Iran is approaching nuclear threshold status with its advanced uranium enrichment that is absolutely unacceptable to Israel, something which according to veiled threats recently issued by Prime Minister Naftali Bennett will lead Israel to launch preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities.
Israel will have little choice but to order the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to launch one of the largest military operations in its history in close cooperation with the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) of the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) to jointly liberate Lebanon and Syria from the nefarious and Anti-Semitic forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism. SDF would liberate Syria with IAF (Israeli Air Force) air support. Israel would destroy Hezbollah, its 150 000 missile stockpile, extensive tunnel system and would occupy Lebanon for several months for this purpose. Israel would establish an Aramean Christian state in parts of Lebanon as the successor state to Lebanon and would annex Median Jewish (Druze and Alawite) regions of Lebanon and Syria to Israel. The remainder of Lebanon would be annexed by the new PYD (Democratic Union Party) government in Damascus. All annexations would be according to international law and as part of a trilateral international agreement between Jerusalem and the new governments in Beirut and Damascus which would both seek international recognition. The Golan would remain part of Israel as part of the agreement.
Israel however seeks peace in Syria and would wholeheartedly want to avoid a devastating war in Syria even if one in Lebanon is completely unavoidable. It is unclear how much time is left before Israel launches preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program but intensive international diplomacy is certainly necessary with Damascus to exhaust every possibility for a peaceful outcome.
It must nevertheless be clear to everyone in the international community that Hezbollah’s presence in Syria and Lebanon marks both countries for liberation since both countries provide extensive military and intelligence support for Hezbollah as well as allowing the terrorist militia to freely operate on its respective soil. Both regimes are integrated with Hezbollah and there is no way of dismantling Hezbollah without also dismantling the two regimes. Both regimes have in effect marked themselves for dismantlement.
Both regimes have been alerted as to their fate but there is no sign that either will back down and so it will be their fate (Lebanon could of course instead dismantle Hezbollah) unless they change path in the coming weeks. Again, it is not clear how much time is left in the coming weeks before Israel launches preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program but a major war is certainly approaching in the Middle East.
While Israel seeks peace is it nevertheless up to the international community to exhaust every possibility for a peaceful resolution in Syria. A heavy burden of responsibility lies indeed on the shoulders of the international community. Israel’s hands are outstretched in peace and a senseless and devastating war could surely be avoided by key decision-makers in Damascus, including President Bashar al-Assad.
Yet it remains wholly unlikely that there will be a peaceful resolution to the Syrian situation despite Israel’s best efforts and peaceful intentions. When it comes down to it, Bashar al-Assad despite his British education, is a Middle Easterner and he will fight until death and surely will lose everything rather than come to a deal with Israel on the partition of Syria between the AANES and Israel. This may be irrational but this is the unfortunate reality. Nevertheless, the international community must do everything possible to make Bashar al-Assad and the rest of the ruling Alawite clique come to their senses.