The first lesson from Ramadan this year is that Israel does not control the pulse in the Levant, Iran does. What is the strategic reality in terms of deterrence? Israel does not believe that Iran will dare use chemical weapons against the Jewish state or Israel would be distributing gas masks, thus Israeli non-conventional deterrenceContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence”
Tag Archives: Projectiles
Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections
The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”
Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack
The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”
The State Department Does not Get It
The State Department has recently made pronouncements on the violence in Samaria, calling on “both sides” to refrain from “provocations” and “return to the peace process”. This is peculiar since the Palestinian Authority is certainly not behind the violence and the parties which are, namely the designated Jihadist terrorist organizations of Hamas and Palestinian IslamicContinue reading “The State Department Does not Get It”
Iran Plans Major Conventional War
What is the purpose of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? There is more than one purpose: 1) Iran gains immunity from any future US invasion under any circumstances no matter how maliciously and atrociously Iran acts. 2) Iran can perpetrate acts of biological and chemical terrorism with complete impunity. 3) Iran would have the option ofContinue reading “Iran Plans Major Conventional War”
What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?
Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 but Tehran was not satisfied and so Iran/Hezbollah instructed the Lebanese government to manufacture the Sheba farm (Har Dov) fictitious border claims on lands in the northern Golan heights. Iran/Hezbollah did it again in 2022 when it instructed the Lebanese government to expand Lebanon’s claims for territorialContinue reading “What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?”
Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?
The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”
A US-Saudi Defense Pact Would Checkmate Iran
Iranian geostrategy is focused like a laser beam on taking over the Twelver eschatological region with its immense oil resources, control over which would instantly transform Iran into a superpower able to extort America’s allies around the world. Islam has three messianic figures. These are 1) the Mahdi (identified by Twelvers with the Hidden Imam)Continue reading “A US-Saudi Defense Pact Would Checkmate Iran”
Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program
The ostensible negotiations process with Iran might seem like a waste of time considering Iran’s complete lack of interest in an agreement with the United States. However, that is certainly not the case as the time is well used by Iran’s intended victims to prepare for war against Iran. There are three levels of militaryContinue reading “Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program”
Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost
Iranian officials state over and over again that Israel will be destroyed if Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. They literally mean what they say. What this means is that the entire Iranian axis (primarily Hezbollah) will engage in a frontal assault against Israel with projectiles, including ones with chemical warheads. (Iranian use ofContinue reading “Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost”
Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel
There are multiple reasons why Hezbollah and its allies in the Iranian axis in the Middle East will engage in a frontal assault on Israel after Israel and the US destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program once so-called “negotiations” have become completely exhausted. 1. The Iranian regime systematically states that this will happen if theContinue reading “Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel”
The Price of Aggression
Let there be no doubt that if Hezbollah and the rest of the Iranian axis launch a frontal assault on Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program there will surely be a hefty price to pay. There will be consequences, there will be a major war in the northernContinue reading “The Price of Aggression”
Western Foot-Dragging on Ukraine is Unforgivable
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022 and the West has procrastinated until now in providing Ukraine with a wider range of weaponry, aside from anti-aircraft missiles and anti-tank missiles. There is constantly the Western idea of only providing Ukraine with defensive weapons and only now at the last minute when Ukraine is threatened withContinue reading “Western Foot-Dragging on Ukraine is Unforgivable”
The Foot-Dragging Must End
Unfortunately, the West does not want Ukraine to fully defeat Russia. Before the invasion was the universal assumption in the West that Ukraine was doomed and would only be able to survive through guerilla warfare. The heroic ZSU (Armed Forces of Ukraine) stunned an entire world in being able to hold back against the RussianContinue reading “The Foot-Dragging Must End”
Who Will Invade Whom?
Israel and Iran have completely different assessments as to the outcome of the future conflict between Israel and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” in the Levant. Iran assumes that massive barrages of rockets and missiles, many of them with chemical warheads, will inflict such heavy damage on the Israeli home front and cause such disorientationContinue reading “Who Will Invade Whom?”
The Aman Conceptzia
There is a dispute within Aman (Israeli military intelligence) regarding the intentions of Hezbollah. Is Hezbollah an Iranian proxy or is it a Lebanese patriotic organization? Is Hezbollah primarily interested in taking over Israel or taking over Lebanon? Of course, Hezbollah is run by one man, Hassan Nasrallah who makes all important decisions and althoughContinue reading “The Aman Conceptzia”
Master Tacticians, Strategic Lunatics
Iran is tactically brilliant in always seeing opportunities to expand its influence but it must be kept in mind that it is strategically lunatic in seeking world rule for the Hidden Imam as its ultimate strategic goal. Hezbollah’s intentions have been much debated within the Israeli intelligence community. What is Hezbollah? Hezbollah is a franchiseContinue reading “Master Tacticians, Strategic Lunatics”
Regionwide War and Global Terror
Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”
An Official Military War Blog
Israel needs an official war blog where the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) will publish a prepared, instant, highly accurate and factual blog post immediately after each military action. As a global propaganda war is waged against an Israel that does not believe in propaganda, Israel is best served by maximum transparency and Israel therefore needsContinue reading “An Official Military War Blog”
The Palestinian Interest
What is the Palestinian interest? There are two perspectives to this. The first perspective assumes that the Palestinian interest lies in fighting the Jewish state until the entire Jewish population in accordance with the Palestinian consensus has been “removed” from the land, i.e. exterminated since there is nowhere to deport the Jews. Palestinians have beenContinue reading “The Palestinian Interest”
The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate
It has often been claimed that peace requires accepting that there are two competing narratives, one Israeli and one Palestinian, but is this really true? What has not been considered is that the Palestinian narrative is Anti-Zionist, meaning opposed to peace with Israel. Therefore legitimizing the Palestinian narrative as an obstacle to peace makes peaceContinue reading “The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate”
Chemical Genocide
Iranian officials constantly repeat their intention to “annihilate Israel” and say that “Israel will be destroyed” if it attacks the Iranian nuclear weapons program. What does the regime mean? They are referring to the mass use of chemical weapons against Israeli cities. Iran is convinced that Israel and the United States are bluffing and thatContinue reading “Chemical Genocide”
Taking Iran Seriously
Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”
Saudi Arabia Needs to Liberate Yemen
The Saudi aerial war on the Houthis in Yemen since 2015 has proven unsuccessful in ousting the Houthis from power in Sanaa. Considering the growing Houthi missile threat as built up by Iran that threatens Saudi Arabia, Riyadh needs to seriously consider implementing an all-out Saudi invasion of Houthi-held areas in Yemen before the HouthiContinue reading “Saudi Arabia Needs to Liberate Yemen”
Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?
Iran claims that its assault on Israel with rockets, missiles, chemical warheads and drones from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Yemen will make Israel collapse. Do they actually believe this or is it just propaganda hyperbole? What is clear is that the Israeli home front will suffer immensely as a result of the assaultContinue reading “Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?”
Manifest Unreason
Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”
The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks
The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”
Why Bet on a Dead Horse?
There are reports in the news media about Arab governments seeking normalization with the last Ba’athist regime in Damascus. This is entirely counterproductive. Major war between Israel and Iran’s allies in the Levant is entirely inescapable after Israel and America destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as they are jointly training to do considering thatContinue reading “Why Bet on a Dead Horse?”
Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence
Iran has expressed the assessment that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett’s new policy of avoiding publicly threatening Iran and instead focusing on building Israel’s defensive and offensive capabilities vis-a-vis Iran and its proxies is evidence that Iran has succeeded in deterring Israel. The Iranian representative claimed that Iran has an effective deterrence capacity against “emptyContinue reading “Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence”
A Two-State Solution is not in Israel’s Interest
It is often claimed that a two-state solution involving an Israeli return to the Auschwitz lines is “inevitable” and “the only solution”. However, this is completely unfeasible for three reasons. 1) There is a consensus in Palestinian society on not agreeing to an end-of-claims final status agreement as that would involve ceding the demand forContinue reading “A Two-State Solution is not in Israel’s Interest”
A Multifront War
Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”
Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?
Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”
Explaining the Next Gaza War
Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations? Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”
Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat
Israel has a track record of underestimating the nefariousness of Iran’s intentions. Israeli intelligence until recently believed that Tehran was interested in a nuclear agreement with the United States. Until recently did senior Israeli military experts believe that Iran would not order Hezbollah to launch a frontal attack against Israeli cities with 150 000 rocketsContinue reading “Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat”
Arameans and Annexation
There is not only an alliance but a covenant of blood between the Jewish nation and the Aramean nation and the goal is to establish a liberal-democratic Aramean Christian state (Aram) in the northern Levant that will be strategically, economically, politically and militarily aligned with Israel. As part of Israel’s liberation of Syria and LebanonContinue reading “Arameans and Annexation”
Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon
Lebanon under Iranian control is turning increasingly dystopian. The ruling elite refuses to reform the economy and the population is sinking ever deeper into economic misery. The country has been taken over by Hezbollah, the world’s largest terrorist organization and its political system is completely dysfunctional. Lebanese leaders are well aware of Lebanon’s approaching demiseContinue reading “Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon”
Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?
Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”
Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes
Israel is preparing to destroy Hezbollah and its state sponsors in the upcoming war in the northern Levant after Israel and America eliminate the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran is sabotaging the Vienna process up until the very end. Once the hopeless post-JCPOA “negotiations” as envisioned by the pro-Islamist notorious appeaser Rob Malley end, aContinue reading “Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes”
Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations
With tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants to Israel will Israel certainly be able to realize its long-term plan to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. How long will it take before the dream of returning the descendants of the deported ten Israelite tribes to the land of Israel, will be realized?Continue reading “Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations”
How Imminent is War?
If Israel alone had dictated the timing of the destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program had it been determined either by the pace of progress in the Iran’s nuclear weapons program or the date would be after the June 2023 Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections but obviously not earlier than the Israeli project toContinue reading “How Imminent is War?”
Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission
Iran has an elaborate plan to force the world into political, ideological, geopolitical, economic and religious submission by means of extortive deployment and use of weapons of mass destruction. Iran is already in the very earliest stage of its campaign. Iran intends to break out as a superpower already when Israel and the US destroyContinue reading “Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission”
What Tehran Thinks of Nuclear Deterrence
What is Tehran’s perspective on nuclear deterrence? Iran generally believes that liberal democracies with their humanitarian sensibilities are not very serious about nuclear deterrence. One exception is the United States under Republican administrations since Republican presidents are generally perceived as “mean” and “dangerous”. However, Iran does not believe that there is any risk in attackingContinue reading “What Tehran Thinks of Nuclear Deterrence”
Iran is Undeterred
Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”
Israel has an Exit Strategy for Syria and Lebanon
America was fully justified in liberating totalitarian Iraq in 2003. Saddam Hussein was a profoundly dangerous dictator who had used chemical weapons against civilians and committed genocide against his own citizens. The Anti-American Saddam Hussein posed a severe threat against America due to the possibility that he would use his chemical weapons again. America endedContinue reading “Israel has an Exit Strategy for Syria and Lebanon”
Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace
Why is the international community insisting on stigmatizing restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria as so-called “obstacles to peace” when the Kushner peace map proves that they are manifestly not obstacles to partition? In fact, the unpublished Israeli partition map which provided the blueprint for the establishment of the restorative indigenous communities throughout JudeaContinue reading “Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace”
Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran
President Joe Biden continues the Trump administration policy of disengaging from Islamdom and outsourcing its superpower responsibilities to Israel by promoting Israeli normalization with nations of Islamdom. The US is engaged in intensive diplomatic efforts to persuade nations of Islamdom to normalize relations with Israel. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has already in principleContinue reading “Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
Empty Threats Undermine America’s Deterrence Posture
The Biden administration’s practice of making more or less veiled threats against Iran, threats which the administration is manifestly not ready to follow through on is not only not credible but is furthermore detrimental since it undermines the US deterrence posture vis-a-vis Iran and enhances the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “Empty Threats Undermine America’s Deterrence Posture”
Ein Brira
There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”
Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria
Hezbollah is not only present throughout Lebanon but has forces located in over 100 locations in all parts of Ba’ath-controlled Syria. Hezbollah’s chemical weapons and terrorist projectile programs are intended to be grown into posing an existential threat against Israel. Israel would be foolish to wait with eradicating Hezbollah until Hezbollah turns into a full-fledgedContinue reading “Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria”
The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad
While it is true that that the Syrian Ba’ath regime won the civil war against Jihadist insurgents, it would be a serious mistake to assume that Bashar al-Assad will remain in power. Iran plans to order its Hezbollah proxy to unleash massive barrages of in total 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israeli cities –Continue reading “The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad”
Aliyah Organization 