With tens of millions of Median Jewish immigrants to Israel will Israel certainly be able to realize its long-term plan to redeem and enfranchise the entire Judea and Samaria. How long will it take before the dream of returning the descendants of the deported ten Israelite tribes to the land of Israel, will be realized?Continue reading “Israel needs Prepare International Community for Annexations”
Tag Archives: No-fly zone
Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition
Will NATO officially participate in the emerging international coalition to destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program and impose a no-fly zone over Iran that will provide air support to armed rebellions throughout the country? There is a severe threat of chemical weapons mass terrorist attacks against NATO member states subsequent to the joint American-Israeli destruction ofContinue reading “Derin Devlet should Facilitate NATO Participation in Iran Coalition”
Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?
There are reportedly differing assessments in Israeli military intelligence (Aman) as to whether Hezbollah will attack Israel in response to Israel and America destroying the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Why is this so? Iranian officials insist that they will “destroy Israel” in response to the destruction of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This of course isContinue reading “Will Tehran Unleash Hezbollah?”
Iran is a Terrorist State
Iran is the largest state sponsor of terrorism in the world. Supporting and orchestrating terrorism is part of the geostrategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran worldwide. It should thus not surprise anyone that Iran plans mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons against major cities around the world in revenge for America and Israel destroyingContinue reading “Iran is a Terrorist State”
A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest
The United States made the mistake of not early partitioning Afghanistan according to language (between Turkmenistan – Turkmen language, Uzbekistan – Uzbek language, Tajikistan – Persian language and Pakistan – Pashto language) and similarly made the mistake of not early partitioning Iraq, granting independence to the three main ethnic regions (the Shias, the Sunnis andContinue reading “A Confederal Iran Protects the US National Interest”
Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?
The Israeli intelligence community used to claim that Iran eventually would return to the JCPOA and now they assume that Iran is interested in an interim agreement that would freeze uranium enrichment in return for some sanctions relief. It appears that the Israeli intelligence community has not learned from its own mistakes. Iran has twoContinue reading “Why has Israeli Intelligence been Wrong on Iran?”
When to Attack Iran?
It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”
Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat
The Biden administration wants to focus on the rivalry with China and Russia, yet this is distinctly not how governments in Islamdom see the world. To most governments in Islamdom is Islamism/Jihadism the main threat and therefore is Israel regarded as the indispensable great power that can afford them protection as the United States isContinue reading “Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat”
Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?
What will US policy on Iran be after the demise of the JCPOA? Secretary of State Antony Blinken has strongly and repeatedly pronounced that the Malley doctrine (endless negotiations) is not US policy (or rather no longer US policy). The US has however given no indications as to what will be its Iran policy afterContinue reading “Will the US Join an International Coalition to Impose a No-Fly Zone over Iran?”
Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations
The US government is very concerned about Israel-China economic relations to the point of telling Israel not to do business with Chinese companies that are active in the US. While the US has legitimate concerns in preventing transfer of sensitive dual usage technologies to China, the US has an additional agenda and that is toContinue reading “Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations”
Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus
Why does Iran intend to attack third countries with chemical weapons following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program? First, this is intended as deterrence so that nations will pressure Israel never to attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program again. Second, it is intended to isolate the Jewish state among the nations and diminishContinue reading “Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus”
America Faces Apocalypse
The failed policy of the Democratic administration on Iran is a reflection of the desperate situation that America finds itself in vis-a-vis Iran. 1. Once Israel destroys the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran set off chemical weapons in major cities in dozens of countries around the world that are perceived to be especially connectedContinue reading “America Faces Apocalypse”
Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?
Iran has for years repeated its intention to “annihilate Israel”. Iranian chemical weapons pose a severe threat against major cities in many countries around the world as Iran prepares to attack many nations in response to Iran’s nuclear weapons program being destroyed. America faces the threat of Iranian usage of biological weapons on American soilContinue reading “Has the World Learned Anything From the Holocaust?”
Iran is Undeterred
Israel does not yet have a military capability to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and will not have one for about a year or so and the US still does not have a Plan B. So currently the Iranians are not worried. However, no one should be surprised that Iran is undeterred. The lackContinue reading “Iran is Undeterred”
Inside the Mullahs’ Conspiratorial Universe
Most non-Anti-Semites have not tried to imagine what it means to be a conspiratorial Anti-Semite. To be a conspiratorial Anti-Semite means to live in a constant state of fear of the ostensibly omnipotent Jews. Conspiratorial Anti-Semites typically try to explain problems in terms of their worldview, meaning in effect that Jews are behind all problems. Continue reading “Inside the Mullahs’ Conspiratorial Universe”
The US has no Plan B
There is an obvious contradiction between the Malley doctrine (yes to endless negotiations) and the Blinken doctrine (no to endless negotiations). The US is literally desperate about reconciling with the implacable Iranian regime. The reasons are deeply understandable since the consequences of Israeli conflict with Iran will be mass terrorist attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “The US has no Plan B”
Appeasement Undermines Deterrence
The appeasement policy of the Democratic administration undermines America’s deterrence posture. Iran is well aware that no Democratic administration will respond with nuclear weapons to Iranian chemical weapons attacks against America and hence is America highly vulnerable to chemical weapons attacks against major American cities. President Trump was not afraid to abrogate the JCPOA sinceContinue reading “Appeasement Undermines Deterrence”
Iran is Dangerous and Irrational
The Raisi administration is officially shutting down the JCPOA by reneging on all “concessions” of the Rouhani administration. The Iranian regime knows that the US is literally desperate to reach a nuclear deal in order to avoid Iranian chemical weapons mass terrorism on a global scale. Iran knows that its WMD extortion works and apparentlyContinue reading “Iran is Dangerous and Irrational”
Shifting Iran Paradigm
As the JCPOA is about to effectively expire, we should ponder whose policy is the real US policy on Iran, Rob Malley’s advocacy of endless negotiations or Antony Blinken’s opposition to endless negotiations? Is it possible that the US is transitioning from the Malley doctrine to a Blinken doctrine? Or is Blinken’s rhetoric merely anContinue reading “Shifting Iran Paradigm”
Why Iran will Continue to Stall
Iran is determined to continue to accelerate its nuclear weapons program and participation in “negotiations” is merely a means of playing for time so as to satisfy Russia and China in order to avoid UN sanctions. Iran already however has more than enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb but Iran is not satisfied withContinue reading “Why Iran will Continue to Stall”
The Iranian Waves Plan
What is the Iranian game plan for chemical weapons attacks against perceived and actual adversaries in response to the Israeli destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program and an allied imposition of a no-fly zone over Iran? It is virtually impossible to stop the Iranian provision of chemical weapons to sleeper cells in countries aroundContinue reading “The Iranian Waves Plan”
America will not Elude Iranian Attacks
The JCPOA was quite effective in deferring the Iranian WMD mass terrorist threat. It could be argued that the JCPOA therefore constituted effectual appeasement despite constituting a temporary deferral and effectively selling out the existential interests of America’s Middle Eastern allies. There is no way to repeat the JCPOA trick as Iran is well awareContinue reading “America will not Elude Iranian Attacks”
A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking
The establishment of a no-fly zone over Iran will allow for intermittent attacks against Iranian nuclear facilities so as to prevent the Iranian nuclear weapons program from ever recovering after having been destroyed by the IAF (Israeli Air Force). A no-fly zone will furthermore provide air support to armed rebellions against the Khomeinist regime. ThereContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone over Iran is a Gargantuan Undertaking”
Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?
“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”
The Myopia of Appeasement
America during the presidency of Barack Obama had as its policy to appease and even align with Islamism. This is not the policy of the Biden administration, yet the current administration clings desperately to the Obama-era JCPOA despite increasingly realizing that it is already dead. The latest idea for a partial agreement with Iran thatContinue reading “The Myopia of Appeasement”
Unseating the Khomeinist Regime
There is no doubt that the regions of the ethnic periphery in Iran will successfully rise in armed rebellion with allied air support against the Khomeinist regime in response to the allied imposition of a no-fly zone over Iran. However, will the Persians also rise in armed rebellion? There is no doubt that they willContinue reading “Unseating the Khomeinist Regime”
Futile Diplomacy
Once a no-fly zone is imposed by a coalition of Israel and allied nations of Islamdom over Iran and Israel has destroyed the Iranian nuclear weapons program will Iran and its proxies retaliate with chemical weapons attacks not only against Israeli cities but indeed against major cities worldwide. Who can seriously believe that “the GreatContinue reading “Futile Diplomacy”
The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization
The AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) has made significant progress towards liberal democracy and more progress should be expected as the AANES is exceptionally successful in its feminist liberalization and democratization. In fact, the AANES is a model for liberalization and democratization for Muslim societies generally. The AANES is instilling liberal andContinue reading “The US Should Support the AANES for its Liberalization and Democratization”
The Khomeinist Apocalypse
An international no-fly zone under the leadership of Israel and Saudi Arabia is an existential threat against the Khomeinist regime. It will lead to Tehran losing control over up to half of its population and could potentially lead to regime change in Tehran if the Persians too and not only the minorities of Iran’s ethnicContinue reading “The Khomeinist Apocalypse”
Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran
President Joe Biden continues the Trump administration policy of disengaging from Islamdom and outsourcing its superpower responsibilities to Israel by promoting Israeli normalization with nations of Islamdom. The US is engaged in intensive diplomatic efforts to persuade nations of Islamdom to normalize relations with Israel. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) has already in principleContinue reading “Imposing a No-Fly Zone over Iran”
Empty Threats Undermine America’s Deterrence Posture
The Biden administration’s practice of making more or less veiled threats against Iran, threats which the administration is manifestly not ready to follow through on is not only not credible but is furthermore detrimental since it undermines the US deterrence posture vis-a-vis Iran and enhances the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against major AmericanContinue reading “Empty Threats Undermine America’s Deterrence Posture”
Rob Malley Changes his Position on Iran
The United States Special Representative for Iran Rob Malley has officially changed his position on the Iranian nuclear weapons program. Previously, Malley stated that the US will continue to negotiate to reach a diplomatic solution on the question of the Iranian nuclear weapons program even after the JCPOA becomes irrelevant. This was contrary to theContinue reading “Rob Malley Changes his Position on Iran”
Ein Brira
There is a Hebrew expression for a situation in which Israel has no choice but to wage war no matter the cost. That expression is ein brira which literally means “no choice”. The advanced development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program means that Israel will face a number of wholly predictable, yet inevitable situations ofContinue reading “Ein Brira”
US Incentives are Necessary
America manifestly lacks a serious policy on Iran other than hoping for the best by keeping open indirect diplomatic channels with Iran. Even the US does not have much hope about reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran, yet Washington hopes that mere keeping open indirect diplomatic channels will protect major American cities from Iranian chemicalContinue reading “US Incentives are Necessary”
The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom
There is a growing cold war between Israel and Iran taking place in the Middle East. There has also been a parallel rise of the two countries to great power status. However, there will ultimately only be room for one great power in the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Muslim countries around the world areContinue reading “The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom”
The US Disengagement from the Middle East
The problem the US faces in the Middle East is fundamental lack of credibility. US allies do not believe in the US and Iran does not fear America. US rhetoric about “looking at other options” does not deter Iran nor does it impress US allies. After giving up Afghanistan does the US face a fundamentalContinue reading “The US Disengagement from the Middle East”
An Independent Kurdistan Needs to be a Liberal Democracy
The Kurds in both Iraq and Syria rule themselves and the only thing that is missing is the liberation of Iranian Kurdistan to create an independent Kurdish state in half of Kurdistan, something which is both realistic and feasible. There is no doubt that the Kurds of Iran would be the first to respond positivelyContinue reading “An Independent Kurdistan Needs to be a Liberal Democracy”
Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence
Why would the AANES (Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria) be willing to allow the SDF (Syrian Democratic Forces) to participate in a joint strategic operation with the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) to liberate Syria and Lebanon from the totalitarian forces of Ba’athism and Khomeinism? Why would the YPG (People’s Defense Units) and theContinue reading “Liberating Syria will Pave the Way for Kurdish Independence”
A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest
Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the attack will likely take place in 2023. The attack would have to be repeated after less than two years and then after less than two years again. These regular attacks would go on indefinitely with intervals of less than two years so as to preventContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is a Vital US National Security Interest”
Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence
There is more than one danger with the scenario of Iran developing nuclear weapons. One of course is geostrategic, Iran seeks hegemony and nuclear weapons is one of several tools in its quest for regional hegemony and global superpower status. This is dangerous enough to the region and to the world, a strategic threat noContinue reading “Iran does not Fear Israel’s Nuclear Deterrence”
Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons
Tehran is well aware that a successful Israeli attack against the Iranian nuclear weapons program would have to be repeated in less than two years time unless a no-fly zone is imposed over Iran that would allow intermittent US airstrikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program, something which would prevent the program from ever recovering.Continue reading “Why Hezbollah will Strike Israeli Cities with Chemical Weapons”
A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is Absolutely Necessary
An Israeli series of strikes against the Iranian nuclear weapons program will only set back the Iranian nuclear weapons program one to two years since no one can take away the acquired know-how from the Iranian nuclear scientists. Therefore would it be necessary for Israel to repeat the operation every two years or so. However,Continue reading “A No-Fly Zone Over Iran is Absolutely Necessary”
Jewish Demography will Resolve the Palestinian Issue
Many governments around the world are understandably sincerely eager to resolve the protracted Palestinian issue, yet creating a Palestinian state is not within the realm of the possible due to the contradictory demand of the Palestinian side that Israel be demographically flooded with millions of Anti-Zionists, something which if actually realized would turn any two-stateContinue reading “Jewish Demography will Resolve the Palestinian Issue”
Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry
The Israel government keeps absolutely silent on the question of core Median Jewry and core Median Judaism and some may wonder why? Most Median Jews in the Middle East would not be negatively affected by an official Israeli recognition of core Median Jewry as Jewish. However, the situation of those Median Jews who live asContinue reading “Why Israel Keeps Quiet on Median Jewry”
Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is the person in charge of the Islamic Republic of Iran who makes all the major strategic decisions. There is no doubt that he is the one who made the decision to ditch the JCPOA and race towards the bomb knowing full well that Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons program. HeContinue reading “Is Khamenei Becoming Mildly Senile or is he Just Dangerous?”
The International Community was Wrong About Judea and Samaria
Sometimes it takes an effort to admit that you were in the wrong. Sometimes it is very difficult, especially if it is an entrenched political position, so let’s examine the issue of Judea and Samaria. If you want a Palestinian state then a solution along the lines of the Kushner peace plan is the onlyContinue reading “The International Community was Wrong About Judea and Samaria”
The Timeline is Becoming Clear
Israel has budgeted 1,5 billion USD for its project to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program, yet the project is not expected to become fully operational until about a year from now. This means that there will be one more year of futile international “diplomacy” of coaxing Iran into some kind of “agreement” on itsContinue reading “The Timeline is Becoming Clear”
Burning the Assets
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (b. 1939), the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran is in an apocalyptic mood and is betting on the support of Allah. By ditching the JCPOA does he ensure that Israel will destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program. By ordering Hezbollah to launch massive barrages of 150 000 rockets andContinue reading “Burning the Assets”
A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews
The number of Median Jews (Yarsanis, Alevis, Yezidis and Zoroastrians) in Iran is estimated at between two and three million; there are no precise statistics available. In addition, are there 8 500 rabbinic Jews and 5 000-10 000 Mandaeans who are pre-Israelite Sumerian Jews. The only way to free most Median Jews of Iran isContinue reading “A No-Fly Zone Will Liberate Millions of Yarsani Jews”
Tehran Suffers from Hubris
Tehran dreams about world conquest. It has already succeeded in confusing and dividing P5+1. Allah of course is all for the worldwide Islamic revolution and will somehow ensure that Iran gets nuclear nuclear weapons to destroy the wicked Jews. Yet the fact is that America and Israel together have the means to roll back, implodeContinue reading “Tehran Suffers from Hubris”
Aliyah Organization 