The transatlantic community must at some point reconcile and that must include a proper appraisal of the person at the center of the dispute; United States President Donald J. Trump. The universally held belief in Europe from ordinary people in the street to the highest echelons of power is that President Trump is ”a madman”.Continue reading “Transatlantic Reconciliation”
Tag Archives: Realpolitik
The American-European Rift
While good diplomacy is exoteric and idealist on the surface and esoteric and interest-driven below the surface, this distinction appears to have collapsed in both the United States and the European Union. In the US interests are overtly – and it could be argued even brutally – articulated without an exoteric surface layer. In EuropeContinue reading “The American-European Rift”
It’s Realpolitik Stupid
Diplomacy is exoteric/esoteric. Exoterically diplomacy is typically moralizing and speaking in terms of ”universal values”, i.e. notions derived from Christianity and through Christian imperialism. On the esoteric level it is all about national interests which are more value-neutral and non-moralizing. While it can be argued that certain values such as liberal democracy, secularism and evenContinue reading “It’s Realpolitik Stupid”
Islamists Cannot be Trusted
Just as there are no good Nazis, there are no good Islamists. It is true that there are Islamists who use the language of superficial moderation but so were there Nazis who did. Is America right to engage with the Shara’a regime in Syria based on Realpolitik? Yes no doubt, but always be aware thatContinue reading “Islamists Cannot be Trusted”
What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?
The approach of the Israeli Deep State is Zionist pragmatism. This means that Israeli governments of various political colors are used to realize strategic projects conceived by the Israeli Deep State which after all is responsible for Israeli long-term strategic planning. How is it possible, you may ask, that the Israeli Deep State was behindContinue reading “What is the Ideology of the Israeli Deep State?”
The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy
Islamdom is America’s weak spot. George W. Bush tried to democratize Islamdom only to find out that the majority of the electorate in many Muslim nations votes Islamist, meaning that there are no prospects for democratization in many Muslim nations because the majority of the people wants totalitarianism. Yet, Bush’s democratization campaign resulted in theContinue reading “The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy”
The Success of Russian Psychological Warfare
Russia is currently suffering tactical military defeat on the battlefield in Ukraine and is exhausting its military assets. Yet the outcome is still a stalemate and a military deadlock on the battlefield. However, the Russians are prevailing on the strategic level because they are succeeding in their psychological warfare against NATO and the United States.Continue reading “The Success of Russian Psychological Warfare”
Russia Will not Use WMD in Ukraine
There have been warnings that Russia could use weapons of mass destruction in Ukraine. However, a simple cost-benefit analysis reveals that Russia has nothing to gain from using WMD in Ukraine. There would be no “Japanese effect” as the Ukrainians would not capitulate, rather would this if anything have the opposite effect in further galvanizingContinue reading “Russia Will not Use WMD in Ukraine”
How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran
Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”
Why Russia does not Want to Change Course
Two decades ago, Vladimir Putin asked the West to allow Russia to become a member of NATO. This informal request was promptly rebuffed. What view does Russia take of the option of a US-led Asian defense alliance encircling China? For Russia this is primarily a question of lack of trust or to put it differently,Continue reading “Why Russia does not Want to Change Course”
Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?
Qatar’s foreign policy is based on both being aligned with the United States and the Islamist nexus (including Iran) despite the Qatari ruling class themselves not being Islamists and hence the Qatari policy of funding Islamists, Jihadists and terrorists everywhere. Similarly has Qatar maintained a peculiar policy of both being aligned with Hamas and maintainingContinue reading “Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?”