Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah

Iran is preparing for a doomsday scenario and threatened on Sunday October 24, 2021 effectively that Tehran would order Hezbollah to launch its entire arsenal of 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israel should Israel attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program. The threat should be taken seriously just as Iran is also taking seriously theContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah”

The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred

The upcoming Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear Iranian nuclear weapons program is a golden opportunity to also fundamentally transform the northern Levant and remove Iran from the regional equation. While it is necessary to destroy Hezbollah could it also be argued that Hezbollah’s destruction and the remaking of the northern Levant could be deferredContinue reading “The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred”

Tehran Suffers from Hubris

Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”

A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA

There is no reason to mourn the imminent passing of the JCPOA. In fact, a no-fly zone is a much better option than the JCPOA. The JCPOA was set to expire in 2030, a no-fly zone will only expire when the Khomeinist regime falls. The JCPOA allowed Iran to maintain its nuclear weapons program, aContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA”

The Failed State of Lebanon

The Lebanese civil war ended in 1990 and it eventually turned out that Hezbollah refused to abide by the Taif Agreement which it had signed and which stipulated that all Lebanese militias had to disarm. It ultimately turned out that Lebanon preferred peace with Hezbollah, the Jihadist terrorist organization over peace with Israel, Lebanon’s liberalContinue reading “The Failed State of Lebanon”

“Reconciliation” under Threat

Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan are mortal enemies and bitter rivals of the Islamic Republic of Iran, yet both have recently diplomatically “reconciled” with Tehran and apparently so out of fear of Iranian military invasions. While deeply understandable, it is also important to understand that appeasement does not last and these agreements only buy immunity fromContinue reading ““Reconciliation” under Threat”

The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran

A no-fly zone over Iran is Tehran’s worst nightmare. There is no doubt that the ethnic periphery that make up half of Iran’s population will rise in armed rebellion with US air support and perhaps will the ethnic Persians as well? A no-fly zone will prevent the regime from rebuilding its nuclear weapons program afterContinue reading “The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran”

Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?

Alawites have suffered attempted enforced Islamization since early Islamic conquest in the 7th century CE. The famous medieval Jihadist theologian Ibn Taymiyyah (1263-1328) claimed that the Alawites are “more infidel than the Jews and the Christians”. Alawites suffered terribly during the Ottoman period in French colonial rule coming as liberation for the Alawites. Alawite menContinue reading “Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?”

World Powers need to Coordinate

Time is increasingly running out as the JCPOA is effectively expiring. Will the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) take action against Iran? Will the P5+1 prepare a Plan B after the failure of the JCPOA? What about the United States? Is there any teeth to its rhetoric about Iran? Does it have a ready PlanContinue reading “World Powers need to Coordinate”

The Perceptual Gap

There is a vast perceptual gap between the P5+1 and the Khomeinist regime. The P5+1 talk the language of reconciliation while Tehran hears weakness and uses the time offered to further enrich uranium towards the goal of amassing enough material to produce a nuclear weapon. For Iran are P5+1 useful infidels to be deceived andContinue reading “The Perceptual Gap”

Mowing the Grass

If the Iranian regime survives a no-fly zone over Iran in its core Persian-speaking region (the ethnic periphery will no doubt revolt) will a no-fly zone crucially permit continual air raids against Iranian nuclear installations on a regular basis. This will offer significant operational advantages when implementing air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program.Continue reading “Mowing the Grass”

Will the Druze Welcome Israeli Liberation?

War approaches in the Middle East. There is a race in time between Iranian uranium enrichment to produce enough uranium to assemble a nuclear weapon at the same time as Israel is investing billions of shekels in its new capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program from the air. Iran will respond to IsraeliContinue reading “Will the Druze Welcome Israeli Liberation?”

The Paradox of Alawite Rule

The Syrian regime is controlled by a clique of assimilated ethnic Alawites supported by a wider class of Alawite military officers yet the ruling Alawite clique promotes the assimilation of the Alawite people into Islam. How can this be reconciled? First thing is this highly peculiar since the Ba’athist ideology was a secularist ideology toContinue reading “The Paradox of Alawite Rule”

Hezbollah’s Patrons

Iran is racing towards producing enough enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb while at the same time Israel is racing to develop capacity to strategically degrade the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program – will Hezbollah unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv andContinue reading “Hezbollah’s Patrons”

Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant

The Iranian nuclear weapons program is racing to produce enough enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon. Israel will not allow that to happen and will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy terrorist Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missilesContinue reading “Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant”

A Race Against Time

Before the JCPOA era did Israel have a ready offensive military program to strike the Iranian nuclear weapons program but with the JCPOA in 2015 was it rescinded. Now Israel is investing billions of shekels in new offensive military capabilities and is training a new generation of fighter pilots for the mission. Yet at theContinue reading “A Race Against Time”