I have in this diplomatic blog recently suggested a different two-state solution than the conventional one usually implied whereby Israel is reduced to the indefensible Jordanian-Israeli 1949 armistice lines. The latter will never happen for a number of reasons. 1) It is not in the interest of Israel’s survival to be reduced to the AuschwitzContinue reading “The Equation”
Monthly Archives: September 2026
MBS’ Failure
Imagine if there had been an established regional defense alliance involving Israel, the countries of the Arabian peninsula and other Arab states threatened by Iran and its proxies in the Middle East before the outbreak of the 2026 Iran war? Any attack on one member state would be construed as an attack on all memberContinue reading “MBS’ Failure”
Deconstructing a Failed European Paradigm
The prevailing European assumption is that Jerusalem decides whether there will be a Palestinian state while Ramallah determines its borders. They have not considered whether the reverse is true, meaning that Palestinians could well have a state if they de-radicalized (the vast majority of Israelis would support it and it is thus an exclusively PalestinianContinue reading “Deconstructing a Failed European Paradigm”
MBS needs to Draw Conclusions
Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman Al Saud needs to draw conclusions from KSA’s current predicament. The Mecca Pact is a joke with no substance whatsoever and MBS should have understood this before signing this nonsense. Before the October 7, 2023 massacre MBS was laser-focused on normalization with Israel and then it became too domestically controversial.Continue reading “MBS needs to Draw Conclusions”
Whither a Palestinian State?
Will a Palestinian state 1) ever come into being and 2) what will be its borders? 1) The first question depends entirely and exclusively on Palestinians. Currently, if hypothetically speaking a Palestinian state came into existence it would be an Iranian terrorist proxy run by Hamas for the simple reason that about half of allContinue reading “Whither a Palestinian State?”
Open Letter to Friedrich Merz and Lars Klingbeil
The AfD victory in Saxony-Anhalt pushes the question whether the same thing could happen in the rest of Germany, including in federal elections and the answer is that it probably will because German immigration policy is out of sync with public opinion in Germany and there are tremendous problems with immigrant integration and subsequent massContinue reading “Open Letter to Friedrich Merz and Lars Klingbeil”
Regime Change through Intelligence Warfare
Israel has considerable intelligence capacities inside Iran, including oppositional structures supporting regime change in Iran. The US also has significant intelligence power inside Iran but probably less focused on a popular revolution since all US presidents since 1979 have officially opposed regime change in Iran. Israeli regime change structures inside Iran are therefore more entrenchedContinue reading “Regime Change through Intelligence Warfare”
