What is Wrong with the Iran Experts?

For over a year Iran experts and intelligence analysts around the world predicted that Iran would return to the JCPOA. Only now are Israeli officials coming to the realization that there won’t be an agreement. Even so they claim that chances of an agreement are “slim to none”. This reveals a complete misreading of theContinue reading “What is Wrong with the Iran Experts?”

Who is Right on Iran?

What are Iran’s intentions in Vienna? Non-Iranian intelligence agencies do not appear to know. Many weeks ago there was a flood of Israeli predictions of an imminent deal in Vienna but those fears have certainly not materialized and now even the Americans appear skeptical at the feasibility of a return to the JCPOA. I haveContinue reading “Who is Right on Iran?”

The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality

An Israeli government source cited in an Israeli newspaper recently noted that the American government acts according to its own worldview and political philosophy, yet implied that the impending Russian invasion of Ukraine was a result of America’s yearlong fruitless appeasement of the totalitarian regime in Tehran. The Biden administration is apparently not aware ofContinue reading “The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung

The current academic paradigm in Middle Eastern studies assumes that dialogue and cooperation with Islamists is feasible, practical, realistic and desirable, in other words is appeasement of totalitarians the predominant theory of action. The ruling mullahs in Tehran understand well the mindset of useful infidels like Rob Malley and how to diplomatically exploit it. TheContinue reading “Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung”

The Biden Administration has a Communication Problem

Why is the Biden administration so widely perceived as “weak”? It began with Donald Trump labeling Joe Biden as “Sleepy Joe” in 2020. Republicans subsequently came to widely characterize Joe Biden as “weak”. Then came the disastrous collapse in Afghanistan and the chaotic American pullout which left hundreds of thousands behind who urgently needed toContinue reading “The Biden Administration has a Communication Problem”

The American Desperation

The JCPOA is inching towards collapse as the definite burial of the JCPOA is only days away. The US sanctions on the Iranian civilian nuclear program were lifted as a desperate goodwill gesture to the Khomeinist regime to show them that the American government is acting in good faith. America faces a dark future asContinue reading “The American Desperation”

Take Anti-Zionism Seriously

There is a fundamental problem with two-state messianism and that is that it does not take the Anti-Zionism of the Palestinian Authority seriously. Why are Palestinian Authority schools teaching Palestinian children about ostensible “Jewish conspiracies”? Why are they taught that the Jews have no history in Israel? Why are they taught that the destruction ofContinue reading “Take Anti-Zionism Seriously”

Muslim Nations are Hedging Their Bets

The Trump administration was exceptionally successful in generating normalization between Israel and Muslim nations due to the Trump policy of intending to devolve much of America’s superpower duties in Islamdom to Israel. This idea is immensely popular among governments of Islamdom for two reasons. 1) The Mossad is extremely trusted as a partner in theContinue reading “Muslim Nations are Hedging Their Bets”

How Iran Interprets America’s Eagerness to Return to the JCPOA

“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Albert Einstein How does Tehran perceive American eagerness to return to the JCPOA and Rob Malley’s desperate appeasement negotiations tactics in Vienna? The Iranian impression is that the White House greatly fears Iran and that Iranian biological weapons terrorist deterrence vis-a-visContinue reading “How Iran Interprets America’s Eagerness to Return to the JCPOA”

The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate

It has often been claimed that peace requires accepting that there are two competing narratives, one Israeli and one Palestinian, but is this really true? What has not been considered is that the Palestinian narrative is Anti-Zionist, meaning opposed to peace with Israel. Therefore legitimizing the Palestinian narrative as an obstacle to peace makes peaceContinue reading “The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate”

The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom

The US suffers from a global credibility deficit. America’s adversaries no longer fear the United States and Middle Eastern allies of the United States are all convinced that the US intends to disengage from Islamdom, yet the US denies this. Iran calculates that in the event of the US and Israel destroying the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “The US Must Clarify on Disengagement from Islamdom”

The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks

The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”

Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence

Iran has expressed the assessment that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett’s new policy of avoiding publicly threatening Iran and instead focusing on building Israel’s defensive and offensive capabilities vis-a-vis Iran and its proxies is evidence that Iran has succeeded in deterring Israel. The Iranian representative claimed that Iran has an effective deterrence capacity against “emptyContinue reading “Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence”

Iranian Fears

Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”

Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?

Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”

The Art of Building Deterrence

One year of failed appeasement policy has completely destroyed US deterrence against Iran. The notion that this can be repaired by issuing a few threats is preposterous. Public issuance of threatening statements has its place in a comprehensive deterrence posture but are on their own entirely insufficient in rebuilding America’s deterrence against Iran. Iran shouldContinue reading “The Art of Building Deterrence”

What can be Expected on Iran

The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”

Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?

Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”

Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table

An interview with US Iran envoy Rob Malley on CNN informs us that the Malley doctrine of endless negotiations is back and the Blinken doctrine of opposition to endless negotiations is dead, or at least so far the moment. Malley, the notorious appeaser of Islamists, is convinced that Iran is advancing its hugely expensive nuclearContinue reading “Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table”

Iran is a Terrorist State

Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”

Iran Plans to Defeat America

When the Iranian regime refers to the United States as “the Great Satan” (Persian: Shaytan-e Bozorg) do they mean that America is their greatest enemy as the center of the perceived Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam (“spreader of corruption”). When the regime chants “death to America” do they mean that they want to bring downContinue reading “Iran Plans to Defeat America”

When to Attack Iran?

It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”

Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus

Why does Iran intend to attack third countries with chemical weapons following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program? First, this is intended as deterrence so that nations will pressure Israel never to attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program again. Second, it is intended to isolate the Jewish state among the nations and diminishContinue reading “Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus”

Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?

Iran has for years repeated its intention to “annihilate Israel”. Iranian chemical weapons pose a severe threat against major cities in many countries around the world as Iran prepares to attack many nations in response to Iran’s nuclear weapons program being destroyed. America faces the threat of Iranian usage of biological weapons on American soilContinue reading “Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?”

The US has no Plan B

There is an obvious contradiction between the Malley doctrine (yes to endless negotiations) and the Blinken doctrine (no to endless negotiations). The US is literally desperate about reconciling with the implacable Iranian regime. The reasons are deeply understandable since the consequences of Israeli conflict with Iran will be mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “The US has no Plan B”

Appeasement Undermines Deterrence

The appeasement policy of the Democratic administration undermines America’s deterrence posture. Iran is well aware that no Democratic administration will respond with nuclear weapons to Iranian chemical weapons attacks against America and hence is America highly vulnerable to chemical weapons attacks against major American cities. President Trump was not afraid to abrogate the JCPOA sinceContinue reading “Appeasement Undermines Deterrence”

Iran is Dangerous and Irrational

The Raisi administration is officially shutting down the JCPOA by reneging on all “concessions” of the Rouhani administration. The Iranian regime knows that the US is literally desperate to reach a nuclear deal in order to avoid Iranian chemical weapons mass terrorism on a global scale. Iran knows that its WMD extortion works and apparentlyContinue reading “Iran is Dangerous and Irrational”

America is at War with Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism

On December 11, 1941 did Nazi Germany declare war on America. Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism was at the very core of Nazi ideology and Berlin’s decision to declare war on America despite Germany having no border with and not being on the same continent as the United States was no doubt in part motivated by conspiratorial Anti-Semitism.Continue reading “America is at War with Conspiratorial Anti-Semitism”

Why does Erdogan Claim that he Wants to Improve Relations with Israel?

Erdogan has many times publicly claimed that he wants to improve relations with Israel, i.e. Turkey and Israel exchanging ambassadors. Yet this does not happen. One may certainly wonder why this is so? One explanation is that Erdogan is under pressure from the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus through the TAF (TurkishContinue reading “Why does Erdogan Claim that he Wants to Improve Relations with Israel?”

Appeasing the Palestinian Movement does not Work

When the Israeli government initiated what became the Oslo process was it quite aware that no end-of-claims final status agreement was possible with the PLO. Yet, the opened-eyed, realistic Israeli government initiated the Oslo process with the goal of establishing a Palestinian autonomy, something that was accepted by both Likud and Labor and was anchoredContinue reading “Appeasing the Palestinian Movement does not Work”

Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?

“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”

The Myopia of Appeasement

America during the presidency of Barack Obama had as its policy to appease and even align with Islamism. This is not the policy of the Biden administration, yet the current administration clings desperately to the Obama-era JCPOA despite increasingly realizing that it is already dead. The latest idea for a partial agreement with Iran thatContinue reading “The Myopia of Appeasement”

Futile Diplomacy

Once a no-fly zone is imposed by a coalition of Israel and allied nations of Islamdom over Iran and Israel has destroyed the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran and its proxies retaliate with chemical weapons attacks not only against Israeli cities but indeed against major cities worldwide. Who can seriously believe that “the GreatContinue reading “Futile Diplomacy”

Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace

Why is the international community insisting on stigmatizing restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria as so-called “obstacles to peace” when the Kushner peace map proves that they are manifestly not obstacles to partition? In fact, the unpublished Israeli partition map which provided the blueprint for the establishment of the restorative indigenous communities throughout JudeaContinue reading “Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace”