An axiom effectively regulates Iranian regime attitudes towards the US. Iran fears Republican administrations but not Democratic administrations. This is true today as well. On the contrary, Iran deters the US which dares not attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program due to a well-founded fear that it will suffer Iranian retribution on the US mainlandContinue reading “Iran does not Fear the US and Israel”
Category Archives: Iran
Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel
Hezbollah is becoming an existential threat against Israel. The Jihadist terrorist organization already possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, all intended to hit Israeli cities, cause maximum carnage and lead to as much physical devestation as possible. Hezbollah also possesses chemical weapons which it no doubt intends to use to perpetrate many Halabjas throughout urbanContinue reading “Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel”
Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously
Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”
Ensuring the Survival of the AANES
The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) is a faithful American ally, quite unlike Turkey under Erdogan. It is a US national interest to strengthen the AANES and ensure its survival as a liberalizing bastion of women’s rights in the Middle East. However, the AANES is landlocked and none of its neighbors areContinue reading “Ensuring the Survival of the AANES”
Median Jewish Aliyah
Median Jews in the Middle East lead a precarious existence as oppressed and in Iran persecuted minorities. The opportunity to immigrate to Israel will be welcomed by nearly all Median Jews in the Middle East. Remaining in their current countries of residence is certainly not an attractive prospect. It is impossible to say in advanceContinue reading “Median Jewish Aliyah”
Why a Palestinian State Would not Lead to Peace
A Palestinian state cannot be established through an end-of-claims final status agreement between Israel and the PLO for the simple reason that there is a consensus in Palestinian society never to resolve the issue of descendants of ex-refugees other than by inundating Israel with millions of Anti-Zionists that would make sure that Israel is replacedContinue reading “Why a Palestinian State Would not Lead to Peace”
There is No Logic in Iran Returning to the JCPOA
Tehran claims that it will return to “negotiations” with the US and with the rest of the P5+1 on November 29, 2021. No one knows whether there will actually be any negotiations in Vienna and if there are then these talks will surely be devoid of any substance since Tehran’s tactic is to delay andContinue reading “There is No Logic in Iran Returning to the JCPOA”
Assad is a Traitor
Bashar al-Assad and his coterie of Alawite turncoats are now all well aware that Alawism is a form of Crypto-Judaism and that they themselves are in fact Jewish by religion, ethnicity and nationality. Yet they insist on being aligned with the Khomeinist forces of totalitarian religious imperialism against their own indigenous nation and people. SinceContinue reading “Assad is a Traitor”
The Indigenous Restorative Communities of Judea and Samaria were not a Mistake
It is often claimed the strategically located indigenous restorative communities of Judea and Samaria contravene international law, yet Judea and Samaria is terra nullius and even those who recognize the non-existent “Palestinian state” cannot deny that the area was terra nullius at least prior to 1988, the period when most of those communities were established.Continue reading “The Indigenous Restorative Communities of Judea and Samaria were not a Mistake”
A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest
Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the attack will likely take place in 2023. The attack would have to be repeated after less than two years and then after less than two years again. These regular attacks would go on indefinitely with intervals of less than two years so as to preventContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest”
Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence
There is more than one danger with the scenario of Iran developing nuclear weapons. One of course is geostrategic, Iran seeks hegemony and nuclear weapons is one of several tools in its quest for regional hegemony and global superpower status. This is dangerous enough to the region and to the world, a strategic threat noContinue reading “Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence”
Aliyah Now or Later?
Alevis in Turkey are fed up with Mr. Erdogan’s Crypto-Islamist dictatorship and want to leave the country, yet currently have nowhere to go. The vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey are Alevis. Will quiet Western economic diplomatic pressure succeed in convincing Mr. Erdogan not to place obstacles in the way of Alevi Aliyah (immigration)Continue reading “Aliyah Now or Later?”
Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons
Tehran is well aware that a successful Israeli attack against the Iranian nuclear weapons program would have to be repeated in less than two years time unless a no-fly zone is imposed over Iran that would allow intermittent US airstrikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, something which would prevent the program from ever recovering.Continue reading “Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons”
A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is Absolutely Necessary
An Israeli series of strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program will only set back the Iranian nuclear weapons program one to two years since no one can take away the acquired know-how from the Iranian nuclear scientists. Therefore would it be necessary for Israel to repeat the operation every two years or so. However,Continue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is Absolutely Necessary”
Iran’s Nuclear Calculus
Iran faces a dilemma; if it continues to accelerate its nuclear weapons program, it will be destroyed by Israel from the air in late 2022 or early 2023. If Tehran reenters the JCPOA then it will have to give up the immense advances it has made in the past year of uranium enrichment. That ofContinue reading “Iran’s Nuclear Calculus”
Jewish Demography will Resolve the Palestinian Issue
Many governments around the world are understandably sincerely eager to resolve the protracted Palestinian issue, yet creating a Palestinian state is not within the realm of the possible due to the contradictory demand of the Palestinian side that Israel be demographically flooded with millions of Anti-Zionists, something which if actually realized would turn any two-stateContinue reading “Jewish Demography will Resolve the Palestinian Issue”
Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry
The Israel government keeps absolutely silent on the question of core Median Jewry and core Median Judaism and some may wonder why? Most Median Jews in the Middle East would not be negatively affected by an official Israeli recognition of core Median Jewry as Jewish. However, the situation of those Median Jews who live asContinue reading “Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry”
Iran is Playing for Time
The Iranian regime claims that it will return to the Vienna indirect “negotiations” on November 29, 2021. It is entirely unclear whether it will do so. What is clear however is that it has likely prepared an elaborate diplomatic arsenal to be able to play for time so as to avoid UN sanctions and willContinue reading “Iran is Playing for Time”
An Independent Aram Will be a Robust Ally of the West
Only Israel can liberate Aram, the majority Aramean Mount Lebanon region of northern Lebanon. Aram will be officially bilingual in Aramaic and Arabic while education should be in Aramaic only with Arabic taught as a second language. The State of Aram will of course be a natural ally of Israel but will also be anContinue reading “An Independent Aram Will be a Robust Ally of the West”
Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so
Tehran openly states that Israel faces disaster and most Israelis do not seem to believe the Iranians. As of writing, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is publicly training for a scenario where Hezbollah will unleash 2 000 projectiles a day for several weeks and where Hezbollah will commit chemical weapons attacks along the Israeli-Lebanese border.Continue reading “Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so”
The X-Factor of Alevi Immigration to Israel
While Median Jewish emigration to Israel from Iran and Iraq will no doubt be rapid indeed once the gates are opened and nearly all 3-4 million Iraqi and Iranian Median Jews are highly likely to immigrate to Israel within the course of a year, Median Jewish immigration to Israel from Turkey is likely to beContinue reading “The X-Factor of Alevi Immigration to Israel”
Only Israel can Liberate Aram
The indigenous Aramean people of the Middle East has often suffered terrible persecution and oppression by Muslim rulers and their proxies. There is one region in the Middle East where the Arameans still make up the majority and that is the Mount Lebanon region of Lebanon. The Aramean people once lived throughout the Fertile CrescentContinue reading “Only Israel can Liberate Aram”
From Conceptzia to Victory
The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel. For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”
Why Tehran Hates America
All forms of Islamism (a modern totalitarian political ideology) are intensely Anti-Semitic and believe in Anti-Jewish conspiracy theories about Jewish world domination. The Iranian regime is no exception. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is notorious for having disseminated the so-called “Protocols of the Elders of Zion”. Islamists believe that the Jews rule the world through AmericaContinue reading “Why Tehran Hates America”
Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
Naivety About Totalitarianism is Inexcusable
For every wave of totalitarianism there has also been the “useful idiots”, prominent intellectuals who were ready to stand up as apologists for totalitarian regimes and totalitarian movements. Communism probably had more useful idiots than any other form of totalitarianism, yet Nazism also had its share of useful idiots who would e.g. claim that HitlerContinue reading “Naivety About Totalitarianism is Inexcusable”
Qom Risks Annihilation
Khamenei plans to use chemical weapons against Israel in the massive rocket and missile war that Hezbollah will wage on Israel following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023. Israel has no choice but to annihilate the clerical city of Qom in Iran as a matter of deterrenceContinue reading “Qom Risks Annihilation”
The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea
The Israeli-allied AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) finds itself in a constant conflict situation with Erdogan who no doubt would want to occupy the entire AANES-held territory, yet he cannot because the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) are held back by the Israeli-allied Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus. This mustContinue reading “The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea”
Doubling Israel’s Jewish Population
What increase in Israel’s Jewish population is required for Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria? From the Israeli government’s perspective what is probably required is the preservation of the demographic balance between the Jewish majority and the Arab minority. This requires doubling the country’s Jewish population. This could have been achievedContinue reading “Doubling Israel’s Jewish Population”
The New Equation for Middle East Peace
Israel should formally agree to the resolution of most aspects of the Palestinian question in return for the West’s diplomatic assistance with Israel’s full reunification with Median Jewry as Israel cannot open the gates to Median Jewish emigration to Israel on its own. This requires sustained Western diplomatic economic pressure on Turkey to not placeContinue reading “The New Equation for Middle East Peace”
The International Community was Wrong About Judea and Samaria
Sometimes it takes an effort to admit that you were in the wrong. Sometimes it is very difficult, especially if it is an entrenched political position, so let’s examine the issue of Judea and Samaria. If you want a Palestinian state then a solution along the lines of the Kushner peace plan is the onlyContinue reading “The International Community was Wrong About Judea and Samaria”
Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?
Would it be responsible for the Israeli government to launch a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon in response to Hezbollah’s expected massive rocket/missile barrages against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023? To answer that question we must goContinue reading “Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?”
Tehran has no Intention of Signing an Agreement with Washington
The regime in Tehran has announced that it will resume the indirect Vienna “negotiations” in a month’s time at the end of November 2021 at a date yet to be specified. Why wait an entire month you may ask? The truth is that Iran has no intention whatsoever of signing an agreement with the UnitedContinue reading “Tehran has no Intention of Signing an Agreement with Washington”
A Palestinian State is Impossible and Dangerous
The so-called “two-state solution” was always stillborn with no chance of taking off because the Palestinian side always demanded that millions of Anti-Zionists be allowed to immigrate to Israel in dooming the Jewish state and hence also the two-state solution. There are no peaceful intentions on the Palestinians side. The Palestinian Authority is currently pacifiedContinue reading “A Palestinian State is Impossible and Dangerous”
Khamenei and Raisi do not Care About Sanctions
There is a paradox in Iran in that Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader and Ebrahim Raisi, the president, simply do not care about the sanctions regime, yet the sanctions do significantly affect the regional military posture of the regime as the sanctions are very effective in curbing the regional military strength of the Khomeinist empire.Continue reading “Khamenei and Raisi do not Care About Sanctions”
Theocracy is Inconsistent with Freedom of Religion
Freedom of religion is one the fundamentals of international law, yet one of the major political ideologies of our time, Islamism, does not agree with this. Freedom of religion fundamentally clashes with the very concept of theocracy and hence there is very much need for an international convention that would ban theocracy as a crimeContinue reading “Theocracy is Inconsistent with Freedom of Religion”
Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry
Prior to the historical rediscovery of core Median Jewry were the remnants of Median Judaism around the world viewed with certain scepticism by official Israel. Scholars have even in recent years begun to claim that similarities with rabbinic Judaism are pure coincidence. However, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry and the seven denominations of coreContinue reading “Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry”
Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad
At this stage is the Hezbollah buildup of rockets and missiles intended to cause massive economic damage to Israel by launching massive barrages of 150 000 rockets and missiles against the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital, and other Israeli cities once Israel destroys Iran’s nuclear weapons program. However, the next phase of theContinue reading “Israel Must Destroy Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad”
The Timeline is Becoming Clear
Israel has budgeted 1,5 billion USD for its project to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program, yet the project is not expected to become fully operational until about a year from now. This means that there will be one more year of futile international “diplomacy” of coaxing Iran into some kind of “agreement” on itsContinue reading “The Timeline is Becoming Clear”
What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?
Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”
Burning the Assets
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (b. 1939), the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is in an apocalyptic mood and is betting on the support of Allah. By ditching the JCPOA does he ensure that Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. By ordering Hezbollah to launch massive barrages of 150 000 rockets andContinue reading “Burning the Assets”
Tunnel Warfare
Iranian military intelligence is the brain behind Hamas and Hezbollah and the strategy of investing billions in building military tunnels. On the one hand is the strategy to build up a massive threat of rockets and missiles. On the other hand, do the Iranians understand that massive rocket/missile barrages will cause Israel to occupy GazaContinue reading “Tunnel Warfare”
Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah
Iran is preparing for a doomsday scenario and threatened on Sunday October 24, 2021 effectively that Tehran would order Hezbollah to launch its entire arsenal of 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israel should Israel attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program. The threat should be taken seriously just as Iran is also taking seriously theContinue reading “Iran is Determined to Unleash Hezbollah”
How Official Israeli Recognition Will Affect the Situation of Median Jews
Median Jews in the Middle East currently lead precarious and often oppressed lives. In Iran are all Median Jews with the exception of the Zoroastrians denied basic freedom of religion. Article 13 of the Iranian constitution recognizes Christianity, Islam, Judaism and Zoroastrianism but no other forms of religion. Alevism, Bektashism, Mandaeism, Yarsanism and Yezidism, allContinue reading “How Official Israeli Recognition Will Affect the Situation of Median Jews”
Erdogan Seeks to Sabotage Turkey’s Alliance with the West
Turkey’s president Recep Tayyip Erdogan continues his policy of sabotaging Turkey’s relations with NATO and the West in defiance of the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet, Turkey’s Deep State domestic intelligence apparatus which is keen on Turkey’s alliance with the West. The latest move is to order the expulsion of the ambassadors of Canada, Denmark, France, Germany,Continue reading “Erdogan Seeks to Sabotage Turkey’s Alliance with the West”
Doubling Israel’s Population
Israel annexing the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon which are populated by 4 million Median Jews, the immigration of 3-4 million Median Jews (Yarsanis, Yezidis, Alevis, Bektashis and Zoroastrians) from Iran and Iraq as well as the redemption and the enfranchisement of the entire Judea and Samaria with 2 millionContinue reading “Doubling Israel’s Population”
What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad
Traditionally were the Alawites or the Nusayris as they were called until the 1920s known as “Ghulat” or so-called “extremist Shias”, meaning not Shias at all who pretended to believe that Ali was a divine incarnation, hardly an Islamic belief. This was part of the Pseudo-Islamic veneer of core Median Judaism to protect Median JewsContinue reading “What Khamenei Really Thinks of Assad”
Enfranchising East Jerusalem Palestinians
Israeli annexation of 4 million Median Jews (Alawites and Druze) of Syria and Lebanon and the immigration of 3-4 million Median Jews (Yarsanis, Alevis, Yezidis and Zoroastrians) from Iran and Iraq will enable Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. East Jerusalem has since 1967 been under Israeli sovereignty with Palestinians thereContinue reading “Enfranchising East Jerusalem Palestinians”
Liberating Judea and Samaria
The Abbas regime is corrupt, autocratic and kleptocratic. 80% of Palestinians wants Mahmoud Abbas to resign according to a recent Palestinian opinion poll. Despite being secularist does the Palestinian Authority systematically engage in Jihadist incitement in its system of education and regime media. Jihadism tragically permeates Palestinian society not only in Jihadist-controlled Gaza but alsoContinue reading “Liberating Judea and Samaria”
A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews
The number of Median Jews (Yarsanis, Alevis, Yezidis and Zoroastrians) in Iran is estimated at between two and three million; there are no precise statistics available. In addition, are there 8 500 rabbinic Jews and 5 000-10 000 Mandaeans who are pre-Israelite Sumerian Jews. The only way to free most Median Jews of Iran isContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews”