Algeria is currently bent on not joining the normalization bandwagon. However, the apparent existence of a Russo-Iranian new Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Moscow gets the entire Europe and Tehran gets the entire Arab world should make Algiers rethink its entire approach. Iran is absolutely intent on conquering all Arab countries, including Algeria; and Israel as theContinue reading “Algeria Must Prioritize its own National Interests”
Tag Archives: Invasion
Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect
Arab governments are for the most part profoundly suspicious of each other yet nowadays quite trusting of Israel in many respects. This is the crux of forming a Middle Eastern defense alliance. Arab governments don’t mind secretly aligning with Israel but balk at aligning with each other. The problem in military terms is that IranContinue reading “Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect”
Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?
Iran regards the sole threat to its territory as coming from the Persian Gulf; i.e. from a US-led naval invasion of Iran and is actively training to counter this perceived threat. However, on the face of it, this seems utterly implausible in the extreme. Why would the United States want to get entangled in yetContinue reading “Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?”
Ukraine Should be Armed for Victory
When Russia invaded Ukraine eleven months ago did no one outside of Ukraine expect that the Ukrainians would be able to withstand the onslaught. However, they did and bravely so. Once the West realized that the Ukrainians were capable of defending themselves was the Western presumption that the West should help Ukraine with defensive capabilitiesContinue reading “Ukraine Should be Armed for Victory”
More Than Meets the Eye
Russia plans to deliver a new air force to Iran and Iran is delivering kamikaze drones to Russia. That is what is known about the extent of the military relationship between Iran and Russia which has obviously reached a strategic level. Both nations are militarily adventurous and plan big conquests which they however at thisContinue reading “More Than Meets the Eye”
A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has made three demands from the US for making peace with Israel. Those are 1) a KSA-USA defense treaty, 2) NATO-level deliveries of weaponry and 3) what appears to be a demand to purchase the new small highly cost-effective nuclear power plants that are currently being developed inContinue reading “A Nucleus of a Middle Eastern Defense Alliance”
Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?
The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”
It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh
Saudi Arabia is the largest destination for US weapons exports with some 25% of all US defense exports going to the KSA. The Biden administration has however limited weapons exports to Riyadh, leaving the Saudis little choice but to purchase Chinese or Russian arms. This is an illogical policy which harms American jobs but furthermoreContinue reading “It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh”
A US-Saudi Defense Pact is a No-Brainer
Imagine if Iran were to invade Saudi Arabia which is not a farfetched scenario at all, in fact this is precisely what Tehran plans to do, what would the United States do? Iranian control over GCC oil wells would overnight transform Tehran into a superpower with the ability to extort US allies around the worldContinue reading “A US-Saudi Defense Pact is a No-Brainer”
The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East
Why are Finland and Sweden suddenly applying for membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? They understand the simple truth that the Russian invasion of Ukraine would never have occurred had Ukraine already been a member of NATO. NATO is not primarily an organization for waging war but above all an organization for preventing warContinue reading “The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East”
Time for American-Saudi-Israeli Strategic Dialogue
Washington is fully coordinated with Jerusalem in its preparations of military options against Tehran. However, peculiar enough Riyadh has been kept outside the loop. This is very concerning considering that coordinating with the KSA is vital in preparation for air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, imposing a no-fly zone over Iran and preparingContinue reading “Time for American-Saudi-Israeli Strategic Dialogue”
The West Needs to Shift Paradigm on Ukraine Military Funding
The outcome of the current level of Western militarily deliveries to Kyiv is to effectively keep democratic Ukraine on life support and produce a deadlock between Russia and Ukraine. The Armed Forces of Ukraine (ZSU) are highly capable, professional, motivated and able to defeat Russia and kick out every last occupying Russian soldier from sovereignContinue reading “The West Needs to Shift Paradigm on Ukraine Military Funding”
Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program
The ostensible negotiations process with Iran might seem like a waste of time considering Iran’s complete lack of interest in an agreement with the United States. However, that is certainly not the case as the time is well used by Iran’s intended victims to prepare for war against Iran. There are three levels of militaryContinue reading “Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program”
Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset
Twelver Shia theology prohibits offensive war but Khomeinists believe it allows terrorism which it peculiarly construes as defensive, so-called “resistance”. Khomeinist Iran has so far engaged in regional expansionism through proxies, i.e. Shiite militias. Iran also maintains a close relationship with the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood everywhere but in Syria, which is also expressed in Iran’sContinue reading “Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset”
Oman, Qatar and Kuwait Need to Join the Regional Security Architecture
Those who feed crocodiles are also subsequently eaten by those very same crocodiles. This is something for Oman, Qatar and Kuwait to ponder who all have made sure to maintain good relations with Iran. Yet can anyone doubt that the Iranian crocodile intends to swallow Oman, Qatar and Kuwait? Being friends with Tehran is likeContinue reading “Oman, Qatar and Kuwait Need to Join the Regional Security Architecture”
Erdogan’s Invasion Threatens Vital Israeli Interests
Erdogan once more threatens to invade NES (North and East Syria). He threatened this already in November 2021 and his plans were apparently shelved by the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus which has significant influence over both TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) and the Turkish government. There are currently no moves on theContinue reading “Erdogan’s Invasion Threatens Vital Israeli Interests”
Strategic Deterrence will Fail
“We have told the world we are not willing to take it anymore,” he said. “Iran says we can bring the war to your doorstep, because you will never bring it to ours. This is not going to happen. This is not how it’s going to play. I understand why they felt that this isContinue reading “Strategic Deterrence will Fail”
The United States Needs Saudi Arabia
The early assessment by the Biden administration that a return to the JCPOA could be taken for granted and that the US did not really need Saudi Arabia as an ally has been disproven by subsequent events. Iran is more aggressive than ever and Ali Khamenei is apparently grooming the arch-extremist president Ebrahim Raisi asContinue reading “The United States Needs Saudi Arabia”
Russia Will not Use WMD in Ukraine
There have been warnings that Russia could use weapons of mass destruction in Ukraine. However, a simple cost-benefit analysis reveals that Russia has nothing to gain from using WMD in Ukraine. There would be no “Japanese effect” as the Ukrainians would not capitulate, rather would this if anything have the opposite effect in further galvanizingContinue reading “Russia Will not Use WMD in Ukraine”
Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine
Moscow is infamous for its worldwide disinformation campaigns. Not only was it Czarist Russian intelligence which devised the infamous forgery of “The Protocols of the Elders of Zion” and Soviet intelligence (or even Josef Stalin himself) which coined the neologism “dezinformatsiya”. The KGB through Operation SIG is also also the origin of most contemporary Anti-Semitism,Continue reading “Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine”
The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality
An Israeli government source cited in an Israeli newspaper recently noted that the American government acts according to its own worldview and political philosophy, yet implied that the impending Russian invasion of Ukraine was a result of America’s yearlong fruitless appeasement of the totalitarian regime in Tehran. The Biden administration is apparently not aware ofContinue reading “The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality”
Finland and Sweden Should Join NATO While They Still Can
The case of Ukraine clearly shows that staying out of NATO is not a safe option for European nations. Finland and Sweden have always opted to stay out of NATO for reasons of military strategy. An invasion of Finland and Sweden would essentially offer a detour and diversion for the Russian forces and would lengthenContinue reading “Finland and Sweden Should Join NATO While They Still Can”
Regionwide War and Global Terror
Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”
Biden’s Ukraine Policy Harms US Interests
Why is it that the US government has a Ukraine policy that it does not believe will be effective? On the one hand does the US threaten Russia with severe economic sanctions and on other hand does the US predict that there is a high likelihood of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. At the sameContinue reading “Biden’s Ukraine Policy Harms US Interests”
Tehran’s Intention to “Annihilate America”
On January 4, 2022; Ali Fadavi, the deputy head of the IRGC explicitly threatened on Hezbollah’s al-Manar television station to “annihilate America”. The threat of extermination has long been reserved for the “Small Satan” and now Iran reveals that it plans to exterminate the “Great Satan” as well. Is this a serious threat or isContinue reading “Tehran’s Intention to “Annihilate America””
The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom
The US suffers from a global credibility deficit. America’s adversaries no longer fear the United States and Middle Eastern allies of the United States are all convinced that the US intends to disengage from Islamdom, yet the US denies this. Iran calculates that in the event of the US and Israel destroying the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom”
China Needs to be Encircled by US Allies
The threat of Chinese territorial expansion in the Central Asian and Asia-Pacific regions should prompt the US government to take the initiative to found two new US-led defense alliances in Asia as the US should strive to encircle China in order to contain it and deter it from territorial expansion. The US needs to alignContinue reading “China Needs to be Encircled by US Allies”
Taking Iran Seriously
Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”
NATO Must Stand with Ukraine
Russia continues its buildup of forces alongside the border with Ukraine. This is the test of the success of US deterrence. If US economic deterrence were successful would Russia surely discontinue its military buildup near Ukraine. US intelligence has provided proof that Russia plans false flag operations in the rebel regions of eastern Ukraine asContinue reading “NATO Must Stand with Ukraine”
Manifest Unreason
Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”
The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks
The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”
Why Iran does not Fear Invasion
Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”
Iranian Fears
Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”
Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest
The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”
Iran is a Terrorist State
Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”
When to Attack Iran?
It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”
Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?
What will US policy on Iran be after the demise of the JCPOA? Secretary of State Antony Blinken has strongly and repeatedly pronounced that the Malley doctrine (endless negotiations) is not US policy (or rather no longer US policy). The US has however given no indications as to what will be its Iran policy afterContinue reading “Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?”
America Faces Apocalypse
The failed policy of the Democratic administration on Iran is a reflection of the desperate situation that America finds itself in vis-a-vis Iran. 1. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran set off chemical weapons in major cities in dozens of countries around the world that are perceived to be especially connectedContinue reading “America Faces Apocalypse”
Iran is Undeterred
Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”
Why Iran will Continue to Stall
Iran is determined to continue to accelerate its nuclear weapons program and participation in “negotiations” is merely a means of playing for time so as to satisfy Russia and China in order to avoid UN sanctions. Iran already however has more than enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb but Iran is not satisfied withContinue reading “Why Iran will Continue to Stall”
The Iranian Waves Plan
What is the Iranian game plan for chemical weapons attacks against perceived and actual adversaries in response to the Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and an allied imposition of a no-fly zone over Iran? It is virtually impossible to stop the Iranian provision of chemical weapons to sleeper cells in countries aroundContinue reading “The Iranian Waves Plan”