The Saudi aerial war on the Houthis in Yemen since 2015 has proven unsuccessful in ousting the Houthis from power in Sanaa. Considering the growing Houthi missile threat as built up by Iran that threatens Saudi Arabia, Riyadh needs to seriously consider implementing an all-out Saudi invasion of Houthi-held areas in Yemen before the HouthiContinue reading “Saudi Arabia Needs to Liberate Yemen”
Tag Archives: Hezbollah
Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?
Iran claims that its assault on Israel with rockets, missiles, chemical warheads and drones from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran and Yemen will make Israel collapse. Do they actually believe this or is it just propaganda hyperbole? What is clear is that the Israeli home front will suffer immensely as a result of the assaultContinue reading “Does Iran Believe That it Will Make Israel Collapse?”
Manifest Unreason
Regional events point to Median Jewish mass Aliyah (immigration) to Israel becoming enabled already in the next few years. The Vienna talks are going nowhere as the Khomeinist regime assesses that a nuclear agreement with the United States is not in the nuclear and economic interest of Iran. At the same time does Iran notContinue reading “Manifest Unreason”
Why Bet on a Dead Horse?
There are reports in the news media about Arab governments seeking normalization with the last Ba’athist regime in Damascus. This is entirely counterproductive. Major war between Israel and Iran’s allies in the Levant is entirely inescapable after Israel and America destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as they are jointly training to do considering thatContinue reading “Why Bet on a Dead Horse?”
A Multifront War
Israel will find itself in multifront war with Iran and its regional proxies, probably during 2022 (and at the latest during 2023) after America and Israel destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program as Hezbollah, Hamas and PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) will launch a frontal assault against Israel. There will be intense conflict with Gaza althoughContinue reading “A Multifront War”
Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?
Iran is well aware that it will be attacked but due to its belief in divine patronage does Tehran not believe that any of the insurrections will succeed after the US-led international coalition imposes a no-fly zone over Iran and provides air support to armed rebellions throughout the country. However, this does not mean thatContinue reading “Will Iran Launch a Surprise Assault?”
Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat
Israel has a track record of underestimating the nefariousness of Iran’s intentions. Israeli intelligence until recently believed that Tehran was interested in a nuclear agreement with the United States. Until recently did senior Israeli military experts believe that Iran would not order Hezbollah to launch a frontal attack against Israeli cities with 150 000 rocketsContinue reading “Israel Underestimates Iranian Threat”
Arameans and Annexation
There is not only an alliance but a covenant of blood between the Jewish nation and the Aramean nation and the goal is to establish a liberal-democratic Aramean Christian state (Aram) in the northern Levant that will be strategically, economically, politically and militarily aligned with Israel. As part of Israel’s liberation of Syria and LebanonContinue reading “Arameans and Annexation”
Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon
Lebanon under Iranian control is turning increasingly dystopian. The ruling elite refuses to reform the economy and the population is sinking ever deeper into economic misery. The country has been taken over by Hezbollah, the world’s largest terrorist organization and its political system is completely dysfunctional. Lebanese leaders are well aware of Lebanon’s approaching demiseContinue reading “Ending Lebanon is in the Interest of the Peoples of Lebanon”
Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?
Saddam Hussein is known to have had weapons of mass destruction and he used chemical weapons against his own Kurdish citizens and against the Iranian military. The pacifist myth according to which Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction was an American propaganda fabrication therefore does not hold water. There was a United Nations inspections regimeContinue reading “Why did Saddam Hussein not Turn Over his WMD to the UN?”
Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes
Israel is preparing to destroy Hezbollah and its state sponsors in the upcoming war in the northern Levant after Israel and America eliminate the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran is sabotaging the Vienna process up until the very end. Once the hopeless post-JCPOA “negotiations” as envisioned by the pro-Islamist notorious appeaser Rob Malley end, aContinue reading “Iran, Syria and Lebanon Face Checkmate with Open Eyes”
Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations
With tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants to Israel will Israel certainly be able to realize its long-term plan to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. How long will it take before the dream of returning the descendants of the deported ten Israelite tribes to the land of Israel, will be realized?Continue reading “Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations”
How Imminent is War?
If Israel alone had dictated the timing of the destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program had it been determined either by the pace of progress in the Iran’s nuclear weapons program or the date would be after the June 2023 Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections but obviously not earlier than the Israeli project toContinue reading “How Imminent is War?”
The AANES should Impose Compulsory Military Service for Young Women
The SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) has over the years expanded from originally constituting mere Kurdish guerillas to becoming an increasingly formidable military force and the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has in recent years imposed the military draft on the male population of eligible age in NES (North and East Syria). AsContinue reading “The AANES should Impose Compulsory Military Service for Young Women”
Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?
There are reportedly differing assessments in Israeli military intelligence (Aman) as to whether Hezbollah will attack Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Why is this so? Iranian officials insist that they will “destroy Israel” in response to the destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This of course isContinue reading “Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?”
Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission
Iran has an elaborate plan to force the world into political, ideological, geopolitical, economic and religious submission by means of extortive deployment and use of weapons of mass destruction. Iran is already in the very earliest stage of its campaign. Iran intends to break out as a superpower already when Israel and the US destroyContinue reading “Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission”
What Tehran Thinks of Nuclear Deterrence
What is Tehran’s perspective on nuclear deterrence? Iran generally believes that liberal democracies with their humanitarian sensibilities are not very serious about nuclear deterrence. One exception is the United States under Republican administrations since Republican presidents are generally perceived as “mean” and “dangerous”. However, Iran does not believe that there is any risk in attackingContinue reading “What Tehran Thinks of Nuclear Deterrence”
Iran is Undeterred
Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”
Israel Should Reconsider its Policy of Nuclear Ambiguity
Israel’s deterrence posture against Iran has collapsed and it is unclear why this is so, one possible explanation is that Tehran assumes that the Democratic administration in the US will intervene to prevent Israel from nuking Qom after Iran’s proxy Hezbollah attacks Israeli cities with chemical weapons subsequent to Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclearContinue reading “Israel Should Reconsider its Policy of Nuclear Ambiguity”
Appeasement Undermines Deterrence
The appeasement policy of the Democratic administration undermines America’s deterrence posture. Iran is well aware that no Democratic administration will respond with nuclear weapons to Iranian chemical weapons attacks against America and hence is America highly vulnerable to chemical weapons attacks against major American cities. President Trump was not afraid to abrogate the JCPOA sinceContinue reading “Appeasement Undermines Deterrence”
A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking
The establishment of a no-fly zone over Iran will allow for intermittent attacks against Iranian nuclear facilities so as to prevent the Iranian nuclear weapons program from ever recovering after having been destroyed by the IAF (Israeli Air Force). A no-fly zone will furthermore provide air support to armed rebellions against the Khomeinist regime. ThereContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking”
No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime
The last Ba’athist regime is run by members of the Alawite community in Syria, one of nine denominations of core Median Judaism. Yet, the Ba’athist regime despite being controlled by persons who are halakhically Jewish promote vile Anti-Semitism. Ba’athist Syria is allied with Khomeinist Iran, originally due to the strange misconception that Alawites ostensibly areContinue reading “No One Will Mourn the Demise of the Last Ba’athist Regime”
Israel has an Exit Strategy for Syria and Lebanon
America was fully justified in liberating totalitarian Iraq in 2003. Saddam Hussein was a profoundly dangerous dictator who had used chemical weapons against civilians and committed genocide against his own citizens. The Anti-American Saddam Hussein posed a severe threat against America due to the possibility that he would use his chemical weapons again. America endedContinue reading “Israel has an Exit Strategy for Syria and Lebanon”
Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?
“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”
The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization
The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has made significant progress towards liberal democracy and more progress should be expected as the AANES is exceptionally successful in its feminist liberalization and democratization. In fact, the AANES is a model for liberalization and democratization for Muslim societies generally. The AANES is instilling liberal andContinue reading “The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization”
Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran
President Joe Biden continues the Trump administration policy of disengaging from Islamdom and outsourcing its superpower responsibilities to Israel by promoting Israeli normalization with nations of Islamdom. The US is engaged in intensive diplomatic efforts to persuade nations of Islamdom to normalize relations with Israel. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has already in principleContinue reading “Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry
Why has America’s and Israel’s deterrence against Iran collapsed? There is a fundamental asymmetry between Iran and nearly all other countries with weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Iran intends to use weapons of mass destruction while nearly all other countries (with the exception of Syria) abhor using weapons of mass destruction. This is the reasonContinue reading “The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry”
Ein Brira
There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”
Islamic Republic of Hezbollahstan
Iranian intelligence has for three decades been slowly taking over Lebanon by means of agent recruitment to the degree that Hezbollah is not that far away from officially declaring Lebanon an Islamist state as modeled on Iran. Iran controls nearly all dimensions of the Lebanese state including the military, the government, the seaports, the airportsContinue reading “Islamic Republic of Hezbollahstan”
US Incentives are Necessary
America manifestly lacks a serious policy on Iran other than hoping for the best by keeping open indirect diplomatic channels with Iran. Even the US does not have much hope about reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran, yet Washington hopes that mere keeping open indirect diplomatic channels will protect major American cities from Iranian chemicalContinue reading “US Incentives are Necessary”
Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction
There is international unanimity on Iran on one point and that is the sense of desperation about the threat of Iranian weapons of mass destruction. However, the desperation is expressed differently, 1) Israel is preparing capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and is ready to absorb ensuing Iranian/Hezbollah attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction”
Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria
Hezbollah is not only present throughout Lebanon but has forces located in over 100 locations in all parts of Ba’ath-controlled Syria. Hezbollah’s chemical weapons and terrorist projectile programs are intended to be grown into posing an existential threat against Israel. Israel would be foolish to wait with eradicating Hezbollah until Hezbollah turns into a full-fledgedContinue reading “Defeating Hezbollah Requires Liberating Lebanon and Syria”
The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad
While it is true that that the Syrian Ba’ath regime won the civil war against Jihadist insurgents, it would be a serious mistake to assume that Bashar al-Assad will remain in power. Iran plans to order its Hezbollah proxy to unleash massive barrages of in total 150 000 rockets and missiles against Israeli cities –Continue reading “The Arab World Should Cease Legitimizing Assad”
Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria
Israel has revealed parts of its plans for eradicating Hezbollah and other pro-Iranian Jihadist terrorist organizations in Lebanon and Syria. This involves not only invading Lebanon but invading Syria as well. However, this cannot be done without also defeating the LAF (Lebanese Armed Forces) and the SAA (Syrian Arab Army). In practice is this aContinue reading “Israel is Planning Full-Scale Invasion of Syria”
Hezbollahstan has Replaced Lebanon
Lebanon has effectively been replaced by Hezbollahstan within the same borders since Hezbollah is in control of nearly all aspects of the state. The only thing that remains in Hezbollah seizing full control over the state is declaring the country an Islamic republic with Khomeinist sharia as its law, i.e. a Twelver Shia Islamist stateContinue reading “Hezbollahstan has Replaced Lebanon”
Iran does not Fear the US and Israel
An axiom effectively regulates Iranian regime attitudes towards the US. Iran fears Republican administrations but not Democratic administrations. This is true today as well. On the contrary, Iran deters the US which dares not attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program due to a well-founded fear that it will suffer Iranian retribution on the US mainlandContinue reading “Iran does not Fear the US and Israel”
Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel
Hezbollah is becoming an existential threat against Israel. The Jihadist terrorist organization already possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, all intended to hit Israeli cities, cause maximum carnage and lead to as much physical devestation as possible. Hezbollah also possesses chemical weapons which it no doubt intends to use to perpetrate many Halabjas throughout urbanContinue reading “Hezbollah is Becoming an Existential Threat Against Israel”
Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously
Iran regularly threatens to destroy Israel after Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Iran does not possess nuclear weapons and although Hezbollah possesses 150 000 rockets and missiles, Iran is currently not capable of destroying Israel. Why then at this stage is Iran threatening to destroy Israel? Iran has the capacity to cause veryContinue reading “Iran’s Threat to Destroy Israel must be Taken Seriously”
Ensuring the Survival of the AANES
The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) is a faithful American ally, quite unlike Turkey under Erdogan. It is a US national interest to strengthen the AANES and ensure its survival as a liberalizing bastion of women’s rights in the Middle East. However, the AANES is landlocked and none of its neighbors areContinue reading “Ensuring the Survival of the AANES”
A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest
Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the attack will likely take place in 2023. The attack would have to be repeated after less than two years and then after less than two years again. These regular attacks would go on indefinitely with intervals of less than two years so as to preventContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest”
Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence
There is more than one danger with the scenario of Iran developing nuclear weapons. One of course is geostrategic, Iran seeks hegemony and nuclear weapons is one of several tools in its quest for regional hegemony and global superpower status. This is dangerous enough to the region and to the world, a strategic threat noContinue reading “Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence”
Aliyah Now or Later?
Alevis in Turkey are fed up with Mr. Erdogan’s Crypto-Islamist dictatorship and want to leave the country, yet currently have nowhere to go. The vast majority of Median Jews in Turkey are Alevis. Will quiet Western economic diplomatic pressure succeed in convincing Mr. Erdogan not to place obstacles in the way of Alevi Aliyah (immigration)Continue reading “Aliyah Now or Later?”
Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons
Tehran is well aware that a successful Israeli attack against the Iranian nuclear weapons program would have to be repeated in less than two years time unless a no-fly zone is imposed over Iran that would allow intermittent US airstrikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, something which would prevent the program from ever recovering.Continue reading “Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons”
An Independent Aram Will be a Robust Ally of the West
Only Israel can liberate Aram, the majority Aramean Mount Lebanon region of northern Lebanon. Aram will be officially bilingual in Aramaic and Arabic while education should be in Aramaic only with Arabic taught as a second language. The State of Aram will of course be a natural ally of Israel but will also be anContinue reading “An Independent Aram Will be a Robust Ally of the West”
Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so
Tehran openly states that Israel faces disaster and most Israelis do not seem to believe the Iranians. As of writing, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) is publicly training for a scenario where Hezbollah will unleash 2 000 projectiles a day for several weeks and where Hezbollah will commit chemical weapons attacks along the Israeli-Lebanese border.Continue reading “Israel Faces Calamity and Tehran Openly Declares so”
Only Israel can Liberate Aram
The indigenous Aramean people of the Middle East has often suffered terrible persecution and oppression by Muslim rulers and their proxies. There is one region in the Middle East where the Arameans still make up the majority and that is the Mount Lebanon region of Lebanon. The Aramean people once lived throughout the Fertile CrescentContinue reading “Only Israel can Liberate Aram”
From Conceptzia to Victory
The term “conceptzia” (literally “conception”) in Israeli military history refers to the overarching Israeli strategic misconception about Israel’s enemies on the eve of the 1973 Yom Kippur War that they were weak and would not dare to attack Israel. For years have Israeli strategists been hostages to another “conceptzia” about the Jihadist terrorists on Israel’sContinue reading “From Conceptzia to Victory”
Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
Qom Risks Annihilation
Khamenei plans to use chemical weapons against Israel in the massive rocket and missile war that Hezbollah will wage on Israel following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023. Israel has no choice but to annihilate the clerical city of Qom in Iran as a matter of deterrenceContinue reading “Qom Risks Annihilation”
The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea
The Israeli-allied AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) finds itself in a constant conflict situation with Erdogan who no doubt would want to occupy the entire AANES-held territory, yet he cannot because the TAF (Turkish Armed Forces) are held back by the Israeli-allied Sabbatean-controlled Derin Devlet deep state domestic intelligence apparatus. This mustContinue reading “The AANES Needs to Reach the Sea”
Aliyah Organization 