The State of Israel has known about the existence of Median Jewry for half a decade now, yet has remained quiet on the subject so as not to antagonize the Erdogan regime in Ankara considering that the vast majority of Median Jews in the Middle East live within the boundaries of the Republic of Turkey. There is every reason to fear that an open recognition of Median Jewry by the Israeli government would lead the Erdogan government to close its borders to emigration to Israel considering that the percentage of Median Jews in Turkey numbers in the double digits.
On the other hand is Israel approaching war with Tehran’s proxy Hezbollah as Hezbollah will rain down tens of thousands of missiles on the city of Tel Aviv in retaliation for Israel destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Israel has little choice but to destroy Hezbollah and its 150 000 strong missile arsenal which is increasingly posing an existential threat to Israel and this will require occupying Lebanon for several months. To wage a Gaza-style “war to restore deterrence” would be an exercise in extreme futility as Hezbollah in being part of the IRGC command and control structure can hardly be deterred.
Israel and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) have an opportunity to end Hezbollah and the totalitarian Ba’ath regime and delete the Iranian military presence in Syria and thus establish peace between Jerusalem on the one hand and Beirut and Damascus on the other with new borders between the three. Lebanon would be shrunk into a Christian Aramean state, Aram that would be officially bilingual in Arabic and Aramaic. Israel would retain the Golan and annex Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon; and Syria would annex Muslim regions of Lebanon. AANES in Damascus and Aram in Beirut would seek international recognition and would subsequently conclude peace with Israel with new international borders.
Is this Israel’s strategy? Israel would be foolish not to pursue it, if not for lack of better strategic defensive options vis-a-vis Hezbollah. Israel must prioritize its own security and survival and Hezbollah is increasingly developing into an existential threat against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital. A joint IDF-SDF war would furthermore lead to the liberation of 4 million Median Jews who would be brought under Israeli sovereignty. It should be added that Alawites and Druze have in the past half decade by word of mouth learned of them being secret Jews and have therefore developed Jewish communal identity. There is therefore every reason to expect that they will warmly welcome Israeli liberation.
There is a very strong case to argue that this is indeed a war of no choice.