The Syrian regime is controlled by a clique of assimilated ethnic Alawites supported by a wider class of Alawite military officers yet the ruling Alawite clique promotes the assimilation of the Alawite people into Islam. How can this be reconciled? First thing is this highly peculiar since the Ba’athist ideology was a secularist ideology to begin with and its founders were of diverse religious origins. Michel Aflaq (1910-1989) was a Greek Orthodox Christian, Zaki al-Arsuzi (1899-1968) was an Alawite and Salah al-Din al-Bitar (1912-1980) was a Sunni Muslim. Saddam Hussein (1937-2006) later introduced elements of sharia law in his rule in Ba’athist Iraq however, including cutting off hands off thieves.
Yet why would members of the Crypto-Jewish Alawite community in power in Damascus promote the effective disappearance of their own people? The answer is Jewish self-hatred, something which has indeed historically characterized this clique such as in their fanatical promotion of genocidal Anti-Zionism against Israel. The question of course is do they any long believe in Anti-Zionism? Some may but most likely do not just as they do not believe in Islam. It’s all a propaganda facade. Why then did Syrian dictator Hafez al-Assad (1930-2000) and his son and successor as dictator Bashar al-Assad (b. 1965) promote Islamization of the Alawite people if they did not believe in Islam?
There is no ready explanation other than that they are yet other irrationational historical oppressors of the Alawite people which have suffered so much throughout history including most recently during the Ottoman period when they were marginalized, persecuted and severely oppressed for being non-Muslims.
The regime has reached a post-ideological level where most members of the regime no longer believe in the official ideologies of Ba’athism, socialism, Anti-Zionism and Pan-Arabism. The alliance with the genocidally Anti-Semitic regime in Tehran was always a marriage of convenience but as Jewish identity in the Alawite community has emerged in the past half decade may this have become increasingly uncomfortable for both sides. It is certainly a peculiar situation for Tehran to be allied with what is effectively a Jewish government. Of course they are united by their common Anti-Semitic official ideology as they scarcely have nothing else in common.
As Iran races to enrich enough uranium to produce a nuclear weapon and Israel in a parallel races to develop the capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program in investing billions of shekels does Israel increasingly nears the point where it will preemptively strike against the Iranian nuclear weapons program and Iran will order its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities.
Israel will have little choice but to order the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to launch an operation in cooperation with the allied SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) of the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) to liberate Lebanon and Syria from the Anti-Semitic forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state in parts of Lebanon as the successor state of Lebanon and will annex the Median Jewish (Druze and Alawite) regions of Syria and Lebanon while the new PYD (Democratic Union Party Party) government in Damascus will annex the remainder of Lebanon.
Is there a possibility that the self-hating Alawite elite will repent and return to their own Alawite roots which are Median Jewish roots? There is distinctly such a possibility. Is there a possibility of avoiding war in Syria and the Alawite elite agreeing to a peaceful partition of Syria between Israel and the AANES? The option exists and there is such a possibility because the only other possibility is utter and total defeat for the Alawite regime, indeed complete perdition. The question should legitimately be asked, what would be the point of literally losing everything when they could keep their private material assets under a binding international agreement with Israel and the AANES that would also grant them legal immunity for crimes committed in an official capacity? The Syrian regime stands no chance whatsoever of winning a war against the combined forces of the IDF and the SDF. With IAF (Israeli Air Force) air support will the SDF absolutely prevail against the SAA (Syrian Arab Army).
There is no question that the Alawites and the Druze of Syria will welcome the IDF as liberators from the Islamizing Ba’ath regime. The totalitarian Ba’ath regime are dreadful oppressor turncoats who seek to turn the Druze and the Alawites of Syria into Muslims against their own will despite those regime leaders not being Muslims themselves and certainly not believing in Islam. It is rather pure unreason.