There are reports in the news media about Arab governments seeking normalization with the last Ba’athist regime in Damascus. This is entirely counterproductive. Major war between Israel and Iran’s allies in the Levant is entirely inescapable after Israel and America destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as they are jointly training to do considering thatContinue reading “Why Bet on a Dead Horse?”
Category Archives: United States
Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence
Iran has expressed the assessment that Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett’s new policy of avoiding publicly threatening Iran and instead focusing on building Israel’s defensive and offensive capabilities vis-a-vis Iran and its proxies is evidence that Iran has succeeded in deterring Israel. The Iranian representative claimed that Iran has an effective deterrence capacity against “emptyContinue reading “Tehran’s Confidence in Terrorist Deterrence”
A Two-State Solution is not in Israel’s Interest
It is often claimed that a two-state solution involving an Israeli return to the Auschwitz lines is “inevitable” and “the only solution”. However, this is completely unfeasible for three reasons. 1) There is a consensus in Palestinian society on not agreeing to an end-of-claims final status agreement as that would involve ceding the demand forContinue reading “A Two-State Solution is not in Israel’s Interest”
The Orthodox Conversion Dispute
Why does Rabbinic Judaism tend to be reluctant to receive converts? The Jews have always been a nation that welcomes newcomers, however Rabbinic Judaism does not missionize and Orthodox Judaism typically demands a prolonged waiting period to show sustained ritual observance before someone is converted, in the Diaspora typically three years. What is the historicalContinue reading “The Orthodox Conversion Dispute”
Arab-Jewish Partnership to Liberate Iran
Arab nations should join the discreetly emerging international Iran coalition which will be activated to impose a no-fly zone over Iran and provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country when the diplomatic track collapses, which it inevitably will. The Iranian nuclear weapons program will be destroyed through a joint American-Israeli operation. Should theContinue reading “Arab-Jewish Partnership to Liberate Iran”
Jews are a Nation of Color
Racialization of Jews have a long pedigree in the history of Anti-Semitism. Racialization of Jews was practiced in Spain against the Anusim (“Marranos”), Jews who were involuntarily converted to Christianity during the expulsion of the Jews from Spain in 1492. Racialization of Jews in Germany became prominent already in the second half of the 19thContinue reading “Jews are a Nation of Color”
The US Government should Delist PJAK
The US supported the Kurdish-Iranian PJAK (Kurdistan Free Life Party) during the George W. Bush administration while the Obama administration blacklisted PJAK as ostensibly a “terrorist organization”. The Biden administration would be wise to delist PJAK as the organization certainly does not engage in terrorist attacks and is not hostile to the United States. PJAKContinue reading “The US Government should Delist PJAK”
The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence
There are no prospects whatsoever for a nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States and so the US government resorting to Plan B, i.e. the military options, is inevitable. This means that the US and Israel will jointly destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the emerging US-led international Iran coalition will impose aContinue reading “The KRG is Blocking Kurdish Independence”
Why Iran does not Fear Invasion
Iran is convinced that General Frank McKenzie was bluffing when recently threatening a US invasion of Iran should Iran attack America. Tehran knows that the American people are tired of Middle Eastern wars and have no appetite for an invasion of Iran. Furthermore, Iran is convinced that the Biden administration despite repeatedly denying so isContinue reading “Why Iran does not Fear Invasion”
How to Revolutionize Education
There is a general principle in economic history that economic growth is propelled by ever increasing specialization. One sector where economic growth is absent is the school system which does not become more efficient and productive over time because it is based on a planned economy rather than by increasing specialization and this is trueContinue reading “How to Revolutionize Education”
The Jews and the Left
Israel relies on bipartisan support in the United States Congress. Of course, the US-Israeli alliance would survive without congressional support since this special relationship is built upon common interests between the two nations. Saudi Arabia does not enjoy support in the US Congress and presidential candidate Joe Biden was intensely critical of Saudi Arabia. YetContinue reading “The Jews and the Left”
Iranian Fears
Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”
Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?
While it is clear that Iran intends to use chemical weapons for mass terrorist attacks worldwide, on a vast scale following America’s and Israel’s joint destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons progam, the Khomeinist regime’s intentions to use biological weapons are more localized and may seem less obvious. Where and against whom will Tehran useContinue reading “Will Tehran use Biological Weapons?”
Apocalyptic Iran
Iran’s main designated adversaries are the United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia. The notion of the United States as an implacable enemy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Islamist Anti-Semitic conspiracy theory according to which the US is the center of the “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. The notion of Jews andContinue reading “Apocalyptic Iran”
How to Stop Climate Change
The political efforts to stop climate change worldwide have so far been an astounding failure and will no doubt continue to fail. The notion that the effort to counter climate change is mainly a task for governments is a misconception. This misconstrues the essential role for governments in countering climate change. What then should governmentsContinue reading “How to Stop Climate Change”
Imperialism is the Greatest Threat
Totalitarian enemies of America whether Communist or Islamist typically describe democratic America as “imperialist”. Of course there is no American empire. America does not dominate other independent nations, like almost every other nation it aligns with foreign nations to promote its own interests. What is unique however about America is that it constantly across presidentialContinue reading “Imperialism is the Greatest Threat”
Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest
The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”
Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?
Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”
The Art of Building Deterrence
One year of failed appeasement policy has completely destroyed US deterrence against Iran. The notion that this can be repaired by issuing a few threats is preposterous. Public issuance of threatening statements has its place in a comprehensive deterrence posture but are on their own entirely insufficient in rebuilding America’s deterrence against Iran. Iran shouldContinue reading “The Art of Building Deterrence”
The Islamist Nexus
Is there an emerging transdenominational Islamist nexus in the Middle East? There are significant tactical differences between different Islamist movements and Sunni Islamists and Shia Islamists disagree as to whether Sunnis of Shias should rule the worldwide Islamist theocracy that they believe is inevitable due to ostensibly being divinely decreed. Iran and Turkey have closeContinue reading “The Islamist Nexus”
The Case for Jewish Critical Theory
The Jews have always since antiquity been a structurally oppressed group and remain so. There are three historical phases of Anti-Jewish prejudice and those are known to scientists as Anti-Judaism, Anti-Semitism and Anti-Zionism. However, in common parlance as well as in scientific usage is the term Anti-Semitism used to denote all three stages. There hasContinue reading “The Case for Jewish Critical Theory”
Explaining the Next Gaza War
Why is the predominant international reaction every time Israel wages war in Gaza that 1) Israel must restrain itself, 2) there are too many civilian deaths and 3) Israel must immediately cease its operations? Israel is intensely suspicious of foreign countries and their intentions towards Israel and there are mutual suspicions against Israel. This hasContinue reading “Explaining the Next Gaza War”
Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat
Israel has a track record of underestimating the nefariousness of Iran’s intentions. Israeli intelligence until recently believed that Tehran was interested in a nuclear agreement with the United States. Until recently did senior Israeli military experts believe that Iran would not order Hezbollah to launch a frontal attack against Israeli cities with 150 000 rocketsContinue reading “Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat”
The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous
The Khomeinist regime makes increasingly extreme threats against Israel. Why is this so? The regime is no doubt becoming increasingly nervous about the imposition of an international no-fly zone over Iran that would provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country and very likely lead to the downfall of the regime. The emerging coalitionContinue reading “The Khomeinist Regime is Becoming Nervous”
Arameans and Annexation
There is not only an alliance but a covenant of blood between the Jewish nation and the Aramean nation and the goal is to establish a liberal-democratic Aramean Christian state (Aram) in the northern Levant that will be strategically, economically, politically and militarily aligned with Israel. As part of Israel’s liberation of Syria and LebanonContinue reading “Arameans and Annexation”
Israel is too Secretive
One common error in the intelligence world is exaggerated secrecy. There is much information in intelligence archives around the world that should be declassified and made available to historians, journalists and the general public just as the East German Stasi archives were made completely public. Informational compartmentalization also creates myopia in there being few peopleContinue reading “Israel is too Secretive”
Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon
Lebanon under Iranian control is turning increasingly dystopian. The ruling elite refuses to reform the economy and the population is sinking ever deeper into economic misery. The country has been taken over by Hezbollah, the world’s largest terrorist organization and its political system is completely dysfunctional. Lebanese leaders are well aware of Lebanon’s approaching demiseContinue reading “Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon”
The Strategic Road Grid of Judea and Samaria
Israel has historically deliberately made the impression that the restorative indigenous communities of Judea and Samaria were founded largely at random by religious and nationalist pioneers and independently of the defense establishment. This is not the case as those communities were all established on public lands and in strategic locations. The Israeli road network inContinue reading “The Strategic Road Grid of Judea and Samaria”
Why Insist on the Impossible?
The Biden administration is well aware that Mahmoud Abbas is no partner for the much touted two-state solution. Mahmoud Abbas is tactically pragmatic but strategically rigid and his successor will be no less strategically rigid but possibly less pragmatic. The Palestinian Authority insists on flooding Israel with millions of Anti-Zionists and the goal is toContinue reading “Why Insist on the Impossible?”
How Iran Views the US-Israel Relationship
The basic prism through which the Iranian regime views international politics and domestic politics in many countries is that of the ostensible global “Jewish conspiracy” to destroy Islam. Tehran believes that the infamous forgery of the “Protocols of the Elders of Zion” is a genuine document outlining the Zionist conspiracy to control the world. WhenContinue reading “How Iran Views the US-Israel Relationship”
What can be Expected on Iran
The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”
Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?
Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”
Why Israel’s Enemies Attack Israel despite Always Losing
Why do Israel’s enemies insist on military conflict with Israel despite always losing? Of course they want to destroy Israel but that alone does not explain the failed insistence on armed conflict with Israel. The recent Anti-Semitic speech by CAIR (Council on American-Islamic Relations, a Muslim Brotherhood front organization) San Fransisco executive director Zahra BillooContinue reading “Why Israel’s Enemies Attack Israel despite Always Losing”
Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes
Israel is preparing to destroy Hezbollah and its state sponsors in the upcoming war in the northern Levant after Israel and America eliminate the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran is sabotaging the Vienna process up until the very end. Once the hopeless post-JCPOA “negotiations” as envisioned by the pro-Islamist notorious appeaser Rob Malley end, aContinue reading “Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes”
Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table
An interview with US Iran envoy Rob Malley on CNN informs us that the Malley doctrine of endless negotiations is back and the Blinken doctrine of opposition to endless negotiations is dead, or at least so far the moment. Malley, the notorious appeaser of Islamists, is convinced that Iran is advancing its hugely expensive nuclearContinue reading “Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table”
Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition
Will NATO officially participate in the emerging international coalition to destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program and impose a no-fly zone over Iran that will provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country? There is a severe threat of chemical weapons mass terrorist attacks against NATO member states subsequent to the joint American-Israeli destruction ofContinue reading “Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition”
The KRG must Change
There is deep mistrust between the political forces of Iraqi Kurdistan and the political forces of Syrian Kurdistan. Yet it is primarily Iraqi Kurdistan that needs to change in order to facilitate the creation of an independent Kurdish state in half of Kurdistan, i.e. the Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian sections. Feminist democratization and liberalization haveContinue reading “The KRG must Change”
The Success of Iranian Disinformation
The Iranian regime successfully deceived the P5+1 into believing that the JCPOA would be revived. How did they do that? One explanation of course is deceptive diplomacy but that is not the main explanation. Iran is well aware that its system is fatally compromised by Israeli intelligence infiltration. But what about other great powers, don’tContinue reading “The Success of Iranian Disinformation”
Establishing Global Theocratic Rule of the Hidden Imam
While this may seem strange is the theocratic establishment of the “global rule of the Hidden Imam” an official geostrategic goal of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Iranian regime is seriously convinced that the Iranian Islamist revolution constitutes an eschatological process that will culminate in Iranian world rule. This may seem detached from reality,Continue reading “Establishing Global Theocratic Rule of the Hidden Imam”
Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest
The Ukraine crisis is testing the Biden administration. The Russian buildup of military forces east of Ukraine illustrates the peril of not expanding NATO. Yet, the United States is effectively only threatening financial sanctions against Russia, or at least that is the general perception. The crisis illustrates that further NATO expansion eastwards should be anContinue reading “Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest”
A Swiss Model for an Independent Kurdistan
Reconciliation between Kurdish political parties is essential for building an independent Kurdistan in the Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian sections of Kurdistan and hence the current diplomatic effort by the US to promote reconciliation among Kurdish political parties. Quickie models for democratization in Muslim countries tend to have the effect of empowering Islamists and thus underminingContinue reading “A Swiss Model for an Independent Kurdistan”
How Imminent is War?
If Israel alone had dictated the timing of the destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program had it been determined either by the pace of progress in the Iran’s nuclear weapons program or the date would be after the June 2023 Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections but obviously not earlier than the Israeli project toContinue reading “How Imminent is War?”
Indigenous Construction does not Thwart Two-State Solution
Recently did an anonymous Palestinian official claim that the Palestinian Authority and the US government see eye to eye on the question of restorative indigenous communities and ostensibly agree that the indigenous restoration project in Judea and Samaria is designed to thwart a two-state solution. Nothing could be further from the truth. The indigenous restorationContinue reading “Indigenous Construction does not Thwart Two-State Solution”
Iran is a Terrorist State
Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”
The Unfounded US Obsession with Indigenous Construction
US President Joe Biden is known for his long-standing opposition to the indigenous restoration project in Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria. His opposition to indigenous construction spans decades and is founded in genuine demographic concerns for Israel’s future as a Jewish and democratic state. The leftwing Zionists never had the facts on their side as theContinue reading “The Unfounded US Obsession with Indigenous Construction”
A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest
The United States made the mistake of not early partitioning Afghanistan according to language (between Turkmenistan – Turkmen language, Uzbekistan – Uzbek language, Tajikistan – Persian language and Pakistan – Pashto language) and similarly made the mistake of not early partitioning Iraq, granting independence to the three main ethnic regions (the Shias, the Sunnis andContinue reading “A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest”
Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?
The Israeli intelligence community used to claim that Iran eventually would return to the JCPOA and now they assume that Iran is interested in an interim agreement that would freeze uranium enrichment in return for some sanctions relief. It appears that the Israeli intelligence community has not learned from its own mistakes. Iran has twoContinue reading “Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?”
Are there Prospects for an Interim Agreement?
During the recent meeting between Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz and US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, the two nations shared their respective military plans for attacking the Iranian nuclear weapons program and discussed joint military exercises in planned training for destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Nevertheless, the JCPOA despite being moribund is notContinue reading “Are there Prospects for an Interim Agreement?”
Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission
Iran has an elaborate plan to force the world into political, ideological, geopolitical, economic and religious submission by means of extortive deployment and use of weapons of mass destruction. Iran is already in the very earliest stage of its campaign. Iran intends to break out as a superpower already when Israel and the US destroyContinue reading “Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission”
The American Trauma
The past twenty years of American wars in the Middle East have created a certain amount of trauma in the American people. The stereotypical lesson from those wars is that those were mistakes but is it that simple? As the JCPOA inches towards inevitable collapse will America eventually face armed conflict with the Islamic RepublicContinue reading “The American Trauma”
Aliyah Organization 