The US Needs to Pressure Qatar

Is Doha really an ally of Washington? The grim answer is that Qatar behaves like an enemy of the United States of America. Qatar is a geopolitically peculiar country which houses the largest US airbase in CENTCOM and this makes the US highly dependent on Qatar to the degree that the US in the caseContinue reading “The US Needs to Pressure Qatar”

Doha can’t have its Cake and Eat it Too

Qatar has long played a double game of supporting and funding Sunni Islamism such as the global Muslim Brotherhood and a wide range of Sunni Jihadist terrorist organizations around the world while maintaining excellent connections with every state in the world, including Israel, the US and Iran. The apparently successful Israeli elimination of Hamas leadersContinue reading “Doha can’t have its Cake and Eat it Too”

The Arabs Missed Another Opportunity to Make Themselves Relevant

Egypt’ Gaza reconstruction plan is a sophisticated piece of propaganda that completely ignores the presence of Hamas and other terrorist groups in the Gaza Strip. There is no mention of demilitarization, permanent settlement of descendant of refugees and Arab forces to replace the Jihadists or any ideas about how to prevent Hamas from resuming theContinue reading “The Arabs Missed Another Opportunity to Make Themselves Relevant”

Israel’s War on Terror

Israel is engaged in its own War on Terror which it needs to win despite innumerable diplomatic attempts by the Biden administration to impede Israeli victory. Hamas, PIJ and Hezbollah must be annihilated and Israel is able to do the job. In fact, this is a United States national interest so it is completely bizarreContinue reading “Israel’s War on Terror”

Who Wants What and When?

There is some confusion in Washington these days as to the belligerent intentions of the Iranian Axis. Does Tehran believe that it is effectively deterring Jerusalem and Washington from neutralizing Iran’s nuclear weapons program? The answer is yes in the affirmative. Still Iran does not discount the possibility of a preemptive attack against its nuclearContinue reading “Who Wants What and When?”

Palestinian Statehood will Never Happen

Why will Palestinian statehood never happen? First because neither side sincerely believes in a two-state solution. Second because it cannot be imposed for the simple reasons that the PA has no interest in ending the conflict and Israel will not sacrifice its security, defense and existence no matter the foreign pressure. The withdrawal from GazaContinue reading “Palestinian Statehood will Never Happen”

The Iranian Opposition Needs to Unite

The Iranian opposition in exile can be characterized as being of two types. The first type supports cultural and linguistic hegemony by the Persians, the largest ethnic minority in the country comprising 45% of the population of Iran. The majority of the population is compromised by the other ethnolinguistic minorities in Iran, large and small.Continue reading “The Iranian Opposition Needs to Unite”

The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War

Foreign governments that intend to apply pressure on the government of Israel so as to impose a ceasefire between Israel and the Jihadist terrorists in Gaza, effectively in favor of an eternal cycle of conflicts simply do not understand Israel’s situation. Israel just cannot assent no matter the price because doing so would be effectiveContinue reading “The Gaza War is Just a Foretaste of the Northern War”

Borrell’s Musings

Josep Borrell has decided to once more express his personal opinions on Israel’s war against genocidal Jihadism in Gaza rather than the European Union’s official standpoint. Those prejudices of his are so outrageous that they require immediate correction.

America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran

Iran’s actions and rhetoric recently have all been about desperately trying to deter America in order to save Hamas from destruction at the hands of Israel. What is of vital strategic importance here is that America (a.k.a. ”the Great Satan”) cannot allow itself to be deterred by the Empire of Terrorism. Washington must deter Tehran,Continue reading “America Must not Allow itself to be Deterred by Iran”

The Mullahs are Desperate

The strategic plans of the ruling mullahs in Tehran are falling apart due to Hamas’ severe miscalculation. Hamas is a semi-proxy of Iran and although it consults with and receives substantial aid from Tehran, it is not a full proxy like PIJ or Hezbollah. This was on full display during the October 7, 2023 pogrom.Continue reading “The Mullahs are Desperate”

Iran is Bluffing

Iran is desperate over Israel’s response to Hamas’ October 7, 2023; pogrom, the strategy of ”unification of fronts” is falling apart in front of their eyes. Iran’s threats and the present limited conflict on the Israel-Lebanon border is specifically intended to pressure the Biden administration into coercing Israel into a ceasefire as in May 2021.Continue reading “Iran is Bluffing”

How to Explain to the Media that Israel Doesn’t Target Civilians in Gaza

The al-Jazeera blood libel according to which the Jewish state is targeting civilians in Gaza is spreading in the international media. How should this be countered? Simply by explaining to journalists that the number of air strikes in Gaza is higher than the death toll in Gaza, i.e. on average less than 1,0 deaths perContinue reading “How to Explain to the Media that Israel Doesn’t Target Civilians in Gaza”

Assessing Gaza

In May 2021 there was an eleven-day long conflict between Israel and Gaza. The conflict was put an end to very early by US president Joe Biden who pressured Israel into a premature ceasefire. At the time I did not believe that 11 days of pounding terrorist infrastructure was enough to create sufficient deterrence soContinue reading “Assessing Gaza”

Biden Administration Should Stop Wasting Time

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman al-Saud in a recent interview with Fox News clarified that he expects Israel to ease the lives of the Palestinians. This is a most reasonable demand and should I add a very realistic one. Palestinians in Judea and Samaria suffer greatly under the gruesome bureaucratic apparatus of Israel’s Civil Administration.Continue reading “Biden Administration Should Stop Wasting Time”

Understanding the ”Ongoing Nakba”

Palestinians ahistorically refer to Israel’s 1947-49 War of Independence as ”the Nakba”. The historical fact is that tens of millions of people were permanently displaced around the world in the 1945-50 period (especially in South Asia and Eastern Europe) of whom less than a million were displaced Palestinian Arabs and less than a million JewsContinue reading “Understanding the ”Ongoing Nakba””

The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently told Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer that Israel is misreading the situation if it thinks that it can get the US-Saudi-Israeli deal without significant Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority. However, this is not what the Saudis are telling the Israelis.  For the USA and theContinue reading “The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does”

It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG

Iran’s continued efforts to economically strangle the KRG (Kurdistan Regional Government) by deferring the resumption of oil exports through Turkey constitute a challenge against US interests in the region as Tehran seeks to subordinate the pro-American KRI (Kurdistan Region of Iraq) to Iran’s neo-imperialist agenda. It is essential that Washington exerts strong and sustained pressureContinue reading “It is a US National Security Interest to Strengthen the KRG”

The New Defeatist Narrative

There is in international discourse dissemination of a new narrative according to which Israeli counter-terrorism operations do not prevent terrorism but are actually the cause of terrorism in something falsely described as ”the cycle of violence”. This of course is utter nonsense, the more terrorists Israel jails or kills the less terrorist attacks. Many hundredsContinue reading “The New Defeatist Narrative”

A Major Operation is Required in Northern Samaria

The situation in northern Samaria is not about to improve, the opposite is true, Iran is determined to further destabilize the area. Contrary to what is claimed by some naive Westerners is Palestinian terrorism not triggered by construction in indigenous Israeli communities in Judea and Samaria. Rather, what annoys Palestinian terrorists the most is theContinue reading “A Major Operation is Required in Northern Samaria”

Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement

The Iranian leadership is determined to implement ”Death of America” at some point. They cannot be strategically deterred, only tactically so. This presents a dilemma for the United States government. What is the best means for deferring the destruction of America, appeasement or deterrence? The US government is yet to recognize that Elon Musk andContinue reading “Deterrence is Incompatible with Appeasement”

Looking Weak and Confused

The US government has once more ventured onto the hopeless, dangerous and  counterproductive route of indirect negotiations with Iran. Time is something that the Iranian regime cannot afford to waste and has therefore no interest whatsoever in concluding even a tactical agreement with ’the Great Satan’. This is so because the continual progression in theContinue reading “Looking Weak and Confused”

US Deterrence Depends on Credibility

One problem with US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran is the ambiguity surrounding the question as to who will take out Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program. If Israel isn’t convinced that America will take part, then who can blame Iran for not believing America? Why is not Israel convinced that America will act militarily to neutralize the IranianContinue reading “US Deterrence Depends on Credibility”

A US Mideast Defense Strategy

Iran remains focused on capturing the MENA region and the current detente whereby Iran seeks to rival Israel’s intended regional integration and furthermore engage in regional intelligence infiltration is a mere phase in Tehran’s great plan for conquering the Arab world. While preparing for the Northern War against Israel, is Iran trying to compete withContinue reading “A US Mideast Defense Strategy”

Strategic Dialogue is Required

There are certain issues regarding Iran where the US and Israel do not show each other their respective cards. That may likely include the point when they consider it necessary to strike the Iranian nuclear program. They should show each other their cards. Washington and Jerusalem is like a couple who are lying to eachContinue reading “Strategic Dialogue is Required”

A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest

The US is able to deter Iran, i.e. temporarily so, but it has to be sustained over time in order to ensure homeland security from the threat of Iranian biological terrorism against major American cities. The US is right to pursue military integration with Israel as this bolsters US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. However, this requiresContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest”

Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War

There is a strong case for the US Air Force participating on Israel’s side in the Northern War without putting a single boot on the ground. For Israel is the Northern War an existential matter as it is a war of no choice, it will indeed be fought as it is only a matter ofContinue reading “Why the USAF Should Participate in the Northern War”

MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security

MENA regional integration is an important US national interest that will ensure stability in this part of the world and prevent the US from being drawn into a land war with Iran so as to prevent Iran from conquering the Arab world. MENA regional integration is both economic and defense-related. Economic integration is vital toContinue reading “MENA Regional Integration Will Ensure Peace, Stability, Deterrence and US Homeland Security”

Being First to Provide Information is Essential

I have suggested this before and I wasn’t listened to and so I hope that I will be read in the Israeli Ministry of Defense this time around. The fundamental problem with IDF informational efforts in wartime is that the IDF is too slow to provide timely and accurate info to the media. It isContinue reading “Being First to Provide Information is Essential”

Learn From the Past

When Israel under US pressure rerouted the Jerusalem Day Flag Parade it led to war with Hamas in Gaza; whenever the regular route was followed there was no war. Rerouting the Flag Parade is extremely dangerous because it is perceived as a victory for terrorism and as such it encourages terrorism and therefore may leadContinue reading “Learn From the Past”

Deterring Iran is Imperative

The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”

Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack

The Israeli de-escalation effort in response to the 34 Hamas rockets from Lebanon was apparently coordinated with the United States and while it could be argued that it was tactically successful, it is sending the message that Israel and the United States are weak and can be attacked and destroyed. This is not only underminingContinue reading “Perceived Weakness Invites Iranian Axis to Attack”

Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States

There is no way around seeing the United States the way the Islamic Republic of Iran sees the United States of America, namely as the global Jewish conspiracy incarnate to destroy Islam. This comes with a mixture of modern conspiratorial Anti-Semitism and classical Muslim Anti-Semitism replete with certain stereotypes which are less frequently attributed toContinue reading “Treacherous, Cowardly and Transgressive: The Role of Muslim Anti-Semitism in Iranian Strategic Perception vis-a-vis the United States”

When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?

“The Death of America will happen.” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Khamenei Iran assumes that no one will dare neutralize the Iranian nuclear weapons program, but they have a backup response plan for that event which involves destroying Israel. This future conflict is known in Israel as theContinue reading “When is Iran Planning to Attack the American Homeland?”

The PA Should Act and Stop Complaining

The PA as usual complains loudly about Israeli counter-terrorist operations in Jenin and Nablus. However, the reality is that if the PA dealt with the terrorists then Israel would not have to eliminate them. Israel tries to arrest the terrorists and when they try to kill the Israelis, they are the ones who end upContinue reading “The PA Should Act and Stop Complaining”

Genocide in America

Make no mistake, the United States of America, a.k.a. “The Great Satan” is the main and primary adversary of the Islamic Republic of Iran. “Death to America” is no mere slogan, the Supreme Leader says it will happen. Why is this so? For the same reason why 9/11 happened. Because Islamist ideologues generally are stronglyContinue reading “Genocide in America”

Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria

Israel’s counter-terrorism operations in Samaria have been described by UN officials as a perceived need for stopping an ostensible “cycle of violence”. US officials on their side make the case for what is described as “de-escalation”. The problem rather is the existence of Palestinian terrorism which must be preempted by Israel. If there are noContinue reading “Counter-Terrorism is the Correct Paradigm in Samaria”

Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has had enough, he does not trust the United States in general and President Biden in particular and for good reasons. Three US presidents (Obama, Trump and Biden) have pursued American disengagement from the Middle East. Trump refrained from defending Saudi Arabia when it was attacked by Iran and MBSContinue reading “Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia”

Time for Coup de Grâce

There are women-led protests in cities throughout Iran with the people demanding the downfall of the mullahcracy. The regime is rotten to the core with little domestic support and now would be an opportune time to press for regime change. Unfortunately, that is not the policy of the Biden administration despite this being supremely inContinue reading “Time for Coup de Grâce”

The State Department Does not Get It

The State Department has recently made pronouncements on the violence in Samaria, calling on “both sides” to refrain from “provocations” and “return to the peace process”. This is peculiar since the Palestinian Authority is certainly not behind the violence and the parties which are, namely the designated Jihadist terrorist organizations of Hamas and Palestinian IslamicContinue reading “The State Department Does not Get It”

Iran Plans Major Conventional War

What is the purpose of Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? There is more than one purpose: 1) Iran gains immunity from any future US invasion under any circumstances no matter how maliciously and atrociously Iran acts. 2) Iran can perpetrate acts of biological and chemical terrorism with complete impunity. 3) Iran would have the option ofContinue reading “Iran Plans Major Conventional War”

Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?

The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”

The Saudis are No Suckers

The US-Saudi relationship was always based on oil in return for security. There were those Americans who lately mistakenly presumed that the United States no longer needed Saudi Arabia. This is wrong. The US will need the KSA as a staging ground for any military action against Iran after Tehran lashes out against the outsideContinue reading “The Saudis are No Suckers”

The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East

Why are Finland and Sweden suddenly applying for membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? They understand the simple truth that the Russian invasion of Ukraine would never have occurred had Ukraine already been a member of NATO. NATO is not primarily an organization for waging war but above all an organization for preventing warContinue reading “The US Must Learn From Ukraine War How to Prevent War in the Middle East”

Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset

Twelver Shia theology prohibits offensive war but Khomeinists believe it allows terrorism which it peculiarly construes as defensive, so-called “resistance”. Khomeinist Iran has so far engaged in regional expansionism through proxies, i.e. Shiite militias. Iran also maintains a close relationship with the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood everywhere but in Syria, which is also expressed in Iran’sContinue reading “Inside Iran’s Expansionist Mindset”

Pretexts for Terrorism

Anti-Zionism is not merely as its etymology indicates opposed to the Zionist movement, it seeks the destruction of the restored indigenous Jewish nation state and its usually unstated agenda is the annihilation of 7 million Israeli Jews. In addition to all that Anti-Zionists maintain all kinds of pretexts such as claiming that today’s Flag paradeContinue reading “Pretexts for Terrorism”

Westerners do not Understand Islamdom

Islamdom is chronically misunderstood by outsiders, particularly Westerners and even by Muslims themselves. However, Westerners have particular cultural baggage in its long and well-documented history of misunderstanding Islamdom. Today, this prejudice mostly amounts to assuming that people in Islamdom think identically to people in the West. The issue of the annual Jerusalem Flag parade isContinue reading “Westerners do not Understand Islamdom”

The United States Needs Saudi Arabia

The early assessment by the Biden administration that a return to the JCPOA could be taken for granted and that the US did not really need Saudi Arabia as an ally has been disproven by subsequent events. Iran is more aggressive than ever and Ali Khamenei is apparently grooming the arch-extremist president Ebrahim Raisi asContinue reading “The United States Needs Saudi Arabia”

The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse

Tehran is currently moderately convinced that America and Israel will not dare to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is one of the reasons for its rejectionism in Vienna. Nevertheless, on Quds Day, Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah threatened that Iran might attack Israel directly if Israeli sabotage operations against the Iranian nuclear weapons programContinue reading “The Danger of Preemptive Apocalypse”

The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality

An Israeli government source cited in an Israeli newspaper recently noted that the American government acts according to its own worldview and political philosophy, yet implied that the impending Russian invasion of Ukraine was a result of America’s yearlong fruitless appeasement of the totalitarian regime in Tehran. The Biden administration is apparently not aware ofContinue reading “The Biden Administration is Detached From Reality”