With the annexation of 4 million Median Jews (Alawites and Druze) in Syria and Lebanon after a joint IDF-SDF war against the forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism will Israel narrowly be able to demographically afford to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria where 2 million Palestinians live. In addition, there are 1 million Median JewsContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Question”
Category Archives: Iran
Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations
A joint IDF-SDF military campaign in Syria and Lebanon will lead to Israel’s annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. This in turn will resolve the Palestinian question as the addition of 4 million Median Jews to Israel’s citizenry will demographically allow Israel to redeem and enfranchise the entire JudeaContinue reading “Advancing Israeli-Saudi Relations”
The Zoroastrians are Jewish
Zoroastrianism is a form of Median Judaism. It is not part of core Median Judaism but as other forms of “secondary” Median Judaism is Zoroastrianism derived from core Median Judaism. Zoroastrianism has Kohanim but no Levites. Like other forms of Median Judaism beyond core Median Judaism is it highly syncretic. While it could be arguedContinue reading “The Zoroastrians are Jewish”
Israel Expects Two-Front War
A joint IDF-SDF campaign in Syria and Lebanon leading to the establishment of an Aramean Christian state and the Israeli annexation of Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon would lead to the addition of 4 million Jewish citizens to the State of Israel, something which means that Israel would demographically affordContinue reading “Israel Expects Two-Front War”
The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred
The upcoming Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear Iranian nuclear weapons program is a golden opportunity to also fundamentally transform the northern Levant and remove Iran from the regional equation. While it is necessary to destroy Hezbollah could it also be argued that Hezbollah’s destruction and the remaking of the northern Levant could be deferredContinue reading “The Liberation of Syria and Lebanon Should not be Deferred”
Tehran Suffers from Hubris
Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”
Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate
Josep Borrell, the EU foreign affairs commissioner does not want to think in terms of Plan Bs. But how does he imagine that Iran would even have an incentive to negotiate without a Plan B and without an international community united around a Plan B as a strategic deterrence? When saying that he refuses toContinue reading “Without a Plan B – No Incentive to Negotiate”
The Mossad-Derin Devlet Relationship
What is the relationship between the Mossad and the Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet, Turkey’s Deep State domestic intelligence apparatus? The way the Derin Devlet held back the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) in 2019 when Erdogan had planned to occupy and ethnically cleanse Rojava (Syrian Kurdistan) and march towards Raqqa, the major city in the AANES (AutonomousContinue reading “The Mossad-Derin Devlet Relationship”
The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv
There is a Sword of Damocles hanging over the city of Tel Aviv and Israel. Hezbollah has a stockpile of 150 000 missiles and it is only growing by the day as Hezbollah is industrially producing missiles. Hezbollah is already capable of causing massive damage and possibly thousands of casualties in the city of TelContinue reading “The Sword of Damocles over Tel Aviv”
Liberating Lebanon
What is the situation in Lebanon 31 years after Hezbollah failed to honor the Taif Agreement which required disarming all militias? Hezbollah controls the military, the international airport, the seaports, the system of justice and even the government itself. Lebanon is not that far removed from being declared a Twelver Shia Islamist Republic as thatContinue reading “Liberating Lebanon”
Initiating a War of No Choice
Will Hezbollah strike the city of Tel Aviv following Israel’s destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program considering the significant and existential consequences for the Western flank of the Iranian Empire that a joint IDF-SDF operation would have? The answer is absolutely in the affirmative because the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran isContinue reading “Initiating a War of No Choice”
A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA
There is no reason to mourn the imminent passing of the JCPOA. In fact, a no-fly zone is a much better option than the JCPOA. The JCPOA was set to expire in 2030, a no-fly zone will only expire when the Khomeinist regime falls. The JCPOA allowed Iran to maintain its nuclear weapons program, aContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone is Far Better Than the JCPOA”
The Failed State of Lebanon
The Lebanese civil war ended in 1990 and it eventually turned out that Hezbollah refused to abide by the Taif Agreement which it had signed and which stipulated that all Lebanese militias had to disarm. It ultimately turned out that Lebanon preferred peace with Hezbollah, the Jihadist terrorist organization over peace with Israel, Lebanon’s liberalContinue reading “The Failed State of Lebanon”
It’s the Paradigm Stupid!
Why is it that sophisticated and seasoned international diplomats from the P5+1 and beyond insist on believing that Iran will eventually at “the last moment” return to the so-called “negotiations” in Vienna? How can it be that experienced statesmen pay credence to Iran’s bald-faced lies about “soon” returning to negotiations at the same time asContinue reading “It’s the Paradigm Stupid!”
The Assad Regime is Suicidal
The Iranian regime approaches nuclear threshold status and that means that Israel will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran’s Lebanese proxy Hezbollah will respond by launching massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities. This will lead Israel to order the IDF (IsraelContinue reading “The Assad Regime is Suicidal”
The Best Policy Alternative to the JCPOA
The JCPOA era is coming to an end as the JCPOA is close to effective expiration. The US government obviously considers policy alternatives to the rapidly expiring JCPOA. One argument in favor of a no-fly zone over Iran is that it is relatively inexpensive to maintain. It is a cheap military alternative that does notContinue reading “The Best Policy Alternative to the JCPOA”
“Reconciliation” under Threat
Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan are mortal enemies and bitter rivals of the Islamic Republic of Iran, yet both have recently diplomatically “reconciled” with Tehran and apparently so out of fear of Iranian military invasions. While deeply understandable, it is also important to understand that appeasement does not last and these agreements only buy immunity fromContinue reading ““Reconciliation” under Threat”
Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions
Ali Khamenei’s desire to destroy Israel is fundamentally irrational, it is based in apocalyptic, Anti-Semitic and neo-imperialist fantasies. This fact however does not make the regime any less dangerous. Khamenei’s standing decision to order Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities is also fundamentallyContinue reading “Khamenei is Making Irrational Decisions”
The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran
A no-fly zone over Iran is Tehran’s worst nightmare. There is no doubt that the ethnic periphery that make up half of Iran’s population will rise in armed rebellion with US air support and perhaps will the ethnic Persians as well? A no-fly zone will prevent the regime from rebuilding its nuclear weapons program afterContinue reading “The Case for a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
Retract International Recognition of Palestinian Statehood
A joint IDF-SDF campaign to liberate Syria and Lebanon following a massive Hezbollah missile assault on the city of Tel Aviv will enable Israel to annex the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon. This will add 4 million Median Jews to Israel’s demographics and with immigration of 1 million Yezidi andContinue reading “Retract International Recognition of Palestinian Statehood”
The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History
The “Alawite” Syrian regime has since many decades a policy of trying to Islamize the Alawite people which practices Alawism, one of seven denominations of core Median Judaism. The ethnically Alawite regime leaders are turncoats, thoroughly secular “Islamizers” who are enemies of their own people. In fact, Alawites are just as brutally oppressed as everyoneContinue reading “The Syrian Regime is on the Wrong Side of History”
Iran’s Levantine Calculus
Iran approaches nuclear threshold status and Israel prepares to launch preemptive strikes against its nuclear weapons program. Will then Iran order Hezbollah to attack the city of Tel Aviv in response to Israel’s preemptive strikes? If Hezbollah does not launch barrages of missiles against the city of Tel Aviv will it effectively have become strategicallyContinue reading “Iran’s Levantine Calculus”
Will Hezbollah Attack Israel?
Hezbollah is part of the command and control structure of the IRGC and ultimately receives its strategic instructions from the Supreme leader himself, Ali Khamenei (b. 1939). A Hezbollah massive missile barrage against Tel Aviv following upon Israel’s preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program will lead to a joint IDF-SDF war againstContinue reading “Will Hezbollah Attack Israel?”
Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?
Is there a possibility that Iraq will intervene in a war between the IDF/SDF and Syria/Lebanon/Hezbollah/Iran in the northern Levant by invading NES (North and East Syria)? While an Iraqi contribution to the fighting between Syria and Israel would have a negligible effect on the course of the war could in fact an Iraqi attackContinue reading “Will Iraq Invade North and East Syria?”
Israel wants Peace in Syria
Iran is approaching nuclear threshold status with its advanced uranium enrichment that is absolutely unacceptable to Israel, something which according to veiled threats recently issued by Prime Minister Naftali Bennett will lead Israel to launch preemptive strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah to unleash massiveContinue reading “Israel wants Peace in Syria”
Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?
Alawites have suffered attempted enforced Islamization since early Islamic conquest in the 7th century CE. The famous medieval Jihadist theologian Ibn Taymiyyah (1263-1328) claimed that the Alawites are “more infidel than the Jews and the Christians”. Alawites suffered terribly during the Ottoman period in French colonial rule coming as liberation for the Alawites. Alawite menContinue reading “Will the Alawites Welcome Israeli Liberation?”
World Powers need to Coordinate
Time is increasingly running out as the JCPOA is effectively expiring. Will the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) take action against Iran? Will the P5+1 prepare a Plan B after the failure of the JCPOA? What about the United States? Is there any teeth to its rhetoric about Iran? Does it have a ready PlanContinue reading “World Powers need to Coordinate”
Tehran is Intent on Domination
Iran was thoroughly Westernized during the reign of the last Shah and Iran remains a sophisticated state adept at communicating with other cultures and fooling their diplomats. For example, did Iranian diplomats astonishingly succeed years ago in convincing Chinese diplomats that Iran ostensibly does not intend to destroy Israel despite constantly declaring the intention toContinue reading “Tehran is Intent on Domination”
Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation
There is a failure in the current class of Iran experts in ascertaining Iran’s strategic intentions. There is generally a failure in academia of experts on Islamism who do not grasp that we are dealing with a dangerous neo-imperialist, totalitarian, modern political ideology, but rather seem to think that Islamism is “a traditional religion”, “aContinue reading “Tehran is not Interested in Reconciliation”
The Perceptual Gap
There is a vast perceptual gap between the P5+1 and the Khomeinist regime. The P5+1 talk the language of reconciliation while Tehran hears weakness and uses the time offered to further enrich uranium towards the goal of amassing enough material to produce a nuclear weapon. For Iran are P5+1 useful infidels to be deceived andContinue reading “The Perceptual Gap”
Rethinking Regime Change Policy on Iran
The Biden Administration just like the Trump administration before it does not with the sole exception of Venezuela advocate regime change in foreign policy. Iran should be another exception. Iran is an exceptionally dangerous regime which poses a significant strategic threat against the United States and its vital national security interests. A no-fly zone isContinue reading “Rethinking Regime Change Policy on Iran”
Mowing the Grass
If the Iranian regime survives a no-fly zone over Iran in its core Persian-speaking region (the ethnic periphery will no doubt revolt) will a no-fly zone crucially permit continual air raids against Iranian nuclear installations on a regular basis. This will offer significant operational advantages when implementing air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program.Continue reading “Mowing the Grass”
The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis
Yarsanism is one of the seven denominations of core Median Judaism. There are approximately 2 to 3 million Yarsanis and most live in Iranian Kurdistan with a significant community living in Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdish Yarsanis live in the southernmost part of Kurdistan. Most Yarsanis are Kurds although there are also small communities of Arab,Continue reading “The Desperate Plight of the Yarsanis”
The Axis of Genocide
The Lebanese, Syrian and Iranian militaries in the northern Levant are deeply integrated with the Hezbollah terrorist organization and must from Israel’s perspective therefore be considered extensions of Hezbollah. Together do they constitute the Axis of Genocide in the northern Levant as they in the words of the leaders of the Islamic Republic of IranContinue reading “The Axis of Genocide”
The Question of Blasphemy in Islam
Large sections of the Muslim world still lives in the Middle Ages and an entire neo-medievalist movement, Islamism, has arisen since the 19th century which seeks to bring back the Middle Ages once more. Islamist neo-medievalism has a significant influence on Islam and on Muslims generally, including on the question of blasphemy and even liberalContinue reading “The Question of Blasphemy in Islam”
Eliminating the Western Flank of the Iranian Empire
The Iranian empire stretches from Balochistan to Lebanon in a vast expanse of land from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea and this is only the beginning from the perspective of Iran’s strategists. Tehran’s planners imagine eventually controlling the entire Islamdom as the world’s only superpower and ultimately the entire world. It ought toContinue reading “Eliminating the Western Flank of the Iranian Empire”
The Hydra must be Slayed
There is a so-called “axis of resistance” in the northern Levant which would be better described as an “axis of genocide” because that is their real purpose, namely as the leaders the Islamic Republic of Iran say “the annihilation of Israel”. These words are carefully chosen and the word “annihilation” is quite unmistakable indeed. HezbollahContinue reading “The Hydra must be Slayed”
Will the Druze Welcome Israeli Liberation?
War approaches in the Middle East. There is a race in time between Iranian uranium enrichment to produce enough uranium to assemble a nuclear weapon at the same time as Israel is investing billions of shekels in its new capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program from the air. Iran will respond to IsraeliContinue reading “Will the Druze Welcome Israeli Liberation?”
The Paradox of Alawite Rule
The Syrian regime is controlled by a clique of assimilated ethnic Alawites supported by a wider class of Alawite military officers yet the ruling Alawite clique promotes the assimilation of the Alawite people into Islam. How can this be reconciled? First thing is this highly peculiar since the Ba’athist ideology was a secularist ideology toContinue reading “The Paradox of Alawite Rule”
Is Ismailism Crypto-Judaism?
Early Sunni religious authorities widely refer to Shi’ism as founded by Jews and even today in Saudi Arabia is Shi’ism consensually considered to be Crypto-Jewish by Wahhabi religious authorities and in the educational system of Saudi Arabia. There are three surviving branches of Shi’ism, one of which, the Yemeni Zaydism is historically and in theContinue reading “Is Ismailism Crypto-Judaism?”
Hezbollah’s Patrons
Iran is racing towards producing enough enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb while at the same time Israel is racing to develop capacity to strategically degrade the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program – will Hezbollah unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missiles against Tel Aviv andContinue reading “Hezbollah’s Patrons”
Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant
The Iranian nuclear weapons program is racing to produce enough enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon. Israel will not allow that to happen and will launch preemptive air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran will in revenge order its Lebanese proxy terrorist Hezbollah to unleash massive barrages of tens of thousands of missilesContinue reading “Territorially Unifying the Jewish Nation in the Levant”
A Race Against Time
Before the JCPOA era did Israel have a ready offensive military program to strike the Iranian nuclear weapons program but with the JCPOA in 2015 was it rescinded. Now Israel is investing billions of shekels in new offensive military capabilities and is training a new generation of fighter pilots for the mission. Yet at theContinue reading “A Race Against Time”
Will there be a Jewish Fraternal War?
There are only two Jewish governments in the world, the one in Israel and the one in Syria. One is a liberal democracy and one is a totalitarian dictatorship. Will there be a war between the two or will the latter agree to peacefully dissolve? As the Iranian nuclear weapons program rapidly advances far beyondContinue reading “Will there be a Jewish Fraternal War?”
No One will Help Assad
President Bashar al-Assad of Syria has no friends in the international community and very few allies and as it turns out even the allies are not reliable. As Iranian uranium enrichment progresses to a critical level may Israel launch air strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program and Iran in turn will order Hezbollah toContinue reading “No One will Help Assad”
Whither al-Ba’ath
There were once two Ba’ath-controlled states, but the Ba’ath party was unseated from power in Iraq in 2003 and so the only remaining Ba’ath state is Syria. Yet, Syria is more akin to a pseudo-monarchy run by a a relatively small number of members from a Crypto-Jewish sect who outwardly pretend to be Anti-Semites andContinue reading “Whither al-Ba’ath”
Fighting til the Bitter End?
Syria has not fought a land war against Israel since 1973 in apparently since then preferring that Lebanon be the arena for Israeli-Arab armed conflict in Israel’s northern military theater. This is so since Syria for the most part has kept the Golan heights border quiet for the five decades that passed since the YomContinue reading “Fighting til the Bitter End?”
Open Letter to the Median Jews who Run Syria
Most of you are Alawites, some of you are Druze, in either case, you did not know you were you Jewish when you grew up because nobody told you and in any case your parents did not know either, only your top religious leaders knew. Now however the situation is different as you know thatContinue reading “Open Letter to the Median Jews who Run Syria”
Avoidable Bloodshed
What if the 56-year old Bashar al-Assad could avoid either of the respective fates of Muammar Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein? What if he could retire from presidential life and become a billionaire businessman in Jaffa, Tel Aviv; post the Israeli annexation of the Median Jewish (Alawite and Druze) regions of Syria and Lebanon? What ifContinue reading “Avoidable Bloodshed”
Are Zoroastrians Jewish?
Zoroastrianism emerged from Median Judaism and is documented from the 5th century BCE as Zoroastrianism turned into religious imperialism. Zoroastrians have a Kohanite priestly caste but for some reason no Levite priestly tribe. This raises the question as to whether the Zoroastrians are Jewish? Is it a form of Median Judaism? Do they have secretContinue reading “Are Zoroastrians Jewish?”