Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

Taking Iran Seriously

Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”

Manifest Unreason

Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”

A Multifront War

Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”

Explaining the Next Gaza War

Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations?  Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”

How Imminent is War?

If Israel alone had dictated the timing of the destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program had it been determined either by the pace of progress in the Iran’s nuclear weapons program or the date would be after the June 2023 Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections but obviously not earlier than the Israeli project toContinue reading “How Imminent is War?”

Ein Brira

There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”

Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously

Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”

A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest

Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the attack will likely take place in 2023. The attack would have to be repeated after less than two years and then after less than two years again. These regular attacks would go on indefinitely with intervals of less than two years so as to preventContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest”

Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons

Tehran is well aware that a successful Israeli attack against the Iranian nuclear weapons program would have to be repeated in less than two years time unless a no-fly zone is imposed over Iran that would allow intermittent US airstrikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, something which would prevent the program from ever recovering.Continue reading “Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons”

Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so

Tehran openly states that Israel faces disaster and most Israelis do not seem to believe the Iranians. As of writing, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is publicly training for a scenario where Hezbollah will unleash 2 000 projectiles a day for several weeks and where Hezbollah will commit chemical weapons attacks along the Israeli-Lebanese border.Continue reading “Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so”

From Conceptzia to Victory

The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel.  For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”

Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”

Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad

At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”

What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?

Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”

Peace Depends on Victory

The upcoming war between Israel and Hezbollah will likely lead to a wider war between the IDF-SDF and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” including Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Hezbollah, Lebanon and Syria. The outcome will lead to new borders of peace. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state and annex Median Jewish (Alawite andContinue reading “Peace Depends on Victory”

Israel Expects Two-Front War

A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”