The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy

Washington still clings to the illusion that Tehran is interested in returning to the JCPOA and would ultimately do so. Jerusalem clings to a similar illusion in believing that it is possible to deter Iran in claiming that if Tehran was presented with a credible military deterrence that would threaten its survival (i.e. a no-flyContinue reading “The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy”

Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost

Iranian officials state over and over again that Israel will be destroyed if Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. They literally mean what they say. What this means is that the entire Iranian axis (primarily Hezbollah) will engage in a frontal assault against Israel with projectiles, including ones with chemical warheads. (Iranian use ofContinue reading “Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost”

The Death of the Liberal World Order

The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”

Russia Deters America in Ukraine

Why is America not admitting Ukraine to NATO and putting an end to the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine? The US should militarily deter Russia from invading Ukraine yet it is the US that has ended up deterred by Russia. The Biden administration wields the threat of economic sanctions against Russia despite PresidentContinue reading “Russia Deters America in Ukraine”

Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence

Iran has expressed the assessment that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett’s new policy of avoiding publicly threatening Iran and instead focusing on building Israel’s defensive and offensive capabilities vis-a-vis Iran and its proxies is evidence that Iran has succeeded in deterring Israel. The Iranian representative claimed that Iran has an effective deterrence capacity against “emptyContinue reading “Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence”

Why Iran does not Fear Invasion

Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”

Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad

At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”

The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv

There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”

Initiating a War of No Choice

Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”

Waiting until Doomsday?

The Iranian nuclear weapons program is racing to enrich enough uranium for an atomic bomb. In parallel is Israel racing to rapidly build a capacity to strategically degrade the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Israel will not allow Iran to amass enough enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon and is ready to preemptively attack Iran. IranContinue reading “Waiting until Doomsday?”

Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant

The Iranian nuclear weapons program is racing to produce enough enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon. Israel will not allow that to happen and will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy terrorist Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missilesContinue reading “Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant”