Strategic Dialogue is Required

There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”

Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States

There is no way around seeing the United States the way the Islamic Republic of Iran sees the United States of America, namely as the global Jewish conspiracy incarnate to destroy Islam. This comes with a mixture of modern conspiratorial Anti-Semitism and classical Muslim Anti-Semitism replete with certain stereotypes which are less frequently attributed toContinue reading “Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States”

Genocide in America

Make no mistake, the United States of America, a.k.a. “The Great Satan” is the main and primary adversary of the Islamic Republic of Iran. “Death to America” is no mere slogan, the Supreme Leader says it will happen. Why is this so? For the same reason why 9/11 happened. Because Islamist ideologues generally are stronglyContinue reading “Genocide in America”

The Moment of Truth

President Biden has many times publicly vowed to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear arms. Attacking Iran may be a difficult decision to make for the American president, but it is far more dangerous for America not to participate in an attack than to participate. Why is this so? Because showing weakness is profoundly dangerous inContinue reading “The Moment of Truth”

Iran is Determined to Destroy America

According to Iran’s regime ideology is America, Tehran’s main enemy. The reason this is so as for all Islamist ideologists is that the American superpower is considered identical with the purported global Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. The Obama and Biden administrations have pursued a strategy of appeasing Iran and hoping to eventually align withContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Destroy America”

Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations

Successive Israeli governments have since 1967 presumed that it is not in Israel’s interest to restore Jewish rights on the Temple Mount. The issue has consistently been regarded as one of religion, nostalgia, sentimentalism and even messianism. The view consistently taken has been that the Israeli national interest requires maintaining the status quo. However, theContinue reading “Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations”

Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective

Why the diplomatic uproar about Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s visit to the Temple Mount? From the Arab perspective, Ben-Gvir’s visit is just the first step towards building the Third Temple and so the Arab nations are desperately trying to stop his visits. However, they do believe that the building of the Third TempleContinue reading “Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective”

There is no Danger of Religious War

The notion that events on the Temple Mount, specifically, unexpected body movements by Jews there and more broadly hypothetical Israeli reassertion of Jewish rights on the Mount would trigger a religious war is completely baseless. This old scarecrow is complete and utter nonsense. Could anyone please describe a real and detailed  realistic scenario? No oneContinue reading “There is no Danger of Religious War”

US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests

President Barack Obama’s Middle Eastern strategy of handing over the Muslim world to the Islamists as a means to defuse US-Muslim tensions and ostensibly facilitate so-called “Islamic democracy” which of course the peoples of Iran do enjoy so much (!) has fortunately not been maintained by the Biden administration despite largely being staffed by TeamContinue reading “US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests”

What is the Iranian Game?

Usually, the Iranians and their proxies are playing their cards very carefully but more recently have the Iranians been using some unusual cards. The indirect negotiations with the United States have been brought to the brink with the intention likely being to eventually blame Washington for their ultimate failure. Simultaneously, Tehran’s Lebanese proxy Hezbollah threatenedContinue reading “What is the Iranian Game?”

The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East

Why are Finland and Sweden suddenly applying for membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? They understand the simple truth that the Russian invasion of Ukraine would never have occurred had Ukraine already been a member of NATO. NATO is not primarily an organization for waging war but above all an organization for preventing warContinue reading “The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East”

Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program

The ostensible negotiations process with Iran might seem like a waste of time considering Iran’s complete lack of interest in an agreement with the United States. However, that is certainly not the case as the time is well used by Iran’s intended victims to prepare for war against Iran. There are three levels of militaryContinue reading “Massive US Force Buildup Necessary Prior to Destroying Nuclear Program”

Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset

Twelver Shia theology prohibits offensive war but Khomeinists believe it allows terrorism which it peculiarly construes as defensive, so-called “resistance”. Khomeinist Iran has so far engaged in regional expansionism through proxies, i.e. Shiite militias. Iran also maintains a close relationship with the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood everywhere but in Syria, which is also expressed in Iran’sContinue reading “Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset”

Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel

There are multiple reasons why Hezbollah and its allies in the Iranian axis in the Middle East will engage in a frontal assault on Israel after Israel and the US destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program once so-called “negotiations” have become completely exhausted. 1. The Iranian regime systematically states that this will happen if theContinue reading “Why Hezbollah Will Attack Israel”

The Approaching Khomeinist Apocalypse

“I am decisely announcing to the whole world that if the world-devourers [the infidel powers] wish to stand against our religion, we will stand against the whole world and will not cease until the annihilation of all of them. Either we all become free, or we will go to the greater freedom, which is martyrdom.Continue reading “The Approaching Khomeinist Apocalypse”

The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse

Tehran is currently moderately convinced that America and Israel will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is one of the reasons for its rejectionism in Vienna. Nevertheless, on Quds Day, Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah threatened that Iran might attack Israel directly if Israeli sabotage operations against the Iranian nuclear weapons programContinue reading “The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse”

Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine

Moscow is infamous for its worldwide disinformation campaigns. Not only was it Czarist Russian intelligence which devised the infamous forgery of “The Protocols of the Elders of Zion” and Soviet intelligence (or even Josef Stalin himself) which coined the neologism “dezinformatsiya”. The KGB through Operation SIG is also also the origin of most contemporary Anti-Semitism,Continue reading “Why the Russians are Lying on Ukraine”

It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid!

What is the problem with Iran? Is it Islam? No, there are dozens of sovereign Muslim nations that are responsible members of the international community. Is it totalitarianism? Well, totalitarianism does not in of itself necessarily make a country externally aggressive. Is it imperialism? No, imperialism is seldom as malign as the Iranian version. TheContinue reading “It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid!”

Khomeinism and Iranian Foreign Policy

Ayatollah Khomeini introduced a governing principle according to which Iranian national interests take precedence over sharia. This may seem surprising for an Islamist theocratic regime but can be observed in Iranian foreign policy for various parts of the world. Iran is completely silent on China’s Han colonization of Xinjiang and totalitarian policies of coerced assimilationContinue reading “Khomeinism and Iranian Foreign Policy”

The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia

In 2021 Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman al-Saud made a generous offer to US National Security Advisory Jake Sullivan. MBS offered to normalize relations with Israel in return for a list of demands for so-called “incentives” (i.e. security guarantees and weapons sales). The Americans not only inexplicably turned down the generous offer but apparently rudelyContinue reading “The US Needs to Provide Incentives to Saudi Arabia”

Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel

In February 2022 Israel deployed six Israeli drones to successfully destroy hundreds of Iranian drones. It was not until now that Iran retaliated, by striking a Mossad training facility in Erbil, the capital of the KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) with missiles launched from Iranian territory. This obviously represents a drastic escalation but it isContinue reading “Despite Bravado Iran Fears Israel”

What is the US Stratagem on Islamdom?

The Biden administration is convinced that it will succeed in concluding a nuclear agreement with Iran (I am skeptical, I don’t think the Iranians are interested other than playing for time) but what are the plans of the Biden administration for the period after a conclusion of an agreement? America’s allies in Islamdom worry thatContinue reading “What is the US Stratagem on Islamdom?”

It’s Theology Stupid

The dominant paradigm in Middle Eastern studies is so-called “Postcolonialism”, a particular worldview which ironically privileges the perspectives of Islamist imperialists and Arabist colonialist over their indigenous victims. Postcolonialism is a form of Post-Marxism rooted in the doctrine of historical materialism which consistently plays down the influence of religion on politics. Yet the major civilizationsContinue reading “It’s Theology Stupid”

The Approaching Apocalypse

Khomeinism is different from all other forms of Islamism in that it constitutes an apocalyptic death cult. No other sect of Islamism believes that the end of days is close in time. However, Khomeinism has no fixed date for the apocalypse which is somewhat flexible in time. The general understanding is that eschatological time wasContinue reading “The Approaching Apocalypse”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung

The current academic paradigm in Middle Eastern studies assumes that dialogue and cooperation with Islamists is feasible, practical, realistic and desirable, in other words is appeasement of totalitarians the predominant theory of action. The ruling mullahs in Tehran understand well the mindset of useful infidels like Rob Malley and how to diplomatically exploit it. TheContinue reading “Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung”

Take Anti-Zionism Seriously

There is a fundamental problem with two-state messianism and that is that it does not take the Anti-Zionism of the Palestinian Authority seriously. Why are Palestinian Authority schools teaching Palestinian children about ostensible “Jewish conspiracies”? Why are they taught that the Jews have no history in Israel? Why are they taught that the destruction ofContinue reading “Take Anti-Zionism Seriously”

It is Anti-Semitic to Claim that Jews are a Racial Group

Apartheid libels against Israel are based upon the idea that the Jewish people are a racial group. This is peculiar since Anti-Zionists also deny that Ashkenazi Jews are of Levantine origin. Apartheid according to international legal definitions is based upon one racial group institutionally oppressing one or more racial groups. But how can one claimContinue reading “It is Anti-Semitic to Claim that Jews are a Racial Group”

Imperialist Plans of Expansionism

Iran, China and Russia are all neo-imperialist powers and they intend to geographically expand in accordance with their respective geostrategic master plans. America in contrast which is no empire and has no imperialist designs has no master plan across presidencies for its foreign policy since every new president in the 21st century has devised hisContinue reading “Imperialist Plans of Expansionism”

Iran’s List of Target Countries

The Houthi drone terrorist attack against Abu Dhabi as praised by Tehran illustrates that efforts to stay out of the US-led Iran coalition will not give anyone immunity from Iranian WMD mass terrorist attacks after Israel and the United States destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. The UAE has made it a point to officiallyContinue reading “Iran’s List of Target Countries”

The Octopus of Terror

Islamist movements generally believe in the existence of a worldwide Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. This is an integral part of the Islamist Weltanschauung (comprehensive worldview). It should be kept in mind that Islamists actually seek global control and Islamist world rule and therefore the Anti-Semitic notion that the Jews have a similar ambition doesContinue reading “The Octopus of Terror”

Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?

Iran claims that its assault on Israel with rockets, missiles, chemical warheads and drones from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Yemen will make Israel collapse. Do they actually believe this or is it just propaganda hyperbole? What is clear is that the Israeli home front will suffer immensely as a result of the assaultContinue reading “Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?”

The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks

The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”

Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence

Iran has expressed the assessment that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett’s new policy of avoiding publicly threatening Iran and instead focusing on building Israel’s defensive and offensive capabilities vis-a-vis Iran and its proxies is evidence that Iran has succeeded in deterring Israel. The Iranian representative claimed that Iran has an effective deterrence capacity against “emptyContinue reading “Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence”

Why Iran does not Fear Invasion

Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”

Iranian Fears

Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”

Apocalyptic Iran

Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”

Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest

The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”

Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?

Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”

Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat

Israel has a track record of underestimating the nefariousness of Iran’s intentions. Israeli intelligence until recently believed that Tehran was interested in a nuclear agreement with the United States. Until recently did senior Israeli military experts believe that Iran would not order Hezbollah to launch a frontal attack against Israeli cities with 150 000 rocketsContinue reading “Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat”

The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous

The Khomeinist regime makes increasingly extreme threats against Israel. Why is this so? The regime is no doubt becoming increasingly nervous about the imposition of an international no-fly zone over Iran that would provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country and very likely lead to the downfall of the regime. The emerging coalitionContinue reading “The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous”

How Iran Views the US-Israel Relationship

The basic prism through which the Iranian regime views international politics and domestic politics in many countries is that of the ostensible global “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. Tehran believes that the infamous forgery of the “Protocols of the Elders of Zion” is a genuine document outlining the Zionist conspiracy to control the world. WhenContinue reading “How Iran Views the US-Israel Relationship”

What can be Expected on Iran

The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”

Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?

Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”

Establishing Global Theocratic Rule of the Hidden Imam

While this may seem strange is the theocratic establishment of the “global rule of the Hidden Imam” an official geostrategic goal of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Iranian regime is seriously convinced that the Iranian Islamist revolution constitutes an eschatological process that will culminate in Iranian world rule. This may seem detached from reality,Continue reading “Establishing Global Theocratic Rule of the Hidden Imam”

Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?

There are reportedly differing assessments in Israeli military intelligence (Aman) as to whether Hezbollah will attack Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Why is this so? Iranian officials insist that they will “destroy Israel” in response to the destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This of course isContinue reading “Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?”

Iran is a Terrorist State

Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”

Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?

The Israeli intelligence community used to claim that Iran eventually would return to the JCPOA and now they assume that Iran is interested in an interim agreement that would freeze uranium enrichment in return for some sanctions relief. It appears that the Israeli intelligence community has not learned from its own mistakes.  Iran has twoContinue reading “Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?”

Iran Plans to Defeat America

When the Iranian regime refers to the United States as “the Great Satan” (Persian: Shaytan-e Bozorg) do they mean that America is their greatest enemy as the center of the perceived Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam (“spreader of corruption”). When the regime chants “death to America” do they mean that they want to bring downContinue reading “Iran Plans to Defeat America”

Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission

Iran has an elaborate plan to force the world into political, ideological, geopolitical, economic and religious submission by means of extortive deployment and use of weapons of mass destruction. Iran is already in the very earliest stage of its campaign.  Iran intends to break out as a superpower already when Israel and the US destroyContinue reading “Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission”