Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
Category Archives: United States
Naivety About Totalitarianism is Inexcusable
For every wave of totalitarianism there has also been the “useful idiots”, prominent intellectuals who were ready to stand up as apologists for totalitarian regimes and totalitarian movements. Communism probably had more useful idiots than any other form of totalitarianism, yet Nazism also had its share of useful idiots who would e.g. claim that HitlerContinue reading “Naivety About Totalitarianism is Inexcusable”
Decades of Failed Pressure
Successive US administrations have for decades applied varying degrees of diplomatic pressure on Israeli governments to refrain from indigenous restorative strategic construction in Judea and Samaria. Yet the fact is that Israeli governments of all political colors have built in Judea and Samaria since the late 1970s because it is rightly seen as a vitalContinue reading “Decades of Failed Pressure”
The New Equation for Middle East Peace
Israel should formally agree to the resolution of most aspects of the Palestinian question in return for the West’s diplomatic assistance with Israel’s full reunification with Median Jewry as Israel cannot open the gates to Median Jewish emigration to Israel on its own. This requires sustained Western diplomatic economic pressure on Turkey to not placeContinue reading “The New Equation for Middle East Peace”
The “Two-State Solution” is Dead and Always was
The 2020 United States Peace Plan as created by Jared Kushner and his team conclusively proves that the restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria are no obstacles to peace. According to the Kushner peace plan the restorative indigenous communities would all become part of sovereign Israel. The indigenous restorative communities are therefore no obstaclesContinue reading “The “Two-State Solution” is Dead and Always was”
Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?
Would it be responsible for the Israeli government to launch a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon in response to Hezbollah’s expected massive rocket/missile barrages against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023? To answer that question we must goContinue reading “Is a Joint IDF-SDF Strategic Operation Responsible Policy?”
Tehran has no Intention of Signing an Agreement with Washington
The regime in Tehran has announced that it will resume the indirect Vienna “negotiations” in a month’s time at the end of November 2021 at a date yet to be specified. Why wait an entire month you may ask? The truth is that Iran has no intention whatsoever of signing an agreement with the UnitedContinue reading “Tehran has no Intention of Signing an Agreement with Washington”
The Rise of Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence
Sudan first became a theocracy partially ruled by the Muslim Brotherhood in the 1980s and Sudanese intelligence apparently provided intelligence training to the cadres of the global Muslim Brotherhood movement. Only much later did the Muslim Brotherhood gain full control over Gaza and partially over Turkey in fierce competition with the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet, Turkey’sContinue reading “The Rise of Muslim Brotherhood Intelligence”
Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust
Erdogan is notorious for his hatred of Alevis and the revelation less than a decade ago that Alevis are Jews has only exacerbated the hatred the Anti-Semitic Erdogan holds for the Alevi people. Alevis make up the vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey with the rest being Alawites, Alians, Bektashis (including Sabbateans), Yarsanis andContinue reading “Erdogan Plans a Second Holocaust”
Do Biden and Blinken Want to Bring Down the Israeli Government?
President Joe Biden is well known for his long-standing opposition to the indigenous reclamation project in Judea and Samaria, yet one must surely ask whether he wants to bring down the Israeli coalition government? Does he not understand that the coalition government depends on its three rightwing political parties which conditioned their participation in theContinue reading “Do Biden and Blinken Want to Bring Down the Israeli Government?”
Khamenei and Raisi do not Care About Sanctions
There is a paradox in Iran in that Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader and Ebrahim Raisi, the president, simply do not care about the sanctions regime, yet the sanctions do significantly affect the regional military posture of the regime as the sanctions are very effective in curbing the regional military strength of the Khomeinist empire.Continue reading “Khamenei and Raisi do not Care About Sanctions”
Israel will not Realign with China
There is a common misconception that Israel’s alliance with the US is based upon Jewish political influence in United States domestic politics. While it is true that organized American Jewry for half a century has played a critical role in articulating American interests in the Middle East, nothing could be further from the truth. OrganizedContinue reading “Israel will not Realign with China”
Indigenous Construction in Judea and Samaria does not Cause Terrorism
Contrary to what the State Department implies is there absolutely no causal connection whatsoever between terrorism and indigenous restorative construction in Judea and Samaria. Not even Palestinian terrorists claim to commit acts of terror because of Israeli construction. Rather the future lies in integration and coexistence between the peoples in Judea and Samaria. Many PalestiniansContinue reading “Indigenous Construction in Judea and Samaria does not Cause Terrorism”
How the Derin Devlet Controls Turkey
How is the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet Deep State Domestic intelligence apparatus able to maintain strategic control over the Republic of Turkey including over the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) despite the Muslim Brotherhood intelligence AKP’s extensive tactical control over many aspects of the Turkish state? There may be several answers to that question. 1) First, theContinue reading “How the Derin Devlet Controls Turkey”
Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry
Prior to the historical rediscovery of core Median Jewry were the remnants of Median Judaism around the world viewed with certain scepticism by official Israel. Scholars have even in recent years begun to claim that similarities with rabbinic Judaism are pure coincidence. However, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry and the seven denominations of coreContinue reading “Israel’s Strategic Dilemma vis-a-vis Core Median Jewry”
Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War
The main problem with a joint IDF-SDF strategic operation in Syria and Lebanon following Hezbollah’s upcoming massive missile assault on urban Israel will be the slow pace of the advancement of the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) due to its lack of heavy weapons, particularly tanks and artillery. While the SDF is highly motivated and theContinue reading “Arming the SDF with Heavy Weapons will Shorten Israel’s Next War”
What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?
Iran threatens to cause immense damage to urban Israel, including to the city of Tel Aviv, Israel’s economic capital by unleashing massive barrages of rockets and missiles in emptying Hezbollah’s entire 150 000 strong rocket/missile stockpile. What should Israel do in response? Perform some air raids and carry out some incursions as in 2006 onlyContinue reading “What Strategic Choice Does Israel Have?”
Burning the Assets
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (b. 1939), the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is in an apocalyptic mood and is betting on the support of Allah. By ditching the JCPOA does he ensure that Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. By ordering Hezbollah to launch massive barrages of 150 000 rockets andContinue reading “Burning the Assets”
Erdogan Seeks to Sabotage Turkey’s Alliance with the West
Turkey’s president Recep Tayyip Erdogan continues his policy of sabotaging Turkey’s relations with NATO and the West in defiance of the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet, Turkey’s Deep State domestic intelligence apparatus which is keen on Turkey’s alliance with the West. The latest move is to order the expulsion of the ambassadors of Canada, Denmark, France, Germany,Continue reading “Erdogan Seeks to Sabotage Turkey’s Alliance with the West”
Peace Depends on Victory
The upcoming war between Israel and Hezbollah will likely lead to a wider war between the IDF-SDF and the so-called “Axis of Resistance” including Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Hezbollah, Lebanon and Syria. The outcome will lead to new borders of peace. Israel will establish an Aramean Christian state and annex Median Jewish (Alawite andContinue reading “Peace Depends on Victory”
A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews
The number of Median Jews (Yarsanis, Alevis, Yezidis and Zoroastrians) in Iran is estimated at between two and three million; there are no precise statistics available. In addition, are there 8 500 rabbinic Jews and 5 000-10 000 Mandaeans who are pre-Israelite Sumerian Jews. The only way to free most Median Jews of Iran isContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews”
The Poisonous Politics of Islamophobia
In order for Muslims to be properly integrated into liberal democratic open societies need Muslims participate in public discourse on the same terms as everyone else. This means equality and freedom. This requires fighting Islamophobia so that Muslims feel welcome to participate in public discourse like equal citizens with equal rights. However this is underminedContinue reading “The Poisonous Politics of Islamophobia”
The Threat of Sanctions Have the Power to Free Turkey’s Median Jewry
The story of the ten Israelite tribes as deported by the ancient Assyrians is the greatest story of human history and the most remarkable thing about it is that their descendants are still with us today 27 centuries later. In fact, the rediscovery of core Median Jewry as Jews (i.e. Alawites, Alevis, Alians, Bektashis, Druze,Continue reading “The Threat of Sanctions Have the Power to Free Turkey’s Median Jewry”
Tehran Suffers from Hubris
Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”
Understanding the AANES
Officially is the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) a socialist libertarian autonomous state. However, in practice it has not implemented any “socialist” or “libertarian” policies and de facto is the AANES independent from Ba’athist Syria. The de facto official ideology of the AANES is instead feminism which permeates all aspects of lifeContinue reading “Understanding the AANES”
Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate
Josep Borrell, the EU foreign affairs commissioner does not want to think in terms of Plan Bs. But how does he imagine that Iran would even have an incentive to negotiate without a Plan B and without an international community united around a Plan B as a strategic deterrence? When saying that he refuses toContinue reading “Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate”
The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv
There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”
Initiating a War of No Choice
Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”
The Kemalist Politics of Turkey
Turkey has a complex political system just under the surface. The two main forces are the Crypto-Sabbatean Derin Devlet (Turkish for ‘Deep State’) and the Muslim Brotherhood Crypto-Islamist AKP. Turkey has been characterized by undercover intelligence warfare since 2003, indeed intense power struggle between the two camps which both purport to be so-called “Kemalists”. InContinue reading “The Kemalist Politics of Turkey”
Winning Back the Lost Generation
Israel has in recent years lost a major share of America’s young Jewish generation to the Anti-Semitic propaganda of Anti-Zionism. This is a tragedy but it is not irreversible. There is a great chance that the grand story of Median Jewry and its Aliyah will bring back the lost flock into the fold. Furthermore willContinue reading “Winning Back the Lost Generation”
A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA
There is no reason to mourn the imminent passing of the JCPOA. In fact, a no-fly zone is a much better option than the JCPOA. The JCPOA was set to expire in 2030, a no-fly zone will only expire when the Khomeinist regime falls. The JCPOA allowed Iran to maintain its nuclear weapons program, aContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA”
The Best Policy Alternative to the JCPOA
The JCPOA era is coming to an end as the JCPOA is close to effective expiration. The US government obviously considers policy alternatives to the rapidly expiring JCPOA. One argument in favor of a no-fly zone over Iran is that it is relatively inexpensive to maintain. It is a cheap military alternative that does notContinue reading “The Best Policy Alternative to the JCPOA”
Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions
Ali Khamenei’s desire to destroy Israel is fundamentally irrational, it is based in apocalyptic, Anti-Semitic and neo-imperialist fantasies. This fact however does not make the regime any less dangerous. Khamenei’s standing decision to order Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities is also fundamentallyContinue reading “Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions”
The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran
A no-fly zone over Iran is Tehran’s worst nightmare. There is no doubt that the ethnic periphery that make up half of Iran’s population will rise in armed rebellion with US air support and perhaps will the ethnic Persians as well? A no-fly zone will prevent the regime from rebuilding its nuclear weapons program afterContinue reading “The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
The Bennett-Putin Summit
The upcoming Israeli-Russian Summit offers an opportunity to recalibrate Israeli-Russian relations with regard to Syria. Moscow is interested in one thing and one thing only in Syria and that is keeping its naval base and air base in the Alawite region. Everything else is of secondary importance to Moscow. Iran advances rapidly towards nuclear thresholdContinue reading “The Bennett-Putin Summit”
Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel
Turkey’s minority Median Jewish population (Alawites, Alevis, Alians, Bektashis [including Sabbateans], Yarsanis and Yezidis) numbers in the doubles digits percentage of the Turkish population and the AKP regime will no doubt close its borders to Jewish emigration to Israel if Israel officially recognizes Turkey’s Median Jewish population as eligible for Aliyah (immigration) to Israel. ThereContinue reading “Letting Turkey’s Median Jews Leave for Israel”
World Powers need to Coordinate
Time is increasingly running out as the JCPOA is effectively expiring. Will the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) take action against Iran? Will the P5+1 prepare a Plan B after the failure of the JCPOA? What about the United States? Is there any teeth to its rhetoric about Iran? Does it have a ready PlanContinue reading “World Powers need to Coordinate”
Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation
There is a failure in the current class of Iran experts in ascertaining Iran’s strategic intentions. There is generally a failure in academia of experts on Islamism who do not grasp that we are dealing with a dangerous neo-imperialist, totalitarian, modern political ideology, but rather seem to think that Islamism is “a traditional religion”, “aContinue reading “Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation”
The Perceptual Gap
There is a vast perceptual gap between the P5+1 and the Khomeinist regime. The P5+1 talk the language of reconciliation while Tehran hears weakness and uses the time offered to further enrich uranium towards the goal of amassing enough material to produce a nuclear weapon. For Iran are P5+1 useful infidels to be deceived andContinue reading “The Perceptual Gap”
Rethinking Regime Change Policy on Iran
The Biden Administration just like the Trump administration before it does not with the sole exception of Venezuela advocate regime change in foreign policy. Iran should be another exception. Iran is an exceptionally dangerous regime which poses a significant strategic threat against the United States and its vital national security interests. A no-fly zone isContinue reading “Rethinking Regime Change Policy on Iran”
Mowing the Grass
If the Iranian regime survives a no-fly zone over Iran in its core Persian-speaking region (the ethnic periphery will no doubt revolt) will a no-fly zone crucially permit continual air raids against Iranian nuclear installations on a regular basis. This will offer significant operational advantages when implementing air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program.Continue reading “Mowing the Grass”
The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis
Yarsanism is one of the seven denominations of core Median Judaism. There are approximately 2 to 3 million Yarsanis and most live in Iranian Kurdistan with a significant community living in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdish Yarsanis live in the southernmost part of Kurdistan. Most Yarsanis are Kurds although there are also small communities of Arab,Continue reading “The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis”
The AANES does not Harm Turkey
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and its subdivisions such as the YPG and YPJ have never in their history launched a military attack against Turkish territory. In fact, the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) is a very good neighbor of Turkey. The AKP regime accuses the SDF of terrorism, yet the SDFContinue reading “The AANES does not Harm Turkey”
Is Islam Incompatible with Democracy?
After the September 11, 2001 attacks against the United States did the George W. Bush administration launch a global campaign to promote democratization and liberalization in Islamdom. Many have later asked whether this was a mistaken policy as it was clearly the Bush administration’s efforts that ushered in the Arab spring a full decade later.Continue reading “Is Islam Incompatible with Democracy?”
Erdogan is Trying to get Turkey Expelled from NATO
Turkish politics has since 2003 been based on an uneasy power-sharing and indeed heated rivalry been the Muslim Brotherhood controlled AKP regime and the Sabbatean (“Dönmeh”) controlled so-called Derin Devlet (Turkish for ‘Deep State’). NATO membership is sacred for the Derin Devlet which will not allow the AKP to lead Turkey out of NATO. RussiaContinue reading “Erdogan is Trying to get Turkey Expelled from NATO”
Liberalization in North and East Syria
The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) is nominally a one-party state run by the PYD (Democratic Union Party) with socialist libertarianism as its official ideology. In practice however, does the AANES have free and fair elections with freedom of expression and its de facto official ideology is feminism which permeates all aspectsContinue reading “Liberalization in North and East Syria”
Jewish Survival
One criterion as to whether a form of Judaism is genuine is whether it stands a chance of survival. While usually not explicitly spelled out is Jewish long-term survival the overriding criterion in halakhic decision making in contemporary Orthodox Judaism. The main reason non-Orthodox Judaism is condemned by Orthodox rabbis is primarily because it tendsContinue reading “Jewish Survival”
Sharing the Burden
It is unreasonable that US allies should not be able to collectively defend themselves. European Union member countries each need to create an Office for the Protection of the Constitution on the German model as well as institute a joint confederal military. The extreme reliance on US troops to defend the EU is intolerable. WhyContinue reading “Sharing the Burden”
No Return to Vienna
Tehran has no intention of returning to the indirect Vienna negotiations. It is somewhat hard to see what Tehran fears in the negotiations as the Iranians could simply stall but they apparently do they fear that Rob Malley will make too many concessions to them as they might be fearful that Beijing and Moscow wouldContinue reading “No Return to Vienna”
United we Stand, Divided we Fall
A strong defense pact in the wider region against Iran should include as many relevant countries as possible. This should include Israel, Azerbaijan, the five post-Soviet central Asian nations, as many Gulf states as possible as well as Jordan, Egypt, Sudan and Morocco. These are countries that are intended victims of the Khomeinist regime’s neo-imperialistContinue reading “United we Stand, Divided we Fall”
Aliyah Organization 