What is Wrong with the Iran Experts?

For over a year Iran experts and intelligence analysts around the world predicted that Iran would return to the JCPOA. Only now are Israeli officials coming to the realization that there won’t be an agreement. Even so they claim that chances of an agreement are “slim to none”. This reveals a complete misreading of theContinue reading “What is Wrong with the Iran Experts?”

It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid!

What is the problem with Iran? Is it Islam? No, there are dozens of sovereign Muslim nations that are responsible members of the international community. Is it totalitarianism? Well, totalitarianism does not in of itself necessarily make a country externally aggressive. Is it imperialism? No, imperialism is seldom as malign as the Iranian version. TheContinue reading “It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid!”

Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel

In February 2022 Israel deployed six Israeli drones to successfully destroy hundreds of Iranian drones. It was not until now that Iran retaliated, by striking a Mossad training facility in Erbil, the capital of the KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) with missiles launched from Iranian territory. This obviously represents a drastic escalation but it isContinue reading “Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel”

The Aman Conceptzia

There is a dispute within Aman (Israeli military intelligence) regarding the intentions of Hezbollah. Is Hezbollah an Iranian proxy or is it a Lebanese patriotic organization? Is Hezbollah primarily interested in taking over Israel or taking over Lebanon? Of course, Hezbollah is run by one man, Hassan Nasrallah who makes all important decisions and althoughContinue reading “The Aman Conceptzia”

The Approaching Apocalypse

Khomeinism is different from all other forms of Islamism in that it constitutes an apocalyptic death cult. No other sect of Islamism believes that the end of days is close in time. However, Khomeinism has no fixed date for the apocalypse which is somewhat flexible in time. The general understanding is that eschatological time wasContinue reading “The Approaching Apocalypse”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

The Biden Administration has a Communication Problem

Why is the Biden administration so widely perceived as “weak”? It began with Donald Trump labeling Joe Biden as “Sleepy Joe” in 2020. Republicans subsequently came to widely characterize Joe Biden as “weak”. Then came the disastrous collapse in Afghanistan and the chaotic American pullout which left hundreds of thousands behind who urgently needed toContinue reading “The Biden Administration has a Communication Problem”

Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?

Qatar’s foreign policy is based on both being aligned with the United States and the Islamist nexus (including Iran) despite the Qatari ruling class themselves not being Islamists and hence the Qatari policy of funding Islamists, Jihadists and terrorists everywhere. Similarly has Qatar maintained a peculiar policy of both being aligned with Hamas and maintainingContinue reading “Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?”

Muslim Nations are Hedging Their Bets

The Trump administration was exceptionally successful in generating normalization between Israel and Muslim nations due to the Trump policy of intending to devolve much of America’s superpower duties in Islamdom to Israel. This idea is immensely popular among governments of Islamdom for two reasons. 1) The Mossad is extremely trusted as a partner in theContinue reading “Muslim Nations are Hedging Their Bets”

Denazification of Judea and Samaria

Once a critical mass of Median Jewish immigrants have arrived in Israel will Israel redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria and the Jordanian royal family will subsequently be extremely pleased to annex Gaza. The arrival of tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants to Israel will put an unprecedented strain on the IsraeliContinue reading “Denazification of Judea and Samaria”

Are Muslims Victims?

There are today frequent claims that Muslims are victims. But is this true and if so to what degree and who are their victimizers? Muslims generally suffer informal discrimination as immigrants and descendants of immigants in Western European countries in both housing and employment. But aside from that, Muslims are certainly not victims of non-Muslims.Continue reading “Are Muslims Victims?”

How to Make the US-Israel Relationship Last Forever

How can the US-Israel relationship be so reinforced that it becomes unbreakable as both America and Israel fear being abandoned by the other in the long-term? There is a consensus among Middle Eastern governments that the United States intends to disengage from Islamdom and the US implausibly denies this despite the stated ambition to focusContinue reading “How to Make the US-Israel Relationship Last Forever”

Criticism Should be Conveyed Now

Israel has learned its lesson and now understands that international support for future war needs to be built months before the actual war breaks out. International criticism of Israel’s plans to destroy the Jihadist terrorist organization Hezbollah and its patrons in the northern Levant should be conveyed now to Israeli interlocutors. If nations think thatContinue reading “Criticism Should be Conveyed Now”

What Would Happen if Israel did as the PA Wants?

Imagine if Israel agreed to withdraw plus-minus to the pre-1967 Auschwitz lines and agreed to deport hundreds of thousands of indigenous residents of Judea and Samaria? Assuming that the PA would agree to signing such an agreement which is not at all certain, this would not resolve the question of descendants of ex-refugees who wouldContinue reading “What Would Happen if Israel did as the PA Wants?”

The Octopus of Terror

Islamist movements generally believe in the existence of a worldwide Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. This is an integral part of the Islamist Weltanschauung (comprehensive worldview). It should be kept in mind that Islamists actually seek global control and Islamist world rule and therefore the Anti-Semitic notion that the Jews have a similar ambition doesContinue reading “The Octopus of Terror”

The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks

The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”

The Danger of Messianism

The Jewish nation has a long history of failed messianisms, with usually profoundly tragic consequences for the Jews. The two-state illusion is different from the previous messianist movements in that the false messiah is not a person but an enemy government. The Palestinian Authority is not only Anti-Zionism incarnate but it is the most Anti-SemiticContinue reading “The Danger of Messianism”

Indigenous Construction is not Irrational

The general international perception of the indigenous restoration project in Judea and Samaria is that it is fundamentally irrational and that demographic trends work against Israel and Zionism. The Israeli calculation was always that demography and time are on Israel’s side and that was and remains no doubt a correct assessment. This estimate has beenContinue reading “Indigenous Construction is not Irrational”

Apocalyptic Iran

Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”

Explaining the Next Gaza War

Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations?  Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”

Indigenous Construction does not Thwart Two-State Solution

Recently did an anonymous Palestinian official claim that the Palestinian Authority and the US government see eye to eye on the question of restorative indigenous communities and ostensibly agree that the indigenous restoration project in Judea and Samaria is designed to thwart a two-state solution. Nothing could be further from the truth. The indigenous restorationContinue reading “Indigenous Construction does not Thwart Two-State Solution”

Iran is a Terrorist State

Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”

Iran Plans to Defeat America

When the Iranian regime refers to the United States as “the Great Satan” (Persian: Shaytan-e Bozorg) do they mean that America is their greatest enemy as the center of the perceived Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam (“spreader of corruption”). When the regime chants “death to America” do they mean that they want to bring downContinue reading “Iran Plans to Defeat America”

The American Trauma

The past twenty years of American wars in the Middle East have created a certain amount of trauma in the American people. The stereotypical lesson from those wars is that those were mistakes but is it that simple? As the JCPOA inches towards inevitable collapse will America eventually face armed conflict with the Islamic RepublicContinue reading “The American Trauma”

Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat

The Biden administration wants to focus on the rivalry with China and Russia, yet this is distinctly not how governments in Islamdom see the world. To most governments in Islamdom is Islamism/Jihadism the main threat and therefore is Israel regarded as the indispensable great power that can afford them protection as the United States isContinue reading “Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat”

America Faces Apocalypse

The failed policy of the Democratic administration on Iran is a reflection of the desperate situation that America finds itself in vis-a-vis Iran. 1. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran set off chemical weapons in major cities in dozens of countries around the world that are perceived to be especially connectedContinue reading “America Faces Apocalypse”

Iran is Dangerous and Irrational

The Raisi administration is officially shutting down the JCPOA by reneging on all “concessions” of the Rouhani administration. The Iranian regime knows that the US is literally desperate to reach a nuclear deal in order to avoid Iranian chemical weapons mass terrorism on a global scale. Iran knows that its WMD extortion works and apparentlyContinue reading “Iran is Dangerous and Irrational”

America is at War with Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism

On December 11, 1941 did Nazi Germany declare war on America. Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism was at the very core of Nazi ideology and Berlin’s decision to declare war on America despite Germany having no border with and not being on the same continent as the United States was no doubt in part motivated by conspiratorial Anti-Semitism.Continue reading “America is at War with Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism”

Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?

“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”

Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace

Why is the international community insisting on stigmatizing restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria as so-called “obstacles to peace” when the Kushner peace map proves that they are manifestly not obstacles to partition? In fact, the unpublished Israeli partition map which provided the blueprint for the establishment of the restorative indigenous communities throughout JudeaContinue reading “Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace”

The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization

The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has made significant progress towards liberal democracy and more progress should be expected as the AANES is exceptionally successful in its feminist liberalization and democratization. In fact, the AANES is a model for liberalization and democratization for Muslim societies generally. The AANES is instilling liberal andContinue reading “The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization”

The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry

Why has America’s and Israel’s deterrence against Iran collapsed? There is a fundamental asymmetry between Iran and nearly all other countries with weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Iran intends to use weapons of mass destruction while nearly all other countries (with the exception of Syria) abhor using weapons of mass destruction. This is the reasonContinue reading “The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry”

US Incentives are Necessary

America manifestly lacks a serious policy on Iran other than hoping for the best by keeping open indirect diplomatic channels with Iran. Even the US does not have much hope about reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran, yet Washington hopes that mere keeping open indirect diplomatic channels will protect major American cities from Iranian chemicalContinue reading “US Incentives are Necessary”

Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction

There is international unanimity on Iran on one point and that is the sense of desperation about the threat of Iranian weapons of mass destruction. However, the desperation is expressed differently, 1) Israel is preparing capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and is ready to absorb ensuing Iranian/Hezbollah attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction”

Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria

Hezbollah is not only present throughout Lebanon but has forces located in over 100 locations in all parts of Ba’ath-controlled Syria. Hezbollah’s chemical weapons and terrorist projectile programs are intended to be grown into posing an existential threat against Israel. Israel would be foolish to wait with eradicating Hezbollah until Hezbollah turns into a full-fledgedContinue reading “Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria”

Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously

Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”

The Derin Devlet Should not Allow Further Invasions

The Erdogan regime is currently spreading rumors that the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) is planning to invade further border areas of the AANES. It is essential that the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus puts down the foot and does not allow further Jihadist destabilization in NES (North and East Syria). This isContinue reading “The Derin Devlet Should not Allow Further Invasions”

From Conceptzia to Victory

The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel.  For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”

Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”

Erdogan will not Go Willingly

As the Turkish economy is no longer in an attractive condition with high inflation, many in Turkey predict that Erdogan and the AKP will lose the 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections. Turkey is the only dictatorship in the world with free and fair elections despite Erdogan’s total control over the country’s domestic media, yet Erdogan’sContinue reading “Erdogan will not Go Willingly”

Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest

Israel has since the 1970s invested vast sums in the indigenous restoration project of Judea and Samaria. This is not as is sometimes claimed motivated by irrational nationalist or religious sentiments but rather by clearheaded long-term strategic thinking. The mountain ridge of Judea and Samaria overlooks central Israel and an overwhelming military assault by enemyContinue reading “Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest”

Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad

At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”

What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?

Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”

Liberating Judea and Samaria

The Abbas regime is corrupt, autocratic and kleptocratic. 80% of Palestinians wants Mahmoud Abbas to resign according to a recent Palestinian opinion poll. Despite being secularist does the Palestinian Authority systematically engage in Jihadist incitement in its system of education and regime media. Jihadism tragically permeates Palestinian society not only in Jihadist-controlled Gaza but alsoContinue reading “Liberating Judea and Samaria”

Israel Expects Two-Front War

A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”

The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis

Yarsanism is one of the seven denominations of core Median Judaism. There are approximately 2 to 3 million Yarsanis and most live in Iranian Kurdistan with a significant community living in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdish Yarsanis live in the southernmost part of Kurdistan. Most Yarsanis are Kurds although there are also small communities of Arab,Continue reading “The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis”

The AANES does not Harm Turkey

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and its subdivisions such as the YPG and YPJ have never in their history launched a military attack against Turkish territory. In fact, the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) is a very good neighbor of Turkey. The AKP regime accuses the SDF of terrorism, yet the SDFContinue reading “The AANES does not Harm Turkey”

Resolving the Palestinian Refugee Question

With a partition of the northern Levant involving the establishment of a Christan Aramean state as the successor state to Lebanon and the Israeli annexation of the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon, all following a joint IDF-SDF liberation of Syria and Lebanon subsequent to mass Hezbollah missile barrages against TelContinue reading “Resolving the Palestinian Refugee Question”

Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran

Iran has a sophisticated military but its air force is antiquated as are its tanks. Why then do not Russia and China supply Iran with fighter aircrafts and tanks?  There is in general a fear in the international community of Iranian intelligence committing 9/11 style mass terrorist attacks and potentially with chemical, biological and radiologicalContinue reading “Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran”

The Fiction of Iranian “Democracy”

The extensive Iranian propaganda machinery abroad has long been able to create an illusion of a semblance of Iranian “democracy” with an ostensible “power struggle” between two types of Islamists dubbed “reformists” and “hardliners”. The question that must be asked however is whether there has been any substantial policy difference when the two respective IslamistContinue reading “The Fiction of Iranian “Democracy””