Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other

The Israeli government is wrong in rejecting the European Union expressing concerns regarding the judicial overhaul considering that it has problematic aspects that need to fixed, preferably through a consensual comprise. The intention of Brussels is pure, they care about Israeli liberal democracy and any patriotic Israeli or friend of Israel certainly ought to welcomeContinue reading “Liberal Democracies Should Care for Each Other”

Chicken or Egg in Arabia

The US government should consider brokering a semi-secret MENA defense alliance. It would be known to all but it would allow Arab governments plausible deniability for some more time. It has generally been presumed that peace agreements with Israel (particularly between Riyadh and Jerusalem) are a prerequisite for a MENA defense alliance but perhaps itContinue reading “Chicken or Egg in Arabia”

Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States

There is no way around seeing the United States the way the Islamic Republic of Iran sees the United States of America, namely as the global Jewish conspiracy incarnate to destroy Islam. This comes with a mixture of modern conspiratorial Anti-Semitism and classical Muslim Anti-Semitism replete with certain stereotypes which are less frequently attributed toContinue reading “Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States”

Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America”

The Biden administration needs to formulate a strategy of strength vis-a-vis Iran. Why is that so? Because of Iran’s intention to implement ”Death of America”, namely Iran’s plan to attack major American cities with biological weapons during the Russo-Iranian WWIII against Europe and the MENA region. What can the US do?  Perception of strength isContinue reading “Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America””

When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?

“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”

Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News

The Chinese-brokered agreement to resume normal diplomatic relations between Riyadh and Tehran means that an Iranian invasion of the KSA after Israel (and the US) neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, is off the table and that is good news for the global economy. Yet, it does not mean that the threat of an IranianContinue reading “Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News”

Building a Triangular Arab-Israeli-American Relationship

The Abraham Accords are founded on the common roots and heritage of Muslims, Jews and Christians. Christian America is that third indispensable partner that will make a a MENA defense alliance between Jewish Israel and Muslim Arab nations successful. It is doubtful in the extreme as to whether this will work without America’s full andContinue reading “Building a Triangular Arab-Israeli-American Relationship”

The US National Interest Requires US Membership in a MENA Defense Alliance

Iran is planning to roll its tanks all the way through the MENA region to the Atlantic coast of Morocco and Israel is the most significant obstacle in its way. There are serious problems with the nascent MENA alliance in all its phases: Why is this a US interest? Because this will paradoxically make theContinue reading “The US National Interest Requires US Membership in a MENA Defense Alliance”

Cutting the Gordian Knot

There are currently intense trilateral US-Saudi-Israeli negotiations aimed at reaching a peace agreement between Riyadh and Jerusalem. Riyadh has two demands – down from three. The KSA demands security guarantees from the US and that Washington helps Riyadh develop a domestic nuclear program, including indigenous uranium enrichment. MBS has apparently dropped the demand for USContinue reading “Cutting the Gordian Knot”

The PA Should Act and Stop Complaining

The PA as usual complains loudly about Israeli counter-terrorist operations in Jenin and Nablus. However, the reality is that if the PA dealt with the terrorists then Israel would not have to eliminate them. Israel tries to arrest the terrorists and when they try to kill the Israelis, they are the ones who end upContinue reading “The PA Should Act and Stop Complaining”

Disarm the Temple Mount “Bomb”

The Temple Mount is almost universally regarded as a powder keg although it is certainly not. If religious extremists were able to ignite a religious war they would already have done so. The canard according to which Israel plans to build a Third Temple on the Temple Mount has become part of the Arab consensus.Continue reading “Disarm the Temple Mount “Bomb””

Palestinian Statehood has Become a Fixation

Those in the international community who issue condemnations against Israel for authorizing young indigenous communities and for increasing construction in established indigenous communities live in the past. Neither side is interested in the creation of a Palestinian state next to Israel and even if they wanted to create a Palestinian state they could certainly notContinue reading “Palestinian Statehood has Become a Fixation”

Kilicdaroglu for President

Good Party leader Meral Aksener may have a point that Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu or Ankara mayor Mansur Yavas would win the Turkish presidential elections by a larger margin than would CHP leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu. However, as long as Kilicdaroglu is a likely winner is he much preferable as the opposition presidential candidate. Everything isContinue reading “Kilicdaroglu for President”

The Security Council got it Right

“The Security Council reiterates that continuing Israeli settlement activities are dangerously imperiling the viability of the two-State solution based on the 1967 lines.” UNSC Presidential Statement, February 20, 2023 It has long been claimed that construction in indigenous Israeli communities of Judea and Samaria endangers a two-state solution. The fact is that it only preventsContinue reading “The Security Council got it Right”

What is Iran’s War Plan?

Khomeinist theologians believe that the destruction of Israel is a precondition for the Hidden Imam to reappear. I.e. as long as Israel exists won’t the Hidden Imam reappear and so is Israel according to this particular theology an obstacle to the emergence of the messianic age. This is why theocratic Iran is so obsessed withContinue reading “What is Iran’s War Plan?”

Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists

The Khomeinist regime in Tehran has long preferred not to invade other countries and rather rely on proxies to project Iranian power. Iran first and foremost wants to control the Khomeinist Apocalyptic region, the triangle of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus. There can be little doubt that the Iranian military will cross Iraq to reach SyriaContinue reading “Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists”

Derin Devlet Needs to Ensure Turkish Non-Intervention in Syria

War is approaching in the Middle East due advancements in the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This means that Israel’s upcoming defensive Northern War in Syria and Lebanon to crush Hezbollah, install the PYD as the new government in Damascus, establish an Aramean state in parts of Lebanon, annex Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions andContinue reading “Derin Devlet Needs to Ensure Turkish Non-Intervention in Syria”

The Moment of Truth

President Biden has many times publicly vowed to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear arms. Attacking Iran may be a difficult decision to make for the American president, but it is far more dangerous for America not to participate in an attack than to participate. Why is this so? Because showing weakness is profoundly dangerous inContinue reading “The Moment of Truth”

Arab Honor Culture and Geopolitics

Honor culture is the single most underestimated geopolitical factor in the MENA region. On the one hand does “honor” require Arab governments to officially support the PA despite detesting it and Israel being the actual ally of most Arab governments. On the other hand, confidence in America is undermined whenever the US does not standContinue reading “Arab Honor Culture and Geopolitics”

America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy

As the Biden administration has finally concluded that the JCPOA is off the table, the US needs a coherent and focused strategy in the Middle East to protect US national security. Iran with its WMD terrorist networks poses the greatest threat to American national security and so it is essential to contain and deter IranContinue reading “America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy”

The Arabists Want to put Israel in its Place

The Arabists at the State Department are at it again, trying to put Israel in its place. The unfortunate message the US sends to its allies in the MENA region is that no one in the region can trust Washington if not even Jerusalem can trust America. While diplomats of Muslim nations are pressuring AmericaContinue reading “The Arabists Want to put Israel in its Place”

A UNSC Resolution Won’t be Helpful

The Israeli public elected a rightwing government to increase construction in Judea and Samaria and recognize unauthorized indigenous Israeli communities in Judea and Samaria. This is the democratic will of the people in order to secure the future of the people of Israel. If that does not happen Israel would effectively be reduced to PuertoContinue reading “A UNSC Resolution Won’t be Helpful”

Nurturing an Israeli-American-Ukrainian Triangular Relationship

Israel generally does not advertise its weapons exports in the media and this is true this time as well with regard to the secret Israeli weapons deliveries that are apparently underway to Ukraine. The general principle of weapons deliveries to Ukraine has been that each country has given to Ukraine from its own weapons storages.Continue reading “Nurturing an Israeli-American-Ukrainian Triangular Relationship”

Median Jewish Aliyah is Necessary to Save Israeli Democracy From Theocracy

We already see that the anti-democratic Orthodox pro-theocratic political parties control more than a quarter of the Knesset. The demographic trends are clear although Western mass Aliyah prompted by a continued high annual economic growth rate in Israel could somewhat delay the Haredi takeover. Median Jewish mass Aliyah is definitely the demographic redemption of Israel.Continue reading “Median Jewish Aliyah is Necessary to Save Israeli Democracy From Theocracy”

Time for an Alevi Ataturk

Although the most important thing is defeating Erdogan in the May 2023 presidential elections, my favorite as the opposition candidate is Kemal Kilicdaroglu provided that he is extremely likely to win the elections. The reasons are simple, Turkey must be ruled by Alevi presidents for the foreseeable future so as to ensure Median Jewish AliyahContinue reading “Time for an Alevi Ataturk”

Convincing Through Science

While I personally am not a scientist, science is vitally important for convincing both rabbis and the general public that Median Jewry are full Jews indeed and in no need of giyur lechumra (strict conversion). There will undoubtedly be those who will try to insert doubt about Median Jewry and their Jewish personal status despiteContinue reading “Convincing Through Science”

Human Rights Promotion in Saudi Arabia Doesn’t Serve American Interests

It is generally a truism that promotion of human rights serves American interests, but this is not always true everywhere. One place where this is usually not the case is the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. What are the American interests in Saudi Arabia? 1) First, Riyadh controls the global price of oil and so irrespectiveContinue reading “Human Rights Promotion in Saudi Arabia Doesn’t Serve American Interests”

Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years

Imagine if WWI and WWII could have been foreseen and prevented? Just imagine that for a moment! Now we have the opportunity to prevent WWIII that Russia and Iran are planning for Europe and the MENA region. By preventing WWIII we can also position ourselves to avoid a Chinese-instigated global WWIV. It is absolutely pivotalContinue reading “Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years”

Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA

There are indications that there are negotiations between America and Saudi Arabia and so the question is what can be done to accelerate them? What are the stumbling blocks? The US government is likely making human rights related demands and MBS is probably reciprocating by lengthening his list of demands. The US government should considerContinue reading “Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA”

Iran Must be Deterred and Contained

In light of the new Russo-Iranian Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Russia gets Europe and Iran gets the Arab world, it is necessary for threatened nations to reevaluate their relations with Iran. Saudi-Israeli peace and normalization can happen any day of the week once Washington and Riyadh agree on the terms and then the next step isContinue reading “Iran Must be Deterred and Contained”

The US Needs a Strategy for Preventing an Iranian Land Invasion Through Iraq

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani yesterday warned against Iran using Iraq as a springboard to invade Jordan, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The Iraqi parliament last year passed a law proscribing any contacts with Israeli citizens and Israel bodies or visiting Israel and required capital punishment or life in prison for offenders. Not only isContinue reading “The US Needs a Strategy for Preventing an Iranian Land Invasion Through Iraq”

Russia and China are Frenemies of Israel

Let’s face reality, Russia has existentially hostile intentions towards Israel in its planned WWIII and China has existentially hostile intentions towards Israel in its planned WWIV. Israel’s interest is to make sure that Moscow and Beijing never turn into enemies and so the key is to prevent world war. Israel needs to balance its policyContinue reading “Russia and China are Frenemies of Israel”

What is the Kurdish Interest in WWIII?

What is the Kurdish interest in terms of the approaching WWIII? It should be noted that WWIII can still be prevented by crushing the Russian war machine in Ukraine. However, how should AANES and KRG maneuver in anticipation of WWIII? It should always be kept in mind that NES and KRI are embryonic Kurdish statesContinue reading “What is the Kurdish Interest in WWIII?”

What is the Extent of the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?

“We strongly condemn any provocative efforts that have the potential to provoke an uncontrolled escalation of tensions in a region that’s far from being peaceful as it is. Such destructive actions could have unpredictable consequences for peace and stability in the Middle East. That has to be understood by the organizers of the brazen raid,Continue reading “What is the Extent of the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact?”

On the Danger of Nuclear War

Russian propaganda would want us to believe that Moscow will resort to nuclear weapons if Russia is defeated and expelled from Ukraine. Of course, as usual Russia disseminates disinformation. The opposite is true. If Russia is defeated in Ukraine and the Russian war machine crushed will Moscow effectively have no choice but to join theContinue reading “On the Danger of Nuclear War”

Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact

What conclusions should Arab governments draw from the new apparent Molotov-Ribbentrop pact between Russia and Iran whereby Moscow conquers Europe and Tehran simultaneously conquers the Arab world in a WWIII possibly half a decade from now? Tehran counts on Arab disunity and on an Arab domino effect whereby Iran can pick off one major ArabContinue reading “Drawing Arab Conclusions From the New Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact”

Does Derin Devlet Have a Relationship with Tevel?

The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus is highly secretive and most likely does not maintain many diplomatic relationships with the outside world, if any indeed. The question still lingers however, does the Derin Devlet maintain a diplomatic relationship with Israel through Tevel, the Political Action and Liaison Department of the Mossad? ThisContinue reading “Does Derin Devlet Have a Relationship with Tevel?”

Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria

Israel’s counter-terrorism operations in Samaria have been described by UN officials as a perceived need for stopping an ostensible “cycle of violence”. US officials on their side make the case for what is described as “de-escalation”. The problem rather is the existence of Palestinian terrorism which must be preempted by Israel. If there are noContinue reading “Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria”

Israel’s Ukrainian Conundrum

What are the reasons for Israel refraining from selling lethal weapons to Ukraine despite it clearly being in the interest of Israel that Russia is defeated and thus WWIII is avoided and China is contained? Because that much is at stake in the Ukraine war.  In contrast to this fear-based policy in which Israeli weaponsContinue reading “Israel’s Ukrainian Conundrum”

The Neutrality Illusion

Kuwait, Oman and Qatar maintain policies of neutrality while benefiting from covert defense cooperation with Israel. However, they should have no illusions regarding Iran’s intention to conquer them as well. In fact, it will be pivotal for those three nations to join a MENA defense alliance. Staying neutral would be delusional.

Algeria Must Prioritize its own National Interests

Algeria is currently bent on not joining the normalization bandwagon. However, the apparent existence of a Russo-Iranian new Molotov-Ribbentrop pact whereby Moscow gets the entire Europe and Tehran gets the entire Arab world should make Algiers rethink its entire approach. Iran is absolutely intent on conquering all Arab countries, including Algeria; and Israel as theContinue reading “Algeria Must Prioritize its own National Interests”

Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect

Arab governments are for the most part profoundly suspicious of each other yet nowadays quite trusting of Israel in many respects. This is the crux of forming a Middle Eastern defense alliance. Arab governments don’t mind secretly aligning with Israel but balk at aligning with each other. The problem in military terms is that IranContinue reading “Iran is Betting on an Arab Domino Effect”

The Swedish Government’s Sycophancy isn’t Appreciated in Ankara

The Swedish government’s fawning for President Erdogan obviously isn’t appreciated in Ankara and the Swedes appear clueless as to why. The reality is that Turkey is part of the Middle East and in the Middle East showing weakness and obsequiousness simply is not appreciated, only strength is. If Sweden had wanted to impress Ankara theyContinue reading “The Swedish Government’s Sycophancy isn’t Appreciated in Ankara”

Aliyah Above All

Liberal democracy is not possible in a country where at best a very narrow majority wants it and where the rest vote with Islamist parties. That is the current reality in Turkey which has had free and fair elections since the 1950s, yet has never elected a pro-democratic majority. Considering that Aliyah from Turkey willContinue reading “Aliyah Above All”

Who is Best for Aliyah?

Last year in a post on this blog did I endorse Kemal Kilicdaroglu as the opposition candidate for president of Turkey in the 2023 presidential elections. Let me now provide a more nuanced position. I support the candidate that is best for Aliyah, that is my position. Before writing that blog post I was unawareContinue reading “Who is Best for Aliyah?”

Iran is Determined to Destroy America

According to Iran’s regime ideology is America, Tehran’s main enemy. The reason this is so as for all Islamist ideologists is that the American superpower is considered identical with the purported global Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. The Obama and Biden administrations have pursued a strategy of appeasing Iran and hoping to eventually align withContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Destroy America”

Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?

Iran regards the sole threat to its territory as coming from the Persian Gulf; i.e. from a US-led naval invasion of Iran and is actively training to counter this perceived threat. However, on the face of it, this seems utterly implausible in the extreme. Why would the United States want to get entangled in yetContinue reading “Why is Tehran Training for a US-led Naval Invasion of Iran?”

More Than Meets the Eye

Russia plans to deliver a new air force to Iran and Iran is delivering kamikaze drones to Russia. That is what is known about the extent of the military relationship between Iran and Russia which has obviously reached a strategic level. Both nations are militarily adventurous and plan big conquests which they however at thisContinue reading “More Than Meets the Eye”

Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations

Successive Israeli governments have since 1967 presumed that it is not in Israel’s interest to restore Jewish rights on the Temple Mount. The issue has consistently been regarded as one of religion, nostalgia, sentimentalism and even messianism. The view consistently taken has been that the Israeli national interest requires maintaining the status quo. However, theContinue reading “Not Realizing Jewish Rights on the Temple Mount Poisons Arab-Israeli Relations”

The Battle Lines Have Been Drawn

It has become clear that behind the mutual arming between Iran and Russia is a new Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. Russia gets the entire Europe and Iran gets the entire Arab world, including Israel. Putin’s decision of course is not motivated by hostility against Israel, it is simply realpolitik. It makes sense to tie up American forcesContinue reading “The Battle Lines Have Been Drawn”