What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?

A weekend interview in the Israeli daily Israel Hayom provided an insight into the perspectives of Israeli decision-makers. The interview was with one colonel T; the head of the IDF General Staff Strategy and Third-Circle Directorate. Ostensibly was the interview a sales pitch in order to persuade Israeli elected politicians to engage more in Iran-relatedContinue reading “What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?”

The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse

Tehran is currently moderately convinced that America and Israel will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is one of the reasons for its rejectionism in Vienna. Nevertheless, on Quds Day, Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah threatened that Iran might attack Israel directly if Israeli sabotage operations against the Iranian nuclear weapons programContinue reading “The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse”

The Russian Military Incompetence

All militaries are incompetent to varying degrees due to regular militaries being huge apparatuses based on planned centralized command economy. This of course is breeding ground for incompetence and bureaucratic failure. Asymmetric warfare is precisely so effective because it is non-bureaucratic with a decentralized command structure. The IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is unique in theContinue reading “The Russian Military Incompetence”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

An Official Military War Blog

Israel needs an official war blog where the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) will publish a prepared, instant, highly accurate and factual blog post immediately after each military action. As a global propaganda war is waged against an Israel that does not believe in propaganda, Israel is best served by maximum transparency and Israel therefore needsContinue reading “An Official Military War Blog”

The Danger of Messianism

The Jewish nation has a long history of failed messianisms, with usually profoundly tragic consequences for the Jews. The two-state illusion is different from the previous messianist movements in that the false messiah is not a person but an enemy government. The Palestinian Authority is not only Anti-Zionism incarnate but it is the most Anti-SemiticContinue reading “The Danger of Messianism”

Explaining the Next Gaza War

Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations?  Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”

Israel is too Secretive

One common error in the intelligence world is exaggerated secrecy. There is much information in intelligence archives around the world that should be declassified and made available to historians, journalists and the general public just as the East German Stasi archives were made completely public. Informational compartmentalization also creates myopia in there being few peopleContinue reading “Israel is too Secretive”

The AANES should Impose Compulsory Military Service for Young Women

The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) has over the years expanded from originally constituting mere Kurdish guerillas to becoming an increasingly formidable military force and the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has in recent years imposed the military draft on the male population of eligible age in NES (North and East Syria). AsContinue reading “The AANES should Impose Compulsory Military Service for Young Women”

Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?

There are reportedly differing assessments in Israeli military intelligence (Aman) as to whether Hezbollah will attack Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Why is this so? Iranian officials insist that they will “destroy Israel” in response to the destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This of course isContinue reading “Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?”

The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization

The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has made significant progress towards liberal democracy and more progress should be expected as the AANES is exceptionally successful in its feminist liberalization and democratization. In fact, the AANES is a model for liberalization and democratization for Muslim societies generally. The AANES is instilling liberal andContinue reading “The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization”

Ein Brira

There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”

Islamic Republic of Hezbollahstan

Iranian intelligence has for three decades been slowly taking over Lebanon by means of agent recruitment to the degree that Hezbollah is not that far away from officially declaring Lebanon an Islamist state as modeled on Iran. Iran controls nearly all dimensions of the Lebanese state including the military, the government, the seaports, the airportsContinue reading “Islamic Republic of Hezbollahstan”

The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom

There is a growing cold war between Israel and Iran taking place in the Middle East. There has also been a parallel rise of the two countries to great power status. However, there will ultimately only be room for one great power in the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Muslim countries around the world areContinue reading “The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom”

Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria

Hezbollah is not only present throughout Lebanon but has forces located in over 100 locations in all parts of Ba’ath-controlled Syria. Hezbollah’s chemical weapons and terrorist projectile programs are intended to be grown into posing an existential threat against Israel. Israel would be foolish to wait with eradicating Hezbollah until Hezbollah turns into a full-fledgedContinue reading “Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria”

Planning for Military Transparency

In times of war is the lack of timely provision of information the single most serious obstacle to explaining Israeli military action. Blood libels proliferate as well as Anti-Jewish inversions where it is ostensibly the Israeli side that is targeting civilians and seeking civilian casualties. Israel has not been able to effectively counteract these veryContinue reading “Planning for Military Transparency”

The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad

While it is true that that the Syrian Ba’ath regime won the civil war against Jihadist insurgents, it would be a serious mistake to assume that Bashar al-Assad will remain in power. Iran plans to order its Hezbollah proxy to unleash massive barrages of in total 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israeli cities –Continue reading “The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad”

Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria

Israel has revealed parts of its plans for eradicating Hezbollah and other pro-Iranian Jihadist terrorist organizations in Lebanon and Syria. This involves not only invading Lebanon but invading Syria as well. However, this cannot be done without also defeating the LAF (Lebanese Armed Forces) and the SAA (Syrian Arab Army). In practice is this aContinue reading “Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria”

The Demographics of Median Jewry

What are the demographics of core Median Jewry? There are up to 25 million Median Jews in Turkey although the number could be lower since no statistics exist. There are 7-8 million Median Jews in the rest of the Middle East. There are hundreds of thousands of Median Jews in the Balkans, primarily in Albania.Continue reading “The Demographics of Median Jewry”

Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence

Why would the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) be willing to allow the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) to participate in a joint strategic operation with the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to liberate Syria and Lebanon from the totalitarian forces of Ba’athism and Khomeinism? Why would the YPG (People’s Defense Units) and theContinue reading “Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence”

Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel

Hezbollah is becoming an existential threat against Israel. The Jihadist terrorist organization already possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, all intended to hit Israeli cities, cause maximum carnage and lead to as much physical devestation as possible. Hezbollah also possesses chemical weapons which it no doubt intends to use to perpetrate many Halabjas throughout urbanContinue reading “Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel”

Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously

Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”

Ensuring the Survival of the AANES

The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) is a faithful American ally, quite unlike Turkey under Erdogan. It is a US national interest to strengthen the AANES and ensure its survival as a liberalizing bastion of women’s rights in the Middle East. However, the AANES is landlocked and none of its neighbors areContinue reading “Ensuring the Survival of the AANES”

Aliyah Now or Later?

Alevis in Turkey are fed up with Mr. Erdogan’s Crypto-Islamist dictatorship and want to leave the country, yet currently have nowhere to go. The vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey are Alevis. Will quiet Western economic diplomatic pressure succeed in convincing Mr. Erdogan not to place obstacles in the way of Alevi Aliyah (immigration)Continue reading “Aliyah Now or Later?”

Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry

The Israel government keeps absolutely silent on the question of core Median Jewry and core Median Judaism and some may wonder why? Most Median Jews in the Middle East would not be negatively affected by an official Israeli recognition of core Median Jewry as Jewish. However, the situation of those Median Jews who live asContinue reading “Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry”

Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so

Tehran openly states that Israel faces disaster and most Israelis do not seem to believe the Iranians. As of writing, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is publicly training for a scenario where Hezbollah will unleash 2 000 projectiles a day for several weeks and where Hezbollah will commit chemical weapons attacks along the Israeli-Lebanese border.Continue reading “Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so”

Only Israel can Liberate Aram

The indigenous Aramean people of the Middle East has often suffered terrible persecution and oppression by Muslim rulers and their proxies. There is one region in the Middle East where the Arameans still make up the majority and that is the Mount Lebanon region of Lebanon. The Aramean people once lived throughout the Fertile CrescentContinue reading “Only Israel can Liberate Aram”

From Conceptzia to Victory

The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel.  For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”

Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”

The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea

The Israeli-allied AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) finds itself in a constant conflict situation with Erdogan who no doubt would want to occupy the entire AANES-held territory, yet he cannot because the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) are held back by the Israeli-allied Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus. This mustContinue reading “The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea”

Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?

Would it be responsible for the Israeli government to launch a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon in response to Hezbollah’s expected massive rocket/missile barrages against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023? To answer that question we must goContinue reading “Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?”

Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad

At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”

Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War

The main problem with a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon following Hezbollah’s upcoming massive missile assault on urban Israel will be the slow pace of the advancement of the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) due to its lack of heavy weapons, particularly tanks and artillery. While the SDF is highly motivated and theContinue reading “Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War”

What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?

Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”

Burning the Assets

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (b. 1939), the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is in an apocalyptic mood and is betting on the support of Allah. By ditching the JCPOA does he ensure that Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. By ordering Hezbollah to launch massive barrages of 150 000 rockets andContinue reading “Burning the Assets”

Tunnel Warfare

Iranian military intelligence is the brain behind Hamas and Hezbollah and the strategy of investing billions in building military tunnels. On the one hand is the strategy to build up a massive threat of rockets and missiles. On the other hand, do the Iranians understand that massive rocket/missile barrages will cause Israel to occupy GazaContinue reading “Tunnel Warfare”

Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah

Iran is preparing for a doomsday scenario and threatened on Sunday October 24, 2021 effectively that Tehran would order Hezbollah to launch its entire arsenal of 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israel should Israel attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program. The threat should be taken seriously just as Iran is also taking seriously theContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah”

What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad

Traditionally were the Alawites or the Nusayris as they were called until the 1920s known as “Ghulat” or so-called “extremist Shias”, meaning not Shias at all who pretended to believe that Ali was a divine incarnation, hardly an Islamic belief. This was part of the Pseudo-Islamic veneer of core Median Judaism to protect Median JewsContinue reading “What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad”

Peace Depends on Victory

The upcoming war between Israel and Hezbollah will likely lead to a wider war between the IDF-SDF and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” including Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Hezbollah, Lebanon and Syria. The outcome will lead to new borders of peace. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state and annex Median Jewish (Alawite andContinue reading “Peace Depends on Victory”

Resolving Gaza

Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon following a joint IDF-SDF campaign will add 4 million Jewish citizens to the population of Israel, something which will demographically permit Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. What then about Gaza? Should Gaza become a claustrophobic Palestinian mini-state?Continue reading “Resolving Gaza”

Israel’s Demographic Question

With the annexation of 4 million Median Jews (Alawites and Druze) in Syria and Lebanon after a joint IDF-SDF war against the forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism will Israel narrowly be able to demographically afford to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria where 2 million Palestinians live. In addition, there are 1 million Median JewsContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Question”

Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations

A joint IDF-SDF military campaign in Syria and Lebanon will lead to Israel’s annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. This in turn will resolve the Palestinian question as the addition of 4 million Median Jews to Israel’s citizenry will demographically allow Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire JudeaContinue reading “Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations”

Israel Expects Two-Front War

A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”

The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred

The upcoming Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear Iranian nuclear weapons program is a golden opportunity to also fundamentally transform the northern Levant and remove Iran from the regional equation. While it is necessary to destroy Hezbollah could it also be argued that Hezbollah’s destruction and the remaking of the northern Levant could be deferredContinue reading “The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred”

Tehran Suffers from Hubris

Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”

The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv

There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”

Liberating Lebanon

What is the situation in Lebanon 31 years after Hezbollah failed to honor the Taif Agreement which required disarming all militias? Hezbollah controls the military, the international airport, the seaports, the system of justice and even the government itself. Lebanon is not that far removed from being declared a Twelver Shia Islamist Republic as thatContinue reading “Liberating Lebanon”

Initiating a War of No Choice

Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”

The Failed State of Lebanon

The Lebanese civil war ended in 1990 and it eventually turned out that Hezbollah refused to abide by the Taif Agreement which it had signed and which stipulated that all Lebanese militias had to disarm. It ultimately turned out that Lebanon preferred peace with Hezbollah, the Jihadist terrorist organization over peace with Israel, Lebanon’s liberalContinue reading “The Failed State of Lebanon”

The Assad Regime is Suicidal

The Iranian regime approaches nuclear threshold status and that means that Israel will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran’s Lebanese proxy Hezbollah will respond by launching massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities. This will lead Israel to order the IDF (IsraelContinue reading “The Assad Regime is Suicidal”