Will Erdogan Lose in 2023?

Turkish opinion polls show that Erdogan and the AKP might lose the parliamentary and presidential elections scheduled for 2023, despite Erdogan controlling all mass media in the country. This would likely mean that the country would get its first Alevi president in Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the chairperson of the social democratic, post-Kemalist CHP (Republican People’s Party).Continue reading “Will Erdogan Lose in 2023?”

Glasnost in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia has in recent years undergone a rapid process of liberalization, in particular relating to the status of women. Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman has recently even allowed a mixed gender beach – which permits bikinis – in Jeddah at the Red Sea. At the same time is there an international organized campaign againstContinue reading “Glasnost in Saudi Arabia”

The Kemalist Politics of Turkey

Turkey has a complex political system just under the surface. The two main forces are the Crypto-Sabbatean Derin Devlet (Turkish for ‘Deep State’) and the Muslim Brotherhood Crypto-Islamist AKP. Turkey has been characterized by undercover intelligence warfare since 2003, indeed intense power struggle between the two camps which both purport to be so-called “Kemalists”. InContinue reading “The Kemalist Politics of Turkey”

It’s the Paradigm Stupid!

Why is it that sophisticated and seasoned international diplomats from the P5+1 and beyond insist on believing that Iran will eventually at “the last moment” return to the so-called “negotiations” in Vienna? How can it be that experienced statesmen pay credence to Iran’s bald-faced lies about “soon” returning to negotiations at the same time asContinue reading “It’s the Paradigm Stupid!”

Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel

Turkey’s minority Median Jewish population (Alawites, Alevis, Alians, Bektashis [including Sabbateans], Yarsanis and Yezidis) numbers in the doubles digits percentage of the Turkish population and the AKP regime will no doubt close its borders to Jewish emigration to Israel if Israel officially recognizes Turkey’s Median Jewish population as eligible for Aliyah (immigration) to Israel. ThereContinue reading “Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel”

Median Jews are not Muslims

Islam is a religion with four branches, Sunni, Shia, Ibadi (in Oman) and Mutazili. There are four surviving schools (Arabic: madhhab) within Sunni Islamic jurisprudence (Arabic: fiqh). These are Hanafi, Hanbali, Maliki and Shafi’i. In addition are there the heterodox Sunni Ahmadiyya who believe that the expected Mahdi (messiah) has already arrived. Ahmadiyya are neverthelessContinue reading “Median Jews are not Muslims”