Why has the Gaza war gone on as long as it has? Israel was under pressure from the Biden administration which long prevented an Israeli victory. Israel must liberate the entire Gaza region from Hamas thugs and thus stabilize the area. Will this end the conflict? Not quite. However concentrating Gazans to the Rafah areaContinue reading “No to Forever Wars in Gaza”
Tag Archives: Joe Biden
Remove MENA Category
The intention behind the 2024 Biden administration decision to officially categorize Americans from the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) as a distinct statistical category separate from ”whites” was antisemitic in intention. The decision was the result of extensive pressure on the Biden administration by the Islamist lobby such as the Muslim Brotherhood outfitContinue reading “Remove MENA Category”
President Trump is Very Smart but the Mullahs are Smarter
President Trump has made a life career in business from being the smartest person in the room, however this does not work when confronted with people who are even smarter. This is what happened to the Iranian file. The American negotiators are showing weakness by not understanding that the Iranian regime will outsmart any internationalContinue reading “President Trump is Very Smart but the Mullahs are Smarter”
A Strong Israel Makes America Great
America’s policy towards Israel for most of the past half century has been based on reining in Israel’s political power while enhancing only Israel’s military power in terms of purchase of American military hardware. President Trump made great strides towards changing this policy during his first administration and his second term offers the opportunity toContinue reading “A Strong Israel Makes America Great”
The Threat of Ethnic Cleansing of Kobane
Erdogan and his Syrian merceneries in the SNA are planning to perform mass ethnic cleansing in Syrian Kobane against Kurdish people just as they did in Syrian Afrin in the recent past. President Biden needs to take every possible action to prevent this atrocity from happening and the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet would be particularly well-advisedContinue reading “The Threat of Ethnic Cleansing of Kobane”
Israel’s War on Terror
Israel is engaged in its own War on Terror which it needs to win despite innumerable diplomatic attempts by the Biden administration to impede Israeli victory. Hamas, PIJ and Hezbollah must be annihilated and Israel is able to do the job. In fact, this is a United States national interest so it is completely bizarreContinue reading “Israel’s War on Terror”
Understanding Hamas
Why is Hamas acting the way it does in the war in Gaza and why does it behave it does in the indirect negotiations with Israel? Hamas has prepared for this war for two decades and has a fixed long-term strategy with long beforehand decided-on military tactics. Hamas is well-prepared and has for many yearsContinue reading “Understanding Hamas”
No Southern Adventure
War between the Iranian Axis and Israel is inevitable at some point and the development of the Iranian nuclear weapons programs is a determinative factor. Regional war prior to the neutralization of Iran’s nuke program is highly unlikely due to neither side wishing it. Israel still has work to do in Gaza considering that notContinue reading “No Southern Adventure”
Who Wants What and When?
There is some confusion in Washington these days as to the belligerent intentions of the Iranian Axis. Does Tehran believe that it is effectively deterring Jerusalem and Washington from neutralizing Iran’s nuclear weapons program? The answer is yes in the affirmative. Still Iran does not discount the possibility of a preemptive attack against its nuclearContinue reading “Who Wants What and When?”
Calling the US Bluff
What is the US policy on war and peace in the Middle East? Contrary to the common perception of US policy, the US seeks to weaken Israel so as to maintain Israel in a client position as weak and dependent. The US does not want Israel to emerge as a great power in the regionContinue reading “Calling the US Bluff”
A Shorter Intensive War or a Longer Less Intensive One?
Recently has the view come out from Washington according to which the Biden administration prefers a less intensive war in Gaza and is pressuring Israel in that direction. But does the White House realize that a less intensive war means a longer war and is that really in the interest of either the United StatesContinue reading “A Shorter Intensive War or a Longer Less Intensive One?”
A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews
The US government has always wanted to ”resolve” the conflict between Israel and those who seek her destruction. Nowadays is the US focus more on the official panacea than actually ending the conflict. The problem is the following, peace is not and was never was possible with those who seek Israel’s destruction. Peace is inContinue reading “A War to Liberate 8 Million Median Jews”
There Will Never be a Palestinian State
There was once a certain determinism in the international community. The widespread diplomatic recognition of the non-existent ”Palestinian state” over the past decades was to a significant degree driven by the determinist view that the establishment of a Palestinian state was somehow ”inevitable”. This is no longer so as few in the international community nowadaysContinue reading “There Will Never be a Palestinian State”
The Biden Administration Does not Understand the MENA Region
The Biden administration is displeased that Prime Minister Netanyahu opposes a reinstatement of the PA in Gaza. First, the US government does not understand that no Arab government is sincerely interested in committing to administering the Gaza Strip prior to the complete pacification of that territory. Second, the PA won’t really be interested in takingContinue reading “The Biden Administration Does not Understand the MENA Region”
The Mullahs are Desperate
The strategic plans of the ruling mullahs in Tehran are falling apart due to Hamas’ severe miscalculation. Hamas is a semi-proxy of Iran and although it consults with and receives substantial aid from Tehran, it is not a full proxy like PIJ or Hezbollah. This was on full display during the October 7, 2023 pogrom.Continue reading “The Mullahs are Desperate”
Iran is Bluffing
Iran is desperate over Israel’s response to Hamas’ October 7, 2023; pogrom, the strategy of ”unification of fronts” is falling apart in front of their eyes. Iran’s threats and the present limited conflict on the Israel-Lebanon border is specifically intended to pressure the Biden administration into coercing Israel into a ceasefire as in May 2021.Continue reading “Iran is Bluffing”
Hamas is Going it Alone
It is becoming increasingly apparent that Hamas in launching its genocidal invasion of southern Israel on October 7, 2023, did not act upon instructions from Tehran. After the May 2021 conflict when the US forced Israel to accept a premature ceasefire after only eleven days of hostilities did Hamas calculate that President Biden would actContinue reading “Hamas is Going it Alone”
Assessing Gaza
In May 2021 there was an eleven-day long conflict between Israel and Gaza. The conflict was put an end to very early by US president Joe Biden who pressured Israel into a premature ceasefire. At the time I did not believe that 11 days of pounding terrorist infrastructure was enough to create sufficient deterrence soContinue reading “Assessing Gaza”
Biden Administration Should Stop Wasting Time
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman al-Saud in a recent interview with Fox News clarified that he expects Israel to ease the lives of the Palestinians. This is a most reasonable demand and should I add a very realistic one. Palestinians in Judea and Samaria suffer greatly under the gruesome bureaucratic apparatus of Israel’s Civil Administration.Continue reading “Biden Administration Should Stop Wasting Time”
Biden Administration Needs to Rethink its Public Strategy on Saudi Deal
The Biden administration has made three mistakes relating to the ongoing negotiations with Saudi diplomats. The first mistake was to presume that Saudi diplomats’ demands for major Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority accurately reflect the personal attitude of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The second mistake was to raise expectations among progressives in CongressContinue reading “Biden Administration Needs to Rethink its Public Strategy on Saudi Deal”
The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently told Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer that Israel is misreading the situation if it thinks that it can get the US-Saudi-Israeli deal without significant Israeli concessions to the Palestinian Authority. However, this is not what the Saudis are telling the Israelis. For the USA and theContinue reading “The KSA and the USA Need a Grand Deal Far More Than Israel Does”
The Saudis are no Fools
The Biden administration is enthusiastically, albeit extremely naively so, hoping to somehow magically transform the rightwing Likud into the leftwing Meretz by dangling the prospect of normalization with the KSA. The sophisticated MBS-led Saudi government however isn’t exactly stupid, they know that the rightwing Israeli government can only deliver something symbolic. MBS knows perfectly wellContinue reading “The Saudis are no Fools”
US Deterrence Depends on Credibility
One problem with US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran is the ambiguity surrounding the question as to who will take out Iran’s nuclear weapon’s program. If Israel isn’t convinced that America will take part, then who can blame Iran for not believing America? Why is not Israel convinced that America will act militarily to neutralize the IranianContinue reading “US Deterrence Depends on Credibility”
A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest
The US is able to deter Iran, i.e. temporarily so, but it has to be sustained over time in order to ensure homeland security from the threat of Iranian biological terrorism against major American cities. The US is right to pursue military integration with Israel as this bolsters US deterrence vis-a-vis Iran. However, this requiresContinue reading “A Joint Iran Operation is a Shared US-Israeli Interest”
Deterring Iran is Imperative
The foreign policy of the Biden administration is improving over time as it is becoming increasingly hawkish. For a long time was America under President Joe Biden perceived by its foreign adversaries as ”weak”, yet no longer so. Openly sending a nuclear-armed submarine to the Persian Gulf was the right thing to do and immediatelyContinue reading “Deterring Iran is Imperative”
Israeli Democracy is Currently Dysfunctional
Running a government coalition in a liberal democracy with a parliamentary basis half of which is anti-democratic is no easy feat. The question that should be asked is how liberal democracy can function under such circumstances? The answer of course is that it does not. The Israeli government is trying to rush through a numberContinue reading “Israeli Democracy is Currently Dysfunctional”
Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America”
The Biden administration needs to formulate a strategy of strength vis-a-vis Iran. Why is that so? Because of Iran’s intention to implement ”Death of America”, namely Iran’s plan to attack major American cities with biological weapons during the Russo-Iranian WWIII against Europe and the MENA region. What can the US do? Perception of strength isContinue reading “Perceived US Weakness Invites “Death of America””
What is President Biden Afraid Of?
Ukraine has been sufficiently armed to defend itself but not liberate its occupied territories. That’s the painful reality that Ukrainians are facing. Yet, President Biden and many of his European allies are still apparently entertaining some Russian propaganda delusions that sufficiently arming Ukraine would have ”dangerous consequences”. The question is who is deterring whom? CurrentlyContinue reading “What is President Biden Afraid Of?”
The Moment of Truth
President Biden has many times publicly vowed to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear arms. Attacking Iran may be a difficult decision to make for the American president, but it is far more dangerous for America not to participate in an attack than to participate. Why is this so? Because showing weakness is profoundly dangerous inContinue reading “The Moment of Truth”
America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy
As the Biden administration has finally concluded that the JCPOA is off the table, the US needs a coherent and focused strategy in the Middle East to protect US national security. Iran with its WMD terrorist networks poses the greatest threat to American national security and so it is essential to contain and deter IranContinue reading “America Needs Strategic Focus in Mideast Policy”
A UNSC Resolution Won’t be Helpful
The Israeli public elected a rightwing government to increase construction in Judea and Samaria and recognize unauthorized indigenous Israeli communities in Judea and Samaria. This is the democratic will of the people in order to secure the future of the people of Israel. If that does not happen Israel would effectively be reduced to PuertoContinue reading “A UNSC Resolution Won’t be Helpful”
Iran is Determined to Destroy America
According to Iran’s regime ideology is America, Tehran’s main enemy. The reason this is so as for all Islamist ideologists is that the American superpower is considered identical with the purported global Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam. The Obama and Biden administrations have pursued a strategy of appeasing Iran and hoping to eventually align withContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Destroy America”
The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace
The Biden administration often repeats its commitment to resolving the Palestinian issue through an infamously failed formula which was always dead on arrival due to being founded on outright false premises constituting on the American side simply wishful thinking and refusal to learn from recent Israeli history. What is peculiar is that the Biden administrationContinue reading “The New Israeli Government Represents an Opportunity for Peace”
An Opportunity to Renew Confidence with Gulf Allies
After OPEC decided to decrease oil production quotas, the Biden administration determined to conduct a formal reassessment of the US relationship with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. America in effect has no choice but to defend Gulf oil fields against Iran irrespective of what MBS does domestically and internationally and MBS knows it because theContinue reading “An Opportunity to Renew Confidence with Gulf Allies”
US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests
President Barack Obama’s Middle Eastern strategy of handing over the Muslim world to the Islamists as a means to defuse US-Muslim tensions and ostensibly facilitate so-called “Islamic democracy” which of course the peoples of Iran do enjoy so much (!) has fortunately not been maintained by the Biden administration despite largely being staffed by TeamContinue reading “US Persian Gulf Strategy Harms American Interests”
US Threats Against Riyadh Incentivize Tehran to Attack the KSA
Why is Tehran threatening Riyadh while planning to attack, possibly even invade Saudi Arabia? Well, the main reason is that the mullahs believe that the Americans would not defend the KSA. The situation has been exacerbated by recent American threats against Saudi Arabia which in turn are rooted in a dysfunctional US policy towards IranContinue reading “US Threats Against Riyadh Incentivize Tehran to Attack the KSA”
On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism
There is a profound strategic problem with respect to how Washington and Jerusalem deal with Tehran. Iran is no less motivated by Mahdism in its neo-imperialist strategy than the Soviet Union was motivated by Marxism-Leninism in its own imperialist strategy. Yet Washington and Jerusalem in their respective public rhetoric do not give any hint ofContinue reading “On the Need for a Counter-Strategy to Iranian Mahdism”
Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?
Intelligence agencies may legally engage in political action in foreign countries as long as they do not break the law. The Israel lobby in the United States is meticulous in not technically acting as foreign agents and thus does not break the law despite acting as the long arm of Tevel, the Political Action andContinue reading “Who is Behind the Anti-Saudi Lobby?”
Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has had enough, he does not trust the United States in general and President Biden in particular and for good reasons. Three US presidents (Obama, Trump and Biden) have pursued American disengagement from the Middle East. Trump refrained from defending Saudi Arabia when it was attacked by Iran and MBSContinue reading “Biden has to Choose Between Iran and Saudi Arabia”
The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy
Islamdom is America’s weak spot. George W. Bush tried to democratize Islamdom only to find out that the majority of the electorate in many Muslim nations votes Islamist, meaning that there are no prospects for democratization in many Muslim nations because the majority of the people wants totalitarianism. Yet, Bush’s democratization campaign resulted in theContinue reading “The US is to Blame for Failed Mideast Policy”
Enough Scapegoating MBS for US Policy Failure
It is rather well-known that there is no love lost between President Joe Biden and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. So let’s just try to analyze what led to the latest fallout in this utterly undiplomatic saga. MBS is leading the feminist revolution in Saudi Arabia and now there is another one playing out inContinue reading “Enough Scapegoating MBS for US Policy Failure”
Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy
President Biden is continuing his policy of indefinite nuclear talks with Tehran, refusing to activate Plan B until the very last moment, refusing to impose a no-fly zone in support of the emerging Iranian rebellion while failing or refusing to conclude a defense pact with Saudi Arabia. While visiting Jeddah did Biden claim that itContinue reading “Biden Needs to Reassess US Mideast Policy”
Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised
Washington is unpleasantly surprised over OPEC’s production cut and accuses the organization of aligning with Russia. However, President Biden has no reason to be surprised considering his own reckless policy of selling out GCC interests in the Iran nuclear talks. America is not behaving with self-respect let alone with respect for the interests of itsContinue reading “Washington Shouldn’t be Surprised”
Time for Coup de Grâce
There are women-led protests in cities throughout Iran with the people demanding the downfall of the mullahcracy. The regime is rotten to the core with little domestic support and now would be an opportune time to press for regime change. Unfortunately, that is not the policy of the Biden administration despite this being supremely inContinue reading “Time for Coup de Grâce”
The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail
Much hope has been pinned on the indirect Israeli-Lebanese negotiations about the demarcation of the maritime border line between the two nations as mediated by US diplomat Amos Hochstein. However, what is often conveniently forgotten is that the Lebanese state is now effectively Hezbollahstan, an Iranian protectorate which takes indirect orders from Tehran through theContinue reading “The Karish Maritime Negotiations Will Fail”
The US Needs a Regime Change Policy on Iran
The US government lives in an illusion fed by the Iranian regime, namely that Iran somehow has an interest in a nuclear agreement with the P5+1. Contrary to US assessments and due to increasing progress in the development of electric vehicles, something which radically shrinks the window of opportunity for oil-based Mahdist neo-imperialism, Iran hasContinue reading “The US Needs a Regime Change Policy on Iran”
Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?
The view from Jerusalem regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions is rather befuddled. One day we hear that there is little risk that there will be a return to the JCPOA and the next day we hear that such return is imminent and these “assessments” are unwittingly cyclically repeated and so the master manipulators in Tehran mustContinue reading “Does Israel Want War with the Iranian Axis?”
Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes
Israel and Iran are both looking forward to establishing a new regional order and neither side fears regional war. Nevertheless, the respective visions of the new regional order look completely different. Both sides envision establishing regional hegemony and removing each other from power. What is the reason for these radically different strategic conceptions? At theContinue reading “Jerusalem and Tehran are Different Conceptual Universes”
Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel
America’s adversaries, including Iran, fear Republican administrations but certainly not Democratic administrations. Why is this so? Democratic administrations are more concerned about human rights while Republican administrations are more concerned about realpolitik. The real question is therefore whether the Iranian nuclear weapons program will be destroyed under the current Democratic administration or under the nextContinue reading “Iran Poses a Greater Threat to the US than to Israel”
It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh
Saudi Arabia is the largest destination for US weapons exports with some 25% of all US defense exports going to the KSA. The Biden administration has however limited weapons exports to Riyadh, leaving the Saudis little choice but to purchase Chinese or Russian arms. This is an illogical policy which harms American jobs but furthermoreContinue reading “It’s in Washington’s Interest to Arm Riyadh”