Israeli governments have historically created a pattern where they were ready to cede and indeed expected to cede the optimum in negotiations with Arab interlocutors for negotiation. This created excessive, indeed optimal expectations among those negotiating with Israel. The question that needs to be asked is who needs peace the most, Israel or Arab governments? Continue reading “Peace on Israel’s Terms”
Tag Archives: Golan
Pacifying Iran
Victory in the Northern War is critical for preventing the Iran-MENA front of WWIII, the other front being between Russia and NATO in Europe. Israel and Iran imagine completely different outcomes of the Northern War. Iran imagines that the outcome of the Northern War will be the destruction of Israel. Israel in contrast plans toContinue reading “Pacifying Iran”
An Outline of the Northern War
The government of Israel is highly uninterested in fighting war during this turbulent period in Israeli political history. For Iran and Hezbollah however does it appear to be a perfect time for war. Indeed, the Iranian Axis is itching for war. The long series of provocations along Israel’s northern borders take place precisely because JafariContinue reading “An Outline of the Northern War”
Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship
The issue of erecting wind turbines near Druze Golan villages has triggered riots and clashes, yet it appears that not everyone in the Israeli government is aware of the strategic implications. Israel needs to consider its future relationship with the entire Druze people, also in regions that are currently part of Syria and Lebanon, areasContinue reading “Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship”
When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?
“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”
What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?
Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 but Tehran was not satisfied and so Iran/Hezbollah instructed the Lebanese government to manufacture the Sheba farm (Har Dov) fictitious border claims on lands in the northern Golan heights. Iran/Hezbollah did it again in 2022 when it instructed the Lebanese government to expand Lebanon’s claims for territorialContinue reading “What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?”
Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost
Iranian officials state over and over again that Israel will be destroyed if Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. They literally mean what they say. What this means is that the entire Iranian axis (primarily Hezbollah) will engage in a frontal assault against Israel with projectiles, including ones with chemical warheads. (Iranian use ofContinue reading “Northern Peace Will Come at a Heavy Cost”
Israel’s Demographic Future
The resolution of the Palestinian issue is dependent upon very significant Jewish demographic growth in Israel. There would have to be a ten million growth in Israel’s Jewish population considering that most potential immigrants have lower fertility rates than Muslims in Israel and Judea/Samaria. Israel would subsequently redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and SamariaContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Future”
The Price of Aggression
Let there be no doubt that if Hezbollah and the rest of the Iranian axis launch a frontal assault on Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program there will surely be a hefty price to pay. There will be consequences, there will be a major war in the northernContinue reading “The Price of Aggression”
The Israeli Annexations of Alawite and Druze Regions
Israel has no choice but to defeat Hezbollah after Hezbollah attempts to “annihilate Israel” with mass use of chemical weapons following upon Israel and America’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Hezbollah is dispersed throughout Lebanon and Syria and therefore defeating Hezbollah requires liberating Lebanon and Syria. This is self-defense, proportional and military necessity.Continue reading “The Israeli Annexations of Alawite and Druze Regions”
The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate
It has often been claimed that peace requires accepting that there are two competing narratives, one Israeli and one Palestinian, but is this really true? What has not been considered is that the Palestinian narrative is Anti-Zionist, meaning opposed to peace with Israel. Therefore legitimizing the Palestinian narrative as an obstacle to peace makes peaceContinue reading “The Palestinian Narrative is not Legitimate”
Manifest Unreason
Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”
The Danger of Messianism
The Jewish nation has a long history of failed messianisms, with usually profoundly tragic consequences for the Jews. The two-state illusion is different from the previous messianist movements in that the false messiah is not a person but an enemy government. The Palestinian Authority is not only Anti-Zionism incarnate but it is the most Anti-SemiticContinue reading “The Danger of Messianism”
How Long Will it Take before the International Community Recognizes Judea and Samaria as Israeli?
The first step and the present stage for Israeli diplomacy is to seek greater diplomatic understanding that Israel intends to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria once a critical mass of Median Jewish immigrants have arrived in Israel. The second step and later stage will be to seek actual recognition of Israeli sovereignty after IsraelContinue reading “How Long Will it Take before the International Community Recognizes Judea and Samaria as Israeli?”
Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria
Israel has revealed parts of its plans for eradicating Hezbollah and other pro-Iranian Jihadist terrorist organizations in Lebanon and Syria. This involves not only invading Lebanon but invading Syria as well. However, this cannot be done without also defeating the LAF (Lebanese Armed Forces) and the SAA (Syrian Arab Army). In practice is this aContinue reading “Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria”
The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv
There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”
Liberating Lebanon
What is the situation in Lebanon 31 years after Hezbollah failed to honor the Taif Agreement which required disarming all militias? Hezbollah controls the military, the international airport, the seaports, the system of justice and even the government itself. Lebanon is not that far removed from being declared a Twelver Shia Islamist Republic as thatContinue reading “Liberating Lebanon”
Initiating a War of No Choice
Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”
The Failed State of Lebanon
The Lebanese civil war ended in 1990 and it eventually turned out that Hezbollah refused to abide by the Taif Agreement which it had signed and which stipulated that all Lebanese militias had to disarm. It ultimately turned out that Lebanon preferred peace with Hezbollah, the Jihadist terrorist organization over peace with Israel, Lebanon’s liberalContinue reading “The Failed State of Lebanon”
The Bennett-Putin Summit
The upcoming Israeli-Russian Summit offers an opportunity to recalibrate Israeli-Russian relations with regard to Syria. Moscow is interested in one thing and one thing only in Syria and that is keeping its naval base and air base in the Alawite region. Everything else is of secondary importance to Moscow. Iran advances rapidly towards nuclear thresholdContinue reading “The Bennett-Putin Summit”
The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History
The “Alawite” Syrian regime has since many decades a policy of trying to Islamize the Alawite people which practices Alawism, one of seven denominations of core Median Judaism. The ethnically Alawite regime leaders are turncoats, thoroughly secular “Islamizers” who are enemies of their own people. In fact, Alawites are just as brutally oppressed as everyoneContinue reading “The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History”
Israel wants Peace in Syria
Iran is approaching nuclear threshold status with its advanced uranium enrichment that is absolutely unacceptable to Israel, something which according to veiled threats recently issued by Prime Minister Naftali Bennett will lead Israel to launch preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to unleash massiveContinue reading “Israel wants Peace in Syria”
Fighting til the Bitter End?
Syria has not fought a land war against Israel since 1973 in apparently since then preferring that Lebanon be the arena for Israeli-Arab armed conflict in Israel’s northern military theater. This is so since Syria for the most part has kept the Golan heights border quiet for the five decades that passed since the YomContinue reading “Fighting til the Bitter End?”
Uniting the Druze People
The Druze people were divided after WWI between French Syria, French Lebanon and the British Mandate centered in Jerusalem. The Druze were however for some decades given an autonomous state in the Druze Mountain region in southern Syria. In contrast, were the entire Druze people during Ottoman times part of one single state, the OttomanContinue reading “Uniting the Druze People”
What is Israel’s Strategy on Median Jewry?
The State of Israel has known about the existence of Median Jewry for half a decade now, yet has remained quiet on the subject so as not to antagonize the Erdogan regime in Ankara considering that the vast majority of Median Jews in the Middle East live within the boundaries of the Republic of Turkey.Continue reading “What is Israel’s Strategy on Median Jewry?”