The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail

Much hope has been pinned on the indirect Israeli-Lebanese negotiations about the demarcation of the maritime border line between the two nations as mediated by US diplomat Amos Hochstein. However, what is often conveniently forgotten is that the Lebanese state is now effectively Hezbollahstan, an Iranian protectorate which takes indirect orders from Tehran through theContinue reading “The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail”

The Two-State Solution is Dead on Arrival

Why is the Palestinian Authority trying to promote UN membership for the non-existent “State of Palestine” despite an assured US veto in the UN Security Council? The apparent purpose is to pressure liberal democracies into recognizing Palestinian statehood with the goal of torpedoeing peace.  The PA is quite comfortable with the status quo and itsContinue reading “The Two-State Solution is Dead on Arrival”

America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check

The reality that most do not want to acknowledge is that the Khomeinist leadership in Iran for their own reasons simply do not want to return to the JCPOA and they are not interested in any alternative agreement either. Any viable agreement would have to have bipartisan support and be acceptable to Israel and itsContinue reading “America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check”

Who is Right on Iran?

What are Iran’s intentions in Vienna? Non-Iranian intelligence agencies do not appear to know. Many weeks ago there was a flood of Israeli predictions of an imminent deal in Vienna but those fears have certainly not materialized and now even the Americans appear skeptical at the feasibility of a return to the JCPOA. I haveContinue reading “Who is Right on Iran?”

Zelensky’s Israel Campaign

Ukraine has waged a well-oiled international campaign to gain international support against the illegal Russian invasion. However, the Zelensky administration has specifically targeted Israel, in many times complaining about Israel maintaining its good relations with Russia. Why is the Zelensky administration putting so much effort into courting Israel which is merely a small country inContinue reading “Zelensky’s Israel Campaign”

The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President

The US is pressuring Israel to join the ill-advised sanctions regime against Russia which does not help Ukraine one iota and makes a diplomatic resolution more difficult. Israel is not a banana republic and has its own independent national interests. If this was an interest of secondary or tertiary importance then Israel would surely relentContinue reading “The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President”

Israel Too Wants to Survive

Last year an Anti-Semite was elected president of Chile. The same thing could happen in the United States. Gone are the days when it was assured that it would always be a moderate who would be elected president of the United States. Support for Israel is declining dangerously among young Americans, including among young RepublicansContinue reading “Israel Too Wants to Survive”

Iran does not Want to Defer the Apocalypse

Due to crushing UN economic sanctions did Iran agree to the JCPOA in 2015. Iran’s economic situation was such that Iran’s leaders agreed to defer the timeline of the Khomeinist apocalypse. Today in contrast there is no such incentive as Iran is able to export oil to China, and Tehran rightly sees no economic benefitContinue reading “Iran does not Want to Defer the Apocalypse”

Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open

There has been tremendous mistrust between the Biden administration and the Israeli government on account of Israel’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis China and America’s strategic intentions vis-a-vis Iran. Israel now understands that there will be no nuclear deal with Iran because Tehran has no interest in such an agreement. The US and Israel are jointly trainingContinue reading “Why Israel Must Keep its Options Open”

Yes Let’s Bury the Two-State Solution

The PA “foreign minister” Riyad al-Maliki has claimed at the UN Security Council that there is a choice limited to 1) Israel withdrawing to the pre-1967 indefensible Auschwitz lines, 2) turning Israel into the world’s only non-nation state or 3) an Apartheid state. Al-Maliki seemed hysterical. The reason of course is that he falsely considersContinue reading “Yes Let’s Bury the Two-State Solution”

Iranian Fears

Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”

Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest

The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”

What can be Expected on Iran

The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”

Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?

Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”

Why Iran will Continue to Stall

Iran is determined to continue to accelerate its nuclear weapons program and participation in “negotiations” is merely a means of playing for time so as to satisfy Russia and China in order to avoid UN sanctions. Iran already however has more than enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb but Iran is not satisfied withContinue reading “Why Iran will Continue to Stall”

Playing Into the Hands of Tehran

US foreign policy on Iran is playing into the hands of the tyrannical Khomeinist regime. The regime intends to play for time until the JCPOA is irrelevant and even after does it intend to play for time until Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in 2023, all with the purpose of pleasing world powersContinue reading “Playing Into the Hands of Tehran”

There is No Logic in Iran Returning to the JCPOA

Tehran claims that it will return to “negotiations” with the US and with the rest of the P5+1 on November 29, 2021. No one knows whether there will actually be any negotiations in Vienna and if there are then these talks will surely be devoid of any substance since Tehran’s tactic is to delay andContinue reading “There is No Logic in Iran Returning to the JCPOA”

Iran’s Nuclear Calculus

Iran faces a dilemma; if it continues to accelerate its nuclear weapons program, it will be destroyed by Israel from the air in late 2022 or early 2023. If Tehran reenters the JCPOA then it will have to give up the immense advances it has made in the past year of uranium enrichment. That ofContinue reading “Iran’s Nuclear Calculus”

Iran is Playing for Time

The Iranian regime claims that it will return to the Vienna indirect “negotiations” on November 29, 2021. It is entirely unclear whether it will do so. What is clear however is that it has likely prepared an elaborate diplomatic arsenal to be able to play for time so as to avoid UN sanctions and willContinue reading “Iran is Playing for Time”

Why Tehran Hates America

All forms of Islamism (a modern totalitarian political ideology) are intensely Anti-Semitic and believe in Anti-Jewish conspiracy theories about Jewish world domination. The Iranian regime is no exception. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is notorious for having disseminated the so-called “Protocols of the Elders of Zion”. Islamists believe that the Jews rule the world through AmericaContinue reading “Why Tehran Hates America”

World Powers need to Coordinate

Time is increasingly running out as the JCPOA is effectively expiring. Will the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) take action against Iran? Will the P5+1 prepare a Plan B after the failure of the JCPOA? What about the United States? Is there any teeth to its rhetoric about Iran? Does it have a ready PlanContinue reading “World Powers need to Coordinate”

The Emerging Paradigm Shift on Iran

The recent UN General Assembly speech by Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett was very different from those of his predecessor Benjamin Netanyahu who used to devote his entire UNGA speeches to the question of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. While Bennett spoke briefly about the Iranian nuclear weapons program was this not the sole topic inContinue reading “The Emerging Paradigm Shift on Iran”