There is a growing cold war between Israel and Iran taking place in the Middle East. There has also been a parallel rise of the two countries to great power status. However, there will ultimately only be room for one great power in the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Muslim countries around the world are watching with increasing alarm the acceleration of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and Iran’s rise to great power status in the Middle East. Iran as all Islamists seek to control the entire Islamdom and eventually the entire world. Iran thus intends to replace current governments in Islamdom with puppet regimes pending the creation of a Twelver Shia Islamist empire spanning the entire Islamdom.
While currently Iran is heavily focused on taking over the Arab world, Iran does intend to dominate the entire Islamdom and through that the entire world. Most governments in Islamdom are vehemently opposed to Iran attaining superpower status and rightly regard Israel as the best hope for stopping Iran’s colonial ambitions. Most governments in Islamdom are no longer hostile to Israel and those without official diplomatic relations with Israel typically enjoy amicable relations with Israel through TEVEL emissaries. (TEVEL is a Hebrew acronym for the Political Action and Liaison Department of the Mossad).
Israel has developed from a poor agricultural developing society in 1948 into becoming a technological powerhouse in now being the most technologically advanced economy in the world. No less than 40% of Israel’s exports come from the Israeli high tech sector which employs 10% of working Israelis. Israel’s high tech miracle is fueled by ex-conscript veterans from the high tech units of the IDF (Israel Defense Forces). Israel today has one of the strongest militaries in the world and the Mossad is the world’s leading intelligence agency. The technological, intelligence and military power of Israel is so spectacular that Israel has attained great power status in the Middle East. This strength means that governments of Islamdom without official diplomatic relations with Israel are increasingly interested in normalization with the Jewish state.
What will America’s response be to the rise of the two great powers in the Middle East? The Trump administration wanted to outsource most superpower duties in Islamdom to Israel in relying on the Jewish state to defend American interests throughout the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Will official America recognize that Iran is a great power rival no less than Russia and that Iran is as ambitious as China? Or will America implement a Kissingerian policy of balancing Israel and Iran against each other? The strategic intentions of the Biden administration in the Middle East arena of great power rivalry is entirely unclear. Before being elected Joe Biden was quite hostile towards Saudi Arabia, a key ally in the struggle against Iranian neo-imperialism. Why has the US refused to offer incentives (agreements and weapons sales) to countries of Islamdom that normalize relations with Israel?
What is the Biden administration’s perspective on the Trump administration’s plan to subcontract most superpower duties in the Middle East and Islamdom to Israel? It should be pointed out that America has retained the Trump policy of withdrawal from the Middle East. America’s allies in the Middle East and Islamdom generally do not want to realign with Russia and/or China but prefer to become allies of Israel. However, despite being a great power, Israel heavily relies on the United States for diplomatic support and delivery of advanced weapons systems. It is entirely understandable that countries of Islamdom want assurances, agreements and weapons sales in return for normalizing relations with Israel. So why is the Biden administration reluctant to provide those incentives and is thus stalling the process of normalization with Israel?
There are not yet any clear answers but America’s so far unstated policy may be to balance the two regional great powers against each other rather than containing and weakening Iran. So far the Biden administration is playing into the hands of the tyrannical regime in Tehran by granting the regime international legitimacy in eagerly courting the regime for a nuclear reconciliation that Tehran is manifestly uninterested in. America has so far offered no explanation as to why it is stalling the process of normalization by refusing to provide incentives for governments in Islamdom which are interested in normalization of relations with Israel. It should be added that even the Biden administration officially recognizes that governments in Islamdom normalizing relations with Israel is an important American interest. So why is the US effectively holding up the process of normalization?
In the last weeks of the Trump administration was there a long, publicized list of countries in Islamdom seeking normalization with Israel. America needs to explain what its policy on the Middle East and Islamdom really is. If it turns out that America has no policy on Islamdom, then surely America needs to devise one based on containing and weakening Iran. Even Rob Malley, the infamous appeaser of Islamism in successive Democratic administrations acknowledges that time is running out for restoring the JCPOA. Malley has however revealingly stated that the US will continue to seek nuclear reconciliation with Iran even after the demise of the JCPOA.
What then will be the policy of the US after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program? This is entirely entirely unclear. Will the US impose a no-fly zone over Iran to prevent the regime from rebuilding its nuclear weapons program and offer air support to Iran’s ethnic periphery (which comprises half of Iran’s population) which surely in response will commence armed rebellions against the tyrannical regime in Tehran? Is the US ready, willing or even interested in collapsing the Khomeinist empire? These are essential questions that so far remain unanswered. There is a disconnect between official American rhetoric on “other options” which seem to be for domestic consumption only rather than directed at Iran and America’s real policy on Iran or rather the absence of any realistic policy on Iran.