USA President Donald J. Trump is a strong leader who rightly prioritizes stability in Syria. However, without minority rights there will be neither stability nor peaceful coexistence. Israel’s alliance with the regional majorities, ”minority” communities of Syria is as ironclad as the US alliance with Israel. The Druze and the Kurds de facto already ruleContinue reading “Stability in Syria”
Category Archives: Lebanon
Peace on Israel’s Terms
Israeli governments have historically created a pattern where they were ready to cede and indeed expected to cede the optimum in negotiations with Arab interlocutors for negotiation. This created excessive, indeed optimal expectations among those negotiating with Israel. The question that needs to be asked is who needs peace the most, Israel or Arab governments? Continue reading “Peace on Israel’s Terms”
No Turkish Defense Pact
The Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus would be particularly well-advised to prevent any Turkish defense pact with Syria and/or Lebanon.
Israel’s War on Terror
Israel is engaged in its own War on Terror which it needs to win despite innumerable diplomatic attempts by the Biden administration to impede Israeli victory. Hamas, PIJ and Hezbollah must be annihilated and Israel is able to do the job. In fact, this is a United States national interest so it is completely bizarreContinue reading “Israel’s War on Terror”
The Time War
The conventional understanding of the war in Gaza is that it takes place exclusively in a spatial place, yet its temporal dimension is yet to be investigated. A temporal analysis offer much different results than a spatial one in the Gaza theater.
No Southern Adventure
War between the Iranian Axis and Israel is inevitable at some point and the development of the Iranian nuclear weapons programs is a determinative factor. Regional war prior to the neutralization of Iran’s nuke program is highly unlikely due to neither side wishing it. Israel still has work to do in Gaza considering that notContinue reading “No Southern Adventure”
Who Wants What and When?
There is some confusion in Washington these days as to the belligerent intentions of the Iranian Axis. Does Tehran believe that it is effectively deterring Jerusalem and Washington from neutralizing Iran’s nuclear weapons program? The answer is yes in the affirmative. Still Iran does not discount the possibility of a preemptive attack against its nuclearContinue reading “Who Wants What and When?”
A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews
The US government has always wanted to ”resolve” the conflict between Israel and those who seek her destruction. Nowadays is the US focus more on the official panacea than actually ending the conflict. The problem is the following, peace is not and was never was possible with those who seek Israel’s destruction. Peace is inContinue reading “A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews”
The Kurds are Israel’s Partner for Peace
It has long been claimed that the terrorism-inciting Palestinian Authority is Israel’s partner for peace, however today almost no one in the international community believes in such a ”partnership”, despite this so-called ”community” almost universally paying lip service to that very misconception. The truth is rather that the Kurds are Israel’s partner for peace, notContinue reading “The Kurds are Israel’s Partner for Peace”
Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions
While the hostage release agreement is worthwhile from the perspective of Jewish ethics, it is also dangerous because the ruling Mullahs may view it as a sign of profound weakness. I am bringing up this possibility due to the danger that the Iranian Axis may change its military strategy towards Israel. I am not suggestingContinue reading “Tehran is Watching and May Draw its Own Conclusions”
The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War
Foreign governments that intend to apply pressure on the government of Israel so as to impose a ceasefire between Israel and the Jihadist terrorists in Gaza, effectively in favor of an eternal cycle of conflicts simply do not understand Israel’s situation. Israel just cannot assent no matter the price because doing so would be effectiveContinue reading “The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War”
America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran
Iran’s actions and rhetoric recently have all been about desperately trying to deter America in order to save Hamas from destruction at the hands of Israel. What is of vital strategic importance here is that America (a.k.a. ”the Great Satan”) cannot allow itself to be deterred by the Empire of Terrorism. Washington must deter Tehran,Continue reading “America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran”
The Mullahs are Desperate
The strategic plans of the ruling mullahs in Tehran are falling apart due to Hamas’ severe miscalculation. Hamas is a semi-proxy of Iran and although it consults with and receives substantial aid from Tehran, it is not a full proxy like PIJ or Hezbollah. This was on full display during the October 7, 2023 pogrom.Continue reading “The Mullahs are Desperate”
Iran is Bluffing
Iran is desperate over Israel’s response to Hamas’ October 7, 2023; pogrom, the strategy of ”unification of fronts” is falling apart in front of their eyes. Iran’s threats and the present limited conflict on the Israel-Lebanon border is specifically intended to pressure the Biden administration into coercing Israel into a ceasefire as in May 2021.Continue reading “Iran is Bluffing”
Hamas is Going it Alone
It is becoming increasingly apparent that Hamas in launching its genocidal invasion of southern Israel on October 7, 2023, did not act upon instructions from Tehran. After the May 2021 conflict when the US forced Israel to accept a premature ceasefire after only eleven days of hostilities did Hamas calculate that President Biden would actContinue reading “Hamas is Going it Alone”
Understanding the ”Ongoing Nakba”
Palestinians ahistorically refer to Israel’s 1947-49 War of Independence as ”the Nakba”. The historical fact is that tens of millions of people were permanently displaced around the world in the 1945-50 period (especially in South Asia and Eastern Europe) of whom less than a million were displaced Palestinian Arabs and less than a million JewsContinue reading “Understanding the ”Ongoing Nakba””
Pacifying Iran
Victory in the Northern War is critical for preventing the Iran-MENA front of WWIII, the other front being between Russia and NATO in Europe. Israel and Iran imagine completely different outcomes of the Northern War. Iran imagines that the outcome of the Northern War will be the destruction of Israel. Israel in contrast plans toContinue reading “Pacifying Iran”
An Outline of the Northern War
The government of Israel is highly uninterested in fighting war during this turbulent period in Israeli political history. For Iran and Hezbollah however does it appear to be a perfect time for war. Indeed, the Iranian Axis is itching for war. The long series of provocations along Israel’s northern borders take place precisely because JafariContinue reading “An Outline of the Northern War”
Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship
The issue of erecting wind turbines near Druze Golan villages has triggered riots and clashes, yet it appears that not everyone in the Israeli government is aware of the strategic implications. Israel needs to consider its future relationship with the entire Druze people, also in regions that are currently part of Syria and Lebanon, areasContinue reading “Israel Should Consider the Wider Druze Relationship”
Where is the Region Heading?
There are two major wars awaiting the Middle East. The first will be the Northern War where the Israeli and Iranian armies will fight it out on Syrian soil and the second will be Iran’s attempt to conquer the MENA region. Israel’s Arab allies intend to take Assad’s side in the Northern War. It isContinue reading “Where is the Region Heading?”
Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?
Russia has already assured access through Iraqi air space for its own air force. However, the real question is whether Moscow will stay neutral in the upcoming Northern War between Israel and the Iranian Axis? One would think that Putin would be smart enough not to go to war against Israel, considering his present experienceContinue reading “Will Russia Stay Neutral in the Northern War?”
A US Mideast Defense Strategy
Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”
Strategic Dialogue is Required
There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”
Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War
There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”
Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement
What is clear is that Iran has won the war in Yemen, perhaps not in military terms but certainly politically so. The real question is whether Iran will be allowed to take over all of Yemen? The ”peace agreement” that Tehran is envisioning is one where the Houthis will certainly not be disarmed and thisContinue reading “Tehran is Trying to Pull Off Another Taif Agreement”
Being First to Provide Information is Essential
I have suggested this before and I wasn’t listened to and so I hope that I will be read in the Israeli Ministry of Defense this time around. The fundamental problem with IDF informational efforts in wartime is that the IDF is too slow to provide timely and accurate info to the media. It isContinue reading “Being First to Provide Information is Essential”
It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum
AANES recently offered to share its energy revenues with the rest of Syria on condition that its feminist form of government is extended to all of Syria. This is in fact what will happen after the Northern War. The reality is that the regime of Bashar al-Assad is intertwined with Iranian Axis and is inContinue reading “It’s not an Offer, It’s an Ultimatum”
Deterring Iran is Imperative
The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”
Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections
The Iranian Axis has made up its mind that now is the right window of opportunity to start the Northern War. The reason this is so is because this is a particularly inopportune timing for Israel. Therefore, we will witness continued attempted preparations for riots on the Temple Mount by storing rocks inside al-Aqsa mosqueContinue reading “Tehran is Determined to Start the Northern War Prior to the Turkish Elections”
Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack
The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”
The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure
The Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon involving 34 rockets as well as mortars was deliberate, calculated and fully coordinated with the entire Iranian Axis, including of course with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. It is important that the international community understands that this was not ”merely” a Hamas attack against Israel from Lebanon butContinue reading “The Iranian Axis is an Integrated Command Structure”
The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse
“Syria warns Israel and its sponsors once again of the dangers of these aggressive policies, which push the region towards total escalation and a new phase of insecurity and instability,” ‘Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs At the height of the Syrian Civil War did the last Baathist regime make a devil’s bargain with the mullahsContinue reading “The Syrian Regime – Not Israel – Will Collapse”
Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon
“When necessary – we will push them out of Syria to where they belong – and that is Iran.” Yoav Gallant, Israeli minister of defense Iran as usual is strategically arrogant but tactically cautious. The mullahs believe that Iran and its allies are capable of destroying the Jewish state. Previously was it believed that IsraelContinue reading “Iran Will Lose Syria and Lebanon”
Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?
The Israeli defense establishment is convinced that Hezbollah is planning to take advantage of Israel’s perceived ”weakness” to attack Israel in Tehran hence believing that Israel will want to limit the conflict rather than widen it. Israel’s defense minister Yoav Gallant has warned that this is not the case, that Iran will face a NorthernContinue reading “Will Khamenei Order Nasrallah to Attack?”
The Northern War is a War of No Choice
The neutralization of the Iranian nuclear weapons program is most clearly a war of no choice because the completion of the nuclear weapons program would pose an existential threat against the State of Israel. This is clear, but is the ensuing Northern War also a war of no choice? The answer to that question isContinue reading “The Northern War is a War of No Choice”
When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?
“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”
Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News
The Chinese-brokered agreement to resume normal diplomatic relations between Riyadh and Tehran means that an Iranian invasion of the KSA after Israel (and the US) neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, is off the table and that is good news for the global economy. Yet, it does not mean that the threat of an IranianContinue reading “Saudi-Iranian Resumption of Diplomatic Relations are Good News”
Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists
The Khomeinist regime in Tehran has long preferred not to invade other countries and rather rely on proxies to project Iranian power. Iran first and foremost wants to control the Khomeinist Apocalyptic region, the triangle of Mecca, Jerusalem and Damascus. There can be little doubt that the Iranian military will cross Iraq to reach SyriaContinue reading “Inside the Minds of Iranian Strategists”
Derin Devlet Needs to Ensure Turkish Non-Intervention in Syria
War is approaching in the Middle East due advancements in the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This means that Israel’s upcoming defensive Northern War in Syria and Lebanon to crush Hezbollah, install the PYD as the new government in Damascus, establish an Aramean state in parts of Lebanon, annex Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions andContinue reading “Derin Devlet Needs to Ensure Turkish Non-Intervention in Syria”
Not for Sentimental or Religious Reasons
Israeli state strategists have treated the issue of the Temple Mount as a mere sentimental and religious one. This has also been the line promoted by national-religious advocates of reappropriation of Jewish heritage and Jewish rights on the Mount. For Palestinian strategists in contrast is this a matter of immense strategic importance. For Palestinian strategistsContinue reading “Not for Sentimental or Religious Reasons”
It is Imperative to Prevent an Invasion
President Erdogan has never given up hopes for a Muslim Brotherhood takeover of Syria. However, this is distinctly not in the interest of Turkey. It is furthermore in the interest of the Sabbatean community and thus also the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus to ensure Israeli regional interests considering that the SabbateansContinue reading “It is Imperative to Prevent an Invasion”
Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby
As the Middle East finds itself on the brink of war the usual suspects in the so-called international community undoubtedly once more line up to pressure the Jewish state. However, Hezbollah has been instructed by Tehran to start a war with Israel for reasons unrelated to Lebanon and so it does not really matter whetherContinue reading “Hezbollah’s Diplomatic Lobby”
Israel Borders Iran
What we are witnessing is truly surreal. It is becoming ever more clear that Lebanon has ceased to exist as an independent nation and is now merely an Iranian protectorate. Iran is currently carrying out two faux negotiation processes with its two archenemies, Israel and the United States, through proxies. The negotiation process with IsraelContinue reading “Israel Borders Iran”
How Iran is Instigating War
Why would Iran want a war in the Levant now? This is an excellent question that requires some elaboration. Iran is moderately convinced that Israel and America are deterred by Iranian weapons of mass destruction and will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. However, Tehran is less certain when it comes toContinue reading “How Iran is Instigating War”
The Mediterranean Mirage
Hassan Nasrallah made a televised speech expressing cautious praise for the US proposal for a new border line between the exclusive economic zones of Israel and Lebanon in the Mediterranean sea. However, he notably did not explicitly accept the proposal. It is important to be cognizant that Lebanon or rather “Hezbollahstan” is an Iranian protectorateContinue reading “The Mediterranean Mirage”
The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy
Washington still clings to the illusion that Tehran is interested in returning to the JCPOA and would ultimately do so. Jerusalem clings to a similar illusion in believing that it is possible to deter Iran in claiming that if Tehran was presented with a credible military deterrence that would threaten its survival (i.e. a no-flyContinue reading “The US and Israel are both Wrong on Iran Diplomacy”
The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail
Much hope has been pinned on the indirect Israeli-Lebanese negotiations about the demarcation of the maritime border line between the two nations as mediated by US diplomat Amos Hochstein. However, what is often conveniently forgotten is that the Lebanese state is now effectively Hezbollahstan, an Iranian protectorate which takes indirect orders from Tehran through theContinue reading “The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail”
What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?
A weekend interview in the Israeli daily Israel Hayom provided an insight into the perspectives of Israeli decision-makers. The interview was with one colonel T; the head of the IDF General Staff Strategy and Third-Circle Directorate. Ostensibly was the interview a sales pitch in order to persuade Israeli elected politicians to engage more in Iran-relatedContinue reading “What Will Happen After the Destruction of the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program?”
Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue
When will Median Jews immigrate to Israel in the tens of millions? This is only a matter of time. What is at stake is whether President Erdogan and the AKP will lose power in Turkey in the June 2023 elections and approximately 20 million Turkish Median Jews will be allowed to leave for Israel. ForContinue reading “Why the World Lost Interest in the Palestinian Issue”
What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?
Israel withdrew from Lebanon in the year 2000 but Tehran was not satisfied and so Iran/Hezbollah instructed the Lebanese government to manufacture the Sheba farm (Har Dov) fictitious border claims on lands in the northern Golan heights. Iran/Hezbollah did it again in 2022 when it instructed the Lebanese government to expand Lebanon’s claims for territorialContinue reading “What are Tehran’s Interests Regarding the Karish Maritime Border Dispute?”
Aliyah Organization 