The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to to make sure that President Erdogan does not break/suspend/cut diplomatic ties with Israel and also does not withdraw international international recognition of Israel.
Tag Archives: Diplomacy
Israel’s War on Terror
Israel is engaged in its own War on Terror which it needs to win despite innumerable diplomatic attempts by the Biden administration to impede Israeli victory. Hamas, PIJ and Hezbollah must be annihilated and Israel is able to do the job. In fact, this is a United States national interest so it is completely bizarreContinue reading “Israel’s War on Terror”
How the US Prevents Peace in the Middle East
Israel’s peace agreements with Arab and Muslim countries were all achieved through the victory paradigm. Israel’s former foes realized that the Jewish state could not be defeated, is here to stay and they began to act accordingly. Israel however has not decisively won an armed conflict since 1967 and this non-victory state of things hasContinue reading “How the US Prevents Peace in the Middle East”
A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews
The US government has always wanted to ”resolve” the conflict between Israel and those who seek her destruction. Nowadays is the US focus more on the official panacea than actually ending the conflict. The problem is the following, peace is not and was never was possible with those who seek Israel’s destruction. Peace is inContinue reading “A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews”
Direct Diplomatic Relations Between Derin Devlet and the Israeli Deep State
Do direct diplomatic ties between the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet and the Israeli Deep State already exist? If they don’t, then both parties would be particularly well-advised to establish such a relationship. It is not only that they have much in common, both parties could benefit quite substantially from a direct relationship without having to goContinue reading “Direct Diplomatic Relations Between Derin Devlet and the Israeli Deep State”
Is the Gaza Casualty Rate Really Too High?
The US government has recently with some persistence claimed that ”too many civilians have died in Gaza”, but is that really true? The number of Israeli air strikes is higher than the number of Palestinian casualties which means that the ratio of casualty per strike is less than 1,0. How on Earth can that beContinue reading “Is the Gaza Casualty Rate Really Too High?”
An Unexplored Global Diplomatic Opportunity
Morocco has over the years succeeded in partly rolling back the formerly extremely extensive international recognition of Western Sahara. As the PA continues its long diplomatic march towards universal international recognition has there been no Israeli counter-strategy for rolling back international recognition of ”Palestine”. This is peculiar and reeks of mismanagement by successive Israeli governments.Continue reading “An Unexplored Global Diplomatic Opportunity”
Biden Administration Needs to Rethink its Public Strategy on Saudi Deal
The Biden administration has made three mistakes relating to the ongoing negotiations with Saudi diplomats. The first mistake was to presume that Saudi diplomats’ demands for major Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority accurately reflect the personal attitude of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The second mistake was to raise expectations among progressives in CongressContinue reading “Biden Administration Needs to Rethink its Public Strategy on Saudi Deal”
The US Should Use its Leverage over the KRG
The KRG is desperately calling on the US to use its leverage over the Iranian-influenced Iraqi government to promote reconciliation between Erbil and Baghdad. The US however is in no hurry to do so with an anonymous US official reportedly pointing out that the PUK and KDP statelets cannot even integrate between themselves. The USContinue reading “The US Should Use its Leverage over the KRG”
The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently told Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer that Israel is misreading the situation if it thinks that it can get the US-Saudi-Israeli deal without significant Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority. However, this is not what the Saudis are telling the Israelis. For the USA and theContinue reading “The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does”
It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG
Iran’s continued efforts to economically strangle the KRG (Kurdistan Regional Government) by deferring the resumption of oil exports through Turkey constitute a challenge against US interests in the region as Tehran seeks to subordinate the pro-American KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) to Iran’s neo-imperialist agenda. It is essential that Washington exerts strong and sustained pressureContinue reading “It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG”
Staggering American Naivety
Secretary of State Antony Blinken has recently claimed that violence in northern Samaria makes normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia impossible or near impossible. Interestingly, the Saudis are not making demands on the Palestinian issue from the Israelis but from the Americans! The Saudis sense that they have leverage over the Americans on Judea/Samaria issuesContinue reading “Staggering American Naivety”
MBS’ Diplomatic Game
The reality is that America and Israel are absolutely indispensable to Saudi Arabia militarily speaking. The Saudi military could not defeat the Houthis in Yemen and so how could it for all its advanced American weaponry defend itself against Iran? So why is MBS playing the infidelity game with Iran (towards Israel) and with ChinaContinue reading “MBS’ Diplomatic Game”
Open the KRI-NES Border
The border between the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) and North and East Syria (NES) has long remained closed due to pressure from Ankara on Erbil. This needs to change. The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to use its leverage in Ankara to relieve pressure on Erbil soContinue reading “Open the KRI-NES Border”
The Derin Devlet Needs to Establish a Diplomatic Relationship With AANES
There is urgent need for normalization of relations between Turkey and AANES irrespective of which side wins the Turkish elections. The appropriate way to start this is for the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to establish a covert diplomatic relationship with AANES.
Chicken or Egg in Arabia
The US government should consider brokering a semi-secret MENA defense alliance. It would be known to all but it would allow Arab governments plausible deniability for some more time. It has generally been presumed that peace agreements with Israel (particularly between Riyadh and Jerusalem) are a prerequisite for a MENA defense alliance but perhaps itContinue reading “Chicken or Egg in Arabia”
Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News
The Chinese-brokered agreement to resume normal diplomatic relations between Riyadh and Tehran means that an Iranian invasion of the KSA after Israel (and the US) neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, is off the table and that is good news for the global economy. Yet, it does not mean that the threat of an IranianContinue reading “Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News”
Cutting the Gordian Knot
There are currently intense trilateral US-Saudi-Israeli negotiations aimed at reaching a peace agreement between Riyadh and Jerusalem. Riyadh has two demands – down from three. The KSA demands security guarantees from the US and that Washington helps Riyadh develop a domestic nuclear program, including indigenous uranium enrichment. MBS has apparently dropped the demand for USContinue reading “Cutting the Gordian Knot”
The Arabists Want to put Israel in its Place
The Arabists at the State Department are at it again, trying to put Israel in its place. The unfortunate message the US sends to its allies in the MENA region is that no one in the region can trust Washington if not even Jerusalem can trust America. While diplomats of Muslim nations are pressuring AmericaContinue reading “The Arabists Want to put Israel in its Place”
Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years
Imagine if WWI and WWII could have been foreseen and prevented? Just imagine that for a moment! Now we have the opportunity to prevent WWIII that Russia and Iran are planning for Europe and the MENA region. By preventing WWIII we can also position ourselves to avoid a Chinese-instigated global WWIV. It is absolutely pivotalContinue reading “Building a MENA Defense Alliance Takes Years”
Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA
There are indications that there are negotiations between America and Saudi Arabia and so the question is what can be done to accelerate them? What are the stumbling blocks? The US government is likely making human rights related demands and MBS is probably reciprocating by lengthening his list of demands. The US government should considerContinue reading “Israel Should Mediate Between KSA and USA”
Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective
Why the diplomatic uproar about Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s visit to the Temple Mount? From the Arab perspective, Ben-Gvir’s visit is just the first step towards building the Third Temple and so the Arab nations are desperately trying to stop his visits. However, they do believe that the building of the Third TempleContinue reading “Ben-Gvir’s Visit from an Arab Perspective”
How to Respond to the International Hysteria
What is the proper way to respond to the international hysteria following upon National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir’s peaceful visit to the Temple Mount? Minister Ben-Gvir would be particularly well-advised to visit the Mount with increased frequency until the international community internalizes that nothing and nobody will prevent Jews from ascending to the holiest siteContinue reading “How to Respond to the International Hysteria”
On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism
There is a profound strategic problem with respect to how Washington and Jerusalem deal with Tehran. Iran is no less motivated by Mahdism in its neo-imperialist strategy than the Soviet Union was motivated by Marxism-Leninism in its own imperialist strategy. Yet Washington and Jerusalem in their respective public rhetoric do not give any hint ofContinue reading “On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism”
Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby
As the Middle East finds itself on the brink of war the usual suspects in the so-called international community undoubtedly once more line up to pressure the Jewish state. However, Hezbollah has been instructed by Tehran to start a war with Israel for reasons unrelated to Lebanon and so it does not really matter whetherContinue reading “Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby”
Israel Borders Iran
What we are witnessing is truly surreal. It is becoming ever more clear that Lebanon has ceased to exist as an independent nation and is now merely an Iranian protectorate. Iran is currently carrying out two faux negotiation processes with its two archenemies, Israel and the United States, through proxies. The negotiation process with IsraelContinue reading “Israel Borders Iran”
Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised
Washington is unpleasantly surprised over OPEC’s production cut and accuses the organization of aligning with Russia. However, President Biden has no reason to be surprised considering his own reckless policy of selling out GCC interests in the Iran nuclear talks. America is not behaving with self-respect let alone with respect for the interests of itsContinue reading “Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised”
When the State Department is Picking on Israel
The Arabists at the State Department have a long history of trying to extract concessions from Jerusalem against Israel’s best interests with the intention of extracting ever more concessions in order to harm and undermine the Jewish state. This goes back all the way to when the US tried to force Israel to withdraw fromContinue reading “When the State Department is Picking on Israel”
The US is Pressuring Lapid Because he is Liberal
The State Department has recently embarked on a ruthless campaign of pressure on Israel in seeking Israeli concessions and the only reason obviously is the perception that Prime Minister Yair Lapid as a centrist is “weak” and therefore amenable to diplomatic extortion. Interestingly, the State Department largely refrained from pressuring former prime minister Naftali BennettContinue reading “The US is Pressuring Lapid Because he is Liberal”
Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue
When will Median Jews immigrate to Israel in the tens of millions? This is only a matter of time. What is at stake is whether President Erdogan and the AKP will lose power in Turkey in the June 2023 elections and approximately 20 million Turkish Median Jews will be allowed to leave for Israel. ForContinue reading “Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue”
A Colossal Intelligence Failure
The Western intelligence community operates on the assumption that Iran is interested in returning to the JCPOA. Yet, no matter how many times this false belief has been discredited by persistent Iranian rejectionism, the Western intelligence community has clung to this patently false belief. If Iran was motivated primarily by economic imperatives then surely notContinue reading “A Colossal Intelligence Failure”
Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program
There was a disagreement during the meeting in Israel between President Biden and Prime Minister Lapid on the question of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Prime Minister Lapid insisted that only deterrence would persuade Iran to sign a nuclear agreement while President Biden insisted that diplomacy was still the best way forward. Both are wrong sinceContinue reading “Nothing Except Military Action Will Stop Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program”
The Saudis are No Suckers
The US-Saudi relationship was always based on oil in return for security. There were those Americans who lately mistakenly presumed that the United States no longer needed Saudi Arabia. This is wrong. The US will need the KSA as a staging ground for any military action against Iran after Tehran lashes out against the outsideContinue reading “The Saudis are No Suckers”
Will the International Community Bestow Recognition upon the Peace?
There is now widespread understanding in the international community that the two-state solution was always stillborn and no one likes being fooled a thousand times. International leaders and diplomats still pay lip service to the “two-state solution” and hypothetical “Palestinian statehood”, yet few informed people in the international community sincerely believe in those things nowadays.Continue reading “Will the International Community Bestow Recognition upon the Peace?”
There is Nothing to Negotiate
Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has long made it known that the conflict will ostensibly end at the negotiating table. It is a common tactic for parties to armed conflicts to give an impression of being open to “negotiations” and “compromise” in order to garner international sympathy. However, in this case is it ill-advised because itContinue reading “There is Nothing to Negotiate”
President Biden Should Hire Jared Kushner
While it is certainly legitimate to be critical of the Trump administration, what is indisputable is Jared Kushner’s vital role in advancing normalization between Israel and Muslim nations. Jared Kushner gained tremendous trust in the Muslim world, including in Riyadh and when the Biden administration came into office the wave of normalization came to anContinue reading “President Biden Should Hire Jared Kushner”
The Role of Allah in Palestinian Views of the Future
Most Palestinians are convinced with absolute confidence that Israel will eventually be vanquished and that 7 million Israeli Jews will be removed from Israel. Why is this so you may wonder? 1) First there is the belief that God is on the side of the Muslims and that this is the reason for the historicalContinue reading “The Role of Allah in Palestinian Views of the Future”
America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check
The reality that most do not want to acknowledge is that the Khomeinist leadership in Iran for their own reasons simply do not want to return to the JCPOA and they are not interested in any alternative agreement either. Any viable agreement would have to have bipartisan support and be acceptable to Israel and itsContinue reading “America, Israel and Iran – A Reality Check”
Erdogan and the Derin Devlet
What is the power dynamic between President Erdogan and the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus? Erdogan has always ruled at the pleasure of the Derin Devlet, which has consistently refrained from unseating him. Erdogan always had limited political space to maneuver in domestic politics in terms of what reforms he could enactContinue reading “Erdogan and the Derin Devlet”
How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran
Western specialists tend to underemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Iran. In contrast, Western specialists tend to overemphasize the importance of state ideology in the foreign policy of Russia. There is the tendency to label the Russian leadership as irrational and dangerous while the Iranian leadership is not similarly labeledContinue reading “How the West Misunderstands Russia and Iran”
Is Russia Acting Rationally or Irrationally?
The prevailing consensus among Russia experts and apparently among scientists in the Western intelligence community is that President Vladimir Putin has become irrational. There are various explanations that are put forward such as autism, megalomania, personality disorders (psychopathy or narcissism), two years of Covid isolation and the alleged and/or actual influence of various historical andContinue reading “Is Russia Acting Rationally or Irrationally?”
First Things First
American diplomacy and American leadership is imperative in ending the war in Ukraine which undoubtedly is intended by Russia to constitute the very beginning of WWIII. Relations between Moscow and Washington are at their lowest point in decades but it is nevertheless essential for the United States to reach out diplomatically to the Russian Federation.Continue reading “First Things First”
A Unique Diplomatic Opportunity for Peace
Beijing’s nightmare is an Asian defense alliance encircling China from all directions and since China is surrounded by rivals, does Beijing make sure to keep close to Russia. Both Beijing and Moscow are keenly aware that a major confrontation between China and Russia over the ownership of Siberia looms on the horizon. Yet, both nationsContinue reading “A Unique Diplomatic Opportunity for Peace”
Will the Russians Sober Up?
The emerging reality in Ukraine is becoming increasingly clear. Russia is winning tactically in some locations in Ukraine but is overall suffering strategic defeat. The Ukrainian military is not only highly motivated but has turned out extremely competent and skilled. The Russian conscripts in contrast lack motivation for a war that they neither support norContinue reading “Will the Russians Sober Up?”
The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President
The US is pressuring Israel to join the ill-advised sanctions regime against Russia which does not help Ukraine one iota and makes a diplomatic resolution more difficult. Israel is not a banana republic and has its own independent national interests. If this was an interest of secondary or tertiary importance then Israel would surely relentContinue reading “The US Cannot Guarantee that an Anti-Semite Won’t be Elected President”
Sanctions Against Russia are Counterproductive
The recently imposed sanctions regime against Russia is much ill-advised since it stands no chance of influencing the course of war and will only much complicate diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict. Two decades ago, Vladimir Putin approached the West and asked for Russia to join NATO. This was rebuffed for obvious reasons since NATOContinue reading “Sanctions Against Russia are Counterproductive”
Israel Too Wants to Survive
Last year an Anti-Semite was elected president of Chile. The same thing could happen in the United States. Gone are the days when it was assured that it would always be a moderate who would be elected president of the United States. Support for Israel is declining dangerously among young Americans, including among young RepublicansContinue reading “Israel Too Wants to Survive”
The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality
An Israeli government source cited in an Israeli newspaper recently noted that the American government acts according to its own worldview and political philosophy, yet implied that the impending Russian invasion of Ukraine was a result of America’s yearlong fruitless appeasement of the totalitarian regime in Tehran. The Biden administration is apparently not aware ofContinue reading “The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality”
The Death of the Liberal World Order
The US project of imposing a liberal world order has a long pedigree going back to US president Woodrow Wilson a century ago. The pro-democracy efforts by US President George W. Bush resulted in the Arab spring years later but failed to establish liberal democracy other than in Tunisia where it did not last. WithContinue reading “The Death of the Liberal World Order”
Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung
The current academic paradigm in Middle Eastern studies assumes that dialogue and cooperation with Islamists is feasible, practical, realistic and desirable, in other words is appeasement of totalitarians the predominant theory of action. The ruling mullahs in Tehran understand well the mindset of useful infidels like Rob Malley and how to diplomatically exploit it. TheContinue reading “Malley will not Change the Khomeinist Weltanschauung”