For three decades the West mismanaged the Russia file. By expanding NATO and the EU eastwards without considering making Russia a candidate for membership in either organization, the West effectively created a monster in Moscow. The only real threat against Russia does not come from Europe and America but rather from China which in a few decades from now will be ready to conquer Siberia and the rest of Russia as part of its plan for world domination and conquest of thinly populated regions around the world fit for Han colonization. In order to prevent this, Russia believed it had to become strong enough to resist China twenty or thirty years from now by conquering Europe and turn its economic power into Russian political, military and economic muscles and hence the Ukraine war.
In order to contain China, the US superpower and its allies need to encircle China from all directions and for this Russia and its Central Asian allies are quite essential. The EU countries and even more Ukraine are currently completely irrelevant to this calculus and thus the US outreach to Russia. EU leaders need to recognize their own essential uselessness to the American superpower and take action accordingly to make themselves relevant. First, the problem is that US and EU interests on Ukraine and Russia drastically diverge because of Russia’s war on Ukraine which indeed was prompted by three decades of Western mismanagement of the Russia file. Second, Europe needs to choose sides between China and the USA. The Trump administration through its drastic Ukraine diplomacy risks pushing Europe into the arms of China. Third, the EU needs to create its own confederal military. The case for Europe aligning with China is in fact somewhat compelling. Most of the EU is densely populated and thus not fit for Han colonization and hence with the exception of Ireland, Finland and Sweden not on the table for Chinese conquest. Henceforth, Washington would be particularly well-advised to act less drastically in order to not disincentivize European allies. Russia has effectively drawn a wedge between Europe and America and Washington needs to encourage the European Union and its member nations to form a powerful confederal European military and join the emerging informal global military alliance against China.
Just as Israel during the Obama era threatened to defect to the Chinese camp, so can the EU educate the Trump administration about the importance of keeping the EU in the US camp and the fact that the US has abandoned Ukraine does not mean that the EU will or should act likewise. The EU should build an EU military and offer to militarily partner with the USA against China without abandoning its own territorial interests, including making sure that Russia is firmly kicked out of Ukraine. Brussels needs to rehabilitate its own alliance with Washington while much more effectively protect its own territorial interests, including especially in Ukraine.
Aliyah Organization 