Tehran openly states that Israel faces disaster and most Israelis do not seem to believe the Iranians. As of writing, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is publicly training for a scenario where Hezbollah will unleash 2 000 projectiles a day for several weeks and where Hezbollah will commit chemical weapons attacks along the Israeli-Lebanese border.Continue reading “Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so”
Category Archives: Lebanon
Only Israel can Liberate Aram
The indigenous Aramean people of the Middle East has often suffered terrible persecution and oppression by Muslim rulers and their proxies. There is one region in the Middle East where the Arameans still make up the majority and that is the Mount Lebanon region of Lebanon. The Aramean people once lived throughout the Fertile CrescentContinue reading “Only Israel can Liberate Aram”
From Conceptzia to Victory
The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel. For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”
Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea
The Israeli-allied AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) finds itself in a constant conflict situation with Erdogan who no doubt would want to occupy the entire AANES-held territory, yet he cannot because the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) are held back by the Israeli-allied Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus. This mustContinue reading “The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea”
Doubling Israel’s Jewish Population
What increase in Israel’s Jewish population is required for Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria? From the Israeli government’s perspective what is probably required is the preservation of the demographic balance between the Jewish majority and the Arab minority. This requires doubling the country’s Jewish population. This could have been achievedContinue reading “Doubling Israel’s Jewish Population”
The New Equation for Middle East Peace
Israel should formally agree to the resolution of most aspects of the Palestinian question in return for the West’s diplomatic assistance with Israel’s full reunification with Median Jewry as Israel cannot open the gates to Median Jewish emigration to Israel on its own. This requires sustained Western diplomatic economic pressure on Turkey to not placeContinue reading “The New Equation for Middle East Peace”
Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?
Would it be responsible for the Israeli government to launch a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon in response to Hezbollah’s expected massive rocket/missile barrages against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023? To answer that question we must goContinue reading “Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?”
Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest
Israel has since the 1970s invested vast sums in the indigenous restoration project of Judea and Samaria. This is not as is sometimes claimed motivated by irrational nationalist or religious sentiments but rather by clearheaded long-term strategic thinking. The mountain ridge of Judea and Samaria overlooks central Israel and an overwhelming military assault by enemyContinue reading “Indigenous Restoration in Judea and Samaria is a Vital National Security Interest”
The Palestinians of Judea and Samaria Have a Better Future With Israel
Those in the international community who still sincerely believe in Palestinian statehood do not seem to have considered the best interests of the Palestinians themselves. Palestinians of Judea and Samaria currently live under a corrupt, autocratic, nepotistic and kleptocratic dictatorship which certainly does not have the best interests of its population at heart. It isContinue reading “The Palestinians of Judea and Samaria Have a Better Future With Israel”
Indigenous Construction in Judea and Samaria does not Cause Terrorism
Contrary to what the State Department implies is there absolutely no causal connection whatsoever between terrorism and indigenous restorative construction in Judea and Samaria. Not even Palestinian terrorists claim to commit acts of terror because of Israeli construction. Rather the future lies in integration and coexistence between the peoples in Judea and Samaria. Many PalestiniansContinue reading “Indigenous Construction in Judea and Samaria does not Cause Terrorism”
Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry
Prior to the historical rediscovery of core Median Jewry were the remnants of Median Judaism around the world viewed with certain scepticism by official Israel. Scholars have even in recent years begun to claim that similarities with rabbinic Judaism are pure coincidence. However, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry and the seven denominations of coreContinue reading “Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry”
Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad
At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”
Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War
The main problem with a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon following Hezbollah’s upcoming massive missile assault on urban Israel will be the slow pace of the advancement of the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) due to its lack of heavy weapons, particularly tanks and artillery. While the SDF is highly motivated and theContinue reading “Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War”
The Timeline is Becoming Clear
Israel has budgeted 1,5 billion USD for its project to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program, yet the project is not expected to become fully operational until about a year from now. This means that there will be one more year of futile international “diplomacy” of coaxing Iran into some kind of “agreement” on itsContinue reading “The Timeline is Becoming Clear”
The Time for Military Dialogue is Now
Israel should engage in in-depth military dialogue with official military and diplomatic interlocutors from friendly countries who are critical of the upcoming two-front war in Gaza and Lebanon/Syria. Those who have criticisms should offer their own alternative plans that will ensure Israel’s security in the face of the projectile threat. Israel should issue invitations forContinue reading “The Time for Military Dialogue is Now”
What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?
Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”
Burning the Assets
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (b. 1939), the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is in an apocalyptic mood and is betting on the support of Allah. By ditching the JCPOA does he ensure that Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. By ordering Hezbollah to launch massive barrages of 150 000 rockets andContinue reading “Burning the Assets”
Tunnel Warfare
Iranian military intelligence is the brain behind Hamas and Hezbollah and the strategy of investing billions in building military tunnels. On the one hand is the strategy to build up a massive threat of rockets and missiles. On the other hand, do the Iranians understand that massive rocket/missile barrages will cause Israel to occupy GazaContinue reading “Tunnel Warfare”
Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah
Iran is preparing for a doomsday scenario and threatened on Sunday October 24, 2021 effectively that Tehran would order Hezbollah to launch its entire arsenal of 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israel should Israel attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program. The threat should be taken seriously just as Iran is also taking seriously theContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah”
How Official Israeli Recognition Will Affect the Situation of Median Jews
Median Jews in the Middle East currently lead precarious and often oppressed lives. In Iran are all Median Jews with the exception of the Zoroastrians denied basic freedom of religion. Article 13 of the Iranian constitution recognizes Christianity, Islam, Judaism and Zoroastrianism but no other forms of religion. Alevism, Bektashism, Mandaeism, Yarsanism and Yezidism, allContinue reading “How Official Israeli Recognition Will Affect the Situation of Median Jews”
Doubling Israel’s Population
Israel annexing the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon which are populated by 4 million Median Jews, the immigration of 3-4 million Median Jews (Yarsanis, Yezidis, Alevis, Bektashis and Zoroastrians) from Iran and Iraq as well as the redemption and the enfranchisement of the entire Judea and Samaria with 2 millionContinue reading “Doubling Israel’s Population”
Defeating Hamas and Hezbollah is Imperative
Israel’s upcoming two-front war offers a crucial test of moral clarity. Will the war defeat and disband the terrorist organizations and the entire so-called “Axis of Resistance” in the Levant? It is not possible to disband Hezbollah without doing away with the current regimes in Damascus and Beirut which are both supporters and promoters ofContinue reading “Defeating Hamas and Hezbollah is Imperative”
What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad
Traditionally were the Alawites or the Nusayris as they were called until the 1920s known as “Ghulat” or so-called “extremist Shias”, meaning not Shias at all who pretended to believe that Ali was a divine incarnation, hardly an Islamic belief. This was part of the Pseudo-Islamic veneer of core Median Judaism to protect Median JewsContinue reading “What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad”
Liberating Judea and Samaria
The Abbas regime is corrupt, autocratic and kleptocratic. 80% of Palestinians wants Mahmoud Abbas to resign according to a recent Palestinian opinion poll. Despite being secularist does the Palestinian Authority systematically engage in Jihadist incitement in its system of education and regime media. Jihadism tragically permeates Palestinian society not only in Jihadist-controlled Gaza but alsoContinue reading “Liberating Judea and Samaria”
Peace Depends on Victory
The upcoming war between Israel and Hezbollah will likely lead to a wider war between the IDF-SDF and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” including Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Hezbollah, Lebanon and Syria. The outcome will lead to new borders of peace. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state and annex Median Jewish (Alawite andContinue reading “Peace Depends on Victory”
Resolving Gaza
Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon following a joint IDF-SDF campaign will add 4 million Jewish citizens to the population of Israel, something which will demographically permit Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. What then about Gaza? Should Gaza become a claustrophobic Palestinian mini-state?Continue reading “Resolving Gaza”
Israel’s Demographic Question
With the annexation of 4 million Median Jews (Alawites and Druze) in Syria and Lebanon after a joint IDF-SDF war against the forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism will Israel narrowly be able to demographically afford to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria where 2 million Palestinians live. In addition, there are 1 million Median JewsContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Question”
Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations
A joint IDF-SDF military campaign in Syria and Lebanon will lead to Israel’s annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. This in turn will resolve the Palestinian question as the addition of 4 million Median Jews to Israel’s citizenry will demographically allow Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire JudeaContinue reading “Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations”
Israel Expects Two-Front War
A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”
The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred
The upcoming Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear Iranian nuclear weapons program is a golden opportunity to also fundamentally transform the northern Levant and remove Iran from the regional equation. While it is necessary to destroy Hezbollah could it also be argued that Hezbollah’s destruction and the remaking of the northern Levant could be deferredContinue reading “The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred”
Tehran Suffers from Hubris
Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”
Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate
Josep Borrell, the EU foreign affairs commissioner does not want to think in terms of Plan Bs. But how does he imagine that Iran would even have an incentive to negotiate without a Plan B and without an international community united around a Plan B as a strategic deterrence? When saying that he refuses toContinue reading “Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate”
The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv
There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”
Liberating Lebanon
What is the situation in Lebanon 31 years after Hezbollah failed to honor the Taif Agreement which required disarming all militias? Hezbollah controls the military, the international airport, the seaports, the system of justice and even the government itself. Lebanon is not that far removed from being declared a Twelver Shia Islamist Republic as thatContinue reading “Liberating Lebanon”
Initiating a War of No Choice
Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”
The Failed State of Lebanon
The Lebanese civil war ended in 1990 and it eventually turned out that Hezbollah refused to abide by the Taif Agreement which it had signed and which stipulated that all Lebanese militias had to disarm. It ultimately turned out that Lebanon preferred peace with Hezbollah, the Jihadist terrorist organization over peace with Israel, Lebanon’s liberalContinue reading “The Failed State of Lebanon”
The Assad Regime is Suicidal
The Iranian regime approaches nuclear threshold status and that means that Israel will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran’s Lebanese proxy Hezbollah will respond by launching massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities. This will lead Israel to order the IDF (IsraelContinue reading “The Assad Regime is Suicidal”
Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions
Ali Khamenei’s desire to destroy Israel is fundamentally irrational, it is based in apocalyptic, Anti-Semitic and neo-imperialist fantasies. This fact however does not make the regime any less dangerous. Khamenei’s standing decision to order Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities is also fundamentallyContinue reading “Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions”
Retract International Recognition of Palestinian Statehood
A joint IDF-SDF campaign to liberate Syria and Lebanon following a massive Hezbollah missile assault on the city of Tel Aviv will enable Israel to annex the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. This will add 4 million Median Jews to Israel’s demographics and with immigration of 1 million Yezidi andContinue reading “Retract International Recognition of Palestinian Statehood”
The Bennett-Putin Summit
The upcoming Israeli-Russian Summit offers an opportunity to recalibrate Israeli-Russian relations with regard to Syria. Moscow is interested in one thing and one thing only in Syria and that is keeping its naval base and air base in the Alawite region. Everything else is of secondary importance to Moscow. Iran advances rapidly towards nuclear thresholdContinue reading “The Bennett-Putin Summit”
The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History
The “Alawite” Syrian regime has since many decades a policy of trying to Islamize the Alawite people which practices Alawism, one of seven denominations of core Median Judaism. The ethnically Alawite regime leaders are turncoats, thoroughly secular “Islamizers” who are enemies of their own people. In fact, Alawites are just as brutally oppressed as everyoneContinue reading “The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History”
Iran’s Levantine Calculus
Iran approaches nuclear threshold status and Israel prepares to launch preemptive strikes against its nuclear weapons program. Will then Iran order Hezbollah to attack the city of Tel Aviv in response to Israel’s preemptive strikes? If Hezbollah does not launch barrages of missiles against the city of Tel Aviv will it effectively have become strategicallyContinue reading “Iran’s Levantine Calculus”
The Idea of a Palestinian State is Outdated
Israel always counted on increasingly falling Palestinian fertility rates and the Haredi population explosion (there will be 5 million Haredi Israelis in three decades time) to resolve the Palestinian dispute. Then came the historical rediscovery of core Median Jewry as deus ex machina. Israeli annexation of 4 million Syrian and Lebanese Median Jews (Alawites andContinue reading “The Idea of a Palestinian State is Outdated”
Will Hezbollah Attack Israel?
Hezbollah is part of the command and control structure of the IRGC and ultimately receives its strategic instructions from the Supreme leader himself, Ali Khamenei (b. 1939). A Hezbollah massive missile barrage against Tel Aviv following upon Israel’s preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program will lead to a joint IDF-SDF war againstContinue reading “Will Hezbollah Attack Israel?”
Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?
Is there a possibility that Iraq will intervene in a war between the IDF/SDF and Syria/Lebanon/Hezbollah/Iran in the northern Levant by invading NES (North and East Syria)? While an Iraqi contribution to the fighting between Syria and Israel would have a negligible effect on the course of the war could in fact an Iraqi attackContinue reading “Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?”
Israel wants Peace in Syria
Iran is approaching nuclear threshold status with its advanced uranium enrichment that is absolutely unacceptable to Israel, something which according to veiled threats recently issued by Prime Minister Naftali Bennett will lead Israel to launch preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to unleash massiveContinue reading “Israel wants Peace in Syria”
Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?
Alawites have suffered attempted enforced Islamization since early Islamic conquest in the 7th century CE. The famous medieval Jihadist theologian Ibn Taymiyyah (1263-1328) claimed that the Alawites are “more infidel than the Jews and the Christians”. Alawites suffered terribly during the Ottoman period in French colonial rule coming as liberation for the Alawites. Alawite menContinue reading “Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?”
The Axis of Genocide
The Lebanese, Syrian and Iranian militaries in the northern Levant are deeply integrated with the Hezbollah terrorist organization and must from Israel’s perspective therefore be considered extensions of Hezbollah. Together do they constitute the Axis of Genocide in the northern Levant as they in the words of the leaders of the Islamic Republic of IranContinue reading “The Axis of Genocide”
Eliminating the Western Flank of the Iranian Empire
The Iranian empire stretches from Balochistan to Lebanon in a vast expanse of land from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea and this is only the beginning from the perspective of Iran’s strategists. Tehran’s planners imagine eventually controlling the entire Islamdom as the world’s only superpower and ultimately the entire world. It ought toContinue reading “Eliminating the Western Flank of the Iranian Empire”
Aliyah Organization 