America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check

The reality that most do not want to acknowledge is that the Khomeinist leadership in Iran for their own reasons simply do not want to return to the JCPOA and they are not interested in any alternative agreement either. Any viable agreement would have to have bipartisan support and be acceptable to Israel and itsContinue reading “America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check”

Erdogan and the Derin Devlet

What is the power dynamic between President Erdogan and the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus? Erdogan has always ruled at the pleasure of the Derin Devlet, which has consistently refrained from unseating him. Erdogan always had limited political space to maneuver in domestic politics in terms of what reforms he could enactContinue reading “Erdogan and the Derin Devlet”

How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran

Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”

Is Russia Acting Rationally or Irrationally?

The prevailing consensus among Russia experts and apparently among scientists in the Western intelligence community is that President Vladimir Putin has become irrational. There are various explanations that are put forward such as autism, megalomania, personality disorders (psychopathy or narcissism), two years of Covid isolation and the alleged and/or actual influence of various historical andContinue reading “Is Russia Acting Rationally or Irrationally?”

First Things First

American diplomacy and American leadership is imperative in ending the war in Ukraine which undoubtedly is intended by Russia to constitute the very beginning of WWIII. Relations between Moscow and Washington are at their lowest point in decades but it is nevertheless essential for the United States to reach out diplomatically to the Russian Federation.Continue reading “First Things First”

A Unique Diplomatic Opportunity for Peace

Beijing’s nightmare is an Asian defense alliance encircling China from all directions and since China is surrounded by rivals, does Beijing make sure to keep close to Russia. Both Beijing and Moscow are keenly aware that a major confrontation between China and Russia over the ownership of Siberia looms on the horizon. Yet, both nationsContinue reading “A Unique Diplomatic Opportunity for Peace”

Will the Russians Sober Up?

The emerging reality in Ukraine is becoming increasingly clear. Russia is winning tactically in some locations in Ukraine but is overall suffering strategic defeat. The Ukrainian military is not only highly motivated but has turned out extremely competent and skilled. The Russian conscripts in contrast lack motivation for a war that they neither support norContinue reading “Will the Russians Sober Up?”

The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President

The US is pressuring Israel to join the ill-advised sanctions regime against Russia which does not help Ukraine one iota and makes a diplomatic resolution more difficult. Israel is not a banana republic and has its own independent national interests. If this was an interest of secondary or tertiary importance then Israel would surely relentContinue reading “The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President”

Sanctions Against Russia are Counterproductive

The recently imposed sanctions regime against Russia is much ill-advised since it stands no chance of influencing the course of war and will only much complicate diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.  Two decades ago, Vladimir Putin approached the West and asked for Russia to join NATO. This was rebuffed for obvious reasons since NATOContinue reading “Sanctions Against Russia are Counterproductive”

Israel Too Wants to Survive

Last year an Anti-Semite was elected president of Chile. The same thing could happen in the United States. Gone are the days when it was assured that it would always be a moderate who would be elected president of the United States. Support for Israel is declining dangerously among young Americans, including among young RepublicansContinue reading “Israel Too Wants to Survive”

The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality

An Israeli government source cited in an Israeli newspaper recently noted that the American government acts according to its own worldview and political philosophy, yet implied that the impending Russian invasion of Ukraine was a result of America’s yearlong fruitless appeasement of the totalitarian regime in Tehran. The Biden administration is apparently not aware ofContinue reading “The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung

The current academic paradigm in Middle Eastern studies assumes that dialogue and cooperation with Islamists is feasible, practical, realistic and desirable, in other words is appeasement of totalitarians the predominant theory of action. The ruling mullahs in Tehran understand well the mindset of useful infidels like Rob Malley and how to diplomatically exploit it. TheContinue reading “Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung”

The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom

The US suffers from a global credibility deficit. America’s adversaries no longer fear the United States and Middle Eastern allies of the United States are all convinced that the US intends to disengage from Islamdom, yet the US denies this. Iran calculates that in the event of the US and Israel destroying the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom”

Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open

There has been tremendous mistrust between the Biden administration and the Israeli government on account of Israel’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis China and America’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis Iran. Israel now understands that there will be no nuclear deal with Iran because Tehran has no interest in such an agreement. The US and Israel are jointly trainingContinue reading “Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open”

Subconscious Racism is a Strategic Problem for Israel

Operation SIG is more active than ever worldwide although now managed by PA intelligence rather than by the KGB which founded Operation SIG. The propaganda discourses of Operation SIG are particularly insidious considering their reliance on subconscious racism against Jews and conscious, yet false universalism since it is based on deliberate racist discrimination within discourses,Continue reading “Subconscious Racism is a Strategic Problem for Israel”

The Oslo Mutual Deception

What enabled the Oslo accords? Israeli intelligence with its deep penetration of Palestinian organizations of course was well aware that the PLO adhered to the Phased Plan (1974 Ten point program). Israel agreed to the idea of Palestinian autonomy in Judea/Samaria and Gaza already in the 1979 Egypt-Israel peace treaty which means that both leftContinue reading “The Oslo Mutual Deception”

What Israel Needs to Tell the International Community

Israeli diplomats need to focus on the promotion of the interests of the Palestinians when explaining the need for Israeli redemption and enfranchisement of the entire Judea and Samaria and the subsequent Jordanian annexation of Gaza. While it is important to explain Israeli and Jordanian interests and how these are crucial to regional stability andContinue reading “What Israel Needs to Tell the International Community”

Israel needs to Campaign for Peace

Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid was certainly right in revealing that there is an organized campaign underway planned for this year that seeks to smear Israel with the Anti-Semitic Apartheid libel at international institutions. However, an Israeli diplomatic counter campaign is of essence.The international campaign to delegitimize Israel with the Anti-Semitic Apartheid libel needs toContinue reading “Israel needs to Campaign for Peace”

Indigenous Construction is not Irrational

The general international perception of the indigenous restoration project in Judea and Samaria is that it is fundamentally irrational and that demographic trends work against Israel and Zionism. The Israeli calculation was always that demography and time are on Israel’s side and that was and remains no doubt a correct assessment. This estimate has beenContinue reading “Indigenous Construction is not Irrational”