Pivot to Asia

USA President Donald J. Trump is certainly right to put Khamenei on notice that killing protesters will lead to American intervention. In order to create a new deradicalized Middle East the Mullah monster has to be removed once and for all. Successive American presidents have sought a pivot to Asia but persisted in underestimating theContinue reading “Pivot to Asia”

Zionism Vindicated

Jew hatred has once more become legitimized throughout the Western world. There are three consecutive historical and contemporary phases of Jew hatred; Anti-Judaism (Pagan, Christian and Muslim) hates Jews on the basis of religion, Anti-Semitism (in the narrow sense of the term) hates Jews on the basis of race and Anti-Zionism hates Jews on theContinue reading “Zionism Vindicated”

The Iranian Conundrum 

Iran politically resembles a Swiss cheese full of Mossad agents in its cavities both inside the regime and among the opposition. It is no exaggeration to point out that Israel is capable of unleashing a multi-generational popular revolution in Iran. Air strikes against the regime’s political and security infrastructures would undoubtedly trigger a nationwide revolution.Continue reading “The Iranian Conundrum “

Peace on Israel’s Terms

Israeli governments have historically created a pattern where they were ready to cede and indeed expected to cede the optimum in negotiations with Arab interlocutors for negotiation. This created excessive, indeed optimal expectations among those negotiating with Israel. The question that needs to be asked is who needs peace the most, Israel or Arab governments? Continue reading “Peace on Israel’s Terms”

Washington and Jerusalem need a Joint Iran Strategy

Israel and America’s 12-day war against the Mullah regime was very successful yet will have to be repeated two years from now against Iran’s rebuilt nuclear weapons program. President Donald J. Trump needs to carefully reconsider his opposition to helping unseat the totalitarian clerical tyranny.  What would happen in Iran if there were a successfulContinue reading “Washington and Jerusalem need a Joint Iran Strategy”

America First Means Bombing Fordow

The US can not tolerate the Mullah regime acquiring nuclear weapons and so the US must take out the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant with MOABs since this is beyond Israel’s capacity as Jerusalem has neither B2 aircraft nor MOABs. Iran means what it says when it calls the US the ”Great Satan” and chant ”DeathContinue reading “America First Means Bombing Fordow”

President Trump is Very Smart but the Mullahs are Smarter

President Trump has made a life career in business from being the smartest person in the room, however this does not work when confronted with people who are even smarter. This is what happened to the Iranian file. The American negotiators are showing weakness by not understanding that the Iranian regime will outsmart any internationalContinue reading “President Trump is Very Smart but the Mullahs are Smarter”

No Southern Adventure

War between the Iranian Axis and Israel is inevitable at some point and the development of the Iranian nuclear weapons programs is a determinative factor. Regional war prior to the neutralization of Iran’s nuke program is highly unlikely due to neither side wishing it. Israel still has work to do in Gaza considering that notContinue reading “No Southern Adventure”

Who Wants What and When?

There is some confusion in Washington these days as to the belligerent intentions of the Iranian Axis. Does Tehran believe that it is effectively deterring Jerusalem and Washington from neutralizing Iran’s nuclear weapons program? The answer is yes in the affirmative. Still Iran does not discount the possibility of a preemptive attack against its nuclearContinue reading “Who Wants What and When?”

Understanding Hamas

Why is Hamas engaging in never-ending indirect negotiations with Israel through international mediators, i.e. the US, Qatar and Egypt? The answer is simple: Hamas gains international legitimacy. Hamas is absolutely serious about not releasing the hostages unless Israel withdraws from Gaza and the way Hamas sees it, the international community supports Hamas and opposes Israel.Continue reading “Understanding Hamas”

Rebuttal of Senator Schumer’s Biden Surrogate Speech

Let’s be clear, I have no ideological problem with a Palestinian state next to Israel. However, creating a Palestinian state either through consent or coercion just is not possible and it is not desirable for either side for reasons that I will elaborate below. Israel experimented with creating a Palestinian state in Gaza and weContinue reading “Rebuttal of Senator Schumer’s Biden Surrogate Speech”

It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid

Why is a Jewish state an absolute necessity? Because of antisemitism, including among Palestinians and Arabs. Why is an end-of-claims final status agreement not possible? It is true that Palestinians have real grievances and material claims but the conflict against Israel is fueled and motivated by antisemitism considering that Palestinians are the most antisemitic peopleContinue reading “It’s Anti-Semitism Stupid”

A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews

The US government has always wanted to ”resolve” the conflict between Israel and those who seek her destruction. Nowadays is the US focus more on the official panacea than actually ending the conflict. The problem is the following, peace is not and was never was possible with those who seek Israel’s destruction. Peace is inContinue reading “A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews”

The Iranian Opposition Needs to Unite

The Iranian opposition in exile can be characterized as being of two types. The first type supports cultural and linguistic hegemony by the Persians, the largest ethnic minority in the country comprising 45% of the population of Iran. The majority of the population is compromised by the other ethnolinguistic minorities in Iran, large and small.Continue reading “The Iranian Opposition Needs to Unite”

Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions

While the hostage release agreement is worthwhile from the perspective of Jewish ethics, it is also dangerous because the ruling Mullahs may view it as a sign of profound weakness. I am bringing up this possibility due to the danger that the Iranian Axis may change its military strategy towards Israel. I am not suggestingContinue reading “Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions”

The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War

Foreign governments that intend to apply pressure on the government of Israel so as to impose a ceasefire between Israel and the Jihadist terrorists in Gaza, effectively in favor of an eternal cycle of conflicts simply do not understand Israel’s situation. Israel just cannot assent no matter the price because doing so would be effectiveContinue reading “The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War”

America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran

Iran’s actions and rhetoric recently have all been about desperately trying to deter America in order to save Hamas from destruction at the hands of Israel. What is of vital strategic importance here is that America (a.k.a. ”the Great Satan”) cannot allow itself to be deterred by the Empire of Terrorism. Washington must deter Tehran,Continue reading “America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran”

The Mullahs are Desperate

The strategic plans of the ruling mullahs in Tehran are falling apart due to Hamas’ severe miscalculation. Hamas is a semi-proxy of Iran and although it consults with and receives substantial aid from Tehran, it is not a full proxy like PIJ or Hezbollah. This was on full display during the October 7, 2023 pogrom.Continue reading “The Mullahs are Desperate”

Iran is Bluffing

Iran is desperate over Israel’s response to Hamas’ October 7, 2023; pogrom, the strategy of ”unification of fronts” is falling apart in front of their eyes. Iran’s threats and the present limited conflict on the Israel-Lebanon border is specifically intended to pressure the Biden administration into coercing Israel into a ceasefire as in May 2021.Continue reading “Iran is Bluffing”

Hamas is Going it Alone

It is becoming increasingly apparent that Hamas in launching its genocidal invasion of southern Israel on October 7, 2023, did not act upon instructions from Tehran. After the May 2021 conflict when the US forced Israel to accept a premature ceasefire after only eleven days of hostilities did Hamas calculate that President Biden would actContinue reading “Hamas is Going it Alone”

Assessing Gaza

In May 2021 there was an eleven-day long conflict between Israel and Gaza. The conflict was put an end to very early by US president Joe Biden who pressured Israel into a premature ceasefire. At the time I did not believe that 11 days of pounding terrorist infrastructure was enough to create sufficient deterrence soContinue reading “Assessing Gaza”

The US Should Use its Leverage over the KRG

The KRG is desperately calling on the US to use its leverage over the Iranian-influenced Iraqi government to promote reconciliation between Erbil and Baghdad. The US however is in no hurry to do so with an anonymous US official reportedly pointing out that the PUK and KDP statelets cannot even integrate between themselves. The USContinue reading “The US Should Use its Leverage over the KRG”

How Iraq will be Drawn into the Northern War

It’s virtually inevitable that Iraq will be drawn into the Northern War. First, the Iranian army will pass over Iraqi territory on the way to Syria. Second, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) will enthusiastically fight on the Syrian front. Third, all remaining Iranian and Iranian-aligned forces in the region will retreat into Iraq after havingContinue reading “How Iraq will be Drawn into the Northern War”

The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently told Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer that Israel is misreading the situation if it thinks that it can get the US-Saudi-Israeli deal without significant Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority. However, this is not what the Saudis are telling the Israelis.  For the USA and theContinue reading “The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does”

It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG

Iran’s continued efforts to economically strangle the KRG (Kurdistan Regional Government) by deferring the resumption of oil exports through Turkey constitute a challenge against US interests in the region as Tehran seeks to subordinate the pro-American KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) to Iran’s neo-imperialist agenda. It is essential that Washington exerts strong and sustained pressureContinue reading “It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG”

Pacifying Iran

Victory in the Northern War is critical for preventing the Iran-MENA front of WWIII, the other front being between Russia and NATO in Europe. Israel and Iran imagine completely different outcomes of the Northern War. Iran imagines that the outcome of the Northern War will be the destruction of Israel. Israel in contrast plans toContinue reading “Pacifying Iran”

An Outline of the Northern War

The government of Israel is highly uninterested in fighting war during this turbulent period in Israeli political history. For Iran and Hezbollah however does it appear to be a perfect time for war. Indeed, the Iranian Axis is itching for war. The long series of provocations along Israel’s northern borders take place precisely because JafariContinue reading “An Outline of the Northern War”

The New Defeatist Narrative

There is in international discourse dissemination of a new narrative according to which Israeli counter-terrorism operations do not prevent terrorism but are actually the cause of terrorism in something falsely described as ”the cycle of violence”. This of course is utter nonsense, the more terrorists Israel jails or kills the less terrorist attacks. Many hundredsContinue reading “The New Defeatist Narrative”

MBS’ Diplomatic Game

The reality is that America and Israel are absolutely indispensable to Saudi Arabia militarily speaking. The Saudi military could not defeat the Houthis in Yemen and so how could it for all its advanced American weaponry defend itself against Iran? So why is MBS playing the infidelity game with Iran (towards Israel) and with ChinaContinue reading “MBS’ Diplomatic Game”

Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement

The Iranian leadership is determined to implement ”Death of America” at some point. They cannot be strategically deterred, only tactically so. This presents a dilemma for the United States government. What is the best means for deferring the destruction of America, appeasement or deterrence? The US government is yet to recognize that Elon Musk andContinue reading “Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement”

Where is the Region Heading?

There are two major wars awaiting the Middle East. The first will be the Northern War where the Israeli and Iranian armies will fight it out on Syrian soil and the second will be Iran’s attempt to conquer the MENA region. Israel’s Arab allies intend to take Assad’s side in the Northern War. It isContinue reading “Where is the Region Heading?”

Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?

Russia has already assured access through Iraqi air space for its own air force. However, the real question is whether Moscow will stay neutral in the upcoming Northern War between Israel and the Iranian Axis? One would think that Putin would be smart enough not to go to war against Israel, considering his present experienceContinue reading “Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?”

Looking Weak and Confused

The US government has once more ventured onto the hopeless, dangerous and  counterproductive route of indirect negotiations with Iran. Time is something that the Iranian regime cannot afford to waste and has therefore no interest whatsoever in concluding even a tactical agreement with ’the Great Satan’. This is so because the continual progression in theContinue reading “Looking Weak and Confused”

US Deterrence Depends on Credibility

One problem with US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran is the ambiguity surrounding the question as to who will take out Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program. If Israel isn’t convinced that America will take part, then who can blame Iran for not believing America? Why is not Israel convinced that America will act militarily to neutralize the IranianContinue reading “US Deterrence Depends on Credibility”

A US Mideast Defense Strategy

Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”

Strategic Dialogue is Required

There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”

Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness

Why is Jordan inciting against Israel and staying out of the Negev Forum? It is not that King Abdullah has personally turned particularly anti-Israel or somehow become a pro-Palestinian activist. Rather, this is a real sign of weakness of the Hashemite regime. In the past were the Hashemites not afraid to be open about theirContinue reading “Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness”

A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest

The US is able to deter Iran, i.e. temporarily so, but it has to be sustained over time in order to ensure homeland security from the threat of Iranian biological terrorism against major American cities. The US is right to pursue military integration with Israel as this bolsters US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. However, this requiresContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest”

Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War

There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”

Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling

Iran believed that Israel and America were weak and ready to be destroyed. Then Iran realized that its perception was wrong and that the Iranian Axis was the one that is weak and ready for destruction. The IDF targeted assassinations of three top PIJ commanders in Gaza literally achieved shock and awe as the IranianContinue reading “Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling”

MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security

MENA regional integration is an important US national interest that will ensure stability in this part of the world and prevent the US from being drawn into a land war with Iran so as to prevent Iran from conquering the Arab world. MENA regional integration is both economic and defense-related. Economic integration is vital toContinue reading “MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security”

Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement

What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and thisContinue reading “Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement”

The US Must Make a Strategic Decision

The US cannot be everywhere and must prioritize. However, Russia, China and Iran must all be contained separately. The goal must be to prevent war and if this fails – to win war. Regarding Russia must the goal be to defeat Russia, kick it out of Ukraine and then woo it to integrate into theContinue reading “The US Must Make a Strategic Decision”

A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence

The first lesson from Ramadan this year is that Israel does not control the pulse in the Levant, Iran does. What is the strategic reality in terms of deterrence? Israel does not believe that Iran will dare use chemical weapons against the Jewish state or Israel would be distributing gas masks, thus Israeli non-conventional deterrenceContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence”

Learn From the Past

When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”

It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum

AANES recently offered to share its energy revenues with the rest of Syria on condition that its feminist form of government is extended to all of Syria. This is in fact what will happen after the Northern War. The reality is that the regime of Bashar al-Assad is intertwined with Iranian Axis and is inContinue reading “It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum”

Deterring Iran is Imperative

The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”

Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections

The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”

Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack

The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”

The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure

The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”