Why has America’s and Israel’s deterrence against Iran collapsed? There is a fundamental asymmetry between Iran and nearly all other countries with weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Iran intends to use weapons of mass destruction while nearly all other countries (with the exception of Syria) abhor using weapons of mass destruction. This is the reasonContinue reading “The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry”
Tag Archives: Jihadism
US Incentives are Necessary
America manifestly lacks a serious policy on Iran other than hoping for the best by keeping open indirect diplomatic channels with Iran. Even the US does not have much hope about reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran, yet Washington hopes that mere keeping open indirect diplomatic channels will protect major American cities from Iranian chemicalContinue reading “US Incentives are Necessary”
Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction
There is international unanimity on Iran on one point and that is the sense of desperation about the threat of Iranian weapons of mass destruction. However, the desperation is expressed differently, 1) Israel is preparing capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and is ready to absorb ensuing Iranian/Hezbollah attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction”
Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria
Hezbollah is not only present throughout Lebanon but has forces located in over 100 locations in all parts of Ba’ath-controlled Syria. Hezbollah’s chemical weapons and terrorist projectile programs are intended to be grown into posing an existential threat against Israel. Israel would be foolish to wait with eradicating Hezbollah until Hezbollah turns into a full-fledgedContinue reading “Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria”
Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously
Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”
The Derin Devlet Should not Allow Further Invasions
The Erdogan regime is currently spreading rumors that the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) is planning to invade further border areas of the AANES. It is essential that the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus puts down the foot and does not allow further Jihadist destabilization in NES (North and East Syria). This isContinue reading “The Derin Devlet Should not Allow Further Invasions”
From Conceptzia to Victory
The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel. For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”
Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
Erdogan will not Go Willingly
As the Turkish economy is no longer in an attractive condition with high inflation, many in Turkey predict that Erdogan and the AKP will lose the 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections. Turkey is the only dictatorship in the world with free and fair elections despite Erdogan’s total control over the country’s domestic media, yet Erdogan’sContinue reading “Erdogan will not Go Willingly”
Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest
Israel has since the 1970s invested vast sums in the indigenous restoration project of Judea and Samaria. This is not as is sometimes claimed motivated by irrational nationalist or religious sentiments but rather by clearheaded long-term strategic thinking. The mountain ridge of Judea and Samaria overlooks central Israel and an overwhelming military assault by enemyContinue reading “Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest”
Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad
At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”
What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?
Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”
Liberating Judea and Samaria
The Abbas regime is corrupt, autocratic and kleptocratic. 80% of Palestinians wants Mahmoud Abbas to resign according to a recent Palestinian opinion poll. Despite being secularist does the Palestinian Authority systematically engage in Jihadist incitement in its system of education and regime media. Jihadism tragically permeates Palestinian society not only in Jihadist-controlled Gaza but alsoContinue reading “Liberating Judea and Samaria”
Israel Expects Two-Front War
A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”
The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis
Yarsanism is one of the seven denominations of core Median Judaism. There are approximately 2 to 3 million Yarsanis and most live in Iranian Kurdistan with a significant community living in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdish Yarsanis live in the southernmost part of Kurdistan. Most Yarsanis are Kurds although there are also small communities of Arab,Continue reading “The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis”
The AANES does not Harm Turkey
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and its subdivisions such as the YPG and YPJ have never in their history launched a military attack against Turkish territory. In fact, the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) is a very good neighbor of Turkey. The AKP regime accuses the SDF of terrorism, yet the SDFContinue reading “The AANES does not Harm Turkey”
Resolving the Palestinian Refugee Question
With a partition of the northern Levant involving the establishment of a Christan Aramean state as the successor state to Lebanon and the Israeli annexation of the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon, all following a joint IDF-SDF liberation of Syria and Lebanon subsequent to mass Hezbollah missile barrages against TelContinue reading “Resolving the Palestinian Refugee Question”
Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran
Iran has a sophisticated military but its air force is antiquated as are its tanks. Why then do not Russia and China supply Iran with fighter aircrafts and tanks? There is in general a fear in the international community of Iranian intelligence committing 9/11 style mass terrorist attacks and potentially with chemical, biological and radiologicalContinue reading “Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran”
The Fiction of Iranian “Democracy”
The extensive Iranian propaganda machinery abroad has long been able to create an illusion of a semblance of Iranian “democracy” with an ostensible “power struggle” between two types of Islamists dubbed “reformists” and “hardliners”. The question that must be asked however is whether there has been any substantial policy difference when the two respective IslamistContinue reading “The Fiction of Iranian “Democracy””
Liberalization without Suppressing Religion
Secularism in Turkey and Iran during the 20th century was anti-religious in actively trying to limit the extent of religion in society. This led to a backlash in Islamists coming to power. The secularization policies of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk and Mohammad Reza Pahlavi were in this sense clearly counterproductive. However, their respective heritage remains aliveContinue reading “Liberalization without Suppressing Religion”
Aliyah Organization 