Middle Eastern governments are convinced that the Biden administration is intent on continuing the Trump administration policy of disengagement from Islamdom, yet the US government denies this. Who should we believe? Assuming that the governments of the region are correct in their unanimous assessment of US intentions, a plausible explanation would then be that theContinue reading “Is America Planning to Disengage from Islamdom?”
Tag Archives: Joe Biden
The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem
The US has a problem with credibility and thus also with deterrence. This is largely a perception problem based on the erroneous view that the current US administration is afraid of war. However, the Biden administration does not seem to understand that the position of the US as regards one region affects US credibility inContinue reading “The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem”
The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks
The Biden administration’s decision to blame the former Trump administration for the impending collapse of the Vienna talks is indicative of a sense of resignation in the US administration over the prospects of Iranian WMD terrorist attacks against the American homeland. This is understandable, Iranian chemical and potentially biological weapons terrorist attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “The US is Resigned to Coming Iranian WMD Attacks”
The US Government should Delist PJAK
The US supported the Kurdish-Iranian PJAK (Kurdistan Free Life Party) during the George W. Bush administration while the Obama administration blacklisted PJAK as ostensibly a “terrorist organization”. The Biden administration would be wise to delist PJAK as the organization certainly does not engage in terrorist attacks and is not hostile to the United States. PJAKContinue reading “The US Government should Delist PJAK”
Why Iran does not Fear Invasion
Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”
The Jews and the Left
Israel relies on bipartisan support in the United States Congress. Of course, the US-Israeli alliance would survive without congressional support since this special relationship is built upon common interests between the two nations. Saudi Arabia does not enjoy support in the US Congress and presidential candidate Joe Biden was intensely critical of Saudi Arabia. YetContinue reading “The Jews and the Left”
Iranian Fears
Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”
Apocalyptic Iran
Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”
Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest
The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”
Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?
Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”
The Art of Building Deterrence
One year of failed appeasement policy has completely destroyed US deterrence against Iran. The notion that this can be repaired by issuing a few threats is preposterous. Public issuance of threatening statements has its place in a comprehensive deterrence posture but are on their own entirely insufficient in rebuilding America’s deterrence against Iran. Iran shouldContinue reading “The Art of Building Deterrence”
Why Insist on the Impossible?
The Biden administration is well aware that Mahmoud Abbas is no partner for the much touted two-state solution. Mahmoud Abbas is tactically pragmatic but strategically rigid and his successor will be no less strategically rigid but possibly less pragmatic. The Palestinian Authority insists on flooding Israel with millions of Anti-Zionists and the goal is toContinue reading “Why Insist on the Impossible?”
What can be Expected on Iran
The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”
Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest
The Ukraine crisis is testing the Biden administration. The Russian buildup of military forces east of Ukraine illustrates the peril of not expanding NATO. Yet, the United States is effectively only threatening financial sanctions against Russia, or at least that is the general perception. The crisis illustrates that further NATO expansion eastwards should be anContinue reading “Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest”
Iran is a Terrorist State
Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”
The Unfounded US Obsession with Indigenous Construction
US President Joe Biden is known for his long-standing opposition to the indigenous restoration project in Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria. His opposition to indigenous construction spans decades and is founded in genuine demographic concerns for Israel’s future as a Jewish and democratic state. The leftwing Zionists never had the facts on their side as theContinue reading “The Unfounded US Obsession with Indigenous Construction”
Iran Plans to Defeat America
When the Iranian regime refers to the United States as “the Great Satan” (Persian: Shaytan-e Bozorg) do they mean that America is their greatest enemy as the center of the perceived Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam (“spreader of corruption”). When the regime chants “death to America” do they mean that they want to bring downContinue reading “Iran Plans to Defeat America”
Are there Prospects for an Interim Agreement?
During the recent meeting between Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz and US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, the two nations shared their respective military plans for attacking the Iranian nuclear weapons program and discussed joint military exercises in planned training for destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Nevertheless, the JCPOA despite being moribund is notContinue reading “Are there Prospects for an Interim Agreement?”
Joint Exercises are a Good Start
The Pentagon has leaked that US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz will discuss joint military exercises for destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is an excellent way to begin to restore US military deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. This also signals that the US is partnering with Israel not justContinue reading “Joint Exercises are a Good Start”
When to Attack Iran?
It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”
Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat
The Biden administration wants to focus on the rivalry with China and Russia, yet this is distinctly not how governments in Islamdom see the world. To most governments in Islamdom is Islamism/Jihadism the main threat and therefore is Israel regarded as the indispensable great power that can afford them protection as the United States isContinue reading “Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat”
Iran is Undeterred
Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”
Appeasement Undermines Deterrence
The appeasement policy of the Democratic administration undermines America’s deterrence posture. Iran is well aware that no Democratic administration will respond with nuclear weapons to Iranian chemical weapons attacks against America and hence is America highly vulnerable to chemical weapons attacks against major American cities. President Trump was not afraid to abrogate the JCPOA sinceContinue reading “Appeasement Undermines Deterrence”
The Myopia of Appeasement
America during the presidency of Barack Obama had as its policy to appease and even align with Islamism. This is not the policy of the Biden administration, yet the current administration clings desperately to the Obama-era JCPOA despite increasingly realizing that it is already dead. The latest idea for a partial agreement with Iran thatContinue reading “The Myopia of Appeasement”
Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran
President Joe Biden continues the Trump administration policy of disengaging from Islamdom and outsourcing its superpower responsibilities to Israel by promoting Israeli normalization with nations of Islamdom. The US is engaged in intensive diplomatic efforts to persuade nations of Islamdom to normalize relations with Israel. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has already in principleContinue reading “Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
Rob Malley Changes his Position on Iran
The United States Special Representative for Iran Rob Malley has officially changed his position on the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Previously, Malley stated that the US will continue to negotiate to reach a diplomatic solution on the question of the Iranian nuclear weapons program even after the JCPOA becomes irrelevant. This was contrary to theContinue reading “Rob Malley Changes his Position on Iran”
Disengagement is not Possible Without Normalization
The Biden administration inherited from the Trump administration the concept of US disengagement from Islamdom. For the Trump administration this was contingent upon outsourcing most of the US superrole in Islamdom to Israel. Israel would defend American interests in Islamdom and the US would defend Israeli interests outside of Islamdom. That was the equation andContinue reading “Disengagement is not Possible Without Normalization”
What is the Real Iran Policy of the United States?
There seems to be two positions on Iran among US officials. United States Special Representative for Iran Rob Malley has stated that the US will continue to seek a diplomatic solution on the Iranian nuclear weapons program even after the JCPOA becomes irrelevant. Everyone else in the Biden administration claims that the US will examineContinue reading “What is the Real Iran Policy of the United States?”
The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom
There is a growing cold war between Israel and Iran taking place in the Middle East. There has also been a parallel rise of the two countries to great power status. However, there will ultimately only be room for one great power in the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Muslim countries around the world areContinue reading “The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom”
The Lack of Continuity in American Mideast Policy
President George W. Bush revolutionized American foreign policy on the Middle East and Islamdom by focusing on counter-terrorism and democratization. President Barack Obama wanted to align the US with Islamism and hand over Islamdom to the Islamists. President Donald Trump championed the idea of the US disengaging from Islamdom in subcontracting most US superpower dutiesContinue reading “The Lack of Continuity in American Mideast Policy”
The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom
The perception of the American interest in the Middle East is shifting. Once was the American interest in the Gulf in supporting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states based almost entirely on the provision of oil to America by the Gulf states. America is no longer dependent on Gulf oil since America is now energyContinue reading “The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom”
The US Disengagement from the Middle East
The problem the US faces in the Middle East is fundamental lack of credibility. US allies do not believe in the US and Iran does not fear America. US rhetoric about “looking at other options” does not deter Iran nor does it impress US allies. After giving up Afghanistan does the US face a fundamentalContinue reading “The US Disengagement from the Middle East”
Playing Into the Hands of Tehran
US foreign policy on Iran is playing into the hands of the tyrannical Khomeinist regime. The regime intends to play for time until the JCPOA is irrelevant and even after does it intend to play for time until Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in 2023, all with the purpose of pleasing world powersContinue reading “Playing Into the Hands of Tehran”
Do Biden and Blinken Want to Bring Down the Israeli Government?
President Joe Biden is well known for his long-standing opposition to the indigenous reclamation project in Judea and Samaria, yet one must surely ask whether he wants to bring down the Israeli coalition government? Does he not understand that the coalition government depends on its three rightwing political parties which conditioned their participation in theContinue reading “Do Biden and Blinken Want to Bring Down the Israeli Government?”
The Iranian Threat against Azerbaijan
The ongoing Iranian war games on the border with Azerbaijan illustrates the Iranian Neo-Safavid irredentist threat against the independent Republic of Azerbaijan. The excuse for the maneuvers is the Israeli security presence in Azerbaijan and the particularly close Azerbaijani-Israeli alliance. Would the Iranian military invade Azerbaijan in response to Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weaponsContinue reading “The Iranian Threat against Azerbaijan”
Aliyah Organization 