The US has a problem with credibility and thus also with deterrence. This is largely a perception problem based on the erroneous view that the current US administration is afraid of war. However, the Biden administration does not seem to understand that the position of the US as regards one region affects US credibility inContinue reading “The US Perception, Credibility and Deterrence Problem”
Category Archives: China
NATO Must Stand with Ukraine
Russia continues its buildup of forces alongside the border with Ukraine. This is the test of the success of US deterrence. If US economic deterrence were successful would Russia surely discontinue its military buildup near Ukraine. US intelligence has provided proof that Russia plans false flag operations in the rebel regions of eastern Ukraine asContinue reading “NATO Must Stand with Ukraine”
Is Palestinian Nationalism Irrational?
Palestinian nationalism is thoroughly based on Anti-Zionism, the third stage of Anti-Jewish bigotry with the earlier stages being Anti-Judaism and Anti-Semitism (in the narrow sense). Palestinian nationalism systematically racializes Jews in terms of all three stages of Anti-Semitism in the broader sense. Palestinian nationalism is thus primarily a form of racism and is as suchContinue reading “Is Palestinian Nationalism Irrational?”
Anti-Semitism and Orientalism
There are three historical phases of Anti-Semitism in the broader sense of the term. These are Anti-Judaism (Roman, Christian and Muslim), Anti-Semitism (in the narrow racializing sense) and Anti-Zionism which is currently the most widespread form of Anti-Semitism and contains a far vaster universe of lies than Anti-Judaism and Anti-Semitism (in the narrow sense). WhatContinue reading “Anti-Semitism and Orientalism”
Zionism Will Unite
One of the consequences of Aliyah (immigration) to Israel of tens of millions of Median Jews from the Middle East, Africa and China is that the political split in Zionism between left and right will disappear. The Zionist left certainly is not advocating for a two-state solution due to feeling sorry for the self-inflicted tragediesContinue reading “Zionism Will Unite”
How Quickly Will Median Jews Emigrate to Israel?
How fast will Median Jews immigrate to Israel? Once the gates are opened up will African Median Jews from Kenya, Nigeria and Tanzania as well as Middle Eastern Median Jews of Iran and Iraq immigrate to Israel as fast as they can irrespective of conditions on arrival in Israel. There are 4 million Median JewsContinue reading “How Quickly Will Median Jews Emigrate to Israel?”
Iranian Fears
Zohar Palti, the head of the Political-Military Bureau of the Israeli Ministry of Defense and former head of the Mossad Research Department recently pointed out that Iran is no longer afraid and that there is no deterrent against Iran advancing its nuclear weapons program. What then are the implications of Iranian fears? Is it possibleContinue reading “Iranian Fears”
Imperialism is the Greatest Threat
Totalitarian enemies of America whether Communist or Islamist typically describe democratic America as “imperialist”. Of course there is no American empire. America does not dominate other independent nations, like almost every other nation it aligns with foreign nations to promote its own interests. What is unique however about America is that it constantly across presidentialContinue reading “Imperialism is the Greatest Threat”
Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest
The JCPOA is brain-dead and it is only a matter of weeks until it will be fully dead and buried. The reason is that Iran correctly assesses that returning to compliance with the JCPOA and/or reaching a nuclear agreement with the United States are not conducive to the nuclear and economic interests of the KhomeinistContinue reading “Neutrality on Iran is in no One’s Interest”
What can be Expected on Iran
The Biden administration’s hawks and doves are busy preparing the US for two parallel tracks. Even the doves are becoming aware that the JCPOA is doomed and are therefore preparing for what they imagine will be negotiations on an entirely different nuclear agreement with Iran beyond the JCPOA. The hawks are preparing Plan B withContinue reading “What can be Expected on Iran”
Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table
An interview with US Iran envoy Rob Malley on CNN informs us that the Malley doctrine of endless negotiations is back and the Blinken doctrine of opposition to endless negotiations is dead, or at least so far the moment. Malley, the notorious appeaser of Islamists, is convinced that Iran is advancing its hugely expensive nuclearContinue reading “Endless Negotiations are Back on the Table”
Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest
The Ukraine crisis is testing the Biden administration. The Russian buildup of military forces east of Ukraine illustrates the peril of not expanding NATO. Yet, the United States is effectively only threatening financial sanctions against Russia, or at least that is the general perception. The crisis illustrates that further NATO expansion eastwards should be anContinue reading “Ukrainian NATO Accession is a Vital American National Security Interest”
Iran Plans to Defeat America
When the Iranian regime refers to the United States as “the Great Satan” (Persian: Shaytan-e Bozorg) do they mean that America is their greatest enemy as the center of the perceived Jewish conspiracy to destroy Islam (“spreader of corruption”). When the regime chants “death to America” do they mean that they want to bring downContinue reading “Iran Plans to Defeat America”
Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission
Iran has an elaborate plan to force the world into political, ideological, geopolitical, economic and religious submission by means of extortive deployment and use of weapons of mass destruction. Iran is already in the very earliest stage of its campaign. Iran intends to break out as a superpower already when Israel and the US destroyContinue reading “Iran Intends to Force the World into Submission”
The Changing Israeli Equation in US Domestic Politics
Israel is losing support among Democratic voters, including among young assimilating Jews, a large minority of whom are who are turning Anti-Zionist. The Jewish electorate is progressively disappearing to assimilation and the only American Jews who will remain Jewish are Orthodox American Jews and American Jews in Israel. Israel is also losing much ground amongContinue reading “The Changing Israeli Equation in US Domestic Politics”
When to Attack Iran?
It takes time and effort to build an international coalition to establish a no-fly zone over Iran. Despite the P5+1 still entertaining desperate hopes about reaching an agreement with Tehran, there is absolutely no chance that such an agreement will be clinched for the simple reason that such an agreement is not in the interestContinue reading “When to Attack Iran?”
Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat
The Biden administration wants to focus on the rivalry with China and Russia, yet this is distinctly not how governments in Islamdom see the world. To most governments in Islamdom is Islamism/Jihadism the main threat and therefore is Israel regarded as the indispensable great power that can afford them protection as the United States isContinue reading “Governments in Islamdom Regard Islamism/Jihadism as Main Threat”
Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations
The US government is very concerned about Israel-China economic relations to the point of telling Israel not to do business with Chinese companies that are active in the US. While the US has legitimate concerns in preventing transfer of sensitive dual usage technologies to China, the US has an additional agenda and that is toContinue reading “Why the US wants to Limit Sino-Israeli Economic Relations”
Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus
Why does Iran intend to attack third countries with chemical weapons following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program? First, this is intended as deterrence so that nations will pressure Israel never to attack the Iranian nuclear weapons program again. Second, it is intended to isolate the Jewish state among the nations and diminishContinue reading “Iran’s Chemical Weapons Calculus”
Why Iran will Continue to Stall
Iran is determined to continue to accelerate its nuclear weapons program and participation in “negotiations” is merely a means of playing for time so as to satisfy Russia and China in order to avoid UN sanctions. Iran already however has more than enough enriched uranium for one nuclear bomb but Iran is not satisfied withContinue reading “Why Iran will Continue to Stall”
Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?
“We seem to be very near the bleak choice between War and Shame. My feeling is that we shall choose Shame, and then have War thrown in a little later on even more adverse terms than at present.” Winston Churchill Will the threat of Iranian chemical weapons attacks against the American homeland compel the DemocraticContinue reading “Will a Desperate US Surrender to Iran?”
The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry
Why has America’s and Israel’s deterrence against Iran collapsed? There is a fundamental asymmetry between Iran and nearly all other countries with weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Iran intends to use weapons of mass destruction while nearly all other countries (with the exception of Syria) abhor using weapons of mass destruction. This is the reasonContinue reading “The Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetry”
US Incentives are Necessary
America manifestly lacks a serious policy on Iran other than hoping for the best by keeping open indirect diplomatic channels with Iran. Even the US does not have much hope about reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran, yet Washington hopes that mere keeping open indirect diplomatic channels will protect major American cities from Iranian chemicalContinue reading “US Incentives are Necessary”
Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction
There is international unanimity on Iran on one point and that is the sense of desperation about the threat of Iranian weapons of mass destruction. However, the desperation is expressed differently, 1) Israel is preparing capabilities to destroy the Iranian nuclear weapons program and is ready to absorb ensuing Iranian/Hezbollah attacks with chemical weapons againstContinue reading “Everyone is Desperate About Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction”
The Threat of Nuclear Impunity
The so-called “international community” lives in intense fear for Iranian chemical weapons attacks against major cities around the world. Fending off this threat as combined with buying time by delaying the timeline of the development of the Iranian nuclear weapons program were the only motivations for concluding the JCPOA. The Iranian chemical weapons threat wouldContinue reading “The Threat of Nuclear Impunity”
The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom
There is a growing cold war between Israel and Iran taking place in the Middle East. There has also been a parallel rise of the two countries to great power status. However, there will ultimately only be room for one great power in the Middle East and Islamdom generally. Muslim countries around the world areContinue reading “The Rise of the two Great Powers in Islamdom”
The Lack of Continuity in American Mideast Policy
President George W. Bush revolutionized American foreign policy on the Middle East and Islamdom by focusing on counter-terrorism and democratization. President Barack Obama wanted to align the US with Islamism and hand over Islamdom to the Islamists. President Donald Trump championed the idea of the US disengaging from Islamdom in subcontracting most US superpower dutiesContinue reading “The Lack of Continuity in American Mideast Policy”
The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom
The perception of the American interest in the Middle East is shifting. Once was the American interest in the Gulf in supporting Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states based almost entirely on the provision of oil to America by the Gulf states. America is no longer dependent on Gulf oil since America is now energyContinue reading “The Shifting American Interest in the Middle East and Islamdom”
The US Disengagement from the Middle East
The problem the US faces in the Middle East is fundamental lack of credibility. US allies do not believe in the US and Iran does not fear America. US rhetoric about “looking at other options” does not deter Iran nor does it impress US allies. After giving up Afghanistan does the US face a fundamentalContinue reading “The US Disengagement from the Middle East”
Islamism is not Anti-Imperialist
A common theme among academic apologists for totalitarianism is that the Muslim Brotherhood specifically and Islamism generally is an anti-imperialist movement that is part of the post-colonial situation. Yet, the truth is that Islamists are neo-imperialists who seek to build a totalitarian Islamist empire that will cover the entire Islamdom and ultimately the entire planet.Continue reading “Islamism is not Anti-Imperialist”
The Demographics of Median Jewry
What are the demographics of core Median Jewry? There are up to 25 million Median Jews in Turkey although the number could be lower since no statistics exist. There are 7-8 million Median Jews in the rest of the Middle East. There are hundreds of thousands of Median Jews in the Balkans, primarily in Albania.Continue reading “The Demographics of Median Jewry”
Qom Risks Annihilation
Khamenei plans to use chemical weapons against Israel in the massive rocket and missile war that Hezbollah will wage on Israel following Israel’s destruction of the Iranian nuclear weapons program in late 2022 or early 2023. Israel has no choice but to annihilate the clerical city of Qom in Iran as a matter of deterrenceContinue reading “Qom Risks Annihilation”
Israel will not Realign with China
There is a common misconception that Israel’s alliance with the US is based upon Jewish political influence in United States domestic politics. While it is true that organized American Jewry for half a century has played a critical role in articulating American interests in the Middle East, nothing could be further from the truth. OrganizedContinue reading “Israel will not Realign with China”
Israel’s Demographic Question
With the annexation of 4 million Median Jews (Alawites and Druze) in Syria and Lebanon after a joint IDF-SDF war against the forces of Khomeinism and Ba’athism will Israel narrowly be able to demographically afford to redeem and enfranchise Judea and Samaria where 2 million Palestinians live. In addition, there are 1 million Median JewsContinue reading “Israel’s Demographic Question”
Settling the Qiangic Peoples in Israel
The Qiangic peoples of Sichuan, China are among those Median Jewish peoples that have largely resisted conversion to religious imperialism. The Qiangic peoples were identified as Jewish during the colonial era and were despite this not targeted by missionaries. There are more than 300 000 members of the official Qiang nationality in China and mostContinue reading “Settling the Qiangic Peoples in Israel”
Tehran is Intent on Domination
Iran was thoroughly Westernized during the reign of the last Shah and Iran remains a sophisticated state adept at communicating with other cultures and fooling their diplomats. For example, did Iranian diplomats astonishingly succeed years ago in convincing Chinese diplomats that Iran ostensibly does not intend to destroy Israel despite constantly declaring the intention toContinue reading “Tehran is Intent on Domination”
The Perceptual Gap
There is a vast perceptual gap between the P5+1 and the Khomeinist regime. The P5+1 talk the language of reconciliation while Tehran hears weakness and uses the time offered to further enrich uranium towards the goal of amassing enough material to produce a nuclear weapon. For Iran are P5+1 useful infidels to be deceived andContinue reading “The Perceptual Gap”
What about Genetics?
The rediscovery of Median Judaism and Median Jewry is a watershed event in Jewish history. However, members of denominations of core Median Judaism are primarily descended from ancient converts to Median Judaism and not from Israelites although they surely have some Israelite ancestry as well. But does genetics matter and does it still count asContinue reading “What about Genetics?”
Are Zoroastrians Jewish?
Zoroastrianism emerged from Median Judaism and is documented from the 5th century BCE as Zoroastrianism turned into religious imperialism. Zoroastrians have a Kohanite priestly caste but for some reason no Levite priestly tribe. This raises the question as to whether the Zoroastrians are Jewish? Is it a form of Median Judaism? Do they have secretContinue reading “Are Zoroastrians Jewish?”
Sharing the Burden
It is unreasonable that US allies should not be able to collectively defend themselves. European Union member countries each need to create an Office for the Protection of the Constitution on the German model as well as institute a joint confederal military. The extreme reliance on US troops to defend the EU is intolerable. WhyContinue reading “Sharing the Burden”
No Return to Vienna
Tehran has no intention of returning to the indirect Vienna negotiations. It is somewhat hard to see what Tehran fears in the negotiations as the Iranians could simply stall but they apparently do they fear that Rob Malley will make too many concessions to them as they might be fearful that Beijing and Moscow wouldContinue reading “No Return to Vienna”
Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran
Iran has a sophisticated military but its air force is antiquated as are its tanks. Why then do not Russia and China supply Iran with fighter aircrafts and tanks? There is in general a fear in the international community of Iranian intelligence committing 9/11 style mass terrorist attacks and potentially with chemical, biological and radiologicalContinue reading “Why Moscow and Beijing do not Arm Tehran”
Iran is a Rival of China, not an Ally
Islamists hold profoundly contemptful attitudes towards non-Muslims and Khomeinist attitudes towards China of course is no exception. Does Tehran hate Beijing for its internment of one million Muslims in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region? Yes of course they do but Tehan’s duplicitous strategy towards Beijing is designed to fool and take advantage of China. After all,Continue reading “Iran is a Rival of China, not an Ally”
Why Iran wants Nuclear Weapons
It is peculiar why so-called “anti-imperialists” are not concerned with Tehran’s clearly neo-imperial ambitions. Rather, “Anti-Imperialism” was a Soviet propaganda discourse closely connected to yet another Soviet propaganda discourse, namely “Anti-Zionism”. In fact, Soviet propaganda often mentioned “Anti-Imperialism and “Anti-Zionism” in one breath as if they were one. The Islamic Republic of Iran is oneContinue reading “Why Iran wants Nuclear Weapons”
Uniting the Peoples of Israel
The Jewish people is ethnically, culturally, linguistically, racially, genetically and religiously diverse yet it is one people living in many countries around the world, albeit once more centred in the land of Israel. The existence of the small Samaritan people has always been known to rabbinic Jews but the rediscovery of Median Jewry and MedianContinue reading “Uniting the Peoples of Israel”