A Multifront War

Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”

Explaining the Next Gaza War

Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations?  Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”

The Iranian Waves Plan

What is the Iranian game plan for chemical weapons attacks against perceived and actual adversaries in response to the Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and an allied imposition of a no-fly zone over Iran? It is virtually impossible to stop the Iranian provision of chemical weapons to sleeper cells in countries aroundContinue reading “The Iranian Waves Plan”

America will not Elude Iranian Attacks

The JCPOA was quite effective in deferring the Iranian WMD mass terrorist threat. It could be argued that the JCPOA therefore constituted effectual appeasement despite constituting a temporary deferral and effectively selling out the existential interests of America’s Middle Eastern allies. There is no way to repeat the JCPOA trick as Iran is well awareContinue reading “America will not Elude Iranian Attacks”

A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking

The establishment of a no-fly zone over Iran will allow for intermittent attacks against Iranian nuclear facilities so as to prevent the Iranian nuclear weapons program from ever recovering after having been destroyed by the IAF (Israeli Air Force). A no-fly zone will furthermore provide air support to armed rebellions against the Khomeinist regime. ThereContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking”

Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence

Why would the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) be willing to allow the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) to participate in a joint strategic operation with the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to liberate Syria and Lebanon from the totalitarian forces of Ba’athism and Khomeinism? Why would the YPG (People’s Defense Units) and theContinue reading “Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence”

Only Israel can Liberate Aram

The indigenous Aramean people of the Middle East has often suffered terrible persecution and oppression by Muslim rulers and their proxies. There is one region in the Middle East where the Arameans still make up the majority and that is the Mount Lebanon region of Lebanon. The Aramean people once lived throughout the Fertile CrescentContinue reading “Only Israel can Liberate Aram”

From Conceptzia to Victory

The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel.  For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”

The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea

The Israeli-allied AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) finds itself in a constant conflict situation with Erdogan who no doubt would want to occupy the entire AANES-held territory, yet he cannot because the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) are held back by the Israeli-allied Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus. This mustContinue reading “The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea”

Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War

The main problem with a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon following Hezbollah’s upcoming massive missile assault on urban Israel will be the slow pace of the advancement of the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) due to its lack of heavy weapons, particularly tanks and artillery. While the SDF is highly motivated and theContinue reading “Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War”

Peace Depends on Victory

The upcoming war between Israel and Hezbollah will likely lead to a wider war between the IDF-SDF and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” including Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Hezbollah, Lebanon and Syria. The outcome will lead to new borders of peace. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state and annex Median Jewish (Alawite andContinue reading “Peace Depends on Victory”

Tehran Suffers from Hubris

Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”

The Bennett-Putin Summit

The upcoming Israeli-Russian Summit offers an opportunity to recalibrate Israeli-Russian relations with regard to Syria. Moscow is interested in one thing and one thing only in Syria and that is keeping its naval base and air base in the Alawite region. Everything else is of secondary importance to Moscow.  Iran advances rapidly towards nuclear thresholdContinue reading “The Bennett-Putin Summit”

Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?

Is there a possibility that Iraq will intervene in a war between the IDF/SDF and Syria/Lebanon/Hezbollah/Iran in the northern Levant by invading NES (North and East Syria)? While an Iraqi contribution to the fighting between Syria and Israel would have a negligible effect on the course of the war could in fact an Iraqi attackContinue reading “Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?”

Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation

There is a failure in the current class of Iran experts in ascertaining Iran’s strategic intentions. There is generally a failure in academia of experts on Islamism who do not grasp that we are dealing with a dangerous neo-imperialist, totalitarian, modern political ideology, but rather seem to think that Islamism is “a traditional religion”, “aContinue reading “Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation”

The Axis of Genocide

The Lebanese, Syrian and Iranian militaries in the northern Levant are deeply integrated with the Hezbollah terrorist organization and must from Israel’s perspective therefore be considered extensions of Hezbollah. Together do they constitute the Axis of Genocide in the northern Levant as they in the words of the leaders of the Islamic Republic of IranContinue reading “The Axis of Genocide”

The Paradox of Alawite Rule

The Syrian regime is controlled by a clique of assimilated ethnic Alawites supported by a wider class of Alawite military officers yet the ruling Alawite clique promotes the assimilation of the Alawite people into Islam. How can this be reconciled? First thing is this highly peculiar since the Ba’athist ideology was a secularist ideology toContinue reading “The Paradox of Alawite Rule”

Will there be a Southern Front?

Will Tehran persuade Hamas and Islamic Jihad to open a southern front against Israel in the upcoming war between Hezbollah and Israel? While it could be argued that Hezbollah has enough missiles themselves and don’t need the participation of Hamas and Islamic Jihad, it could nevertheless be useful from the perspective of Hezbollah to divertContinue reading “Will there be a Southern Front?”