The United States Needs Saudi Arabia

The early assessment by the Biden administration that a return to the JCPOA could be taken for granted and that the US did not really need Saudi Arabia as an ally has been disproven by subsequent events. Iran is more aggressive than ever and Ali Khamenei is apparently grooming the arch-extremist president Ebrahim Raisi asContinue reading “The United States Needs Saudi Arabia”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

Imperialist Plans of Expansionism

Iran, China and Russia are all neo-imperialist powers and they intend to geographically expand in accordance with their respective geostrategic master plans. America in contrast which is no empire and has no imperialist designs has no master plan across presidencies for its foreign policy since every new president in the 21st century has devised hisContinue reading “Imperialist Plans of Expansionism”

How to Make the US-Israel Relationship Last Forever

How can the US-Israel relationship be so reinforced that it becomes unbreakable as both America and Israel fear being abandoned by the other in the long-term? There is a consensus among Middle Eastern governments that the United States intends to disengage from Islamdom and the US implausibly denies this despite the stated ambition to focusContinue reading “How to Make the US-Israel Relationship Last Forever”

The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom

The US suffers from a global credibility deficit. America’s adversaries no longer fear the United States and Middle Eastern allies of the United States are all convinced that the US intends to disengage from Islamdom, yet the US denies this. Iran calculates that in the event of the US and Israel destroying the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom”

Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open

There has been tremendous mistrust between the Biden administration and the Israeli government on account of Israel’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis China and America’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis Iran. Israel now understands that there will be no nuclear deal with Iran because Tehran has no interest in such an agreement. The US and Israel are jointly trainingContinue reading “Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open”

Russia Deters America in Ukraine

Why is America not admitting Ukraine to NATO and putting an end to the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine? The US should militarily deter Russia from invading Ukraine yet it is the US that has ended up deterred by Russia. The Biden administration wields the threat of economic sanctions against Russia despite PresidentContinue reading “Russia Deters America in Ukraine”

The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem

The US has a problem with credibility and thus also with deterrence. This is largely a perception problem based on the erroneous view that the current US administration is afraid of war. However, the Biden administration does not seem to understand that the position of the US as regards one region affects US credibility inContinue reading “The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem”

Taking Iran Seriously

Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”

Manifest Unreason

Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”

The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks

The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”

Arab-Jewish Partnership to Liberate Iran

Arab nations should join the discreetly emerging international Iran coalition which will be activated to impose a no-fly zone over Iran and provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country when the diplomatic track collapses, which it inevitably will. The Iranian nuclear weapons program will be destroyed through a joint American-Israeli operation. Should theContinue reading “Arab-Jewish Partnership to Liberate Iran”

The US Government should Delist PJAK

The US supported the Kurdish-Iranian PJAK (Kurdistan Free Life Party) during the George W. Bush administration while the Obama administration blacklisted PJAK as ostensibly a “terrorist organization”. The Biden administration would be wise to delist PJAK as the organization certainly does not engage in terrorist attacks and is not hostile to the United States. PJAKContinue reading “The US Government should Delist PJAK”

The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence

There are no prospects whatsoever for a nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States and so the US government resorting to Plan B, i.e. the military options, is inevitable. This means that the US and Israel will jointly destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the emerging US-led international Iran coalition will impose aContinue reading “The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence”

Why Iran does not Fear Invasion

Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”

Iranian Fears

Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”

Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?

While it is clear that Iran intends to use chemical weapons for mass terrorist attacks worldwide, on a vast scale following America’s and Israel’s joint destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons progam, the Khomeinist regime’s intentions to use biological weapons are more localized and may seem less obvious. Where and against whom will Tehran useContinue reading “Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?”

Apocalyptic Iran

Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”

Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest

The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”

Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?

Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”

Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat

Israel has a track record of underestimating the nefariousness of Iran’s intentions. Israeli intelligence until recently believed that Tehran was interested in a nuclear agreement with the United States. Until recently did senior Israeli military experts believe that Iran would not order Hezbollah to launch a frontal attack against Israeli cities with 150 000 rocketsContinue reading “Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat”

The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous

The Khomeinist regime makes increasingly extreme threats against Israel. Why is this so? The regime is no doubt becoming increasingly nervous about the imposition of an international no-fly zone over Iran that would provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country and very likely lead to the downfall of the regime. The emerging coalitionContinue reading “The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous”

What can be Expected on Iran

The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”

Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?

Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”

Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table

An interview with US Iran envoy Rob Malley on CNN informs us that the Malley doctrine of endless negotiations is back and the Blinken doctrine of opposition to endless negotiations is dead, or at least so far the moment. Malley, the notorious appeaser of Islamists, is convinced that Iran is advancing its hugely expensive nuclearContinue reading “Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table”

Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations

With tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants to Israel will Israel certainly be able to realize its long-term plan to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. How long will it take before the dream of returning the descendants of the deported ten Israelite tribes to the land of Israel, will be realized?Continue reading “Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations”

Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition

Will NATO officially participate in the emerging international coalition to destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program and impose a no-fly zone over Iran that will provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country? There is a severe threat of chemical weapons mass terrorist attacks against NATO member states subsequent to the joint American-Israeli destruction ofContinue reading “Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition”

Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?

There are reportedly differing assessments in Israeli military intelligence (Aman) as to whether Hezbollah will attack Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Why is this so? Iranian officials insist that they will “destroy Israel” in response to the destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This of course isContinue reading “Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?”

Iran is a Terrorist State

Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”

A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest

The United States made the mistake of not early partitioning Afghanistan according to language (between Turkmenistan – Turkmen language, Uzbekistan – Uzbek language, Tajikistan – Persian language and Pakistan – Pashto language) and similarly made the mistake of not early partitioning Iraq, granting independence to the three main ethnic regions (the Shias, the Sunnis andContinue reading “A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest”

Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?

The Israeli intelligence community used to claim that Iran eventually would return to the JCPOA and now they assume that Iran is interested in an interim agreement that would freeze uranium enrichment in return for some sanctions relief. It appears that the Israeli intelligence community has not learned from its own mistakes.  Iran has twoContinue reading “Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?”

When to Attack Iran?

It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”

Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat

The Biden administration wants to focus on the rivalry with China and Russia, yet this is distinctly not how governments in Islamdom see the world. To most governments in Islamdom is Islamism/Jihadism the main threat and therefore is Israel regarded as the indispensable great power that can afford them protection as the United States isContinue reading “Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat”

Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?

What will US policy on Iran be after the demise of the JCPOA? Secretary of State Antony Blinken has strongly and repeatedly pronounced that the Malley doctrine (endless negotiations) is not US policy (or rather no longer US policy). The US has however given no indications as to what will be its Iran policy afterContinue reading “Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?”

Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations

The US government is very concerned about Israel-China economic relations to the point of telling Israel not to do business with Chinese companies that are active in the US. While the US has legitimate concerns in preventing transfer of sensitive dual usage technologies to China, the US has an additional agenda and that is toContinue reading “Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations”

Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus

Why does Iran intend to attack third countries with chemical weapons following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program? First, this is intended as deterrence so that nations will pressure Israel never to attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program again. Second, it is intended to isolate the Jewish state among the nations and diminishContinue reading “Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus”

America Faces Apocalypse

The failed policy of the Democratic administration on Iran is a reflection of the desperate situation that America finds itself in vis-a-vis Iran. 1. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran set off chemical weapons in major cities in dozens of countries around the world that are perceived to be especially connectedContinue reading “America Faces Apocalypse”

Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?

Iran has for years repeated its intention to “annihilate Israel”. Iranian chemical weapons pose a severe threat against major cities in many countries around the world as Iran prepares to attack many nations in response to Iran’s nuclear weapons program being destroyed. America faces the threat of Iranian usage of biological weapons on American soilContinue reading “Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?”

Iran is Undeterred

Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”

Inside the Mullahs’ Conspiratorial Universe

Most non-Anti-Semites have not tried to imagine what it means to be a conspiratorial Anti-Semite. To be a conspiratorial Anti-Semite means to live in a constant state of fear of the ostensibly omnipotent Jews. Conspiratorial Anti-Semites typically try to explain problems in terms of their worldview, meaning in effect that Jews are behind all problems. Continue reading “Inside the Mullahs’ Conspiratorial Universe”

The US has no Plan B

There is an obvious contradiction between the Malley doctrine (yes to endless negotiations) and the Blinken doctrine (no to endless negotiations). The US is literally desperate about reconciling with the implacable Iranian regime. The reasons are deeply understandable since the consequences of Israeli conflict with Iran will be mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “The US has no Plan B”

Appeasement Undermines Deterrence

The appeasement policy of the Democratic administration undermines America’s deterrence posture. Iran is well aware that no Democratic administration will respond with nuclear weapons to Iranian chemical weapons attacks against America and hence is America highly vulnerable to chemical weapons attacks against major American cities. President Trump was not afraid to abrogate the JCPOA sinceContinue reading “Appeasement Undermines Deterrence”

Iran is Dangerous and Irrational

The Raisi administration is officially shutting down the JCPOA by reneging on all “concessions” of the Rouhani administration. The Iranian regime knows that the US is literally desperate to reach a nuclear deal in order to avoid Iranian chemical weapons mass terrorism on a global scale. Iran knows that its WMD extortion works and apparentlyContinue reading “Iran is Dangerous and Irrational”

Shifting Iran Paradigm

As the JCPOA is about to effectively expire, we should ponder whose policy is the real US policy on Iran, Rob Malley’s advocacy of endless negotiations or Antony Blinken’s opposition to endless negotiations? Is it possible that the US is transitioning from the Malley doctrine to a Blinken doctrine? Or is Blinken’s rhetoric merely anContinue reading “Shifting Iran Paradigm”

Why Iran will Continue to Stall

Iran is determined to continue to accelerate its nuclear weapons program and participation in “negotiations” is merely a means of playing for time so as to satisfy Russia and China in order to avoid UN sanctions. Iran already however has more than enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb but Iran is not satisfied withContinue reading “Why Iran will Continue to Stall”

The Iranian Waves Plan

What is the Iranian game plan for chemical weapons attacks against perceived and actual adversaries in response to the Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and an allied imposition of a no-fly zone over Iran? It is virtually impossible to stop the Iranian provision of chemical weapons to sleeper cells in countries aroundContinue reading “The Iranian Waves Plan”

America will not Elude Iranian Attacks

The JCPOA was quite effective in deferring the Iranian WMD mass terrorist threat. It could be argued that the JCPOA therefore constituted effectual appeasement despite constituting a temporary deferral and effectively selling out the existential interests of America’s Middle Eastern allies. There is no way to repeat the JCPOA trick as Iran is well awareContinue reading “America will not Elude Iranian Attacks”

A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking

The establishment of a no-fly zone over Iran will allow for intermittent attacks against Iranian nuclear facilities so as to prevent the Iranian nuclear weapons program from ever recovering after having been destroyed by the IAF (Israeli Air Force). A no-fly zone will furthermore provide air support to armed rebellions against the Khomeinist regime. ThereContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking”

Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?

“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”