Peculiar?

European governments are unhappy with Russia funding Communists and Nazis in their own countries but they do not seem to understand why Israel is unhappy with Europe funding Anti-Semites in Israel. Whoah? Are European governments and the European Union funding Anti-Semites in Israel? Yes, according to the EU-approved IHRA definition of Anti-Semitism and its 11Continue reading “Peculiar?”

Post-Putin Russia Must be Enticed to Democratize and Liberalize

As Ukraine is preparing for its 2023 Spring Offensive should the Western world already now form a policy for dealing with a defeated post-Putin Russia that has been kicked out of Ukraine. Yes, it appears that Vladimir Putin will not ever admit defeat and withdraw from occupied Ukraine but will fight till the last dropContinue reading “Post-Putin Russia Must be Enticed to Democratize and Liberalize”

Is it Legitimate for Biden to Protect Israeli Democracy?

Democracies should be looking out for each other whether the threats are internal or external. There is nothing exceptional about a government in a liberal democracy appointing judges to the supreme court, the problem is that the Israeli government intended to politicize the high court in its own favor. Of course, judicial review is notContinue reading “Is it Legitimate for Biden to Protect Israeli Democracy?”

Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other

The Israeli government is wrong in rejecting the European Union expressing concerns regarding the judicial overhaul considering that it has problematic aspects that need to fixed, preferably through a consensual comprise. The intention of Brussels is pure, they care about Israeli liberal democracy and any patriotic Israeli or friend of Israel certainly ought to welcomeContinue reading “Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other”

Will Putin be Unseated?

Many Western experts on Russia have suggested that President Putin will be unseated once Russia has lost the war in Ukraine. This is an interesting question because it is typically predicated on the false assumption that this is “Putin’s war” rather than “the GRU’s war”. Vladimir Putin is not a young man at age 70Continue reading “Will Putin be Unseated?”

Iran Must be Deterred and Contained

In light of the new Russo-Iranian Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Russia gets Europe and Iran gets the Arab world, it is necessary for threatened nations to reevaluate their relations with Iran. Saudi-Israeli peace and normalization can happen any day of the week once Washington and Riyadh agree on the terms and then the next step isContinue reading “Iran Must be Deterred and Contained”

What is the Kurdish Interest in WWIII?

What is the Kurdish interest in terms of the approaching WWIII? It should be noted that WWIII can still be prevented by crushing the Russian war machine in Ukraine. However, how should AANES and KRG maneuver in anticipation of WWIII? It should always be kept in mind that NES and KRI are embryonic Kurdish statesContinue reading “What is the Kurdish Interest in WWIII?”

The Success of Russian Psychological Warfare

Russia is currently suffering tactical military defeat on the battlefield in Ukraine and is exhausting its military assets. Yet the outcome is still a stalemate and a military deadlock on the battlefield. However, the Russians are prevailing on the strategic level because they are succeeding in their psychological warfare against NATO and the United States.Continue reading “The Success of Russian Psychological Warfare”

A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years

There is not much disagreement between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party on Russia and China and there won’t be on Iran once the negotiation track is definitely declared dead. What is needed is a threepronged bipartisan global strategy for the next 50 years. Russia, China and Iran each require a unique strategy ofContinue reading “A Bipartisan Strategy for Great Power Competition for the Next 50 Years”

Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States

Iran is bent on taking control over the Twelver eschatological region which includes the cities of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus where the Islamic messianic figures of the Mahdi (identified by Twelvers with the Hidden Imam), the Dajjal (the Deceitful Messiah) and Jesus are slated to appear at the conclusion of Islamic history. Control over thisContinue reading “Once Iran Conquers the Gulf States”

US-Saudi Defense Pact Will Enable US to Disengage from the Middle East

The US must make more demands from its allies around the world. They must invest far more in defense and engage more in collective security. In the case of the European Union they must build their own unified military capability to wean themselves off dependence on America. While the US needs to commit to defendContinue reading “US-Saudi Defense Pact Will Enable US to Disengage from the Middle East”

The West Needs to Shift Paradigm on Ukraine Military Funding

The outcome of the current level of Western militarily deliveries to Kyiv is to effectively keep democratic Ukraine on life support and produce a deadlock between Russia and Ukraine. The Armed Forces of Ukraine (ZSU) are highly capable, professional, motivated and able to defeat Russia and kick out every last occupying Russian soldier from sovereignContinue reading “The West Needs to Shift Paradigm on Ukraine Military Funding”

Appeasement is Dangerous

There are more and more diplomatically influential Westerners who behind the political curtains make the case that Ukraine will need to make territorial concessions to Russia in order to attain peace. This completely misunderstands the conflict which is a zero-sum game where both parties to the conflict want the entire Ukraine and are completely unwillingContinue reading “Appeasement is Dangerous”

Putin Must be Humiliated to Change Course

There are voices coming out of Europe claiming that Russian president Vladimir Putin must be saved from “humiliation” in order to protect the potential for a negotiated solution. Nothing could be more wrong, in contrast what is required is a comprehensive military defeat for Moscow in Ukraine whereby the last Russian soldier is kicked outContinue reading “Putin Must be Humiliated to Change Course”

There is Nothing to Negotiate

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has long made it known that the conflict will ostensibly end at the negotiating table. It is a common tactic for parties to armed conflicts to give an impression of being open to “negotiations” and “compromise” in order to garner international sympathy. However, in this case is it ill-advised because itContinue reading “There is Nothing to Negotiate”

President Biden Should Hire Jared Kushner

While it is certainly legitimate to be critical of the Trump administration, what is indisputable is Jared Kushner’s vital role in advancing normalization between Israel and Muslim nations. Jared Kushner gained tremendous trust in the Muslim world, including in Riyadh and when the Biden administration came into office the wave of normalization came to anContinue reading “President Biden Should Hire Jared Kushner”

Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence

Under what conditions would Russia be willing to use tactical nuclear weapons? It is important to understand that nuclear weapons are mainly psychological weapons. They are meant for psychological deterrence, mainly not to be used, as using strategic nuclear weapons is out of question in Europe. This surely opens the question under what circumstances andContinue reading “Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence”

Putin’s Gazprom Gambit

Russia’s illegal cancellation of its contracts for delivery of natural gas to Poland and Bulgaria is a transparent attempt at divide and rule. Moscow is trying to divide EU nations among themselves in an attempt to deter the West from providing Ukraine with more heavy weapons. Of course, Russia will not cancel its deliveries ofContinue reading “Putin’s Gazprom Gambit”

Every Inch of Ukrainian Territory

The US government has since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine famously rhetorically committed to the defense of “every inch of NATO territory”. The US policy in defense of Ukraine has been more ambiguous and which aims at “slowing down the Russian advance”. However at one point the Ukrainians decided to go on theContinue reading “Every Inch of Ukrainian Territory”

Russia Must be Defeated at all Cost

British prime minister Boris Johnson remarked the other day that there was a “realistic possibility” that Russia would win the war against Ukraine. We must make sure that this does not happen under any circumstances and the effective policy of underarming Ukraine must cease. President Zelensky should not have to complain about having insufficient weaponryContinue reading “Russia Must be Defeated at all Cost”

The Case for a Tripartite Democratic World Order

The rise of the three neo-imperialist powers of China, Iran and Russia and the inevitability that China will eventually grow more powerful than America due to China’s greater demographic size once Beijing begins to economically catch up with Washington requires a new world order. Rather than one democratic superpower should we envision a world orderContinue reading “The Case for a Tripartite Democratic World Order”

The West Should Deter Russia and Not Vice Versa

Russia has finally launched its Donbas offensive with much of the Russian army in place in eastern Ukraine. The United States and its NATO allies have had ample time to fully arm Ukraine since the February 24 invasion but have not done even remotely enough for fear of angering Moscow. Russia has been quite successfulContinue reading “The West Should Deter Russia and Not Vice Versa”

Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine

Moscow is infamous for its worldwide disinformation campaigns. Not only was it Czarist Russian intelligence which devised the infamous forgery of “The Protocols of the Elders of Zion” and Soviet intelligence (or even Josef Stalin himself) which coined the neologism “dezinformatsiya”. The KGB through Operation SIG is also also the origin of most contemporary Anti-Semitism,Continue reading “Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine”

How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran

Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”

There is no Alternative to Total Victory

Although there are ongoing so-called “negotiations” between Ukraine and Russia while Russia is pulverizing Ukrainian cities, it is clear that there is no alternative to the total liberation of Ukraine. Furthermore, there is in practice no alternative to full Ukrainian membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union. The ephemeral talk ofContinue reading “There is no Alternative to Total Victory”

The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia

In 2021 Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman al-Saud made a generous offer to US National Security Advisory Jake Sullivan. MBS offered to normalize relations with Israel in return for a list of demands for so-called “incentives” (i.e. security guarantees and weapons sales). The Americans not only inexplicably turned down the generous offer but apparently rudelyContinue reading “The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia”

Why Russia does not Want to Change Course

Two decades ago, Vladimir Putin asked the West to allow Russia to become a member of NATO. This informal request was promptly rebuffed. What view does Russia take of the option of a US-led Asian defense alliance encircling China? For Russia this is primarily a question of lack of trust or to put it differently,Continue reading “Why Russia does not Want to Change Course”

How Important is Russian Imperialism?

Russia remains stuck in the Ukrainian quagmire and now the Ukrainians are going on the offensive to retake Russian-occupied territories. Moscow however remains defiant in refusing to acknowledge defeat. It is abundantly clear that Russia’s astounding military failure is as much because of the incompetence, corruption and low morale of the Russian occupation forces asContinue reading “How Important is Russian Imperialism?”

China’s Planned Conquests

China is not only expansionist in an economic sense. Densely populated China is bordered by thinly populated vast territories rich in natural resources to its west and north which are completely irresistible to Han China. China is a highly sophisticated state which has learned the lesson of historical empires and Beijing knows the dangers ofContinue reading “China’s Planned Conquests”

Israel Does its Part by Receiving Jewish Refugees from Ukraine

There is no need for Israel to receive refugees from Ukraine not eligible under Israel’s Law of Return. The European Union has completely opened its door to the influx of refugees from Ukraine with no questions asked. Israel is doing its part in providing a refuge to fleeing Ukrainians by accepting those eligible under theContinue reading “Israel Does its Part by Receiving Jewish Refugees from Ukraine”

It’s not About Ukraine – It’s About Europe

Russian propaganda has been successful in spreading the misconception that the current conflict is about Ukraine. Baltic governments have been consistently warning that the invasion of Ukraine is merely the opening salvo of WWIII. This is a classical war of imperial conquest. Russian propaganda claims that Europe is interested in conquering Russian wealth but thisContinue reading “It’s not About Ukraine – It’s About Europe”

Inside the Mind of Vladimir Putin

There has been a wide range of attempts to pathologize Russian president Vladimir Putin to explain the Ukraine war. It is surprising that otherwise rational and highly educated observers assume that the Russian system suddenly operates without an elaborate strategy. Putin’s Russia has always been similar in its geostrategic behavior to the former Soviet Union,Continue reading “Inside the Mind of Vladimir Putin”

Ukraine’s Israel Moment

In 1948 the world assumed that the Jews were finished and faced imminent defeat and almost no one wanted to supply Israel with weapons. Similarly in 1967, Israel’s great power ally France assumed that Israel faced defeat and ended all weapons deliveries to Israel. However, Israel gained international respect when it proved that it couldContinue reading “Ukraine’s Israel Moment”

The World from the Perspective of Beijing

Beijing is in the phase of building itself up as a superpower economically, politically, militarily and technologically. How does Beijing relate to Washington? China is not really hostile towards America but is determined to overtake the United States as the only superpower. China has not yet reached the phase of territorial expansion and has noContinue reading “The World from the Perspective of Beijing”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Imperialist Plans of Expansionism

Iran, China and Russia are all neo-imperialist powers and they intend to geographically expand in accordance with their respective geostrategic master plans. America in contrast which is no empire and has no imperialist designs has no master plan across presidencies for its foreign policy since every new president in the 21st century has devised hisContinue reading “Imperialist Plans of Expansionism”

Chemical Genocide

Iranian officials constantly repeat their intention to “annihilate Israel” and say that “Israel will be destroyed” if it attacks the Iranian nuclear weapons program. What does the regime mean? They are referring to the mass use of chemical weapons against Israeli cities. Iran is convinced that Israel and the United States are bluffing and thatContinue reading “Chemical Genocide”

Russia Deters America in Ukraine

Why is America not admitting Ukraine to NATO and putting an end to the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine? The US should militarily deter Russia from invading Ukraine yet it is the US that has ended up deterred by Russia. The Biden administration wields the threat of economic sanctions against Russia despite PresidentContinue reading “Russia Deters America in Ukraine”

Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?

Middle Eastern governments are convinced that the Biden administration is intent on continuing the Trump administration policy of disengagement from Islamdom, yet the US government denies this. Who should we believe? Assuming that the governments of the region are correct in their unanimous assessment of US intentions, a plausible explanation would then be that theContinue reading “Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?”

The Need for Planning and Enforcement

There is a rampant unauthorized Arab construction both in Israel and in Judea and Samaria. A major reason is lack of master plans in Arab localities both in Israel and in Judea and Samaria. Legislation has just passed in the Knesset authorizing hooking up illegally constructed homes in Israel to the electricity grid. The amountContinue reading “The Need for Planning and Enforcement”

Implement the IHRA Definition

“Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist endeavor.” Example from the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance definition of Anti-Semitism Many governments (including the European Union) have formally affirmed and endorsed the IHRA (International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance) definition of Anti-Semitism. Yet mostContinue reading “Implement the IHRA Definition”

How to Stop Climate Change

The political efforts to stop climate change worldwide have so far been an astounding failure and will no doubt continue to fail. The notion that the effort to counter climate change is mainly a task for governments is a misconception. This misconstrues the essential role for governments in countering climate change. What then should governmentsContinue reading “How to Stop Climate Change”

Are Palestinian Negotiators Flexible?

Palestinian diplomats have persuaded diplomats from Europe and many nations that Palestinian negotiators are actually highly flexible. The only thing this proves is that Palestinian diplomats are highly adept at diplomatic deception. Every time there has been an attempted final status negotiation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority have Palestinian negotiators demanded that Israel capitulateContinue reading “Are Palestinian Negotiators Flexible?”

No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime

The last Ba’athist regime is run by members of the Alawite community in Syria, one of nine denominations of core Median Judaism. Yet, the Ba’athist regime despite being controlled by persons who are halakhically Jewish promote vile Anti-Semitism. Ba’athist Syria is allied with Khomeinist Iran, originally due to the strange misconception that Alawites ostensibly areContinue reading “No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime”

The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom

The perception of the American interest in the Middle East is shifting. Once was the American interest in the Gulf in supporting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states based almost entirely on the provision of oil to America by the Gulf states. America is no longer dependent on Gulf oil since America is now energyContinue reading “The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom”

Dual Tracks for Alevi Freedom

Israel fears officially recognizing Alevis and other Median Jews as Jewish and eligible for immigration to Israel due the concern that the Muslim Brotherhood-controlled Crypto-Islamist AKP regime will impose severe obstacles to Alevi and other Median Jewish Aliyah (immigration) to Israel. This is a well-founded fear as Erdogan does not want Alevis and other MedianContinue reading “Dual Tracks for Alevi Freedom”

The New Equation for Middle East Peace

Israel should formally agree to the resolution of most aspects of the Palestinian question in return for the West’s diplomatic assistance with Israel’s full reunification with Median Jewry as Israel cannot open the gates to Median Jewish emigration to Israel on its own. This requires sustained Western diplomatic economic pressure on Turkey to not placeContinue reading “The New Equation for Middle East Peace”

The So-Called “Refugee Question” is at the Core of the Conflict

It is popular to claim that the strategically located restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria are obstacles to peace when the Kushner peace map proves that those indigenous communities are perfectly compatible with a two-state solution and would all become part of Israel under that peace plan. Rather, anyone who has spent time criticallyContinue reading “The So-Called “Refugee Question” is at the Core of the Conflict”

Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust

Erdogan is notorious for his hatred of Alevis and the revelation less than a decade ago that Alevis are Jews has only exacerbated the hatred the Anti-Semitic Erdogan holds for the Alevi people. Alevis make up the vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey with the rest being Alawites, Alians, Bektashis (including Sabbateans), Yarsanis andContinue reading “Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust”

Will There be a Civil War in Turkey After the Elections in 2023?

The economy in Turkey is not doing well with high inflation and the expectation at this point is that Erdogan and the AKP will lose the 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections. Alevis in Turkey fear that Erdogan will not accept the election results and will start a civil war as intended to lead to anContinue reading “Will There be a Civil War in Turkey After the Elections in 2023?”