Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”
Category Archives: Saudi Arabia
Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War
There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”
MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security
MENA regional integration is an important US national interest that will ensure stability in this part of the world and prevent the US from being drawn into a land war with Iran so as to prevent Iran from conquering the Arab world. MENA regional integration is both economic and defense-related. Economic integration is vital toContinue reading “MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security”
Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement
What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and thisContinue reading “Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement”
The US Must Make a Strategic Decision
The US cannot be everywhere and must prioritize. However, Russia, China and Iran must all be contained separately. The goal must be to prevent war and if this fails – to win war. Regarding Russia must the goal be to defeat Russia, kick it out of Ukraine and then woo it to integrate into theContinue reading “The US Must Make a Strategic Decision”
Deterring Iran is Imperative
The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”
The Second Ataturkian Age
The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus should prepare to gradually implement a second Ataturkian revolution in a post-Erdogan Turkey, this time with a new agenda. What is an Ataturkian revolution? It is an authoritarian liberal revolution in a country not ready for liberal democracy, this is precisely what is currently happening inContinue reading “The Second Ataturkian Age”
Chicken or Egg in Arabia
The US government should consider brokering a semi-secret MENA defense alliance. It would be known to all but it would allow Arab governments plausible deniability for some more time. It has generally been presumed that peace agreements with Israel (particularly between Riyadh and Jerusalem) are a prerequisite for a MENA defense alliance but perhaps itContinue reading “Chicken or Egg in Arabia”
Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America”
The Biden administration needs to formulate a strategy of strength vis-a-vis Iran. Why is that so? Because of Iran’s intention to implement ”Death of America”, namely Iran’s plan to attack major American cities with biological weapons during the Russo-Iranian WWIII against Europe and the MENA region. What can the US do? Perception of strength isContinue reading “Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America””
When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?
“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”
Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News
The Chinese-brokered agreement to resume normal diplomatic relations between Riyadh and Tehran means that an Iranian invasion of the KSA after Israel (and the US) neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, is off the table and that is good news for the global economy. Yet, it does not mean that the threat of an IranianContinue reading “Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News”
Cutting the Gordian Knot
There are currently intense trilateral US-Saudi-Israeli negotiations aimed at reaching a peace agreement between Riyadh and Jerusalem. Riyadh has two demands – down from three. The KSA demands security guarantees from the US and that Washington helps Riyadh develop a domestic nuclear program, including indigenous uranium enrichment. MBS has apparently dropped the demand for USContinue reading “Cutting the Gordian Knot”
Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists
The Khomeinist regime in Tehran has long preferred not to invade other countries and rather rely on proxies to project Iranian power. Iran first and foremost wants to control the Khomeinist Apocalyptic region, the triangle of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus. There can be little doubt that the Iranian military will cross Iraq to reach SyriaContinue reading “Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists”
America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy
As the Biden administration has finally concluded that the JCPOA is off the table, the US needs a coherent and focused strategy in the Middle East to protect US national security. Iran with its WMD terrorist networks poses the greatest threat to American national security and so it is essential to contain and deter IranContinue reading “America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy”
Human Rights Promotion in Saudi Arabia Doesn’t Serve American Interests
It is generally a truism that promotion of human rights serves American interests, but this is not always true everywhere. One place where this is usually not the case is the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. What are the American interests in Saudi Arabia? 1) First, Riyadh controls the global price of oil and so irrespectiveContinue reading “Human Rights Promotion in Saudi Arabia Doesn’t Serve American Interests”
Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years
Imagine if WWI and WWII could have been foreseen and prevented? Just imagine that for a moment! Now we have the opportunity to prevent WWIII that Russia and Iran are planning for Europe and the MENA region. By preventing WWIII we can also position ourselves to avoid a Chinese-instigated global WWIV. It is absolutely pivotalContinue reading “Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years”
Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA
There are indications that there are negotiations between America and Saudi Arabia and so the question is what can be done to accelerate them? What are the stumbling blocks? The US government is likely making human rights related demands and MBS is probably reciprocating by lengthening his list of demands. The US government should considerContinue reading “Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA”
Iran Must be Deterred and Contained
In light of the new Russo-Iranian Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Russia gets Europe and Iran gets the Arab world, it is necessary for threatened nations to reevaluate their relations with Iran. Saudi-Israeli peace and normalization can happen any day of the week once Washington and Riyadh agree on the terms and then the next step isContinue reading “Iran Must be Deterred and Contained”
The US Needs a Strategy for Preventing an Iranian Land Invasion Through Iraq
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani yesterday warned against Iran using Iraq as a springboard to invade Jordan, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The Iraqi parliament last year passed a law proscribing any contacts with Israeli citizens and Israel bodies or visiting Israel and required capital punishment or life in prison for offenders. Not only isContinue reading “The US Needs a Strategy for Preventing an Iranian Land Invasion Through Iraq”
What is the Extent of the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?
“We strongly condemn any provocative efforts that have the potential to provoke an uncontrolled escalation of tensions in a region that’s far from being peaceful as it is. Such destructive actions could have unpredictable consequences for peace and stability in the Middle East. That has to be understood by the organizers of the brazen raid,Continue reading “What is the Extent of the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?”
Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact
What conclusions should Arab governments draw from the new apparent Molotov-Ribbentrop pact between Russia and Iran whereby Moscow conquers Europe and Tehran simultaneously conquers the Arab world in a WWIII possibly half a decade from now? Tehran counts on Arab disunity and on an Arab domino effect whereby Iran can pick off one major ArabContinue reading “Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact”
Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect
Arab governments are for the most part profoundly suspicious of each other yet nowadays quite trusting of Israel in many respects. This is the crux of forming a Middle Eastern defense alliance. Arab governments don’t mind secretly aligning with Israel but balk at aligning with each other. The problem in military terms is that IranContinue reading “Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect”
Iran is Determined to Destroy America
According to Iran’s regime ideology is America, Tehran’s main enemy. The reason this is so as for all Islamist ideologists is that the American superpower is considered identical with the purported global Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. The Obama and Biden administrations have pursued a strategy of appeasing Iran and hoping to eventually align withContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Destroy America”
A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has made three demands from the US for making peace with Israel. Those are 1) a KSA-USA defense treaty, 2) NATO-level deliveries of weaponry and 3) what appears to be a demand to purchase the new small highly cost-effective nuclear power plants that are currently being developed inContinue reading “A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance”
The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace
The Biden administration often repeats its commitment to resolving the Palestinian issue through an infamously failed formula which was always dead on arrival due to being founded on outright false premises constituting on the American side simply wishful thinking and refusal to learn from recent Israeli history. What is peculiar is that the Biden administrationContinue reading “The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace”
An Opportunity to Renew Confidence with Gulf Allies
After OPEC decided to decrease oil production quotas, the Biden administration determined to conduct a formal reassessment of the US relationship with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. America in effect has no choice but to defend Gulf oil fields against Iran irrespective of what MBS does domestically and internationally and MBS knows it because theContinue reading “An Opportunity to Renew Confidence with Gulf Allies”
US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests
President Barack Obama’s Middle Eastern strategy of handing over the Muslim world to the Islamists as a means to defuse US-Muslim tensions and ostensibly facilitate so-called “Islamic democracy” which of course the peoples of Iran do enjoy so much (!) has fortunately not been maintained by the Biden administration despite largely being staffed by TeamContinue reading “US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests”
The Mullahs Fear the Women’s Revolution
The ruling mullahs in Iran are gravely concerned and rightly so. Why is this the case you may ask? They are afraid of the soft power of protesting feminists and particularly of Kurdish women and so are making great efforts to present women protesters as pawns of Iran’s enemies. Iran has active plans to attackContinue reading “The Mullahs Fear the Women’s Revolution”
US Threats Against Riyadh Incentivize Tehran to Attack the KSA
Why is Tehran threatening Riyadh while planning to attack, possibly even invade Saudi Arabia? Well, the main reason is that the mullahs believe that the Americans would not defend the KSA. The situation has been exacerbated by recent American threats against Saudi Arabia which in turn are rooted in a dysfunctional US policy towards IranContinue reading “US Threats Against Riyadh Incentivize Tehran to Attack the KSA”
Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?
Intelligence agencies may legally engage in political action in foreign countries as long as they do not break the law. The Israel lobby in the United States is meticulous in not technically acting as foreign agents and thus does not break the law despite acting as the long arm of Tevel, the Political Action andContinue reading “Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?”
Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has had enough, he does not trust the United States in general and President Biden in particular and for good reasons. Three US presidents (Obama, Trump and Biden) have pursued American disengagement from the Middle East. Trump refrained from defending Saudi Arabia when it was attacked by Iran and MBSContinue reading “Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia”
The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy
Islamdom is America’s weak spot. George W. Bush tried to democratize Islamdom only to find out that the majority of the electorate in many Muslim nations votes Islamist, meaning that there are no prospects for democratization in many Muslim nations because the majority of the people wants totalitarianism. Yet, Bush’s democratization campaign resulted in theContinue reading “The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy”
Enough Scapegoating MBS for US Policy Failure
It is rather well-known that there is no love lost between President Joe Biden and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. So let’s just try to analyze what led to the latest fallout in this utterly undiplomatic saga. MBS is leading the feminist revolution in Saudi Arabia and now there is another one playing out inContinue reading “Enough Scapegoating MBS for US Policy Failure”
Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy
President Biden is continuing his policy of indefinite nuclear talks with Tehran, refusing to activate Plan B until the very last moment, refusing to impose a no-fly zone in support of the emerging Iranian rebellion while failing or refusing to conclude a defense pact with Saudi Arabia. While visiting Jeddah did Biden claim that itContinue reading “Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy”
Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised
Washington is unpleasantly surprised over OPEC’s production cut and accuses the organization of aligning with Russia. However, President Biden has no reason to be surprised considering his own reckless policy of selling out GCC interests in the Iran nuclear talks. America is not behaving with self-respect let alone with respect for the interests of itsContinue reading “Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised”
Iran Plans Major Conventional War
What is the purpose of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? There is more than one purpose: 1) Iran gains immunity from any future US invasion under any circumstances no matter how maliciously and atrociously Iran acts. 2) Iran can perpetrate acts of biological and chemical terrorism with complete impunity. 3) Iran would have the option ofContinue reading “Iran Plans Major Conventional War”
A Colossal Intelligence Failure
The Western intelligence community operates on the assumption that Iran is interested in returning to the JCPOA. Yet, no matter how many times this false belief has been discredited by persistent Iranian rejectionism, the Western intelligence community has clung to this patently false belief. If Iran was motivated primarily by economic imperatives then surely notContinue reading “A Colossal Intelligence Failure”
Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?
The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”
Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes
Israel and Iran are both looking forward to establishing a new regional order and neither side fears regional war. Nevertheless, the respective visions of the new regional order look completely different. Both sides envision establishing regional hegemony and removing each other from power. What is the reason for these radically different strategic conceptions? At theContinue reading “Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes”
Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel
America’s adversaries, including Iran, fear Republican administrations but certainly not Democratic administrations. Why is this so? Democratic administrations are more concerned about human rights while Republican administrations are more concerned about realpolitik. The real question is therefore whether the Iranian nuclear weapons program will be destroyed under the current Democratic administration or under the nextContinue reading “Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel”
Iran has a Timeline
Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah has given a television interview in giving us some insight into how the Khomeinist elite currently conceive of messianic time. Khomeinism of course is unique in that it is the only form of Islamism that is apocalyptic. Nasrallah referred to some news reports from the US and Israeli media as indicationsContinue reading “Iran has a Timeline”
It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh
Saudi Arabia is the largest destination for US weapons exports with some 25% of all US defense exports going to the KSA. The Biden administration has however limited weapons exports to Riyadh, leaving the Saudis little choice but to purchase Chinese or Russian arms. This is an illogical policy which harms American jobs but furthermoreContinue reading “It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh”
Israel is the Core of the New Regional Alignment
As expected, there was no official statement by the participating statesmen in Jeddah. Some observers claimed that this proved that Biden’s visit was a failure but Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid pointed out that many things had been achieved with Biden’s visit that it will take years until it will become possible to talk publiclyContinue reading “Israel is the Core of the New Regional Alignment”
KSA is Ready for Liberalization but not Democratization
Democratization is highly problematic in the Muslim world due to the popularity of Islamist movements. What is the point of democratizing and holding elections if this leads to Islamist totalitarians coming to power? Yet, democracy has proven possible to varying degrees in some Muslim nations. Saudi Arabia is the most conservative country in the MuslimContinue reading “KSA is Ready for Liberalization but not Democratization”
Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program
There was a disagreement during the meeting in Israel between President Biden and Prime Minister Lapid on the question of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Prime Minister Lapid insisted that only deterrence would persuade Iran to sign a nuclear agreement while President Biden insisted that diplomacy was still the best way forward. Both are wrong sinceContinue reading “Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program”
Undermining the KSA is not a US Interest
Are there currently negotiations underway for a KSA-USA defense pact? There are strong indications that this is indeed the case as this is very strongly in the interest of both nations, not to mention other regional nations. However, negotiations appear to be delayed by US human rights demands. The US needs to be cognizant thatContinue reading “Undermining the KSA is not a US Interest”
A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years
There is not much disagreement between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party on Russia and China and there won’t be on Iran once the negotiation track is definitely declared dead. What is needed is a threepronged bipartisan global strategy for the next 50 years. Russia, China and Iran each require a unique strategy ofContinue reading “A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years”
Can Iran’s Apocalyptic Scheme be Thwarted?
If Iran did not believe that Iranian territorial control over the Twelver eschatological region was essential for the success of the planned Khomeinist man-made apocalypse as intended to prompt the reappearance of the Hidden Imam in Mecca, then surely Iran would not be so geostrategically obsessed with taking control over this region where the threeContinue reading “Can Iran’s Apocalyptic Scheme be Thwarted?”
Iran’s Window of Opportunity
Iranian senior officials openly and publicly state that their overarching strategy is to prompt the reappearance of the Hidden Imam in Mecca leading to global Khomeinist theocratic rule. One crucial factor which is closing the window on Iranian eschatological imperialism is however the advent of electric vehicles. The electric vehicle industry has changed much sinceContinue reading “Iran’s Window of Opportunity”
Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States
Iran is bent on taking control over the Twelver eschatological region which includes the cities of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus where the Islamic messianic figures of the Mahdi (identified by Twelvers with the Hidden Imam), the Dajjal (the Deceitful Messiah) and Jesus are slated to appear at the conclusion of Islamic history. Control over thisContinue reading “Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States”
Aliyah Organization 