anti-Jewish prejudice and those are known to scientists as Anti-Judaism, Anti-Semitism and Anti-Zionism. However, in common parlance as well as in scientific usage is the term Anti-Semitism used to denote all three stages. There hasContinue reading “The Case for Jewish Critical Theory”

The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous

The Khomeinist regime makes increasingly extreme threats against Israel. Why is this so? The regime is no doubt becoming increasingly nervous about the imposition of an international no-fly zone over Iran that would provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country and very likely lead to the downfall of the regime. The emerging coalitionContinue reading “The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous”

Arameans and Annexation

There is not only an alliance but a covenant of blood between the Jewish nation and the Aramean nation and the goal is to establish a liberal-democratic Aramean Christian state (Aram) in the northern Levant that will be strategically, economically, politically and militarily aligned with Israel. As part of Israel’s liberation of Syria and LebanonContinue reading “Arameans and Annexation”

Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon

Lebanon under Iranian control is turning increasingly dystopian. The ruling elite refuses to reform the economy and the population is sinking ever deeper into economic misery. The country has been taken over by Hezbollah, the world’s largest terrorist organization and its political system is completely dysfunctional. Lebanese leaders are well aware of Lebanon’s approaching demiseContinue reading “Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon”

Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?

Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”