After the Twenty Point Plan

How will the Hamas thug leaders react to the international peace plan as drawn up by the Trump administration? Hamas will either reject the plan altogether or demand revisions requiring Israeli capitulation as opposed to Hamas’ complete capitulation as required by the international peace plan as supported by Arab and Muslim nations. Even Fatah (surprise,Continue reading “After the Twenty Point Plan”

President Trump needs to Speak Up

Israel is under global pressure to prematurely agree to the creation of a Palestinian state even without deradicalization of Palestinian society and without defensible borders for Israel. What scenario would inevitably play out? Hamas would take over Judea and Samaria since there is no chance for survival of the Abbas regime without the Israeli militaryContinue reading “President Trump needs to Speak Up”

Washington Should Threaten the EU with Consequences

It is a key US interest that Israel wins the Gaza war, ends the Hamas terrorist regime, safely relocates those Gazans who wish to relocate to yet other countries, establishes peace in the area and that Israel remains prosperous and strong. This is the way to end the current suffering and insecurity. The alternative asContinue reading “Washington Should Threaten the EU with Consequences”

The Arabs Missed Another Opportunity to Make Themselves Relevant

Egypt’ Gaza reconstruction plan is a sophisticated piece of propaganda that completely ignores the presence of Hamas and other terrorist groups in the Gaza Strip. There is no mention of demilitarization, permanent settlement of descendant of refugees and Arab forces to replace the Jihadists or any ideas about how to prevent Hamas from resuming theContinue reading “The Arabs Missed Another Opportunity to Make Themselves Relevant”

Israel’s War on Terror

Israel is engaged in its own War on Terror which it needs to win despite innumerable diplomatic attempts by the Biden administration to impede Israeli victory. Hamas, PIJ and Hezbollah must be annihilated and Israel is able to do the job. In fact, this is a United States national interest so it is completely bizarreContinue reading “Israel’s War on Terror”

Understanding Hamas

Why is Hamas acting the way it does in the war in Gaza and why does it behave it does in the indirect negotiations with Israel? Hamas has prepared for this war for two decades and has a fixed long-term strategy with long beforehand decided-on military tactics. Hamas is well-prepared and has for many yearsContinue reading “Understanding Hamas”

Understanding Hamas

Why is Hamas engaging in never-ending indirect negotiations with Israel through international mediators, i.e. the US, Qatar and Egypt? The answer is simple: Hamas gains international legitimacy. Hamas is absolutely serious about not releasing the hostages unless Israel withdraws from Gaza and the way Hamas sees it, the international community supports Hamas and opposes Israel.Continue reading “Understanding Hamas”

Israeli Victory is an American Interest

The US generally supports Israel in its wars but as a rule seek to prevent Israeli victory. This has been a general pattern since 1973. This is rather strange since Israeli victory is conducive to peaceful outcomes. The US needs to reassess its own unproductive behavior which perpetuates instability. Yes, it is true that RafahContinue reading “Israeli Victory is an American Interest”

Israel’s Severe Mistake Must be Corrected

Long before this war I advocated an IAF public war log where for every air strike in Gaza a post with extremely detailed information would be published. Every conceivable information would be provided short of compromising intelligence sources and the IAF itself and its staff. The point is to provide as much information as conceivablyContinue reading “Israel’s Severe Mistake Must be Corrected”

Palestinian Statehood will Never Happen

Why will Palestinian statehood never happen? First because neither side sincerely believes in a two-state solution. Second because it cannot be imposed for the simple reasons that the PA has no interest in ending the conflict and Israel will not sacrifice its security, defense and existence no matter the foreign pressure. The withdrawal from GazaContinue reading “Palestinian Statehood will Never Happen”

It’s Always Too Many Enemy Civilian Casualties in Gaza

Israel always faces the same criticism from Western allies whenever there is an armed conflict with Hamas and/or PIJ in Gaza. ‘Too many enemy civilians die’ despite the average mortality rate per air strike in the current conflict being less than 1,0. And when the enemy civilian casualties are few that is the subject ofContinue reading “It’s Always Too Many Enemy Civilian Casualties in Gaza”

There Will Never be a Palestinian State

There was once a certain determinism in the international community. The widespread diplomatic recognition of the non-existent ”Palestinian state” over the past decades was to a significant degree driven by the determinist view that the establishment of a Palestinian state was somehow ”inevitable”. This is no longer so as few in the international community nowadaysContinue reading “There Will Never be a Palestinian State”

The Hamas Presence in Turkey Needs to be Expelled

Although Turkey’s ruling party AKP is an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood as is indeed Palestinian Hamas, the Hamas presence in Turkey is highly inappropriate by any reasonable standard and must be removed one way or another. They could be eliminated by the Mossad on Turkish territory or they could be eliminated in other countriesContinue reading “The Hamas Presence in Turkey Needs to be Expelled”

Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions

While the hostage release agreement is worthwhile from the perspective of Jewish ethics, it is also dangerous because the ruling Mullahs may view it as a sign of profound weakness. I am bringing up this possibility due to the danger that the Iranian Axis may change its military strategy towards Israel. I am not suggestingContinue reading “Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions”

The Biden Administration Does not Understand the MENA Region

The Biden administration is displeased that Prime Minister Netanyahu opposes a reinstatement of the PA in Gaza. First, the US government does not understand that no Arab government is sincerely interested in committing to administering the Gaza Strip prior to the complete pacification of that territory. Second, the PA won’t really be interested in takingContinue reading “The Biden Administration Does not Understand the MENA Region”

Borrell’s Musings

Josep Borrell has decided to once more express his personal opinions on Israel’s war against genocidal Jihadism in Gaza rather than the European Union’s official standpoint. Those prejudices of his are so outrageous that they require immediate correction.

America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran

Iran’s actions and rhetoric recently have all been about desperately trying to deter America in order to save Hamas from destruction at the hands of Israel. What is of vital strategic importance here is that America (a.k.a. ”the Great Satan”) cannot allow itself to be deterred by the Empire of Terrorism. Washington must deter Tehran,Continue reading “America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran”

Too Early to Decide on Post-War Arrangements

The US government has pushed the Israeli government to come up with an arrangement for the post-war situation in Gaza. Let’s look at the different options: Qatar is an international sponsor of Islamism and Jihadism (including Hamas) and can therefore not be relied on for governing Gaza. The Palestinian Authority is a terrible option consideringContinue reading “Too Early to Decide on Post-War Arrangements”

The Mullahs are Desperate

The strategic plans of the ruling mullahs in Tehran are falling apart due to Hamas’ severe miscalculation. Hamas is a semi-proxy of Iran and although it consults with and receives substantial aid from Tehran, it is not a full proxy like PIJ or Hezbollah. This was on full display during the October 7, 2023 pogrom.Continue reading “The Mullahs are Desperate”

Iran is Bluffing

Iran is desperate over Israel’s response to Hamas’ October 7, 2023; pogrom, the strategy of ”unification of fronts” is falling apart in front of their eyes. Iran’s threats and the present limited conflict on the Israel-Lebanon border is specifically intended to pressure the Biden administration into coercing Israel into a ceasefire as in May 2021.Continue reading “Iran is Bluffing”

Hamas is Going it Alone

It is becoming increasingly apparent that Hamas in launching its genocidal invasion of southern Israel on October 7, 2023, did not act upon instructions from Tehran. After the May 2021 conflict when the US forced Israel to accept a premature ceasefire after only eleven days of hostilities did Hamas calculate that President Biden would actContinue reading “Hamas is Going it Alone”

Assessing Gaza

In May 2021 there was an eleven-day long conflict between Israel and Gaza. The conflict was put an end to very early by US president Joe Biden who pressured Israel into a premature ceasefire. At the time I did not believe that 11 days of pounding terrorist infrastructure was enough to create sufficient deterrence soContinue reading “Assessing Gaza”

Learn From the Past

When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”

Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack

The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”

The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure

The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”

There is no Danger of Religious War

The notion that events on the Temple Mount, specifically, unexpected body movements by Jews there and more broadly hypothetical Israeli reassertion of Jewish rights on the Mount would trigger a religious war is completely baseless. This old scarecrow is complete and utter nonsense. Could anyone please describe a real and detailed  realistic scenario? No oneContinue reading “There is no Danger of Religious War”

Defending the Status Quo

There is no reason whatsoever why new Israeli police minister Itamar Ben-Gvir should not visit the Temple Mount. Will such a visit cause bloodshed? Palestinian terrorists do not need an excuse to cause bloodshed and so no peaceful act of visiting the most sacred site in Judaism can be the cause of bloodshed. It isContinue reading “Defending the Status Quo”

The State Department Does not Get It

The State Department has recently made pronouncements on the violence in Samaria, calling on “both sides” to refrain from “provocations” and “return to the peace process”. This is peculiar since the Palestinian Authority is certainly not behind the violence and the parties which are, namely the designated Jihadist terrorist organizations of Hamas and Palestinian IslamicContinue reading “The State Department Does not Get It”

Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset

Twelver Shia theology prohibits offensive war but Khomeinists believe it allows terrorism which it peculiarly construes as defensive, so-called “resistance”. Khomeinist Iran has so far engaged in regional expansionism through proxies, i.e. Shiite militias. Iran also maintains a close relationship with the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood everywhere but in Syria, which is also expressed in Iran’sContinue reading “Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset”

Which Erdogan is Speaking?

Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence is an international political action intelligence agency and as such trains its agents in political deception. Two of its top agents in the Middle East are Mansour Abbas in Israel and Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey. Both are skilled high-class actors. Mansour Abbas, the leader of the Ra’am party in the KnessetContinue reading “Which Erdogan is Speaking?”

Westerners do not Understand Islamdom

Islamdom is chronically misunderstood by outsiders, particularly Westerners and even by Muslims themselves. However, Westerners have particular cultural baggage in its long and well-documented history of misunderstanding Islamdom. Today, this prejudice mostly amounts to assuming that people in Islamdom think identically to people in the West. The issue of the annual Jerusalem Flag parade isContinue reading “Westerners do not Understand Islamdom”

It is Essential not to Reward Terrorists

Hamas and their fellow travelers regard last year’s rerouting of the Jerusalem flag parade as an important symbolic victory and this is why they are making threats this year despite the Jerusalem flag parade in its usual route being a tradition going back to the years after the 1967 Six Day War. The terrorists haveContinue reading “It is Essential not to Reward Terrorists”

The Strategy of Mansour Abbas

The Islamist Muslim Brotherhood was founded in 1928 by Egyptian school teacher Hassan al-Banna to establish a worldwide caliphate run under an Islamist version of sharia law. The global Muslim Brotherhood has three pillars. 1) The original underground fraternal organization as organized into national branches. 2) The front organizations including NGOs, mosques and political partiesContinue reading “The Strategy of Mansour Abbas”

The Approaching Apocalypse

Khomeinism is different from all other forms of Islamism in that it constitutes an apocalyptic death cult. No other sect of Islamism believes that the end of days is close in time. However, Khomeinism has no fixed date for the apocalypse which is somewhat flexible in time. The general understanding is that eschatological time wasContinue reading “The Approaching Apocalypse”

Regionwide War and Global Terror

Iran does not fear America which it considers bruised by war and defeated by international Jihadism. In the Khomeinist Weltanschauung is Israel merely one of the tentacles of the “worldwide” American-Jewish “octopus” and so Tehran believes that Jerusalem cannot independently decide on destroying Iran’s nuclear weapons program without a green light from Washington. Therefore willContinue reading “Regionwide War and Global Terror”

Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?

Qatar’s foreign policy is based on both being aligned with the United States and the Islamist nexus (including Iran) despite the Qatari ruling class themselves not being Islamists and hence the Qatari policy of funding Islamists, Jihadists and terrorists everywhere. Similarly has Qatar maintained a peculiar policy of both being aligned with Hamas and maintainingContinue reading “Will Qatar’s Foreign Policy Shift After Regime Change in Iran?”

What Would Happen if Israel did as the PA Wants?

Imagine if Israel agreed to withdraw plus-minus to the pre-1967 Auschwitz lines and agreed to deport hundreds of thousands of indigenous residents of Judea and Samaria? Assuming that the PA would agree to signing such an agreement which is not at all certain, this would not resolve the question of descendants of ex-refugees who wouldContinue reading “What Would Happen if Israel did as the PA Wants?”

Taking Iran Seriously

Iranian leaders continue to state that they will “destroy Israel” in the next war. What they mean is that they intend to implement the American military doctrine of Rapid Dominance (Shock and Awe). They intend to use their full rocket/missile/drone power, including a maximum number fitted with chemical weapons, to inflict massive physical and genocidalContinue reading “Taking Iran Seriously”

Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?

Iran claims that its assault on Israel with rockets, missiles, chemical warheads and drones from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Yemen will make Israel collapse. Do they actually believe this or is it just propaganda hyperbole? What is clear is that the Israeli home front will suffer immensely as a result of the assaultContinue reading “Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?”

Manifest Unreason

Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”

The Relationship between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence

What is the relationship between Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood? The two espouse very similar forms of Islamism although one is Shia and one is Sunni. Both synethesize traditional political Islam with modernity, with influences particularly from Nazism and Communism. With the exception of Syria where interests diverge due to Iran taking the side ofContinue reading “The Relationship between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence”

Indigenous Construction is not Irrational

The general international perception of the indigenous restoration project in Judea and Samaria is that it is fundamentally irrational and that demographic trends work against Israel and Zionism. The Israeli calculation was always that demography and time are on Israel’s side and that was and remains no doubt a correct assessment. This estimate has beenContinue reading “Indigenous Construction is not Irrational”

A Multifront War

Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”

The Islamist Nexus

Is there an emerging transdenominational Islamist nexus in the Middle East? There are significant tactical differences between different Islamist movements and Sunni Islamists and Shia Islamists disagree as to whether Sunnis of Shias should rule the worldwide Islamist theocracy that they believe is inevitable due to ostensibly being divinely decreed. Iran and Turkey have closeContinue reading “The Islamist Nexus”

Explaining the Next Gaza War

Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations?  Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”

How Imminent is War?

If Israel alone had dictated the timing of the destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program had it been determined either by the pace of progress in the Iran’s nuclear weapons program or the date would be after the June 2023 Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections but obviously not earlier than the Israeli project toContinue reading “How Imminent is War?”

The Jewish People should Declare War on the Muslim Brotherhood

The ongoing surge in Anti-Zionism in the United States is fomented by an alliance of leftwingers with the Muslim Brotherhood which is an international intelligence agency whose agents are trained at deceiving and politically defrauding its “partners” and other victims. What do the Muslim Brotherhood which seeks to introduce sharia law as state law, includingContinue reading “The Jewish People should Declare War on the Muslim Brotherhood”

Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace

Why is the international community insisting on stigmatizing restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria as so-called “obstacles to peace” when the Kushner peace map proves that they are manifestly not obstacles to partition? In fact, the unpublished Israeli partition map which provided the blueprint for the establishment of the restorative indigenous communities throughout JudeaContinue reading “Why Restorative Indigenous Communities are Branded as Obstacles to Peace”

Ein Brira

There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”