Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence

Under what conditions would Russia be willing to use tactical nuclear weapons? It is important to understand that nuclear weapons are mainly psychological weapons. They are meant for psychological deterrence, mainly not to be used, as using strategic nuclear weapons is out of question in Europe. This surely opens the question under what circumstances andContinue reading “Russia’s Successful Nuclear Deterrence”

Putin’s Gazprom Gambit

Russia’s illegal cancellation of its contracts for delivery of natural gas to Poland and Bulgaria is a transparent attempt at divide and rule. Moscow is trying to divide EU nations among themselves in an attempt to deter the West from providing Ukraine with more heavy weapons. Of course, Russia will not cancel its deliveries ofContinue reading “Putin’s Gazprom Gambit”

Every Inch of Ukrainian Territory

The US government has since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine famously rhetorically committed to the defense of “every inch of NATO territory”. The US policy in defense of Ukraine has been more ambiguous and which aims at “slowing down the Russian advance”. However at one point the Ukrainians decided to go on theContinue reading “Every Inch of Ukrainian Territory”

Russia Must be Defeated at all Cost

British prime minister Boris Johnson remarked the other day that there was a “realistic possibility” that Russia would win the war against Ukraine. We must make sure that this does not happen under any circumstances and the effective policy of underarming Ukraine must cease. President Zelensky should not have to complain about having insufficient weaponryContinue reading “Russia Must be Defeated at all Cost”

The Case for a Tripartite Democratic World Order

The rise of the three neo-imperialist powers of China, Iran and Russia and the inevitability that China will eventually grow more powerful than America due to China’s greater demographic size once Beijing begins to economically catch up with Washington requires a new world order. Rather than one democratic superpower should we envision a world orderContinue reading “The Case for a Tripartite Democratic World Order”

The West Should Deter Russia and Not Vice Versa

Russia has finally launched its Donbas offensive with much of the Russian army in place in eastern Ukraine. The United States and its NATO allies have had ample time to fully arm Ukraine since the February 24 invasion but have not done even remotely enough for fear of angering Moscow. Russia has been quite successfulContinue reading “The West Should Deter Russia and Not Vice Versa”

Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine

Moscow is infamous for its worldwide disinformation campaigns. Not only was it Czarist Russian intelligence which devised the infamous forgery of “The Protocols of the Elders of Zion” and Soviet intelligence (or even Josef Stalin himself) which coined the neologism “dezinformatsiya”. The KGB through Operation SIG is also also the origin of most contemporary Anti-Semitism,Continue reading “Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine”

How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran

Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”

There is no Alternative to Total Victory

Although there are ongoing so-called “negotiations” between Ukraine and Russia while Russia is pulverizing Ukrainian cities, it is clear that there is no alternative to the total liberation of Ukraine. Furthermore, there is in practice no alternative to full Ukrainian membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union. The ephemeral talk ofContinue reading “There is no Alternative to Total Victory”

The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia

In 2021 Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman al-Saud made a generous offer to US National Security Advisory Jake Sullivan. MBS offered to normalize relations with Israel in return for a list of demands for so-called “incentives” (i.e. security guarantees and weapons sales). The Americans not only inexplicably turned down the generous offer but apparently rudelyContinue reading “The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia”

Why Russia does not Want to Change Course

Two decades ago, Vladimir Putin asked the West to allow Russia to become a member of NATO. This informal request was promptly rebuffed. What view does Russia take of the option of a US-led Asian defense alliance encircling China? For Russia this is primarily a question of lack of trust or to put it differently,Continue reading “Why Russia does not Want to Change Course”

How Important is Russian Imperialism?

Russia remains stuck in the Ukrainian quagmire and now the Ukrainians are going on the offensive to retake Russian-occupied territories. Moscow however remains defiant in refusing to acknowledge defeat. It is abundantly clear that Russia’s astounding military failure is as much because of the incompetence, corruption and low morale of the Russian occupation forces asContinue reading “How Important is Russian Imperialism?”

China’s Planned Conquests

China is not only expansionist in an economic sense. Densely populated China is bordered by thinly populated vast territories rich in natural resources to its west and north which are completely irresistible to Han China. China is a highly sophisticated state which has learned the lesson of historical empires and Beijing knows the dangers ofContinue reading “China’s Planned Conquests”

Israel Does its Part by Receiving Jewish Refugees from Ukraine

There is no need for Israel to receive refugees from Ukraine not eligible under Israel’s Law of Return. The European Union has completely opened its door to the influx of refugees from Ukraine with no questions asked. Israel is doing its part in providing a refuge to fleeing Ukrainians by accepting those eligible under theContinue reading “Israel Does its Part by Receiving Jewish Refugees from Ukraine”

It’s not About Ukraine – It’s About Europe

Russian propaganda has been successful in spreading the misconception that the current conflict is about Ukraine. Baltic governments have been consistently warning that the invasion of Ukraine is merely the opening salvo of WWIII. This is a classical war of imperial conquest. Russian propaganda claims that Europe is interested in conquering Russian wealth but thisContinue reading “It’s not About Ukraine – It’s About Europe”

Inside the Mind of Vladimir Putin

There has been a wide range of attempts to pathologize Russian president Vladimir Putin to explain the Ukraine war. It is surprising that otherwise rational and highly educated observers assume that the Russian system suddenly operates without an elaborate strategy. Putin’s Russia has always been similar in its geostrategic behavior to the former Soviet Union,Continue reading “Inside the Mind of Vladimir Putin”

Ukraine’s Israel Moment

In 1948 the world assumed that the Jews were finished and faced imminent defeat and almost no one wanted to supply Israel with weapons. Similarly in 1967, Israel’s great power ally France assumed that Israel faced defeat and ended all weapons deliveries to Israel. However, Israel gained international respect when it proved that it couldContinue reading “Ukraine’s Israel Moment”

The World from the Perspective of Beijing

Beijing is in the phase of building itself up as a superpower economically, politically, militarily and technologically. How does Beijing relate to Washington? China is not really hostile towards America but is determined to overtake the United States as the only superpower. China has not yet reached the phase of territorial expansion and has noContinue reading “The World from the Perspective of Beijing”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Imperialist Plans of Expansionism

Iran, China and Russia are all neo-imperialist powers and they intend to geographically expand in accordance with their respective geostrategic master plans. America in contrast which is no empire and has no imperialist designs has no master plan across presidencies for its foreign policy since every new president in the 21st century has devised hisContinue reading “Imperialist Plans of Expansionism”

Chemical Genocide

Iranian officials constantly repeat their intention to “annihilate Israel” and say that “Israel will be destroyed” if it attacks the Iranian nuclear weapons program. What does the regime mean? They are referring to the mass use of chemical weapons against Israeli cities. Iran is convinced that Israel and the United States are bluffing and thatContinue reading “Chemical Genocide”

Russia Deters America in Ukraine

Why is America not admitting Ukraine to NATO and putting an end to the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine? The US should militarily deter Russia from invading Ukraine yet it is the US that has ended up deterred by Russia. The Biden administration wields the threat of economic sanctions against Russia despite PresidentContinue reading “Russia Deters America in Ukraine”

Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?

Middle Eastern governments are convinced that the Biden administration is intent on continuing the Trump administration policy of disengagement from Islamdom, yet the US government denies this. Who should we believe? Assuming that the governments of the region are correct in their unanimous assessment of US intentions, a plausible explanation would then be that theContinue reading “Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?”

The Need for Planning and Enforcement

There is a rampant unauthorized Arab construction both in Israel and in Judea and Samaria. A major reason is lack of master plans in Arab localities both in Israel and in Judea and Samaria. Legislation has just passed in the Knesset authorizing hooking up illegally constructed homes in Israel to the electricity grid. The amountContinue reading “The Need for Planning and Enforcement”

Implement the IHRA Definition

“Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist endeavor.” Example from the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance definition of Anti-Semitism Many governments (including the European Union) have formally affirmed and endorsed the IHRA (International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance) definition of Anti-Semitism. Yet mostContinue reading “Implement the IHRA Definition”

How to Stop Climate Change

The political efforts to stop climate change worldwide have so far been an astounding failure and will no doubt continue to fail. The notion that the effort to counter climate change is mainly a task for governments is a misconception. This misconstrues the essential role for governments in countering climate change. What then should governmentsContinue reading “How to Stop Climate Change”

Are Palestinian Negotiators Flexible?

Palestinian diplomats have persuaded diplomats from Europe and many nations that Palestinian negotiators are actually highly flexible. The only thing this proves is that Palestinian diplomats are highly adept at diplomatic deception. Every time there has been an attempted final status negotiation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority have Palestinian negotiators demanded that Israel capitulateContinue reading “Are Palestinian Negotiators Flexible?”

No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime

The last Ba’athist regime is run by members of the Alawite community in Syria, one of nine denominations of core Median Judaism. Yet, the Ba’athist regime despite being controlled by persons who are halakhically Jewish promote vile Anti-Semitism. Ba’athist Syria is allied with Khomeinist Iran, originally due to the strange misconception that Alawites ostensibly areContinue reading “No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime”

The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom

The perception of the American interest in the Middle East is shifting. Once was the American interest in the Gulf in supporting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states based almost entirely on the provision of oil to America by the Gulf states. America is no longer dependent on Gulf oil since America is now energyContinue reading “The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom”

Dual Tracks for Alevi Freedom

Israel fears officially recognizing Alevis and other Median Jews as Jewish and eligible for immigration to Israel due the concern that the Muslim Brotherhood-controlled Crypto-Islamist AKP regime will impose severe obstacles to Alevi and other Median Jewish Aliyah (immigration) to Israel. This is a well-founded fear as Erdogan does not want Alevis and other MedianContinue reading “Dual Tracks for Alevi Freedom”

The New Equation for Middle East Peace

Israel should formally agree to the resolution of most aspects of the Palestinian question in return for the West’s diplomatic assistance with Israel’s full reunification with Median Jewry as Israel cannot open the gates to Median Jewish emigration to Israel on its own. This requires sustained Western diplomatic economic pressure on Turkey to not placeContinue reading “The New Equation for Middle East Peace”

The So-Called “Refugee Question” is at the Core of the Conflict

It is popular to claim that the strategically located restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria are obstacles to peace when the Kushner peace map proves that those indigenous communities are perfectly compatible with a two-state solution and would all become part of Israel under that peace plan. Rather, anyone who has spent time criticallyContinue reading “The So-Called “Refugee Question” is at the Core of the Conflict”

Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust

Erdogan is notorious for his hatred of Alevis and the revelation less than a decade ago that Alevis are Jews has only exacerbated the hatred the Anti-Semitic Erdogan holds for the Alevi people. Alevis make up the vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey with the rest being Alawites, Alians, Bektashis (including Sabbateans), Yarsanis andContinue reading “Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust”

Will There be a Civil War in Turkey After the Elections in 2023?

The economy in Turkey is not doing well with high inflation and the expectation at this point is that Erdogan and the AKP will lose the 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections. Alevis in Turkey fear that Erdogan will not accept the election results and will start a civil war as intended to lead to anContinue reading “Will There be a Civil War in Turkey After the Elections in 2023?”

Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry

Prior to the historical rediscovery of core Median Jewry were the remnants of Median Judaism around the world viewed with certain scepticism by official Israel. Scholars have even in recent years begun to claim that similarities with rabbinic Judaism are pure coincidence.  However, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry and the seven denominations of coreContinue reading “Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry”

The Threat of Sanctions Have the Power to Free Turkey’s Median Jewry

The story of the ten Israelite tribes as deported by the ancient Assyrians is the greatest story of human history and the most remarkable thing about it is that their descendants are still with us today 27 centuries later. In fact, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry as Jews (i.e. Alawites, Alevis, Alians, Bektashis, Druze,Continue reading “The Threat of Sanctions Have the Power to Free Turkey’s Median Jewry”

Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate

Josep Borrell, the EU foreign affairs commissioner does not want to think in terms of Plan Bs. But how does he imagine that Iran would even have an incentive to negotiate without a Plan B and without an international community united around a Plan B as a strategic deterrence? When saying that he refuses toContinue reading “Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate”

The Kemalist Politics of Turkey

Turkey has a complex political system just under the surface. The two main forces are the Crypto-Sabbatean Derin Devlet (Turkish for ‘Deep State’) and the Muslim Brotherhood Crypto-Islamist AKP. Turkey has been characterized by undercover intelligence warfare since 2003, indeed intense power struggle between the two camps which both purport to be so-called “Kemalists”. InContinue reading “The Kemalist Politics of Turkey”

A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA

There is no reason to mourn the imminent passing of the JCPOA. In fact, a no-fly zone is a much better option than the JCPOA. The JCPOA was set to expire in 2030, a no-fly zone will only expire when the Khomeinist regime falls. The JCPOA allowed Iran to maintain its nuclear weapons program, aContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA”

Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel

Turkey’s minority Median Jewish population (Alawites, Alevis, Alians, Bektashis [including Sabbateans], Yarsanis and Yezidis) numbers in the doubles digits percentage of the Turkish population and the AKP regime will no doubt close its borders to Jewish emigration to Israel if Israel officially recognizes Turkey’s Median Jewish population as eligible for Aliyah (immigration) to Israel. ThereContinue reading “Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel”

Islamism is Tearing Europe Apart

Islamdom has since the 1980s been a civilization in crisis since the modern totalitarian political ideology of Islamism came into the vogue. The popularity of Islamism has also affected Europe which has increasingly imported Islamism as well. Many European Muslims live in segregated neighborhoods where they are exposed to Islamist processes of Islamization and theirContinue reading “Islamism is Tearing Europe Apart”

Sharing the Burden

It is unreasonable that US allies should not be able to collectively defend themselves.  European Union member countries each need to create an Office for the Protection of the Constitution on the German model as well as institute a joint confederal military. The extreme reliance on US troops to defend the EU is intolerable. WhyContinue reading “Sharing the Burden”

Harming Israel does not help the Palestinians

For 73 years have Palestinian nationalists and other Anti-Zionists worldwide peddled the ingrained myth that harming Israel militarily, security-wise, politically, economically, culturally and academically will somehow help the Palestinians. It just does not work that way. No effort at harming Israel has ever helped the Palestinians. It has been tried over and over again forContinue reading “Harming Israel does not help the Palestinians”