Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement

What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and this will allow Iran to eventually take over the entire Yemen just like Hezbollah has taken over the entire Lebanon. But what is the alternative you may ask? The alternative would be to divide the country along sectarian lines in creating a landlocked Iran-controlled independent Zaydi state. This would be a better option than letting Iran take over the entire Yemen and with that the eastern side of Bab al-Mandeb, the strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. The problem potentially is that Iran might not accept this because they want the entire Yemen. However, If Iran does not accept this proposal then the Sunni-inhabited Red Sea coastal region of the former North Yemen should be invaded by the KSA and so impose a fait accompli.

Published by Daniella Bartfeld

Daniella Bartfeld is the founding director of the Aliyah Organization.

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