An Outline of the Northern War

The government of Israel is highly uninterested in fighting war during this turbulent period in Israeli political history. For Iran and Hezbollah however does it appear to be a perfect time for war. Indeed, the Iranian Axis is itching for war. The long series of provocations along Israel’s northern borders take place precisely because JafariContinue reading “An Outline of the Northern War”

Regime Change in Turkey is Imperative

The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to engineer a military coup d’état in Turkey. Regime change is absolutely necessary so as to ensure that Median Jewry in Turkey and Iraq are allowed to immigrate to Israel.

The New Defeatist Narrative

There is in international discourse dissemination of a new narrative according to which Israeli counter-terrorism operations do not prevent terrorism but are actually the cause of terrorism in something falsely described as ”the cycle of violence”. This of course is utter nonsense, the more terrorists Israel jails or kills the less terrorist attacks. Many hundredsContinue reading “The New Defeatist Narrative”

Applying Israeli Sovereignty to Parts of Judea and Samaria is Imperative

Nobody knows the outcome of the November 2024 presidential elections in the United States. However, eventually at some point a member of the GOP will become resident of the White House. Hence the question of whether a future Republican president will recognize Israeli sovereignty in parts of Judea and Samaria is an essential one indeed.Continue reading “Applying Israeli Sovereignty to Parts of Judea and Samaria is Imperative”

A Major Operation is Required in Northern Samaria

The situation in northern Samaria is not about to improve, the opposite is true, Iran is determined to further destabilize the area. Contrary to what is claimed by some naive Westerners is Palestinian terrorism not triggered by construction in indigenous Israeli communities in Judea and Samaria. Rather, what annoys Palestinian terrorists the most is theContinue reading “A Major Operation is Required in Northern Samaria”

Staggering American Naivety

Secretary of State Antony Blinken has recently claimed that violence in northern Samaria makes normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia impossible or near impossible. Interestingly, the Saudis are not making demands on the Palestinian issue from the Israelis but from the Americans! The Saudis sense that they have leverage over the Americans on Judea/Samaria issuesContinue reading “Staggering American Naivety”

MBS’ Diplomatic Game

The reality is that America and Israel are absolutely indispensable to Saudi Arabia militarily speaking. The Saudi military could not defeat the Houthis in Yemen and so how could it for all its advanced American weaponry defend itself against Iran? So why is MBS playing the infidelity game with Iran (towards Israel) and with ChinaContinue reading “MBS’ Diplomatic Game”

Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship

The issue of erecting wind turbines near Druze Golan villages has triggered riots and clashes, yet it appears that not everyone in the Israeli government is aware of the strategic implications. Israel needs to consider its future relationship with the entire Druze people, also in regions that are currently part of Syria and Lebanon, areasContinue reading “Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship”

Cancel Erdogan’s Plot Against Imamoglu

President Erdogan sees Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu as a major threat for the 2028 presidential elections and has therefore concocted false accusations against him as intended to incarcerate Imamoglu for seven years so that he cannot run for president. The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet Deep State domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to act toContinue reading “Cancel Erdogan’s Plot Against Imamoglu”

Release Turkey’s Imprisoned Journalists

Turkey is infamous for its large number of incarcerated journalists and this is precisely the right time to change this sad state of things. The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to engineer a political process whereby all journalists are gradually released from prison within a reasonable period ofContinue reading “Release Turkey’s Imprisoned Journalists”

Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement

The Iranian leadership is determined to implement ”Death of America” at some point. They cannot be strategically deterred, only tactically so. This presents a dilemma for the United States government. What is the best means for deferring the destruction of America, appeasement or deterrence? The US government is yet to recognize that Elon Musk andContinue reading “Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement”

Where is the Region Heading?

There are two major wars awaiting the Middle East. The first will be the Northern War where the Israeli and Iranian armies will fight it out on Syrian soil and the second will be Iran’s attempt to conquer the MENA region. Israel’s Arab allies intend to take Assad’s side in the Northern War. It isContinue reading “Where is the Region Heading?”

Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?

Russia has already assured access through Iraqi air space for its own air force. However, the real question is whether Moscow will stay neutral in the upcoming Northern War between Israel and the Iranian Axis? One would think that Putin would be smart enough not to go to war against Israel, considering his present experienceContinue reading “Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?”

Looking Weak and Confused

The US government has once more ventured onto the hopeless, dangerous and  counterproductive route of indirect negotiations with Iran. Time is something that the Iranian regime cannot afford to waste and has therefore no interest whatsoever in concluding even a tactical agreement with ’the Great Satan’. This is so because the continual progression in theContinue reading “Looking Weak and Confused”

US Deterrence Depends on Credibility

One problem with US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran is the ambiguity surrounding the question as to who will take out Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program. If Israel isn’t convinced that America will take part, then who can blame Iran for not believing America? Why is not Israel convinced that America will act militarily to neutralize the IranianContinue reading “US Deterrence Depends on Credibility”

Peculiar?

European governments are unhappy with Russia funding Communists and Nazis in their own countries but they do not seem to understand why Israel is unhappy with Europe funding Anti-Semites in Israel. Whoah? Are European governments and the European Union funding Anti-Semites in Israel? Yes, according to the EU-approved IHRA definition of Anti-Semitism and its 11Continue reading “Peculiar?”

Israeli Civil Society Should not Rely on Foreign Governments

It is very unhealthy that foreign governments on a massive scale fund Israeli NGO’s which lack popular basis in Israeli society. It is legitimate to raise funds from private organizations and individuals at home and abroad but to mostly rely on foreign governments means corrupting the very notion of ”non-governmental organization”. Are those organizations actuallyContinue reading “Israeli Civil Society Should not Rely on Foreign Governments”

A US Mideast Defense Strategy

Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”

Open the KRI-NES Border

The border between the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) and North and East Syria (NES) has long remained closed due to pressure from Ankara on Erbil. This needs to change. The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to use its leverage in Ankara to relieve pressure on Erbil soContinue reading “Open the KRI-NES Border”

Strategic Dialogue is Required

There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”

Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness

Why is Jordan inciting against Israel and staying out of the Negev Forum? It is not that King Abdullah has personally turned particularly anti-Israel or somehow become a pro-Palestinian activist. Rather, this is a real sign of weakness of the Hashemite regime. In the past were the Hashemites not afraid to be open about theirContinue reading “Jordan’s Anti-Israel Incitement is a Sign of Weakness”

A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest

The US is able to deter Iran, i.e. temporarily so, but it has to be sustained over time in order to ensure homeland security from the threat of Iranian biological terrorism against major American cities. The US is right to pursue military integration with Israel as this bolsters US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. However, this requiresContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest”

The Elections Were Rigged

There has long been opinion polls in Turkey on the prospects of the 2023 presidential elections and suddenly the results were reversed between the candidates in the actual elections. It is impossible to not think that the elections were rigged. Does it really seem plausible that such a vast majority of undecided voters turned toContinue reading “The Elections Were Rigged”

The Red Line

The coalition is at liberty to pass any legislation it wants and the Supreme Court may nullify it. However, if the government chooses to disobey the Supreme Court, then it crosses a definitive red line. This makes the government vulnerable to a military coup d’état as ordered by Israel’s Deep State. Make no mistake, whatContinue reading “The Red Line”

A Military Coup D’État in Turkey

It was always clear that Erdogan would not willingly hand over power and now he has resorted to rigging the elections. Clearly this cannot be allowed to pass. The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to order and organize a military coup in Turkey that would install the realContinue reading “A Military Coup D’État in Turkey”

Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War

There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”

Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling

Iran believed that Israel and America were weak and ready to be destroyed. Then Iran realized that its perception was wrong and that the Iranian Axis was the one that is weak and ready for destruction. The IDF targeted assassinations of three top PIJ commanders in Gaza literally achieved shock and awe as the IranianContinue reading “Iran’s Strategy is Crumbling”

The Israeli Deep State Needs to Promote a New Rabbinical Consensus on Conversion Reform

The proposal for conversion reform as suggested by the Bennett-Lapid government was insensitive to the very real social concerns of many Diaspora Orthodox rabbis who feared for the very survival of their communities. The apparent concern was that young Orthodox Jews would date and marry non-Jews and then make fictitious Aliyah for the purpose ofContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Needs to Promote a New Rabbinical Consensus on Conversion Reform”

MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security

MENA regional integration is an important US national interest that will ensure stability in this part of the world and prevent the US from being drawn into a land war with Iran so as to prevent Iran from conquering the Arab world. MENA regional integration is both economic and defense-related. Economic integration is vital toContinue reading “MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security”

Post-Putin Russia Must be Enticed to Democratize and Liberalize

As Ukraine is preparing for its 2023 Spring Offensive should the Western world already now form a policy for dealing with a defeated post-Putin Russia that has been kicked out of Ukraine. Yes, it appears that Vladimir Putin will not ever admit defeat and withdraw from occupied Ukraine but will fight till the last dropContinue reading “Post-Putin Russia Must be Enticed to Democratize and Liberalize”

Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement

What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and thisContinue reading “Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement”

The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers

While Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is keenly aware that a constitutional crisis would trigger a military coup d’état and that the Israeli Deep State would subsequently impose a new constitution defining Israel as a Jewish and Liberal state, most of his cabinet ministers are obviously not aware of this at all. It is absolutely imperativeContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn Israeli Cabinet Ministers”

The US Must Make a Strategic Decision

The US cannot be everywhere and must prioritize. However, Russia, China and Iran must all be contained separately. The goal must be to prevent war and if this fails – to win war. Regarding Russia must the goal be to defeat Russia, kick it out of Ukraine and then woo it to integrate into theContinue reading “The US Must Make a Strategic Decision”

Being First to Provide Information is Essential

I have suggested this before and I wasn’t listened to and so I hope that I will be read in the Israeli Ministry of Defense this time around. The fundamental problem with IDF informational efforts in wartime is that the IDF is too slow to provide timely and accurate info to the media. It isContinue reading “Being First to Provide Information is Essential”

A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence

The first lesson from Ramadan this year is that Israel does not control the pulse in the Levant, Iran does. What is the strategic reality in terms of deterrence? Israel does not believe that Iran will dare use chemical weapons against the Jewish state or Israel would be distributing gas masks, thus Israeli non-conventional deterrenceContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is Pivotal for American Deterrence”

Learn From the Past

When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”

It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum

AANES recently offered to share its energy revenues with the rest of Syria on condition that its feminist form of government is extended to all of Syria. This is in fact what will happen after the Northern War. The reality is that the regime of Bashar al-Assad is intertwined with Iranian Axis and is inContinue reading “It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum”

The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too

A constitutional crisis and even civil war are unacceptable outcomes and hence the failure of the present constitutional negotiations in Israel will inexorably lead to a military coup d’état, something which neither the government nor the opposition desires. While the Israeli government is keenly aware of this fact, the leaders of the opposition are notContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Warn the Opposition Too”

The Apoists Must Accept Nothing Short of Autonomy Within Turkey

Mr. Kilicdaroglu is according to all polls expected to win the second round of the Turkish presidential elections. A peace process with the PKK should of course not be immediately expected after the elections, yet negotiations is a must and the Kurds must drive a hard bargain. Therefore, the Kurds cannot accept anything short ofContinue reading “The Apoists Must Accept Nothing Short of Autonomy Within Turkey”

Don’t Be a Sore Loser

Mr. Erdogan would be particularly well-advised to try to respect the upcoming election results and not be a sore loser. His fate and that of his fellow travelers in the AKP elite may in fact depend on that. There is of course a wide range of actions that Mr. Erdogan may undertake from questioning theContinue reading “Don’t Be a Sore Loser”

Religious Zionist Poskim Need to be Initiated Into the Secrets of Esoteric Judaism

The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to ask the top Sabbatean religious authorities to initiate Religious Zionist and Modern Orthodox poskim into the full range of secrets of Esoteric Judaism.

The Face of American Jewry is Changing

Within 15-20 years is Israel expected to become economically attractive as a magnet for Western immigration. At the same time is the face of American Jewry rapidly changing. Most American Jews intermarry and most of those who do raise their children as Jews irrespective of whether it is the father or the mother who isContinue reading “The Face of American Jewry is Changing”

Derin Devlet Should Accelerate Sweden’s NATO Accession

Sweden’s accession to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has been held up for a long time. Once the Turkish elections are over would the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus be particularly well-advised to move aggressively to promote Sweden’s membership in NATO and the Derin Devlet should do so irrespective of which sideContinue reading “Derin Devlet Should Accelerate Sweden’s NATO Accession”

The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur 

Considering the illiberal leanings of the present Israeli government and its apparent lack of democratic instincts, it is imperative that the Israeli Deep State consistently and timely acts to protect Israel’s liberal character under all circumstances. The impending assault on the Law of Return is specifically not about preventing people with one Jewish grandparent inContinue reading “The Israeli Deep State Must Protect and Promote Aliyah & Giyur “

Deterring Iran is Imperative

The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”

The Derin Devlet Needs to Establish a Diplomatic Relationship With AANES

There is urgent need for normalization of relations between Turkey and AANES irrespective of which side wins the Turkish elections. The appropriate way to start this is for the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to establish a covert diplomatic relationship with AANES.

Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections

The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”

Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack

The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”

The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure

The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”

The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse

“Syria warns Israel and its sponsors once again of the dangers of these aggressive policies, which push the region towards total escalation and a new phase of insecurity and instability,” ‘Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs At the height of the Syrian Civil War did the last Baathist regime make a devil’s bargain with the mullahsContinue reading “The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse”