After Iran

The region is already counting out the Iranian regime. The prediction is that the fall of the regime is inevitable and only a matter of time. What we see now is a new regional alignment involving Middle Eastern Arab states plus Turkey and nuclear Pakistan. The target is Israel, the assumption is that the Middle Eastern Arabs (excepting Abraham Accords countries) together with Turkey’s vast military and Pakistan’s nuclear weapons can destroy Israel. Once the Iranian regime is gone there is no need anymore for Israel as an ally in the region. The intensifying hatred against Jews and incitement against Israel in the region’s state-controlled media are an indication of a greater shift against Israel. Paradoxically, the only thing preventing this scenario is the still remaining political and military influence of the Bektashi-Sabbatean Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus in Turkey. What we should expect therefore is a a Turkish crackdown against the Bektashi-Sabbatean community similar to the crackdown against the Gulenists in years past. Conversely a coup d’état against Erdogan and the Muslim Brotherhood outfit known as the AKP may be inevitable. There is however one way to resolve this conflict and that is by Turkey allowing Median Jewish (including Bektashi Sabbatean) mass immigration to Israel from and through Turkey. If it does then Israel and Derin Devlet have no more reason to internally undermine the Turkish regime and the conflict could be diffused. However, this is the Middle East and no such thing is likely to happen and therefore is the next war (after the Iranian one) quite inevitable unless the Derin Devlet is able to stop it which appears unlikely.